COVID-19 Megathread 6: Return of the Omicron
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Author Topic: COVID-19 Megathread 6: Return of the Omicron  (Read 532636 times)
Dr. Arch
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« Reply #2025 on: December 19, 2020, 10:02:49 PM »

The updated numbers for COVID-19 in the U.S. are in for 12/19 per: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

I'm keeping track of these updates daily and updating at the end of the day, whenever all states finish reporting for that day.

ΔW Change: Comparisons of Weekly Day-to-day Growth or Decline of COVID-19 Spread/Deaths.
  • IE: Comparing the numbers to the same day of last week, are we flattening the curve enough?

Σ Increase: A day's contribution to overall percentage growth of COVID-19 cases/deaths.
  • IE: What's the overall change in the total?

Older Numbers (Hidden in spoiler mode to make the post more compact)
Spoiler alert! Click Show to show the content.



12/6: <Sunday>
  • Cases: 15,159,259 (+175,834 | ΔW Change: ↑25.55% | Σ Increase: ↑1.17%)
  • Deaths: 288,906 (+1,081 | ΔW Change: ↑32.15% | Σ Increase: ↑0.38%)

12/7: <M>
  • Cases: 15,369,046 (+209,787 | ΔW Change: ↑23.79% | Σ Increase: ↑1.38%)
  • Deaths: 290,443 (+1,537 | ΔW Change: ↑21.98% | Σ Increase: ↑0.53%)

12/8: <T>
  • Cases: 15,591,709 (+222,663 | ΔW Change: ↑18.05% | Σ Increase: ↑1.45%)
  • Deaths: 293,398 (+2,955 | ΔW Change: ↑11.76% | Σ Increase: ↑1.02%)

12/9: <W>
  • Cases: 15,820,042 (+228,333 | ΔW Change: ↑11.14% | Σ Increase: ↑1.46%)
  • Deaths: 296,698 (+3,300 | ΔW Change: ↑14.23% | Σ Increase: ↑1.12%)

12/10: <Þ>
  • Cases: 16,039,393 (+219,351 | ΔW Change: ↓0.86% | Σ Increase: ↑1.39%)
  • Deaths: 299,692 (+2,994 | ΔW Change: ↑1.01% | Σ Increase: ↑1.01%)

12/11: <F>
  • Cases: 16,295,458 (+256,065 | ΔW Change: ↑7.97% | Σ Increase: ↑1.60%)
  • Deaths: 302,750 (+3,058 | ΔW Change: ↑12.39% | Σ Increase: ↑1.02%)

12/12: <S>
  • Cases: 16,549,366 (+253,908 | ΔW Change: ↑20.29% | Σ Increase: ↑1.56%)
  • Deaths: 305,082 (+2,332 | ΔW Change: ↑2.51% | Σ Increase: ↑0.77%)

12/13: <Sunday>
  • Cases: 16,737,267 (+187,901 | ΔW Change: ↑6.86% | Σ Increase: ↑1.14%)
  • Deaths: 306,459 (+1,377 | ΔW Change: ↑27.38% | Σ Increase: ↑0.45%)

12/14: <M>
  • Cases: 16,942,822 (+205,555 | ΔW Change: ↓2.02% | Σ Increase: ↑1.23%)
  • Deaths: 308,089 (+1,630 | ΔW Change: ↑6.05% | Σ Increase: ↑0.53%)

12/15: <T>
  • Cases: 17,143,942 (+201,120 | ΔW Change: ↓9.68% | Σ Increase: ↑1.19%)
  • Deaths: 311,073 (+2,984 | ΔW Change: ↑0.98% | Σ Increase: ↑0.97%)

12/16: <W>
  • Cases: 17,392,618 (+248,676 | ΔW Change: ↑8.91% | Σ Increase: ↑1.45%)
  • Deaths: 314,577 (+3,504 | ΔW Change: ↑6.18% | Σ Increase: ↑1.13%)

12/17: <Þ>
  • Cases: 17,626,770 (+234,152 | ΔW Change: ↑6.75% | Σ Increase: ↑1.35%)
  • Deaths: 317,928 (+3,351 | ΔW Change: ↑11.92% | Σ Increase: ↑1.07%)

