COVID-19 Megathread 5: The Trumps catch COVID-19

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Latest US. vs. European case and death graphs

Today was a funny report in the US.  It appears the US reported its second lowest number of new cases since March 27th (May 11th was slightly lower), which seems especially surprising on a Tuesday.  However, there was almost no decline in week-over-week deaths today after six consecutive strong days on that metric.  Among the states with the five highest death rates, NY and MA continue strong declines while NJ, IL, an PA may have stalled somewhat.

Declines in Europe really slowed this week.  It may just be that France, Germany, and Italy now believe deaths are low enough to be at an acceptable long term level not worth continuing restrictions.  UK is still in pretty bad shape, and Spain has been reporting almost no deaths for over a week.

[gerritcole]

The nation has largely shrugged off social distancing and quarantine - I’m not sure even if the second wave hits, that ppl will follow the restrictions again in the fall

[Dr. Arch]

The updated numbers for COVID-19 in the U.S. are in for 6/9 per: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

I'm keeping track of these updates daily and updating at the end of the day, whenever all states finish reporting for that day.

Δ Change: Day-by-day Growth or Decline or COVID-19 Spread/Deaths.

• IE: Are we flattening the curve enough?

Σ Increase: A day's contribution to overall percentage growth of COVID-19 cases/deaths.

• IE: What's the overall change in the total?

<Last Numbers for 3/26-3/28 in this Post>
<Last Numbers for 3/29-4/4 in this Post>
<Last Numbers for 4/5-4/11 in this Post>
<Last Numbers for 4/12-4/18 in this Post>
<Last Numbers for 4/19-4/25 in this post>
<Last Numbers for 4/26-5/2 in this post>
<Last Numbers for 5/3-5/9 in this post>
<Last Numbers for 5/10-5/16 in this post>
<Last Numbers for 5/17-5/23 in this post>

5/24: <Sunday>

• Cases: 1,686,436 (+19,608 | Δ Change: ↓9.78% | Σ Increase: ↑1.18%)
• Deaths: 99,300 (+617 | Δ Change: ↓40.44% | Σ Increase: ↑0.63%)

5/25:

• Cases: 1,706,224 (+19,788 | Δ Change: ↑0.92% | Σ Increase: ↑1.17%)
• Deaths: 99,805 (+505 | Δ Change: ↓18.15% | Σ Increase: ↑0.51%)

5/26:

• Cases: 1,725,141 (+18,917 | Δ Change: ↓4.40% | Σ Increase: ↑1.11%)
• Deaths: 100,579 (+774 | Δ Change: ↑53.27% | Σ Increase: ↑0.78%)

5/27:

• Cases: 1,745,803 (+20,662 | Δ Change: ↑9.22% | Σ Increase: ↑1.20%)
• Deaths: 102,107 (+1,528 | Δ Change: ↑97.42% | Σ Increase: ↑1.52%)

5/28:

• Cases: 1,768,461 (+22,658 | Δ Change: ↑9.66% | Σ Increase: ↑1.30%)
• Deaths: 103,330 (+1,223 | Δ Change: ↓19.96% | Σ Increase: ↑1.20%)

5/29:

• Cases: 1,793,530 (+25,069 | Δ Change: ↑10.64% | Σ Increase: ↑1.42%)
• Deaths: 104,542 (+1,212 | Δ Change: ↓0.90% | Σ Increase: ↑1.17%)

5/30:

• Cases: 1,816,820 (+23,290 | Δ Change: ↓7.10% | Σ Increase: ↑1.30%)
• Deaths: 105,557 (+1,015 | Δ Change: ↓16.25% | Σ Increase: ↑0.97%)

5/31: <Sunday>

• Cases: 1,837,165 (+20,345 | Δ Change: ↓12.65% | Σ Increase: ↑1.12%)
• Deaths: 106,190 (+633 | Δ Change: ↓37.64% | Σ Increase: ↑0.60%)

6/1:

