COVID-19 Megathread 6: Return of the Omicron

[Calthrina950]

It’s well last time to change the title IMO

Vaximum Velocity: A Race to Herd Immunity?

The moderators still aren't going to do it, though. They've made that clear.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Data obtained exclusively by CNN shows that interest in getting vaccinated against Covid-19 increased right after Dr. Rochelle Walensky, director of the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, announced two weeks ago that vaccinated people could take off their masks.

"This shows incentives matter," said Dr. Jonathan Reiner, professor of medicine and surgery at George Washington University School of Medicine. "People needed a carrot, and the carrot was the ability to drop the mask in most settings."

The data comes from vaccines.gov, where people look up vaccination sites by zip code.

https://www.cnn.com/2021/05/27/health/vaccination-interest-cdc-mask-guidance/index.html

[Not Me, Us]

https://twitter.com/PennLive/status/1397939362789302273

Now that PA has reached 70% of adults with at least one dose, they've set an official end date to the mask mandate. Good decision, I think. Since the CDC guidelines changed, it has become pretty much impossible to enforce a mask mandate, so keeping one around was pointless.

[pbrower2a]

New study on immunity; might last longer than expected. Still no coherent data on the question that needs more research as we gather more data over a longer period of time.

https://twitter.com/axios/status/1397902658871177216

I have heard medical personnel encouraged survivors of COVID-19 to get inoculated as the risks from the inoculation are far slighter than the disease itself. One year is far too short a time to predict whether the virus has the potential for a rebound (it is apparently not quite like HIV/AIDS which can become dormant before returning even more dangerously). Other infections leave the potential of later problems, as is the case with rheumatic fever leading to rheumatic heart disease. Early chickenpox can result in shingles 50+ years later.

So get vaccinated. What do you have to lose if you don't?

EVERYTHING!

Sorry about the shouting , but this time it is necessary.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/ashishkjha/status/1397909210868891655

[It’s so Joever]

https://twitter.com/ashishkjha/status/1397909210868891655

Good news is, most places seem to have at least 30% of the population fully vaccinated with the exception of much of the rural South and bands of the Great Plains.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

7-day positives down to 2.16%

[Dr. Arch]

The updated numbers for COVID-19 in the U.S. are in for 5/27 per: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

I'm keeping track of these updates daily and updating at the end of the day, whenever all states finish reporting for that day.

ΔW Change: Comparisons of Weekly Day-to-day Growth or Decline of COVID-19 Spread/Deaths.

• IE: Comparing the numbers to the same day of last week, are we flattening the curve enough?

Σ Increase: A day's contribution to overall percentage growth of COVID-19 cases/deaths.

• IE:What's the overall change in the total?

Brackets []: These represent the total change for the day, including backlogged reports, if any.

• These numbers are inflated relative to the actual reports for the day, so they are not used to calculate the comparative percentage shifts.

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5/16: <Sunday>

• Cases: 33,715,951 (+17,834 [+20,035] | ΔW Change: ↓19.67% | Σ Increase: ↑0.06%)
• Deaths: 600,147 (+284 | ΔW Change: ↑26.79% | Σ Increase: ↑0.05%)

5/17: <M>

• Cases: 33,747,439 (+25,030 [+31,488] | ΔW Change: ↓16.99% | Σ Increase: ↑0.09%)
• Deaths: 600,533 (+369 [+386] | ΔW Change: ↑0.54% | Σ Increase: ↑0.06%)

5/18: <T>

• Cases: 33,774,945 (+27,506 | ΔW Change: ↓20.98% | Σ Increase: ↑0.08%)
• Deaths: 601,330 (+797 | ΔW Change: ↑3.91% | Σ Increase: ↑0.13%)

5/19: <W>

• Cases: 33,802,324 (+27,379 | ΔW Change: ↓23.99% | Σ Increase: ↑0.08%)
• Deaths: 601,949 (+619 | ΔW Change: ↓26.22% | Σ Increase: ↑0.10%)

5/20: <Þ>

• Cases: 33,833,181 (+30,857 | ΔW Change: ↓22.78% | Σ Increase: ↑0.09%)
• Deaths: 602,616 (+667 | ΔW Change: ↓11.66% | Σ Increase: ↑0.11%)