12/18 (Yesterday): <F>
  • Cases: 17,888,353 (+261,583 | ΔW Change: ↑2.15% | Σ Increase: ↑1.48%)
  • Deaths: 320,845 (+2,917 | ΔW Change: ↓4.61% | Σ Increase: ↑0.92%)

12/19 (Today): <S>
  • Cases: 18,077,768 (+189,415 | ΔW Change: ↓25.40% | Σ Increase: ↑1.06%)
  • Deaths: 323,401 (+2,556 | ΔW Change: ↑9.61% | Σ Increase: ↑0.80%)
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ilikeverin
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« Reply #2026 on: December 19, 2020, 10:52:27 PM »

I think it prolonged the spike. 2500-3500 deaths a day is pretty bad. Not sure anyone was saying it would be much worse than that.

I'm not sure. I mean, deaths are a lagging indicator, so things aren't really priced in yet there, but as far as cases go, I was expecting things to be much worse. But "prolonged the spike" is an entirely plausible and reasonable interpretation. (And it may have caused another spike in some of the states I enumerated.)
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jamestroll
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« Reply #2027 on: December 19, 2020, 11:01:24 PM »
« Edited: March 10, 2022, 07:37:31 AM by jimmie »

.
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politicallefty
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« Reply #2028 on: December 20, 2020, 12:39:57 AM »

Hopefully the next pandemic we just immediately go into a wuhan style lockdown at start of outbreak and pay people who cant work from home so we can end it very quickly.

If there's anything like this in the future, this country will almost assuredly do nothing of the sort. We can't even get everyone to put masks on, quite literally one of the easiest things for an individual to do. I'm surprised so many on the right are pushing for a new Cold War with China. We argue about keeping our government open while China has plans for the next 50-100 years. We stand no chance with our current political paradigm. That said, the Chinese government has powers no Western country would ever accept from their government. They literally used the full power of their government to quarantine all of Wuhan for months and forced people to stay home, not even to go out for so-called essentials. Also, it's been awhile now, but how can we forget that China built a 1000-bed hospital in 10 days.
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #2029 on: December 20, 2020, 02:31:36 PM »

Hopefully the next pandemic we just immediately go into a wuhan style lockdown at start of outbreak and pay people who cant work from home so we can end it very quickly.

If there's anything like this in the future, this country will almost assuredly do nothing of the sort. We can't even get everyone to put masks on, quite literally one of the easiest things for an individual to do. I'm surprised so many on the right are pushing for a new Cold War with China. We argue about keeping our government open while China has plans for the next 50-100 years. We stand no chance with our current political paradigm. That said, the Chinese government has powers no Western country would ever accept from their government. They literally used the full power of their government to quarantine all of Wuhan for months and forced people to stay home, not even to go out for so-called essentials. Also, it's been awhile now, but how can we forget that China built a 1000-bed hospital in 10 days.
The post-WW2 generations are spoiled and don’t understand that sacrifices are necessary in times of hardship. I think this most applies to Silents, Boomers and Gen Xers, but I’m sure millennials and Gen Zers are only marginally better.
Our prosperity has killed us in that we now demand life to be normal even in dire circumstances.
There is no care for this country that goes beyond waving a flag and saying Murica first! on Twitter.

We are and have been a decaying empire. Covid-19 is just a bellwether for our downfall.
China won’t last as a superpower forever either, the same arrogance which is screening us now will apply to them in 50-200 years. These are just natural cycles imo.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #2030 on: December 20, 2020, 09:26:59 PM »

The updated numbers for COVID-19 in the U.S. are in for 12/20 per: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

I'm keeping track of these updates daily and updating at the end of the day, whenever all states finish reporting for that day.

ΔW Change: Comparisons of Weekly Day-to-day Growth or Decline of COVID-19 Spread/Deaths.
  • IE: Comparing the numbers to the same day of last week, are we flattening the curve enough?

Σ Increase: A day's contribution to overall percentage growth of COVID-19 cases/deaths.
  • IE: What's the overall change in the total?

Older Numbers (Hidden in spoiler mode to make the post more compact)
Spoiler alert! Click Show to show the content.