• Cases: 1,859,323 (+22,158 | Δ Change: ↑8.91% | Σ Increase: ↑1.21%)
• Deaths: 106,925 (+735 | Δ Change: ↑16.11% | Σ Increase: ↑0.69%)

6/2:

• Cases: 1,881,205 (+21,882 | Δ Change: ↓1.25% | Σ Increase: ↑1.18%)
• Deaths: 108,059 (+1,134 | Δ Change: ↑54.29% | Σ Increase: ↑1.06%)

6/3:

• Cases: 1,901,783 (+20,578 | Δ Change: ↓5.96% | Σ Increase: ↑1.09%)
• Deaths: 109,142 (+1,083 | Δ Change: ↓4.50% | Σ Increase: ↑1.00%)

6/4:

• Cases: 1,924,051 (+22,268 | Δ Change: ↑8.21% | Σ Increase: ↑1.17%)
• Deaths: 110,173 (+1,031 | Δ Change: ↓4.80% | Σ Increase: ↑0.94%)

6/5:

• Cases: 1,953,423 (+29,372 | Δ Change: ↑31.90% | Σ Increase: ↑1.53%)
• Deaths: 111,384 (+1,211 | Δ Change: ↑17.46% | Σ Increase: ↑1.10%)

6/6:

• Cases: 1,987,175 (+33,752 | Δ Change: ↑14.91% | Σ Increase: ↑1.73%)
• Deaths: 112,057 (+673 | Δ Change: ↓44.43% | Σ Increase: ↑0.60%)

6/7: <Sunday>

• Cases: 2,007,449 (+20,274 | Δ Change: ↓39.93% | Σ Increase: ↑1.02%)
• Deaths: 112,469 (+412 | Δ Change: ↓38.78% | Σ Increase: ↑0.37%)

6/8 (Yesterday):

• Cases: 2,026,493 (+19,044 | Δ Change: ↓6.07% | Σ Increase: ↑0.95%)
• Deaths: 113,055 (+586 | Δ Change: ↑42.23% | Σ Increase: ↑0.52%)

6/9 (Today):

• Cases: 2,045,549 (+19,056 | Δ Change: ↑0.06% | Σ Increase: ↑0.94%)
• Deaths: 114,148 (+1,093 | Δ Change: ↑86.52% | Σ Increase: ↑0.97%)

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

We had a few extreme wingnuts in the GOP and most other Americans atleast partially complying.
Now we have a large group of disaffected people feeling shunned by the elite woke mob who tells them nothing is worth besides their own issues.

It's much more likely that less time in news coverage (cable news, local news, and newspapers) means the virus is much less salient in people's minds than it is that there's some sort of backlash against woke elites.

[pbrower2a]

Partial spoof of Eleanor Rigby, referring to some of the people that I saw at a Wal*Mart today:

Must be a moron! Wearing no mask when we're having a plague!

You might just die!

Children without masks! They might get sick just by being with you!

That is no lie!

All the stupid people -- where do they all come from!
All the stupid people -- where DO  they all come from!

Oh, look at all the stupid people!
Oh, look at all the stupid people!

I noticed in a Wal*Mart today lots of people with expensive tattoos... but no masks! I am not going to judge tattoos unless they have gang or racist (White Power)  significance. I can think of other ways to spend money that I would find more satisfying. I suppose that if I had to get a tattoo it might be something like Euler's identity

 Euler's identity is often cited as an example of deep mathematical beauty.[3] Three of the basic arithmetic operations occur exactly once each: addition, multiplication, and exponentiation. The identity also links five fundamental mathematical constants:[4]

The number 0, the additive identity.
The number 1, the multiplicative identity.
The number π (π = 3.141...).
The number e (e = 2.718...), a.k.a. Euler's number, which occurs widely in mathematical analysis.
The number i, the imaginary unit of the complex numbers.
Furthermore, the equation is given in the form of an expression set equal to zero, which is common practice in several areas of mathematics.

e^πi -1 = 0

or perhaps a musical instrument. Cello, maybe?