5/21: <F>

• Cases: 33,862,398 (+29,217 | ΔW Change: ↓22.94% | Σ Increase: ↑0.09%)
• Deaths: 603,408 (+657 [+792] | ΔW Change: ↓15.11% | Σ Increase: ↑0.13%)

5/22: <S>

• Cases: 33,882,333 (+19,935 | ΔW Change: ↓37.51% | Σ Increase: ↑0.06%)
• Deaths: 603,876 (+468 | ΔW Change: ↓14.75% | Σ Increase: ↑0.08%)

5/23: <Sunday>

• Cases: 33,896,381 (+14,048 | ΔW Change: ↓21.23% | Σ Increase: ↑0.04%)
• Deaths: 604,087 (+211 | ΔW Change: ↓25.70% | Σ Increase: ↑0.03%)

5/24: <M>

• Cases: 33,922,937 (+19,866 [+26,556] | ΔW Change: ↓20.63% | Σ Increase: ↑0.08%)
• Deaths: 604,416 (+329 | ΔW Change: ↓10.84% | Σ Increase: ↑0.05%)

5/25: <T>

• Cases: 33,947,189 (+24,252 | ΔW Change: ↓11.83% | Σ Increase: ↑0.07%)
• Deaths: 605,208 (+669 [+792] | ΔW Change: ↓16.06% | Σ Increase: ↑0.13%)

5/26 (Yesterday): <W>

• Cases: 33,971,207 (+24,018 | ΔW Change: ↓7.92% | Σ Increase: ↑0.07%)
• Deaths: 606,179 (+668 [+971] | ΔW Change: ↑16.06% | Σ Increase: ↑0.16%)

5/27 (Today): <Þ>

• Cases: 33,999,680 (+24,393 [+28,473] | ΔW Change: ↓20.95% | Σ Increase: ↑0.08%)
• Deaths: 607,726 (+630 [+1,547] | ΔW Change: ↓5.55% | Σ Increase: ↑0.26%)

[pbrower2a]

https://twitter.com/ashishkjha/status/1397909210868891655

Gjavascript:void(0);ood news is, most places seem to have at least 30% of the population fully vaccinated with the exception of much of the rural South and bands of the Great Plains.

People getting complacent or staying ignorant? That's where the infections and deaths are.

Mississippi, God Damn!

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/davidaldridgedc/status/1398281741526261761

For non-USians, this is part of the NBA (pro basketball league) playoffs.

[pbrower2a]

https://twitter.com/ashishkjha/status/1397909210868891655

Good news is, most places seem to have at least 30% of the population fully vaccinated with the exception of much of the rural South and bands of the Great Plains.

People are still contracting COVID-19... and dying, Excess deaths are most likely coming from mostly the reactionary side of the political spectrum, and because our system now does a good job of expunging the deceased from voter roles, that might have some impact on some political races in some states.

[JGibson]

Two more weeks until Phase 5 comes to Illinois.

[American2020]

https://twitter.com/ianbremmer/status/1398379328325439493

[Dr. Arch]

The updated numbers for COVID-19 in the U.S. are in for 5/28 per: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

I'm keeping track of these updates daily and updating at the end of the day, whenever all states finish reporting for that day.

ΔW Change: Comparisons of Weekly Day-to-day Growth or Decline of COVID-19 Spread/Deaths.

• IE: Comparing the numbers to the same day of last week, are we flattening the curve enough?

Σ Increase: A day's contribution to overall percentage growth of COVID-19 cases/deaths.

• IE:What's the overall change in the total?

Brackets []: These represent the total change for the day, including backlogged reports, if any.

• These numbers are inflated relative to the actual reports for the day, so they are not used to calculate the comparative percentage shifts.