12/13: <Sunday>
  • Cases: 16,737,267 (+187,901 | ΔW Change: ↑6.86% | Σ Increase: ↑1.14%)
  • Deaths: 306,459 (+1,377 | ΔW Change: ↑27.38% | Σ Increase: ↑0.45%)

12/14: <M>
  • Cases: 16,942,822 (+205,555 | ΔW Change: ↓2.02% | Σ Increase: ↑1.23%)
  • Deaths: 308,089 (+1,630 | ΔW Change: ↑6.05% | Σ Increase: ↑0.53%)

12/15: <T>
  • Cases: 17,143,942 (+201,120 | ΔW Change: ↓9.68% | Σ Increase: ↑1.19%)
  • Deaths: 311,073 (+2,984 | ΔW Change: ↑0.98% | Σ Increase: ↑0.97%)

12/16: <W>
  • Cases: 17,392,618 (+248,676 | ΔW Change: ↑8.91% | Σ Increase: ↑1.45%)
  • Deaths: 314,577 (+3,504 | ΔW Change: ↑6.18% | Σ Increase: ↑1.13%)

12/17: <Þ>
  • Cases: 17,626,770 (+234,152 | ΔW Change: ↑6.75% | Σ Increase: ↑1.35%)
  • Deaths: 317,928 (+3,351 | ΔW Change: ↑11.92% | Σ Increase: ↑1.07%)

12/18: <F>
  • Cases: 17,888,353 (+261,583 | ΔW Change: ↑2.15% | Σ Increase: ↑1.48%)
  • Deaths: 320,845 (+2,917 | ΔW Change: ↓4.61% | Σ Increase: ↑0.92%)

12/19 (Yesterday): <S>
  • Cases: 18,077,768 (+189,415 | ΔW Change: ↓25.40% | Σ Increase: ↑1.06%)
  • Deaths: 323,401 (+2,556 | ΔW Change: ↑9.61% | Σ Increase: ↑0.80%)

12/20 (Today): <Sunday>
  • Cases: 18,267,579 (+189,811 | ΔW Change: ↑1.02% | Σ Increase: ↑1.06%)
  • Deaths: 324,869 (+1,468 | ΔW Change: ↑6.61% | Σ Increase: ↑0.80%)
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jamestroll
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« Reply #2031 on: December 20, 2020, 10:01:17 PM »



this graph is giving me a nervous breakdown.. and in january it will be hard to control travel to and from the state due to transition of government.
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emailking
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« Reply #2032 on: December 21, 2020, 01:00:04 AM »

Seems like a big if in that caption.
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Beet
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« Reply #2033 on: December 21, 2020, 10:20:11 AM »

New ‘worrying’ Covid strain found in South Africa is ‘more severe among young adults'

https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1374779/covid-strain-latest-new-coronavirus-variant-south-africa-young-adults

501.V2 may cause more critical illness among young people with no comorbidities. I don't see any statistics yet.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #2034 on: December 21, 2020, 12:51:04 PM »

New ‘worrying’ Covid strain found in South Africa is ‘more severe among young adults'

https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1374779/covid-strain-latest-new-coronavirus-variant-south-africa-young-adults

501.V2 may cause more critical illness among young people with no comorbidities. I don't see any statistics yet.

Doubtful it causes more illness or has a higher mortality rate. This is similar to the UK version, which is just more transferable. More transmitions obviously means a higher number totals, but not more danger for each individual.

Virus mutations often make it less deadly because a host that dies right away can't transmit the virus any longer.

The good news here is that vaccine appears to be equally effective here. At least there is no indication suggesting otherwise. And even if mutations cause the original vaccine to be less effective, it just needs to be adjusted properly. That's not too hard because we don't have to start from the get go again.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #2035 on: December 21, 2020, 01:15:10 PM »

New ‘worrying’ Covid strain found in South Africa is ‘more severe among young adults'

https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1374779/covid-strain-latest-new-coronavirus-variant-south-africa-young-adults

501.V2 may cause more critical illness among young people with no comorbidities. I don't see any statistics yet.

Could you post a source thats not a British tabloid?

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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2036 on: December 21, 2020, 03:35:50 PM »


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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #2037 on: December 21, 2020, 11:10:39 PM »

The updated numbers for COVID-19 in the U.S. are in for 12/21 per: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

I'm keeping track of these updates daily and updating at the end of the day, whenever all states finish reporting for that day.

ΔW Change: Comparisons of Weekly Day-to-day Growth or Decline of COVID-19 Spread/Deaths.
  • IE: Comparing the numbers to the same day of last week, are we flattening the curve enough?