OK, with those tastes I probably don't  fit the clientele of a tattoo parlor.

But still, consumer spending is a choice, and people with beautiful tattoos should not risk denying the view of those to those who appreciate tattoo art just because they die pointlessly young,

 

[Smeulders]

Latest US. vs. European case and death graphs

Today was a funny report in the US.  It appears the US reported its second lowest number of new cases since March 27th (May 11th was slightly lower), which seems especially surprising on a Tuesday.  However, there was almost no decline in week-over-week deaths today after six consecutive strong days on that metric.  Among the states with the five highest death rates, NY and MA continue strong declines while NJ, IL, an PA may have stalled somewhat.

Declines in Europe really slowed this week.  It may just be that France, Germany, and Italy now believe deaths are low enough to be at an acceptable long term level not worth continuing restrictions.  UK is still in pretty bad shape, and Spain has been reporting almost no deaths for over a week.

You should be taking the Spanish numbers out of your posts. They are bordering on the fraudulent at this point.

The short version is that in their daily updates, they only count people who died the previous day (so if it takes more than 24 hours to register the info, they are excluded.) At the end of each week, they re-add the dead who were registered later. The daily numbers are thus a huge undercount. (Source: https://www.ft.com/content/77eb7a13-cd26-41dd-9642-616708b436)

[Del Tachi]

https://twitter.com/jeremyphoward/status/1269995211817713666

Considering how hospital admits were down across the board due to COVID imposed rationing, we should expect an increase in admits as hospitals return to "normal" operations.  TX still has a lot of excess capacity.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Does this graph refer to ALL hospitalizations, or just covid hospitalizations?

If it's the former, that explains it.

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Latest US. vs. European case and death graphs

Today was a funny report in the US.  It appears the US reported its second lowest number of new cases since March 27th (May 11th was slightly lower), which seems especially surprising on a Tuesday.  However, there was almost no decline in week-over-week deaths today after six consecutive strong days on that metric.  Among the states with the five highest death rates, NY and MA continue strong declines while NJ, IL, an PA may have stalled somewhat.

Declines in Europe really slowed this week.  It may just be that France, Germany, and Italy now believe deaths are low enough to be at an acceptable long term level not worth continuing restrictions.  UK is still in pretty bad shape, and Spain has been reporting almost no deaths for over a week.

You should be taking the Spanish numbers out of your posts. They are bordering on the fraudulent at this point.

The short version is that in their daily updates, they only count people who died the previous day (so if it takes more than 24 hours to register the info, they are excluded.) At the end of each week, they re-add the dead who were registered later. The daily numbers are thus a huge undercount. (Source: https://www.ft.com/content/77eb7a13-cd26-41dd-9642-616708b436)

Yeah, I realize Spain changed their recording method and that is largely why the numbers are so low.
Do you know where I can find the weekly update?  It doesn’t seem like worldometers is reporting this.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/JonHuntsman/status/1270732990281203712

[Good Habit]

Yeah, I realize Spain changed their recording method and that is largely why the numbers are so low.
Do you know where I can find the weekly update?  It doesn’t seem like worldometers is reporting this.

unfortunately, likely nowhere... The "weekly update" hasn't been published for about 3 weeks now... And the healt ministries homepage still links to an overwiev page that has about 800 deaths more than their daily update, but says "last update - may 21th..." It's also stating that the deats numbers are in "revision", and that (as I read it) the historical weekly updates will be corrected - not that there will be an update every week - and no goalpost until when this revision will be completed...

[PSOL]

Another look at the jobs currently lost

This is already shaping up to be worse than the Great Depression. If action isn’t taken soon, the strings connecting this country could snap.

[Beet]

Another look at the jobs currently lost

This is already shaping up to be worse than the Great Depression. If action isn’t taken soon, the strings connecting this country could snap.

