COVID-19 Megathread 6: Return of the Omicron

[HagridOfTheDeep]

Interesting how there's no commentary whatsoever about how it's significantly more challenging to lead a vaccination effort in a state of 20 million than it is in a state of less than 2 million...

[gerritcole]

Interesting how there's no commentary whatsoever about how it's significantly more challenging to lead a vaccination effort in a state of 20 million than it is in a state of less than 2 million...

Percentage of vaccine doses delivered depends on absolute population now?

[It’s so Joever]

https://twitter.com/politicalmath/status/1353821818449129473?s=20

Jim Justice is corrupt, but he's actually run one of the more competent responses of any Republican governor to the pandemic.

Indeed, he was one of the first crop of GOP governors to lockdown last spring if I remember correctly.

[Gass3268]

Legit good story:

Oregon health workers stuck in snow give other drivers vaccine

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Legit good story:

Oregon health workers stuck in snow give other drivers vaccine

Are these people going to be able to get a second dose?

[Dr. Arch]

The updated numbers for COVID-19 in the U.S. are in for 1/27 per: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

I'm keeping track of these updates daily and updating at the end of the day, whenever all states finish reporting for that day.

ΔW Change: Comparisons of Weekly Day-to-day Growth or Decline of COVID-19 Spread/Deaths.

• IE: Comparing the numbers to the same day of last week, are we flattening the curve enough?

Σ Increase: A day's contribution to overall percentage growth of COVID-19 cases/deaths.

• IE: What's the overall change in the total?

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1/17: <Sunday>

• Cases: 24,482,050 (+176,007 | ΔW Change: ↓19.04% | Σ Increase: ↑0.72%)
• Deaths: 407,202 (+1,941 | ΔW Change: ↑8.13% | Σ Increase: ↑0.48%)

1/18: <M>

• Cases: 24,626,376 (+144,326 | ΔW Change: ↓36.10% | Σ Increase: ↑0.59%)
• Deaths: 408,620 (+1,418 | ΔW Change: ↓28.17% | Σ Increase: ↑0.35%)

1/19: <T>

• Cases: 24,806,964 (+180,588 | ΔW Change: ↓19.75% | Σ Increase: ↑0.73%)
• Deaths: 411,486 (+2,866 | ΔW Change: ↓34.11% | Σ Increase: ↑0.70%)

1/20: <W>

• Cases: 24,998,975 (+192,011 | ΔW Change: ↓22.61% | Σ Increase: ↑0.77%)
• Deaths: 415,894 (+4,408 | ΔW Change: ↑1.82% | Σ Increase: ↑1.07%)

1/21: <Þ>

• Cases: 25,196,086 (+197,111 | ΔW Change: ↓15.06% | Σ Increase: ↑0.79%)
• Deaths: 420,285 (+4,391 | ΔW Change: ↑7.99% | Σ Increase: ↑1.06%)

1/22: <F>

• Cases: 25,390,042 (+193,956 | ΔW Change: ↓23.65% | Σ Increase: ↑0.77%)
• Deaths: 424,177 (+3,892 | ΔW Change: ↑0.78% | Σ Increase: ↑0.93%)

1/23: <S>

• Cases: 25,566,789 (+176,747 | ΔW Change: ↓13.20% | Σ Increase: ↑0.82%)
• Deaths: 427,635 (+3,458 | ΔW Change: ↑1.56% | Σ Increase: ↑0.82%)

1/24: <Sunday>

• Cases: 25,702,125 (+135,336 | ΔW Change: ↓23.11% | Σ Increase: ↑0.53%)
• Deaths: 429,490 (+1,855 | ΔW Change: ↓4.43% | Σ Increase: ↑0.43%)

1/25: <M>

• Cases: 25,861,597 (+159,472 | ΔW Change: ↑10.49% | Σ Increase: ↑0.62%)
• Deaths: 431,392 (+1,902 | ΔW Change: ↑34.13% | Σ Increase: ↑0.44%)