Σ Increase: A day's contribution to overall percentage growth of COVID-19 cases/deaths.
  • IE: What's the overall change in the total?

Older Numbers (Hidden in spoiler mode to make the post more compact)
Spoiler alert! Click Show to show the content.



12/13: <Sunday>
  • Cases: 16,737,267 (+187,901 | ΔW Change: ↑6.86% | Σ Increase: ↑1.14%)
  • Deaths: 306,459 (+1,377 | ΔW Change: ↑27.38% | Σ Increase: ↑0.45%)

12/14: <M>
  • Cases: 16,942,822 (+205,555 | ΔW Change: ↓2.02% | Σ Increase: ↑1.23%)
  • Deaths: 308,089 (+1,630 | ΔW Change: ↑6.05% | Σ Increase: ↑0.53%)

12/15: <T>
  • Cases: 17,143,942 (+201,120 | ΔW Change: ↓9.68% | Σ Increase: ↑1.19%)
  • Deaths: 311,073 (+2,984 | ΔW Change: ↑0.98% | Σ Increase: ↑0.97%)

12/16: <W>
  • Cases: 17,392,618 (+248,676 | ΔW Change: ↑8.91% | Σ Increase: ↑1.45%)
  • Deaths: 314,577 (+3,504 | ΔW Change: ↑6.18% | Σ Increase: ↑1.13%)

12/17: <Þ>
  • Cases: 17,626,770 (+234,152 | ΔW Change: ↑6.75% | Σ Increase: ↑1.35%)
  • Deaths: 317,928 (+3,351 | ΔW Change: ↑11.92% | Σ Increase: ↑1.07%)

12/18: <F>
  • Cases: 17,888,353 (+261,583 | ΔW Change: ↑2.15% | Σ Increase: ↑1.48%)
  • Deaths: 320,845 (+2,917 | ΔW Change: ↓4.61% | Σ Increase: ↑0.92%)

12/19: <S>
  • Cases: 18,077,768 (+189,415 | ΔW Change: ↓25.40% | Σ Increase: ↑1.06%)
  • Deaths: 323,401 (+2,556 | ΔW Change: ↑9.61% | Σ Increase: ↑0.80%)

12/20 (Yesterday): <Sunday>
  • Cases: 18,267,579 (+189,811 | ΔW Change: ↑1.02% | Σ Increase: ↑1.06%)
  • Deaths: 324,869 (+1,468 | ΔW Change: ↑6.61% | Σ Increase: ↑0.80%)

12/21 (Today): <M>
  • Cases: 18,473,716 (+206,137 | ΔW Change: ↑0.28% | Σ Increase: ↑1.13%)
  • Deaths: 326,772 (+1,903 | ΔW Change: ↑16.75% | Σ Increase: ↑0.59%)
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #2038 on: December 22, 2020, 12:38:27 AM »

New ‘worrying’ Covid strain found in South Africa is ‘more severe among young adults'

https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1374779/covid-strain-latest-new-coronavirus-variant-south-africa-young-adults

501.V2 may cause more critical illness among young people with no comorbidities. I don't see any statistics yet.
Extremely worrisome, although without any empirical data or reliable sources reporting on this it is still hard to say whether this actually is more dangerous.
Let’s hope this strain works with the current Covid-19 vaccines (or technically doesn’t work as a result of them)
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John Dule
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« Reply #2039 on: December 22, 2020, 04:29:46 AM »

I reeeeeally hope this one hasn't been done before.

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Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
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« Reply #2040 on: December 22, 2020, 09:53:11 AM »

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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #2041 on: December 22, 2020, 01:15:41 PM »


She and her descendants must never be forgiven.
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emailking
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« Reply #2042 on: December 22, 2020, 02:27:08 PM »

Her descendants should be judged on their own.
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Mr. Matt
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« Reply #2043 on: December 22, 2020, 04:09:16 PM »

Add Dr. Birx to the list of telling others to stay home while she was out traveling herself. She's now announced her retirement after the inauguration:
https://apnews.com/article/joe-biden-travel-media-coronavirus-pandemic-thanksgiving-06e2ec564caea570a9ac7e6ddd5e2f21
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Bootes Void
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« Reply #2044 on: December 22, 2020, 05:12:21 PM »