Hispanic women have been hit hardest by job losses. Maybe Joe Biden should pick a Hispanic woman as VP. The Democrats have never had a Hispanic candidate on the ticket. It would be groundbreaking.

[It’s so Joever]

Another look at the jobs currently lost

This is already shaping up to be worse than the Great Depression. If action isn’t taken soon, the strings connecting this country could snap.

Hispanic women have been hit hardest by job losses. Maybe Joe Biden should pick a Hispanic woman as VP. The Democrats have never had a Hispanic candidate on the ticket. It would be groundbreaking.

No, Democrats are going to pick a black woman and ignore Hispanic voters yet again. Sadly, a Hispanic Woman is probably the best shot for Biden.

[Badger]

Another look at the jobs currently lost

This is already shaping up to be worse than the Great Depression. If action isn’t taken soon, the strings connecting this country could snap.

Hispanic women have been hit hardest by job losses. Maybe Joe Biden should pick a Hispanic woman as VP. The Democrats have never had a Hispanic candidate on the ticket. It would be groundbreaking.

No, Democrats are going to pick a black woman and ignore Hispanic voters yet again. Sadly, a Hispanic Woman is probably the best shot for Biden.

SMC is the only vaguely viable option in that regard, and having served in the US Senate for less than two years that's sketchy.

[riceowl]

Another look at the jobs currently lost

This is already shaping up to be worse than the Great Depression. If action isn’t taken soon, the strings connecting this country could snap.

Hispanic women have been hit hardest by job losses. Maybe Joe Biden should pick a Hispanic woman as VP. The Democrats have never had a Hispanic candidate on the ticket. It would be groundbreaking.

No, Democrats are going to pick a black woman and ignore Hispanic voters yet again. Sadly, a Hispanic Woman is probably the best shot for Biden.

SMC is the only vaguely viable option in that regard, and having served in the US Senate for less than two years that's sketchy.

Who tha heck?

[gerritcole]

Another look at the jobs currently lost

This is already shaping up to be worse than the Great Depression. If action isn’t taken soon, the strings connecting this country could snap.

Hispanic women have been hit hardest by job losses. Maybe Joe Biden should pick a Hispanic woman as VP. The Democrats have never had a Hispanic candidate on the ticket. It would be groundbreaking.

No, Democrats are going to pick a black woman and ignore Hispanic voters yet again. Sadly, a Hispanic Woman is probably the best shot for Biden.

SMC is the only vaguely viable option in that regard, and having served in the US Senate for less than two years that's sketchy.

Who tha heck?

Can’t be Shelley Moore capito so probably CCM

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Susan Margaret Collins?

[Grassroots]

Arch skipped posting today? Tf?

[Dr. Arch]

Arch skipped posting today? Tf?

It slipped by for the first time in forever. Rather crazy day today! Here they are, in the nick of time.

The updated numbers for COVID-19 in the U.S. are in for 6/10 per: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

I'm keeping track of these updates daily and updating at the end of the day, whenever all states finish reporting for that day.

Δ Change: Day-by-day Growth or Decline or COVID-19 Spread/Deaths.

• IE: Are we flattening the curve enough?

Σ Increase: A day's contribution to overall percentage growth of COVID-19 cases/deaths.

• IE: What's the overall change in the total?

<Last Numbers for 3/26-3/28 in this Post>
<Last Numbers for 3/29-4/4 in this Post>
<Last Numbers for 4/5-4/11 in this Post>
<Last Numbers for 4/12-4/18 in this Post>
<Last Numbers for 4/19-4/25 in this post>
<Last Numbers for 4/26-5/2 in this post>
<Last Numbers for 5/3-5/9 in this post>
<Last Numbers for 5/10-5/16 in this post>
<Last Numbers for 5/17-5/23 in this post>
<Last Numbers for 5/24-5/30 in this post>