1/26 (Yesterday): <T>

• Cases: 26,011,222 (+149,625 | ΔW Change: ↓17.15% | Σ Increase: ↑0.58%)
• Deaths: 435,452 (+4,060 | ΔW Change: ↑41.66% | Σ Increase: ↑0.94%)

1/27 (Today): <W>

• Cases: 26,166,201 (+154,979 | ΔW Change: ↓19.29% | Σ Increase: ↑0.60%)
• Deaths: 439,517 (+4,065 | ΔW Change: ↓7.78% | Σ Increase: ↑0.93%)

[jimrtex]

Legit good story:

Oregon health workers stuck in snow give other drivers vaccine

There was a similar situation in Houston, where the doctor who administered the vaccine was fired and had been charged with theft.

Opened vials of the Moderna vaccine have a 6-hour shelf life. The vaccination event at a park was badly organized and the computers were not working, so attendance was weak. After it was dark, the doctor offered the vaccine to health care workers and police working security. When that failed, he started calling around to find other people, none of which he knew, including a 96-YO man and his 88-YO wife. He had administered 9 of the 10 remaining doses. When the final person did not show up, he gave the shot to his wife.

He had basically worked from 5 AM to 11 PM that day. He went to work the next day, and as required, logged the doses into the computer.

He was fired a week later, and charged a week after that.

[Torrain]

Obviously take this with a grain of salt, given that it is a single paper, rather than a review.
But I've been doing some work on my Masters thesis over the past few days, and have had to trawl through the SARS-CoV-2 literature to search for longitudinal studies on organ damage.

And I came across this "gem" from Selvaraj et al, (2021), which indicates that the virus may, similar to measles and mumps, be a source of male infertility:

Abstract
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), which resulted from the pandemic outbreak of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), causes a massive inflammatory cytokine storm leading to multi-organ damage including that of the brain and testes. While the lungs, heart, and brain are identified as the main targets of SARS-CoV-2-mediated pathogenesis, reports on its testicular infections have been a subject of debate. The brain and testes are physiologically synchronized by the action of gonadotropins and sex steroid hormones. Though the evidence for the presence of the viral particles in the testicular biopsies and semen samples from COVID-19 patients are highly limited, the occurrence of testicular pathology due to abrupt inflammatory responses and hyperthermia has incresingly been evident. The reduced level of testosterone production in COVID-19 is associated with altered secretion of gonadotropins. Moreover, hypothalamic pathology which results from SARS-CoV-2 infection of the brain is also evident in COVID-19 cases. This article revisits and supports the key reports on testicular abnormalities and pathological signatures in the hypothalamus of COVID-19 patients and emphasizes that testicular pathology resulting from inflammation and oxidative stress might lead to infertility in a significant portion of COVID-19 survivors. Further investigations are required to monitor the reproductive health parameters and HPG axis abnormalities related to secondary pathological complications in COVID-19 patients and survivors.

https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s43032-020-00441-x

Obviously we are not headed for a "Children of Men" style fertility crisis, but if this is borne out by further reproductive studies, we could face a whole different set of problems in the coming years.

[ilikeverin]

Interesting how there's no commentary whatsoever about how it's significantly more challenging to lead a vaccination effort in a state of 20 million than it is in a state of less than 2 million...

Percentage of vaccine doses delivered depends on absolute population now?

Yes, there seems to be a strong correlation there. The best states by proportion of vaccines administered and proportion of residents vaccinated, by and large, seem to be small states. There seems to be something about small states by population (and, interestingly, not by density or by area, both Alaska and Connecticut are doing great) that makes vaccine distribution easier.

[Inmate Trump]

Obviously take this with a grain of salt, given that it is a single paper, rather than a review.
But I've been doing some work on my Masters thesis over the past few days, and have had to trawl through the SARS-CoV-2 literature to search for longitudinal studies on organ damage.