Oh no the penguins
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Blue3
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« Reply #2045 on: December 22, 2020, 06:26:56 PM »


Oh no the penguins
It's actually pretty bad, because the scientists living in Antarctica live in very tight quarters.
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Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
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« Reply #2046 on: December 22, 2020, 07:09:45 PM »


Oh no the penguins


https://youtu.be/4lHlYwNgFlY
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #2047 on: December 22, 2020, 09:27:20 PM »

The updated numbers for COVID-19 in the U.S. are in for 12/22 per: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

I'm keeping track of these updates daily and updating at the end of the day, whenever all states finish reporting for that day.

ΔW Change: Comparisons of Weekly Day-to-day Growth or Decline of COVID-19 Spread/Deaths.
  • IE: Comparing the numbers to the same day of last week, are we flattening the curve enough?

Σ Increase: A day's contribution to overall percentage growth of COVID-19 cases/deaths.
  • IE: What's the overall change in the total?

Older Numbers (Hidden in spoiler mode to make the post more compact)
Spoiler alert! Click Show to show the content.



12/13: <Sunday>
  • Cases: 16,737,267 (+187,901 | ΔW Change: ↑6.86% | Σ Increase: ↑1.14%)
  • Deaths: 306,459 (+1,377 | ΔW Change: ↑27.38% | Σ Increase: ↑0.45%)

12/14: <M>
  • Cases: 16,942,822 (+205,555 | ΔW Change: ↓2.02% | Σ Increase: ↑1.23%)
  • Deaths: 308,089 (+1,630 | ΔW Change: ↑6.05% | Σ Increase: ↑0.53%)

12/15: <T>
  • Cases: 17,143,942 (+201,120 | ΔW Change: ↓9.68% | Σ Increase: ↑1.19%)
  • Deaths: 311,073 (+2,984 | ΔW Change: ↑0.98% | Σ Increase: ↑0.97%)

12/16: <W>
  • Cases: 17,392,618 (+248,676 | ΔW Change: ↑8.91% | Σ Increase: ↑1.45%)
  • Deaths: 314,577 (+3,504 | ΔW Change: ↑6.18% | Σ Increase: ↑1.13%)

12/17: <Þ>
  • Cases: 17,626,770 (+234,152 | ΔW Change: ↑6.75% | Σ Increase: ↑1.35%)
  • Deaths: 317,928 (+3,351 | ΔW Change: ↑11.92% | Σ Increase: ↑1.07%)

12/18: <F>
  • Cases: 17,888,353 (+261,583 | ΔW Change: ↑2.15% | Σ Increase: ↑1.48%)
  • Deaths: 320,845 (+2,917 | ΔW Change: ↓4.61% | Σ Increase: ↑0.92%)

12/19: <S>
  • Cases: 18,077,768 (+189,415 | ΔW Change: ↓25.40% | Σ Increase: ↑1.06%)
  • Deaths: 323,401 (+2,556 | ΔW Change: ↑9.61% | Σ Increase: ↑0.80%)

12/20: <Sunday>
  • Cases: 18,267,579 (+189,811 | ΔW Change: ↑1.02% | Σ Increase: ↑1.06%)
  • Deaths: 324,869 (+1,468 | ΔW Change: ↑6.61% | Σ Increase: ↑0.80%)

12/21 (Yesterday): <M>
  • Cases: 18,473,716 (+206,137 | ΔW Change: ↑0.28% | Σ Increase: ↑1.13%)
  • Deaths: 326,772 (+1,903 | ΔW Change: ↑16.75% | Σ Increase: ↑0.59%)

12/22 (Today): <T>
  • Cases: 18,684,628 (+210,912 | ΔW Change: ↑4.87% | Σ Increase: ↑1.14%)
  • Deaths: 330,824 (+4,052 | ΔW Change: ↑35.79% | Σ Increase: ↑1.24%)
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Hnv1
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« Reply #2048 on: December 23, 2020, 04:04:18 AM »

Crossed the 4K benchmark. I don't think we'll see 5K per day but still very grim. Also America lost 0.1% of its population to Covid this year
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emailking
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« Reply #2049 on: December 23, 2020, 10:29:11 AM »

I think it was backlog. Worldometers says 3400.
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