5/31: <Sunday>

• Cases: 1,837,165 (+20,345 | Δ Change: ↓12.65% | Σ Increase: ↑1.12%)
• Deaths: 106,190 (+633 | Δ Change: ↓37.64% | Σ Increase: ↑0.60%)

6/1:

• Cases: 1,859,323 (+22,158 | Δ Change: ↑8.91% | Σ Increase: ↑1.21%)
• Deaths: 106,925 (+735 | Δ Change: ↑16.11% | Σ Increase: ↑0.69%)

6/2:

• Cases: 1,881,205 (+21,882 | Δ Change: ↓1.25% | Σ Increase: ↑1.18%)
• Deaths: 108,059 (+1,134 | Δ Change: ↑54.29% | Σ Increase: ↑1.06%)

6/3:

• Cases: 1,901,783 (+20,578 | Δ Change: ↓5.96% | Σ Increase: ↑1.09%)
• Deaths: 109,142 (+1,083 | Δ Change: ↓4.50% | Σ Increase: ↑1.00%)

6/4:

• Cases: 1,924,051 (+22,268 | Δ Change: ↑8.21% | Σ Increase: ↑1.17%)
• Deaths: 110,173 (+1,031 | Δ Change: ↓4.80% | Σ Increase: ↑0.94%)

6/5:

• Cases: 1,953,423 (+29,372 | Δ Change: ↑31.90% | Σ Increase: ↑1.53%)
• Deaths: 111,384 (+1,211 | Δ Change: ↑17.46% | Σ Increase: ↑1.10%)

6/6:

• Cases: 1,987,175 (+33,752 | Δ Change: ↑14.91% | Σ Increase: ↑1.73%)
• Deaths: 112,057 (+673 | Δ Change: ↓44.43% | Σ Increase: ↑0.60%)

6/7: <Sunday>

• Cases: 2,007,449 (+20,274 | Δ Change: ↓39.93% | Σ Increase: ↑1.02%)
• Deaths: 112,469 (+412 | Δ Change: ↓38.78% | Σ Increase: ↑0.37%)

6/8:

• Cases: 2,026,493 (+19,044 | Δ Change: ↓6.07% | Σ Increase: ↑0.95%)
• Deaths: 113,055 (+586 | Δ Change: ↑42.23% | Σ Increase: ↑0.52%)

6/9 (Yesterday):

• Cases: 2,045,549 (+19,056 | Δ Change: ↑0.06% | Σ Increase: ↑0.94%)
• Deaths: 114,148 (+1,093 | Δ Change: ↑86.52% | Σ Increase: ↑0.97%)

6/10 (Today):

• Cases: 2,066,508 (+20,959 | Δ Change: ↑9.98% | Σ Increase: ↑1.02%)
• Deaths: 115,137 (+989 | Δ Change: ↓9.52% | Σ Increase: ↑0.87%)

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/ScottGottliebMD/status/1271053334376525825

[Badger]

Another look at the jobs currently lost

This is already shaping up to be worse than the Great Depression. If action isn’t taken soon, the strings connecting this country could snap.

Hispanic women have been hit hardest by job losses. Maybe Joe Biden should pick a Hispanic woman as VP. The Democrats have never had a Hispanic candidate on the ticket. It would be groundbreaking.

No, Democrats are going to pick a black woman and ignore Hispanic voters yet again. Sadly, a Hispanic Woman is probably the best shot for Biden.

SMC is the only vaguely viable option in that regard, and having served in the US Senate for less than two years that's sketchy.

Who tha heck?

Can’t be Shelley Moore capito so probably CCM

Yeah, typo.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/MarcACaputo/status/1271110980542640130

[NHI]

https://twitter.com/MarcACaputo/status/1271110980542640130

Oh my God.

[It’s so Joever]

Now we are having a surge of cases in a number of States, and half the country won’t even care anymore because the Democrats decided to be complete hypocrites on the idea of staying at home.
Of course, the GOP party is responsible for the poorly planned reopenings and encouraging rumors against mask wearing.