COVID-19 Megathread 6: Return of the Omicron
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  COVID-19 Megathread 6: Return of the Omicron
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Author Topic: COVID-19 Megathread 6: Return of the Omicron  (Read 539571 times)
Dr. Arch
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« Reply #2475 on: February 02, 2021, 12:32:33 AM »

The updated numbers for COVID-19 in the U.S. are in for 2/1 per: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

I'm keeping track of these updates daily and updating at the end of the day, whenever all states finish reporting for that day.

ΔW Change: Comparisons of Weekly Day-to-day Growth or Decline of COVID-19 Spread/Deaths.
  • IE: Comparing the numbers to the same day of last week, are we flattening the curve enough?

Σ Increase: A day's contribution to overall percentage growth of COVID-19 cases/deaths.
  • IE: What's the overall change in the total?

Older Numbers (Hidden in spoiler mode to make the post more compact)
Spoiler alert! Click Show to show the content.



1/24: <Sunday>
  • Cases: 25,702,125 (+135,336 | ΔW Change: ↓23.11% | Σ Increase: ↑0.53%)
  • Deaths: 429,490 (+1,855 | ΔW Change: ↓4.43% | Σ Increase: ↑0.43%)

1/25: <M>
  • Cases: 25,861,597 (+159,472 | ΔW Change: ↑10.49% | Σ Increase: ↑0.62%)
  • Deaths: 431,392 (+1,902 | ΔW Change: ↑34.13% | Σ Increase: ↑0.44%)

1/26: <T>
  • Cases: 26,011,222 (+149,625 | ΔW Change: ↓17.15% | Σ Increase: ↑0.58%)
  • Deaths: 435,452 (+4,060 | ΔW Change: ↑41.66% | Σ Increase: ↑0.94%)

1/27: <W>
  • Cases: 26,166,201 (+154,979 | ΔW Change: ↓19.29% | Σ Increase: ↑0.60%)
  • Deaths: 439,517 (+4,065 | ΔW Change: ↓7.78% | Σ Increase: ↑0.93%)

1/28: <Þ>
  • Cases: 26,338,607 (+172,406 | ΔW Change: ↓12.53% | Σ Increase: ↑0.66%)
  • Deaths: 443,769 (+4,252 | ΔW Change: ↓3.17% | Σ Increase: ↑0.97%)

1/29: <F>
  • Cases: 26,512,193 (+173,586 | ΔW Change: ↓10.50% | Σ Increase: ↑0.66%)
  • Deaths: 447,459 (+3,690 | ΔW Change: ↓5.19% | Σ Increase: ↑0.83%)

1/30: <S>
  • Cases: 26,665,740 (+153,547 | ΔW Change: ↓13.13% | Σ Increase: ↑0.58%)
  • Deaths: 450,381 (+2,922 | ΔW Change: ↓15.50% | Σ Increase: ↑0.65%)

1/31 (Yesterday): <Sunday>
  • Cases: 26,767,229 (+101,489 | ΔW Change: ↓25.01% | Σ Increase: ↑0.38%)
  • Deaths: 452,279 (+1,898 | ΔW Change: ↑2.32% | Σ Increase: ↑0.42%)

2/1 (Today): <M>
  • Cases: 26,911,375 (+144,146 | ΔW Change: ↓9.61% | Σ Increase: ↑0.54%)
  • Deaths: 454,213 (+1,934 | ΔW Change: ↑1.68% | Σ Increase: ↑0.43%)
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Meclazine for Israel
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« Reply #2476 on: February 02, 2021, 06:26:59 AM »

Our capital city went into lockdown 2 days ago after one diagnosed case of community transmission, the first case in 10 months.

https://youtu.be/ZnV6PJCxnBg

Zero cases detected for the last 2 days. 2 Million people in lockdown.

I am 2,000km away so hopefully when I fly back to Perth, the lockdown is over.
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emailking
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« Reply #2477 on: February 02, 2021, 08:29:54 AM »

Russia's Sputnik V vaccine is 91.6% effective against symptomatic Covid-19, interim trial results suggest

Quote
After criticism last year for an early rollout, Russia's Sputnik V vaccine is 91.6% effective against symptomatic Covid-19 and 100% effective against severe and moderate disease, according to an interim analysis of the vaccine's Phase 3 trial results.