And I came across this "gem" from Selvaraj et al, (2021), which indicates that the virus may, similar to measles and mumps, be a source of male infertility:

Abstract
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), which resulted from the pandemic outbreak of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), causes a massive inflammatory cytokine storm leading to multi-organ damage including that of the brain and testes. While the lungs, heart, and brain are identified as the main targets of SARS-CoV-2-mediated pathogenesis, reports on its testicular infections have been a subject of debate. The brain and testes are physiologically synchronized by the action of gonadotropins and sex steroid hormones. Though the evidence for the presence of the viral particles in the testicular biopsies and semen samples from COVID-19 patients are highly limited, the occurrence of testicular pathology due to abrupt inflammatory responses and hyperthermia has incresingly been evident. The reduced level of testosterone production in COVID-19 is associated with altered secretion of gonadotropins. Moreover, hypothalamic pathology which results from SARS-CoV-2 infection of the brain is also evident in COVID-19 cases. This article revisits and supports the key reports on testicular abnormalities and pathological signatures in the hypothalamus of COVID-19 patients and emphasizes that testicular pathology resulting from inflammation and oxidative stress might lead to infertility in a significant portion of COVID-19 survivors. Further investigations are required to monitor the reproductive health parameters and HPG axis abnormalities related to secondary pathological complications in COVID-19 patients and survivors.

https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s43032-020-00441-x

Obviously we are not headed for a "Children of Men" style fertility crisis, but if this is borne out by further reproductive studies, we could face a whole different set of problems in the coming years.

If male reproductive issues are affected, expect Republican lawmakers to start encouraging masks and distancing at a rate you would’ve thought impossible.

[KaiserDave]

https://www.nytimes.com/2021/01/28/nyregion/nursing-home-deaths-cuomo.html?referringSource=articleShare

Lock him up!

Really though, this is terrible

[Sir Mohamed]

https://www.nytimes.com/2021/01/28/nyregion/nursing-home-deaths-cuomo.html?referringSource=articleShare

Lock him up!

Really though, this is terrible

How did this dude get an emmy for his handling of COVID? Cuomo should resign as gov.

[KaiserDave]

https://www.nytimes.com/2021/01/28/nyregion/nursing-home-deaths-cuomo.html?referringSource=articleShare

Lock him up!

Really though, this is terrible

How did this dude get an emmy for his handling of COVID? Cuomo should resign as gov.

It's a disgrace. An absolute disgrace. And writing a book when the pandemic wasn't close to over?
An egomaniac of the highest degree. If he had any self awareness he'd resign.

[Roll Roons]

https://www.nytimes.com/2021/01/28/nyregion/nursing-home-deaths-cuomo.html?referringSource=articleShare

Lock him up!

Really though, this is terrible

How did this dude get an emmy for his handling of COVID? Cuomo should resign as gov.

It's a disgrace. An absolute disgrace. And writing a book when the pandemic wasn't close to over?
An egomaniac of the highest degree. If he had any self awareness he'd resign.

Wow. I think this is the kind of thing that could give the right Republican an opening.

[KaiserDave]

https://www.nytimes.com/2021/01/28/nyregion/nursing-home-deaths-cuomo.html?referringSource=articleShare

Lock him up!

Really though, this is terrible

How did this dude get an emmy for his handling of COVID? Cuomo should resign as gov.

It's a disgrace. An absolute disgrace. And writing a book when the pandemic wasn't close to over?
An egomaniac of the highest degree. If he had any self awareness he'd resign.

Wow. I think this is the kind of thing that could give the right Republican an opening.

Nope. Most people still think Cuomo is a good COVID governor and even if they didn’t he’d win.

[emailking]

I've seen a few doctors say now that the current decrease in cases is like the eye of a hurricane, and the new strains are going to generate a much larger peak in the next few months.

[It’s so Joever]

Obviously take this with a grain of salt, given that it is a single paper, rather than a review.
But I've been doing some work on my Masters thesis over the past few days, and have had to trawl through the SARS-CoV-2 literature to search for longitudinal studies on organ damage.