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5/16: <Sunday>

• Cases: 33,715,951 (+17,834 [+20,035] | ΔW Change: ↓19.67% | Σ Increase: ↑0.06%)
• Deaths: 600,147 (+284 | ΔW Change: ↑26.79% | Σ Increase: ↑0.05%)

5/17: <M>

• Cases: 33,747,439 (+25,030 [+31,488] | ΔW Change: ↓16.99% | Σ Increase: ↑0.09%)
• Deaths: 600,533 (+369 [+386] | ΔW Change: ↑0.54% | Σ Increase: ↑0.06%)

5/18: <T>

• Cases: 33,774,945 (+27,506 | ΔW Change: ↓20.98% | Σ Increase: ↑0.08%)
• Deaths: 601,330 (+797 | ΔW Change: ↑3.91% | Σ Increase: ↑0.13%)

5/19: <W>

• Cases: 33,802,324 (+27,379 | ΔW Change: ↓23.99% | Σ Increase: ↑0.08%)
• Deaths: 601,949 (+619 | ΔW Change: ↓26.22% | Σ Increase: ↑0.10%)

5/20: <Þ>

• Cases: 33,833,181 (+30,857 | ΔW Change: ↓22.78% | Σ Increase: ↑0.09%)
• Deaths: 602,616 (+667 | ΔW Change: ↓11.66% | Σ Increase: ↑0.11%)

5/21: <F>

• Cases: 33,862,398 (+29,217 | ΔW Change: ↓22.94% | Σ Increase: ↑0.09%)
• Deaths: 603,408 (+657 [+792] | ΔW Change: ↓15.11% | Σ Increase: ↑0.13%)

5/22: <S>

• Cases: 33,882,333 (+19,935 | ΔW Change: ↓37.51% | Σ Increase: ↑0.06%)
• Deaths: 603,876 (+468 | ΔW Change: ↓14.75% | Σ Increase: ↑0.08%)

5/23: <Sunday>

• Cases: 33,896,381 (+14,048 | ΔW Change: ↓21.23% | Σ Increase: ↑0.04%)
• Deaths: 604,087 (+211 | ΔW Change: ↓25.70% | Σ Increase: ↑0.03%)

5/24: <M>

• Cases: 33,922,937 (+19,866 [+26,556] | ΔW Change: ↓20.63% | Σ Increase: ↑0.08%)
• Deaths: 604,416 (+329 | ΔW Change: ↓10.84% | Σ Increase: ↑0.05%)

5/25: <T>

• Cases: 33,947,189 (+24,252 | ΔW Change: ↓11.83% | Σ Increase: ↑0.07%)
• Deaths: 605,208 (+669 [+792] | ΔW Change: ↓16.06% | Σ Increase: ↑0.13%)

5/26: <W>

• Cases: 33,971,207 (+24,018 | ΔW Change: ↓7.92% | Σ Increase: ↑0.07%)
• Deaths: 606,179 (+668 [+971] | ΔW Change: ↑16.06% | Σ Increase: ↑0.16%)

5/27 (Yesterday): <Þ>

• Cases: 33,999,680 (+24,393 [+28,473] | ΔW Change: ↓20.95% | Σ Increase: ↑0.08%)
• Deaths: 607,726 (+630 [+1,547] | ΔW Change: ↓5.55% | Σ Increase: ↑0.26%)

5/28 (Today): <F>

• Cases: 34,022,386 (+22,706 | ΔW Change: ↓22.29% | Σ Increase: ↑0.07%)
• Deaths: 608,956 (+669 [+1,230] | ΔW Change: ↑1.83% | Σ Increase: ↑0.20%)

[American2020]

Look at the misinformation about the Coronavirus.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_misinformation#United_States_biological_weapon

[°Leprechaun]

Well, the weekly trends look good,

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/weekly-trends/#weekly_table

Many countries have a long way to go.

I hope the down trend continues, but it all depends on factors such as how many people can get the vaccine, and how many who are reluctant to get it can be convinced that it is in their best interest. Taking unnecessary chances is Russian roulette.

[Dr. Arch]

The updated numbers for COVID-19 in the U.S. are in for 5/29 per: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

I'm keeping track of these updates daily and updating at the end of the day, whenever all states finish reporting for that day.

ΔW Change: Comparisons of Weekly Day-to-day Growth or Decline of COVID-19 Spread/Deaths.

• IE: Comparing the numbers to the same day of last week, are we flattening the curve enough?

Σ Increase: A day's contribution to overall percentage growth of COVID-19 cases/deaths.

• IE:What's the overall change in the total?

Brackets []: These represent the total change for the day, including backlogged reports, if any.