The preliminary findings were published in The Lancet on Tuesday and are based on data gathered from 19,866 participants, of which around three-quarters (14,964) received two doses of the vaccine and a quarter (4,902) were given a placebo.

Sixteen cases of symptomatic Covid-19 were confirmed in the vaccine group 21 days after participants received the first vaccine dose. Sixty two cases were found in the placebo group -- equating to an efficacy of 91.6%.

https://www.cnn.com/2021/02/02/health/russia-sputnik-v-phase-3-intl/index.html
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lfromnj
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« Reply #2478 on: February 02, 2021, 11:02:03 AM »

https://www.cnn.com/2021/01/31/us/chick-fil-a-drive-thru-covid-vaccine-trnd/index.html
Quote
(CNN)When a South Carolina drive-thru coronavirus vaccine clinic got backed up, leaving people waiting for hours, the town mayor decided to call in a professional for help: a Chick-fil-A manager.

Local hospitals in Mount Pleasant opened the clinic on January 22 for residents eligible to receive the first shots of Covid-19 vaccine. But shortly after the drive-thru opened, the computer system handling registrations went down, causing hundreds of people to wait in heavy traffic.
LOL
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GP270watch
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« Reply #2479 on: February 02, 2021, 01:45:00 PM »

Oklahoma trying to return its $2m stockpile of hydroxychloroquine
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2480 on: February 02, 2021, 04:34:16 PM »



(Toomey is absent today)
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2481 on: February 02, 2021, 07:28:02 PM »

Previous Question is ordered on rules for debate for the House Budget Resolution on a party line vote of 219-207.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #2482 on: February 02, 2021, 07:55:07 PM »


Oklahoma is a microcosm of the modern Republican Party.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2483 on: February 02, 2021, 08:08:14 PM »

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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #2484 on: February 02, 2021, 08:58:40 PM »

The updated numbers for COVID-19 in the U.S. are in for 2/2 per: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

I'm keeping track of these updates daily and updating at the end of the day, whenever all states finish reporting for that day.

ΔW Change: Comparisons of Weekly Day-to-day Growth or Decline of COVID-19 Spread/Deaths.
  • IE: Comparing the numbers to the same day of last week, are we flattening the curve enough?

Σ Increase: A day's contribution to overall percentage growth of COVID-19 cases/deaths.
  • IE: What's the overall change in the total?

Older Numbers (Hidden in spoiler mode to make the post more compact)
Spoiler alert! Click Show to show the content.



1/24: <Sunday>
  • Cases: 25,702,125 (+135,336 | ΔW Change: ↓23.11% | Σ Increase: ↑0.53%)
  • Deaths: 429,490 (+1,855 | ΔW Change: ↓4.43% | Σ Increase: ↑0.43%)

1/25: <M>
  • Cases: 25,861,597 (+159,472 | ΔW Change: ↑10.49% | Σ Increase: ↑0.62%)
  • Deaths: 431,392 (+1,902 | ΔW Change: ↑34.13% | Σ Increase: ↑0.44%)

1/26: <T>
  • Cases: 26,011,222 (+149,625 | ΔW Change: ↓17.15% | Σ Increase: ↑0.58%)
  • Deaths: 435,452 (+4,060 | ΔW Change: ↑41.66% | Σ Increase: ↑0.94%)

1/27: <W>
  • Cases: 26,166,201 (+154,979 | ΔW Change: ↓19.29% | Σ Increase: ↑0.60%)
  • Deaths: 439,517 (+4,065 | ΔW Change: ↓7.78% | Σ Increase: ↑0.93%)

1/28: <Þ>
  • Cases: 26,338,607 (+172,406 | ΔW Change: ↓12.53% | Σ Increase: ↑0.66%)
  • Deaths: 443,769 (+4,252 | ΔW Change: ↓3.17% | Σ Increase: ↑0.97%)

1/29: <F>
  • Cases: 26,512,193 (+173,586 | ΔW Change: ↓10.50% | Σ Increase: ↑0.66%)
  • Deaths: 447,459 (+3,690 | ΔW Change: ↓5.19% | Σ Increase: ↑0.83%)

1/30: <S>
  • Cases: 26,665,740 (+153,547 | ΔW Change: ↓13.13% | Σ Increase: ↑0.58%)
  • Deaths: 450,381 (+2,922 | ΔW Change: ↓15.50% | Σ Increase: ↑0.65%)