And I came across this "gem" from Selvaraj et al, (2021), which indicates that the virus may, similar to measles and mumps, be a source of male infertility:

Abstract
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), which resulted from the pandemic outbreak of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), causes a massive inflammatory cytokine storm leading to multi-organ damage including that of the brain and testes. While the lungs, heart, and brain are identified as the main targets of SARS-CoV-2-mediated pathogenesis, reports on its testicular infections have been a subject of debate. The brain and testes are physiologically synchronized by the action of gonadotropins and sex steroid hormones. Though the evidence for the presence of the viral particles in the testicular biopsies and semen samples from COVID-19 patients are highly limited, the occurrence of testicular pathology due to abrupt inflammatory responses and hyperthermia has incresingly been evident. The reduced level of testosterone production in COVID-19 is associated with altered secretion of gonadotropins. Moreover, hypothalamic pathology which results from SARS-CoV-2 infection of the brain is also evident in COVID-19 cases. This article revisits and supports the key reports on testicular abnormalities and pathological signatures in the hypothalamus of COVID-19 patients and emphasizes that testicular pathology resulting from inflammation and oxidative stress might lead to infertility in a significant portion of COVID-19 survivors. Further investigations are required to monitor the reproductive health parameters and HPG axis abnormalities related to secondary pathological complications in COVID-19 patients and survivors.

https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s43032-020-00441-x

Obviously we are not headed for a "Children of Men" style fertility crisis, but if this is borne out by further reproductive studies, we could face a whole different set of problems in the coming years.

If male reproductive issues are affected, expect Republican lawmakers to start encouraging masks and distancing at a rate you would’ve thought impossible.

Eh we will find a way in the future, I’m not so concerned about this.

[It’s so Joever]

I've seen a few doctors say now that the current decrease in cases is like the eye of a hurricane, and the new strains are going to generate a much larger peak in the next few months.

Why, we have vaccines going out?

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

Interesting how there's no commentary whatsoever about how it's significantly more challenging to lead a vaccination effort in a state of 20 million than it is in a state of less than 2 million...

Percentage of vaccine doses delivered depends on absolute population now?

Yes, there seems to be a strong correlation there. The best states by proportion of vaccines administered and proportion of residents vaccinated, by and large, seem to be small states. There seems to be something about small states by population (and, interestingly, not by density or by area, both Alaska and Connecticut are doing great) that makes vaccine distribution easier.

Time to break up the big states.

[It’s so Joever]

Interesting how there's no commentary whatsoever about how it's significantly more challenging to lead a vaccination effort in a state of 20 million than it is in a state of less than 2 million...

Percentage of vaccine doses delivered depends on absolute population now?

Yes, there seems to be a strong correlation there. The best states by proportion of vaccines administered and proportion of residents vaccinated, by and large, seem to be small states. There seems to be something about small states by population (and, interestingly, not by density or by area, both Alaska and Connecticut are doing great) that makes vaccine distribution easier.

Time to break up the big states.

Good idea!

[MATTROSE94]

The updated numbers for COVID-19 in the U.S. are in for 1/27 per: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

I'm keeping track of these updates daily and updating at the end of the day, whenever all states finish reporting for that day.

ΔW Change: Comparisons of Weekly Day-to-day Growth or Decline of COVID-19 Spread/Deaths.

• IE: Comparing the numbers to the same day of last week, are we flattening the curve enough?

Σ Increase: A day's contribution to overall percentage growth of COVID-19 cases/deaths.

• IE: What's the overall change in the total?