• These numbers are inflated relative to the actual reports for the day, so they are not used to calculate the comparative percentage shifts.

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5/16: <Sunday>

• Cases: 33,715,951 (+17,834 [+20,035] | ΔW Change: ↓19.67% | Σ Increase: ↑0.06%)
• Deaths: 600,147 (+284 | ΔW Change: ↑26.79% | Σ Increase: ↑0.05%)

5/17: <M>

• Cases: 33,747,439 (+25,030 [+31,488] | ΔW Change: ↓16.99% | Σ Increase: ↑0.09%)
• Deaths: 600,533 (+369 [+386] | ΔW Change: ↑0.54% | Σ Increase: ↑0.06%)

5/18: <T>

• Cases: 33,774,945 (+27,506 | ΔW Change: ↓20.98% | Σ Increase: ↑0.08%)
• Deaths: 601,330 (+797 | ΔW Change: ↑3.91% | Σ Increase: ↑0.13%)

5/19: <W>

• Cases: 33,802,324 (+27,379 | ΔW Change: ↓23.99% | Σ Increase: ↑0.08%)
• Deaths: 601,949 (+619 | ΔW Change: ↓26.22% | Σ Increase: ↑0.10%)

5/20: <Þ>

• Cases: 33,833,181 (+30,857 | ΔW Change: ↓22.78% | Σ Increase: ↑0.09%)
• Deaths: 602,616 (+667 | ΔW Change: ↓11.66% | Σ Increase: ↑0.11%)

5/21: <F>

• Cases: 33,862,398 (+29,217 | ΔW Change: ↓22.94% | Σ Increase: ↑0.09%)
• Deaths: 603,408 (+657 [+792] | ΔW Change: ↓15.11% | Σ Increase: ↑0.13%)

5/22: <S>

• Cases: 33,882,333 (+19,935 | ΔW Change: ↓37.51% | Σ Increase: ↑0.06%)
• Deaths: 603,876 (+468 | ΔW Change: ↓14.75% | Σ Increase: ↑0.08%)

5/23: <Sunday>

• Cases: 33,896,381 (+14,048 | ΔW Change: ↓21.23% | Σ Increase: ↑0.04%)
• Deaths: 604,087 (+211 | ΔW Change: ↓25.70% | Σ Increase: ↑0.03%)

5/24: <M>

• Cases: 33,922,937 (+19,866 [+26,556] | ΔW Change: ↓20.63% | Σ Increase: ↑0.08%)
• Deaths: 604,416 (+329 | ΔW Change: ↓10.84% | Σ Increase: ↑0.05%)

5/25: <T>

• Cases: 33,947,189 (+24,252 | ΔW Change: ↓11.83% | Σ Increase: ↑0.07%)
• Deaths: 605,208 (+669 [+792] | ΔW Change: ↓16.06% | Σ Increase: ↑0.13%)

5/26: <W>

• Cases: 33,971,207 (+24,018 | ΔW Change: ↓7.92% | Σ Increase: ↑0.07%)
• Deaths: 606,179 (+668 [+971] | ΔW Change: ↑16.06% | Σ Increase: ↑0.16%)

5/27: <Þ>

• Cases: 33,999,680 (+24,393 [+28,473] | ΔW Change: ↓20.95% | Σ Increase: ↑0.08%)
• Deaths: 607,726 (+630 [+1,547] | ΔW Change: ↓5.55% | Σ Increase: ↑0.26%)

5/28 (Yesterday): <F>

• Cases: 34,022,386 (+22,706 | ΔW Change: ↓22.29% | Σ Increase: ↑0.07%)
• Deaths: 608,956 (+669 [+1,230] | ΔW Change: ↑1.83% | Σ Increase: ↑0.20%)

5/29 (Today): <S>

• Cases: 34,034,946 (+12,560 | ΔW Change: ↓37.00% | Σ Increase: ↑0.04%)
• Deaths: 609,420 (+464 | ΔW Change: ↓0.85% | Σ Increase: ↑0.08%)

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

Hot damn.

We'll probably see a notable decrease in deaths soon as well as it catches up.