1/31: <Sunday>
  • Cases: 26,767,229 (+101,489 | ΔW Change: ↓25.01% | Σ Increase: ↑0.38%)
  • Deaths: 452,279 (+1,898 | ΔW Change: ↑2.32% | Σ Increase: ↑0.42%)

2/1 (Yesterday): <M>
  • Cases: 26,911,375 (+144,146 | ΔW Change: ↓9.61% | Σ Increase: ↑0.54%)
  • Deaths: 454,213 (+1,934 | ΔW Change: ↑1.68% | Σ Increase: ↑0.43%)

2/2 (Today): <T>
  • Cases: 27,027,347 (+115,972 | ΔW Change: ↓22.49% | Σ Increase: ↑0.43%)
  • Deaths: 457,856 (+3,643 | ΔW Change: ↓10.27% | Σ Increase: ↑0.80%)
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emailking
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« Reply #2485 on: February 03, 2021, 02:31:37 AM »

Dr. Céline Gounder who is on Biden's task force, said on Brian Williams's show tonight that this is the scaredest she has been since the start of the pandemic, due to the mutant strains. Fauci also said today that the variants could cause another spike but did not have the dire tone that I've heard from several of the experts now.
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« Reply #2486 on: February 03, 2021, 12:52:10 PM »

Jared Polis decided to push teachers ahead of all other essential workers and high risk people.
This is clearly a political move and I highly suspect he was paid off by the unions.

Of course, I doubt any NIMBY liberal actually would care about the thousands of minority/low-income grocery/factory workers in much higher risk conditions than these pathetic teachers who cry foul every time something goes slightly wrong and who literally push all the desks far away from them into the back and build “barricades” to prevent exposure. (True story in one of my classes, I guess us stupid students don’t matter but the person who already is well protected and putting the rest of us at higher risk for her own gain does)
I am so glad I voted against school district tax increases out of Covid principle and I will do so until some things change with leadership.

Or, maybe teachers have legitimate concerns about how unprepared districts are to put in rules that will actually effectively protect them and students, and our job should be considered "high risk" in a pandemic?

Maybe it's different in Colorado, but here in Washington, there's a push to re-open schools without getting teachers vaccinated, and we have every right to cry foul, given that pretty much every educational policy decision made during the pandemic has been extremely vague and nebulous, and working out the details has fallen entirely on teachers, and there's no doubt that safety measures would also be something we'd have to figure out ourselves. People also make the mistake of assuming that a remote model which works in a small, rural school district will be just as effective in a large urban district with many different kinds of schools. I have enormous respect for healthcare workers and other workers who have had to remain in person, and I know that the risk is real for them, but there needs to be a better understanding of how the situation is different, and places like hospitals have many systems in place to try and prevent viral contamination, whereas schools are like petri dishes, and re-opening them quickly without vaccinating teachers and giving families who don't feel safe going back to school in the spring the option of continuing remote instruction is asking for more outbreaks.
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #2487 on: February 03, 2021, 01:10:24 PM »
« Edited: February 03, 2021, 01:20:04 PM by Forumlurker161 »

Jared Polis decided to push teachers ahead of all other essential workers and high risk people.
This is clearly a political move and I highly suspect he was paid off by the unions.

Of course, I doubt any NIMBY liberal actually would care about the thousands of minority/low-income grocery/factory workers in much higher risk conditions than these pathetic teachers who cry foul every time something goes slightly wrong and who literally push all the desks far away from them into the back and build “barricades” to prevent exposure. (True story in one of my classes, I guess us stupid students don’t matter but the person who already is well protected and putting the rest of us at higher risk for her own gain does)
I am so glad I voted against school district tax increases out of Covid principle and I will do so until some things change with leadership.

Or, maybe teachers have legitimate concerns about how unprepared districts are to put in rules that will actually effectively protect them and students, and our job should be considered "high risk" in a pandemic?