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1/17: <Sunday>

• Cases: 24,482,050 (+176,007 | ΔW Change: ↓19.04% | Σ Increase: ↑0.72%)
• Deaths: 407,202 (+1,941 | ΔW Change: ↑8.13% | Σ Increase: ↑0.48%)

1/18: <M>

• Cases: 24,626,376 (+144,326 | ΔW Change: ↓36.10% | Σ Increase: ↑0.59%)
• Deaths: 408,620 (+1,418 | ΔW Change: ↓28.17% | Σ Increase: ↑0.35%)

1/19: <T>

• Cases: 24,806,964 (+180,588 | ΔW Change: ↓19.75% | Σ Increase: ↑0.73%)
• Deaths: 411,486 (+2,866 | ΔW Change: ↓34.11% | Σ Increase: ↑0.70%)

1/20: <W>

• Cases: 24,998,975 (+192,011 | ΔW Change: ↓22.61% | Σ Increase: ↑0.77%)
• Deaths: 415,894 (+4,408 | ΔW Change: ↑1.82% | Σ Increase: ↑1.07%)

1/21: <Þ>

• Cases: 25,196,086 (+197,111 | ΔW Change: ↓15.06% | Σ Increase: ↑0.79%)
• Deaths: 420,285 (+4,391 | ΔW Change: ↑7.99% | Σ Increase: ↑1.06%)

1/22: <F>

• Cases: 25,390,042 (+193,956 | ΔW Change: ↓23.65% | Σ Increase: ↑0.77%)
• Deaths: 424,177 (+3,892 | ΔW Change: ↑0.78% | Σ Increase: ↑0.93%)

1/23: <S>

• Cases: 25,566,789 (+176,747 | ΔW Change: ↓13.20% | Σ Increase: ↑0.82%)
• Deaths: 427,635 (+3,458 | ΔW Change: ↑1.56% | Σ Increase: ↑0.82%)

1/24: <Sunday>

• Cases: 25,702,125 (+135,336 | ΔW Change: ↓23.11% | Σ Increase: ↑0.53%)
• Deaths: 429,490 (+1,855 | ΔW Change: ↓4.43% | Σ Increase: ↑0.43%)

1/25: <M>

• Cases: 25,861,597 (+159,472 | ΔW Change: ↑10.49% | Σ Increase: ↑0.62%)
• Deaths: 431,392 (+1,902 | ΔW Change: ↑34.13% | Σ Increase: ↑0.44%)

1/26 (Yesterday): <T>

• Cases: 26,011,222 (+149,625 | ΔW Change: ↓17.15% | Σ Increase: ↑0.58%)
• Deaths: 435,452 (+4,060 | ΔW Change: ↑41.66% | Σ Increase: ↑0.94%)

1/27 (Today): <W>

• Cases: 26,166,201 (+154,979 | ΔW Change: ↓19.29% | Σ Increase: ↑0.60%)
• Deaths: 439,517 (+4,065 | ΔW Change: ↓7.78% | Σ Increase: ↑0.93%)

Looks like the numbers are starting to drop. Maybe the vaccines are already having a small impact after all.

[ilikeverin]

The updated numbers for COVID-19 in the U.S. are in for 1/27 per: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

I'm keeping track of these updates daily and updating at the end of the day, whenever all states finish reporting for that day.

ΔW Change: Comparisons of Weekly Day-to-day Growth or Decline of COVID-19 Spread/Deaths.

• IE: Comparing the numbers to the same day of last week, are we flattening the curve enough?

Σ Increase: A day's contribution to overall percentage growth of COVID-19 cases/deaths.

• IE: What's the overall change in the total?

Older Numbers (Hidden in spoiler mode to make the post more compact)

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<Last Numbers for 3/26-3/28 in this Post>
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1/17: <Sunday>

• Cases: 24,482,050 (+176,007 | ΔW Change: ↓19.04% | Σ Increase: ↑0.72%)
• Deaths: 407,202 (+1,941 | ΔW Change: ↑8.13% | Σ Increase: ↑0.48%)

1/18: <M>

• Cases: 24,626,376 (+144,326 | ΔW Change: ↓36.10% | Σ Increase: ↑0.59%)
• Deaths: 408,620 (+1,418 | ΔW Change: ↓28.17% | Σ Increase: ↑0.35%)