[It’s so Joever]

Guys, are we seriously going to go through the holiday cycle again?
Don’t get me wrong, numbers are likely decreasing, but these are artificially low because it’s Memorial Day weekend.
So first we will see artificially low numbers, and then there will be a “rise” next week. Honestly I wouldn’t look too hard at the data this next week, the errors should sort themselves out by next Tuesday.
Stay safe and happy Memorial Day

[Bandit3 the Worker]

We might actually see numbers in 4 digits today. That hasn't happened since March 22, 2020.

[Matty]

Cases seem to be ticking up in the U.K.

Not totally unexpected as things reopen and the India variant spreads

Numbers still low in raw terms

[Dr. Arch]

The updated numbers for COVID-19 in the U.S. are in for 5/30 per: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

I'm keeping track of these updates daily and updating at the end of the day, whenever all states finish reporting for that day.

ΔW Change: Comparisons of Weekly Day-to-day Growth or Decline of COVID-19 Spread/Deaths.

• IE: Comparing the numbers to the same day of last week, are we flattening the curve enough?

Σ Increase: A day's contribution to overall percentage growth of COVID-19 cases/deaths.

• IE:What's the overall change in the total?

Brackets []: These represent the total change for the day, including backlogged reports, if any.

• These numbers are inflated relative to the actual reports for the day, so they are not used to calculate the comparative percentage shifts.

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5/23: <Sunday>

• Cases: 33,896,381 (+14,048 | ΔW Change: ↓21.23% | Σ Increase: ↑0.04%)
• Deaths: 604,087 (+211 | ΔW Change: ↓25.70% | Σ Increase: ↑0.03%)

5/24: <M>

• Cases: 33,922,937 (+19,866 [+26,556] | ΔW Change: ↓20.63% | Σ Increase: ↑0.08%)
• Deaths: 604,416 (+329 | ΔW Change: ↓10.84% | Σ Increase: ↑0.05%)

5/25: <T>

• Cases: 33,947,189 (+24,252 | ΔW Change: ↓11.83% | Σ Increase: ↑0.07%)
• Deaths: 605,208 (+669 [+792] | ΔW Change: ↓16.06% | Σ Increase: ↑0.13%)

5/26: <W>

• Cases: 33,971,207 (+24,018 | ΔW Change: ↓7.92% | Σ Increase: ↑0.07%)
• Deaths: 606,179 (+668 [+971] | ΔW Change: ↑16.06% | Σ Increase: ↑0.16%)

5/27: <Þ>

• Cases: 33,999,680 (+24,393 [+28,473] | ΔW Change: ↓20.95% | Σ Increase: ↑0.08%)
• Deaths: 607,726 (+630 [+1,547] | ΔW Change: ↓5.55% | Σ Increase: ↑0.26%)

5/28: <F>

• Cases: 34,022,386 (+22,706 | ΔW Change: ↓22.29% | Σ Increase: ↑0.07%)
• Deaths: 608,956 (+669 [+1,230] | ΔW Change: ↑1.83% | Σ Increase: ↑0.20%)

5/29 (Yesterday): <S>

• Cases: 34,034,946 (+12,560 | ΔW Change: ↓37.00% | Σ Increase: ↑0.04%)
• Deaths: 609,420 (+464 | ΔW Change: ↓0.85% | Σ Increase: ↑0.08%)

5/30 (Today): <Sunday>

• Cases: 34,043,068 (+7,750 [+8,122] | ΔW Change: ↓44.83% | Σ Increase: ↑0.02%)
• Deaths: 609,544 (+124 | ΔW Change: ↓41.23% | Σ Increase: ↑0.02%)

[Dr. Arch]

!!

We seem to be nearing the end of the COVID pandemic in the United States and its territories.

[Calthrina950]

!!

We seem to be nearing the end of the COVID pandemic in the United States and its territories.

When do you think things will be stable enough that you can issue more limited case reports? They have certainly been informative, but I can't imagine you plan on continuing them indefinitely.

[Dr. Arch]

!!

We seem to be nearing the end of the COVID pandemic in the United States and its territories.

When do you think things will be stable enough that you can issue more limited case reports? They have certainly been informative, but I can't imagine you plan on continuing them indefinitely.

I've done this as a way to contribute to this forum, but yes, you're right. If we remain for around two weeks at or around 4 digits, I might switch to weekly updates or something of the sort instead.