Maybe it's different in Colorado, but here in Washington, there's a push to re-open schools without getting teachers vaccinated, and we have every right to cry foul, given that pretty much every educational policy decision made during the pandemic has been extremely vague and nebulous, and working out the details has fallen entirely on teachers, and there's no doubt that safety measures would also be something we'd have to figure out ourselves. People also make the mistake of assuming that a remote model which works in a small, rural school district will be just as effective in a large urban district with many different kinds of schools. I have enormous respect for healthcare workers and other workers who have had to remain in person, and I know that the risk is real for them, but there needs to be a better understanding of how the situation is different, and places like hospitals have many systems in place to try and prevent viral contamination, whereas schools are like petri dishes, and re-opening them quickly without vaccinating teachers and giving families who don't feel safe going back to school in the spring the option of continuing remote instruction is asking for more outbreaks.
Except where I am, the schools are already half open. (Which they should be)
And the idea is that once the teachers are vaccinated, all students will go back in and most restrictions will be removed as the teachers will be fine. Screw the students, screw the community.
 That is what our local union decided was a good deal, and any Union which makes deals like that honestly should be prioritized last for vaccines.
They screwed us students and our community for their gain.
We actually agree, now get the corrupt union and Jared Polis to agree.
If the push to vaccinate teachers didn’t come with decreased safety measures, I would be fine. But the explicit goal of our district is to shove 4K kids into a crowded building once the teachers union doesn’t care (because the kids can die as long as the teachers are okay)


Maybe if the teachers who were in my life actually had a backbone, I would think differently, but our union has acted like I expected, in their own self interest.
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #2488 on: February 03, 2021, 01:22:11 PM »

We are infinitely better off than at the start of the pandemic, and these vaccines still are somewhat effective. Let’s focus on injecting as many people as possible while encouraging responsible choices (and preferably keeping certain scum quiet)
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Inmate Trump
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« Reply #2489 on: February 03, 2021, 03:03:19 PM »

We are infinitely better off than at the start of the pandemic, and these vaccines still are somewhat effective. Let’s focus on injecting as many people as possible while encouraging responsible choices (and preferably keeping certain scum quiet)


The second doses of Moderna and Pfizer are 95% effective...but I wonder what percentage effective they are against the new strains. All I keep hearing is simply that they aren’t as effective.  I’ve even read that the new strains may not be bothered by antibodies at all, so the vaccines may be pointless if that’s the case.

(I’m very pro-vaccine...I get my second shot tomorrow...but I’m very concerned about the mutations and also concerned that the vaccines may not do any good against them.)
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« Reply #2490 on: February 03, 2021, 03:20:38 PM »

Jared Polis decided to push teachers ahead of all other essential workers and high risk people.
This is clearly a political move and I highly suspect he was paid off by the unions.

Of course, I doubt any NIMBY liberal actually would care about the thousands of minority/low-income grocery/factory workers in much higher risk conditions than these pathetic teachers who cry foul every time something goes slightly wrong and who literally push all the desks far away from them into the back and build “barricades” to prevent exposure. (True story in one of my classes, I guess us stupid students don’t matter but the person who already is well protected and putting the rest of us at higher risk for her own gain does)
I am so glad I voted against school district tax increases out of Covid principle and I will do so until some things change with leadership.

Or, maybe teachers have legitimate concerns about how unprepared districts are to put in rules that will actually effectively protect them and students, and our job should be considered "high risk" in a pandemic?

Maybe it's different in Colorado, but here in Washington, there's a push to re-open schools without getting teachers vaccinated, and we have every right to cry foul, given that pretty much every educational policy decision made during the pandemic has been extremely vague and nebulous, and working out the details has fallen entirely on teachers, and there's no doubt that safety measures would also be something we'd have to figure out ourselves. People also make the mistake of assuming that a remote model which works in a small, rural school district will be just as effective in a large urban district with many different kinds of schools. I have enormous respect for healthcare workers and other workers who have had to remain in person, and I know that the risk is real for them, but there needs to be a better understanding of how the situation is different, and places like hospitals have many systems in place to try and prevent viral contamination, whereas schools are like petri dishes, and re-opening them quickly without vaccinating teachers and giving families who don't feel safe going back to school in the spring the option of continuing remote instruction is asking for more outbreaks.
Except where I am, the schools are already half open. (Which they should be)
And the idea is that once the teachers are vaccinated, all students will go back in and most restrictions will be removed as the teachers will be fine. Screw the students, screw the community.
 That is what our local union decided was a good deal, and any Union which makes deals like that honestly should be prioritized last for vaccines.
They screwed us students and our community for their gain.
We actually agree, now get the corrupt union and Jared Polis to agree.
If the push to vaccinate teachers didn’t come with decreased safety measures, I would be fine. But the explicit goal of our district is to shove 4K kids into a crowded building once the teachers union doesn’t care (because the kids can die as long as the teachers are okay)


Maybe if the teachers who were in my life actually had a backbone, I would think differently, but our union has acted like I expected, in their own self interest.