1/19: <T>

• Cases: 24,806,964 (+180,588 | ΔW Change: ↓19.75% | Σ Increase: ↑0.73%)
• Deaths: 411,486 (+2,866 | ΔW Change: ↓34.11% | Σ Increase: ↑0.70%)

1/20: <W>

• Cases: 24,998,975 (+192,011 | ΔW Change: ↓22.61% | Σ Increase: ↑0.77%)
• Deaths: 415,894 (+4,408 | ΔW Change: ↑1.82% | Σ Increase: ↑1.07%)

1/21: <Þ>

• Cases: 25,196,086 (+197,111 | ΔW Change: ↓15.06% | Σ Increase: ↑0.79%)
• Deaths: 420,285 (+4,391 | ΔW Change: ↑7.99% | Σ Increase: ↑1.06%)

1/22: <F>

• Cases: 25,390,042 (+193,956 | ΔW Change: ↓23.65% | Σ Increase: ↑0.77%)
• Deaths: 424,177 (+3,892 | ΔW Change: ↑0.78% | Σ Increase: ↑0.93%)

1/23: <S>

• Cases: 25,566,789 (+176,747 | ΔW Change: ↓13.20% | Σ Increase: ↑0.82%)
• Deaths: 427,635 (+3,458 | ΔW Change: ↑1.56% | Σ Increase: ↑0.82%)

1/24: <Sunday>

• Cases: 25,702,125 (+135,336 | ΔW Change: ↓23.11% | Σ Increase: ↑0.53%)
• Deaths: 429,490 (+1,855 | ΔW Change: ↓4.43% | Σ Increase: ↑0.43%)

1/25: <M>

• Cases: 25,861,597 (+159,472 | ΔW Change: ↑10.49% | Σ Increase: ↑0.62%)
• Deaths: 431,392 (+1,902 | ΔW Change: ↑34.13% | Σ Increase: ↑0.44%)

1/26 (Yesterday): <T>

• Cases: 26,011,222 (+149,625 | ΔW Change: ↓17.15% | Σ Increase: ↑0.58%)
• Deaths: 435,452 (+4,060 | ΔW Change: ↑41.66% | Σ Increase: ↑0.94%)

1/27 (Today): <W>

• Cases: 26,166,201 (+154,979 | ΔW Change: ↓19.29% | Σ Increase: ↑0.60%)
• Deaths: 439,517 (+4,065 | ΔW Change: ↓7.78% | Σ Increase: ↑0.93%)

Looks like the numbers are starting to drop. Maybe the vaccines are already having a small impact after all.

There's some speculation about that, and it's not clear that that's the case... the rates are still too low (especially folks with a second dose). However, one thing the vaccines might be doing is driving people to change their behavior: if people know a vaccine is coming - like, pretty urgently, about to arrive! - they might change their behavior so they don't get sick when they know they won't have to wait forever to get away from it.

Not to mention that we're now getting further and further away from holidays that we feel required to be around others for! Although the fact there's not major holidays in January can't explain everything. Some part of it is probably some touches of herd immunity, but, again, that can't explain everything either - rates are dropping almost everywhere, regardless of previous prevalence.

[MATTROSE94]

The updated numbers for COVID-19 in the U.S. are in for 1/27 per: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

I'm keeping track of these updates daily and updating at the end of the day, whenever all states finish reporting for that day.

ΔW Change: Comparisons of Weekly Day-to-day Growth or Decline of COVID-19 Spread/Deaths.

• IE: Comparing the numbers to the same day of last week, are we flattening the curve enough?

Σ Increase: A day's contribution to overall percentage growth of COVID-19 cases/deaths.

• IE: What's the overall change in the total?