If they are honestly talking about doing away with any safety measures, then I agree that is extremely irresponsible, and students should be given the option of continuing to take classes remotely or partially remotely, if they don't feel safe coming back completely in person. Teachers should get the option of getting vaccinated before being required to teach in-person again, though.
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« Reply #2491 on: February 03, 2021, 04:40:55 PM »

We are infinitely better off than at the start of the pandemic, and these vaccines still are somewhat effective. Let’s focus on injecting as many people as possible while encouraging responsible choices (and preferably keeping certain scum quiet)


The second doses of Moderna and Pfizer are 95% effective...but I wonder what percentage effective they are against the new strains. All I keep hearing is simply that they aren’t as effective.  I’ve even read that the new strains may not be bothered by antibodies at all, so the vaccines may be pointless if that’s the case.

(I’m very pro-vaccine...I get my second shot tomorrow...but I’m very concerned about the mutations and also concerned that the vaccines may not do any good against them.)
First of all, lucky you, I want a vaccine badly Tongue.
Secondly, I will explain tonight what I have read/heard and why these mutations are bad but don’t mean vaccines are useless. (After school lmao)
I understand your concerns about the virus, but the things I have read (I’m a non-expert obviously) suggest that it isn’t so black and white.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2492 on: February 03, 2021, 06:02:30 PM »

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Inmate Trump
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« Reply #2493 on: February 03, 2021, 06:05:27 PM »

We are infinitely better off than at the start of the pandemic, and these vaccines still are somewhat effective. Let’s focus on injecting as many people as possible while encouraging responsible choices (and preferably keeping certain scum quiet)


The second doses of Moderna and Pfizer are 95% effective...but I wonder what percentage effective they are against the new strains. All I keep hearing is simply that they aren’t as effective.  I’ve even read that the new strains may not be bothered by antibodies at all, so the vaccines may be pointless if that’s the case.

(I’m very pro-vaccine...I get my second shot tomorrow...but I’m very concerned about the mutations and also concerned that the vaccines may not do any good against them.)
First of all, lucky you, I want a vaccine badly Tongue.
Secondly, I will explain tonight what I have read/heard and why these mutations are bad but don’t mean vaccines are useless. (After school lmao)
I understand your concerns about the virus, but the things I have read (I’m a non-expert obviously) suggest that it isn’t so black and white.


I look forward to your response Smiley

And I feel incredibly guilty that I'm getting the vaccine before everyone else.  I'm not in an at risk group (however I do work in a fairly closed-in space with about 10 other people every day) but my job puts me in the first phase in my state, and I felt I had to jump at the chance when they took sign-ups for it at my work.

I just hope and pray everyday that more people can be vaccinated soon.  The entire vaccine rollout has been a mess, thanks in large part (or completely?) to the lack of leadership of the Trump administration.  Things seem to be going better in that regard lately, but only time (and vaccinations) will tell.  Hopefully you can get yours soon!
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #2494 on: February 03, 2021, 08:31:22 PM »

We are infinitely better off than at the start of the pandemic, and these vaccines still are somewhat effective. Let’s focus on injecting as many people as possible while encouraging responsible choices (and preferably keeping certain scum quiet)


The second doses of Moderna and Pfizer are 95% effective...but I wonder what percentage effective they are against the new strains. All I keep hearing is simply that they aren’t as effective.  I’ve even read that the new strains may not be bothered by antibodies at all, so the vaccines may be pointless if that’s the case.

(I’m very pro-vaccine...I get my second shot tomorrow...but I’m very concerned about the mutations and also concerned that the vaccines may not do any good against them.)
First of all, lucky you, I want a vaccine badly Tongue.
Secondly, I will explain tonight what I have read/heard and why these mutations are bad but don’t mean vaccines are useless. (After school lmao)
I understand your concerns about the virus, but the things I have read (I’m a non-expert obviously) suggest that it isn’t so black and white.