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1/17: <Sunday>

• Cases: 24,482,050 (+176,007 | ΔW Change: ↓19.04% | Σ Increase: ↑0.72%)
• Deaths: 407,202 (+1,941 | ΔW Change: ↑8.13% | Σ Increase: ↑0.48%)

1/18: <M>

• Cases: 24,626,376 (+144,326 | ΔW Change: ↓36.10% | Σ Increase: ↑0.59%)
• Deaths: 408,620 (+1,418 | ΔW Change: ↓28.17% | Σ Increase: ↑0.35%)

1/19: <T>

• Cases: 24,806,964 (+180,588 | ΔW Change: ↓19.75% | Σ Increase: ↑0.73%)
• Deaths: 411,486 (+2,866 | ΔW Change: ↓34.11% | Σ Increase: ↑0.70%)

1/20: <W>

• Cases: 24,998,975 (+192,011 | ΔW Change: ↓22.61% | Σ Increase: ↑0.77%)
• Deaths: 415,894 (+4,408 | ΔW Change: ↑1.82% | Σ Increase: ↑1.07%)

1/21: <Þ>

• Cases: 25,196,086 (+197,111 | ΔW Change: ↓15.06% | Σ Increase: ↑0.79%)
• Deaths: 420,285 (+4,391 | ΔW Change: ↑7.99% | Σ Increase: ↑1.06%)

1/22: <F>

• Cases: 25,390,042 (+193,956 | ΔW Change: ↓23.65% | Σ Increase: ↑0.77%)
• Deaths: 424,177 (+3,892 | ΔW Change: ↑0.78% | Σ Increase: ↑0.93%)

1/23: <S>

• Cases: 25,566,789 (+176,747 | ΔW Change: ↓13.20% | Σ Increase: ↑0.82%)
• Deaths: 427,635 (+3,458 | ΔW Change: ↑1.56% | Σ Increase: ↑0.82%)

1/24: <Sunday>

• Cases: 25,702,125 (+135,336 | ΔW Change: ↓23.11% | Σ Increase: ↑0.53%)
• Deaths: 429,490 (+1,855 | ΔW Change: ↓4.43% | Σ Increase: ↑0.43%)

1/25: <M>

• Cases: 25,861,597 (+159,472 | ΔW Change: ↑10.49% | Σ Increase: ↑0.62%)
• Deaths: 431,392 (+1,902 | ΔW Change: ↑34.13% | Σ Increase: ↑0.44%)

1/26 (Yesterday): <T>

• Cases: 26,011,222 (+149,625 | ΔW Change: ↓17.15% | Σ Increase: ↑0.58%)
• Deaths: 435,452 (+4,060 | ΔW Change: ↑41.66% | Σ Increase: ↑0.94%)

1/27 (Today): <W>

• Cases: 26,166,201 (+154,979 | ΔW Change: ↓19.29% | Σ Increase: ↑0.60%)
• Deaths: 439,517 (+4,065 | ΔW Change: ↓7.78% | Σ Increase: ↑0.93%)

Looks like the numbers are starting to drop. Maybe the vaccines are already having a small impact after all.

There's some speculation about that, and it's not clear that that's the case... the rates are still too low (especially folks with a second dose). However, one thing the vaccines might be doing is driving people to change their behavior: if people know a vaccine is coming - like, pretty urgently, about to arrive! - they might change their behavior so they don't get sick when they know they won't have to wait forever to get away from it.

Not to mention that we're now getting further and further away from holidays that we feel required to be around others for! Although the fact there's not major holidays in January can't explain everything. Some part of it is probably some touches of herd immunity, but, again, that can't explain everything either - rates are dropping almost everywhere, regardless of previous prevalence.

I agree. I noticed that since the end of November in my county, mask wearing rates have jumped to about 99% and a lot of he opposition to COVID mitigation efforts has diminished. There was a spike after the holidays in terms of cases, but it seems to be leveling out. On the other hand, deaths seem to be rising due to the 4-6 week lag between exposure, diagnosis, and death.

[It’s so Joever]

This virus comes in waves here, as it gets worse people tighten up and then it gets better but that makes people complacent and the cycle continues.

[Horus]

This virus comes in waves here, as it gets worse people tighten up and then it gets better but that makes people complacent and the cycle continues.

This is true but we do have a vaccine now. I think the worst may finally be behind us.