I look forward to your response Smiley

And I feel incredibly guilty that I'm getting the vaccine before everyone else.  I'm not in an at risk group (however I do work in a fairly closed-in space with about 10 other people every day) but my job puts me in the first phase in my state, and I felt I had to jump at the chance when they took sign-ups for it at my work.

I just hope and pray everyday that more people can be vaccinated soon.  The entire vaccine rollout has been a mess, thanks in large part (or completely?) to the lack of leadership of the Trump administration.  Things seem to be going better in that regard lately, but only time (and vaccinations) will tell.  Hopefully you can get yours soon!

(If any of this is incorrect, Atlas medical experts Aka PQG, please call me out on it, I don’t want to spread false information ever)

Alright, the deal with the vaccines is that yes, the South African and new English variant are concerning, and they do reduce the effectiveness of the vaccines, but it isn’t black and white because of the nuances of immunity.
Firstly, antibodies aren’t the only mode of defense, they are an easy one to measure, but B cells (memory cells) also are important. That’s why a vaccine is more than just an injection of monoclonal antibodies, if injecting some antibodies alone into people granted lasting immunity...we would have been out of this in April last year.

Secondly, antibody concentration (levels) matter a lot.
The fact is, a mild case of Covid creates a smaller response than a severe case. That makes sense, the more severe case obviously had a lasting impact. That’s why those who had severe cases are far less likely to be infected again than those who had a mild one. Now the vaccines we have so far, Pfizer and Moderna, both produce an extremely robust response and create shockingly high levels of antibody. That is partially why it may have hurt like **** for some people, because their body responded as expected. Now what this also means is that higher concentrations of antibodies will be more likely to work against mutations. The antibodies themselves are less effective, but the high levels still help.

Now as for the South African mutation, the biggest problem they are worried about at Pfizer is likely that immunity will last for a significantly shorter time. Antibody levels and memory does decrease over time after all, and when a high threshold is needed because of mutations making things less effective, that can make it so that 100% immunity may not last for six months (making it up, don’t take this number seriously) but may be more like three months.

We are likely going to see lower “full” immunity time (although we will have boosters by then) and potentially some weaker immunity in the elderly because their response is weaker typically.

Now the good news is that memory cells last far longer, and they can produce antibodies when needed, which means your body wouldn’t have to go through the game of “throw everything we can at the scary spike ball REEEEE!” Likely this means your symptoms (if you have any) will be significantly more mild and damage caused by a severe inflammatory response would be unlikely.

So already, we likely will see a period (albeit shorter) of near perfect immunity, and even afterwards a gradually diminishing (emphasis on the word gradually) “half” immunity which still protects the body from severe disease which is the big concern.

Finally, we can make new vaccines much quicker now. I don’t think people understand just how big a f**king deal (to quote Joe) mRNA vaccines are. These vaccines can be created significantly quicker than conventional vaccines because they are completely different mechanisms, and we likely can produce new vaccines in a matter of a couple months (maybe a bit more depending on trial time, but it will be quick) I honestly think mRNA vaccines will be the next big thing if these work as shown. Maybe even flu vaccines will be mRNA and better for it.

We aren’t in the clear yet, I’m no optimist for...anything lol. But we still have some pretty good vaccines. Last summer, we were arguing whether we would even get a 50-70% effective vaccine. The Pfizer and Moderna both are over 90% effective for regular Covid and still likely around 50-70% for the South African mutation (I don’t remember if they have found an actual result yet, I’m guessing no since it’s early) We have some pretty good vaccines, even with these mutations they prevent the parts about Covid that makes Covid...Covid, we can reduce case rates rapidly and prevent more mutations with a vaccine push, and we can make new microchip injectors Wink at a much quicker pace than ever before. This is not humanity’s downfall, we will prevail!

And don’t feel bad about getting the vaccine. By getting it you are preventing mutations. Plus you aren’t in Colorado so it wouldn’t have ever gone to me anyways so I am glad you got it even with selfish interests in mind lmao.

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GP270watch
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« Reply #2495 on: February 03, 2021, 10:30:12 PM »

The Mystery Of India's Plummeting COVID-19 Cases
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #2496 on: February 04, 2021, 02:04:41 AM »

The updated numbers for COVID-19 in the U.S. are in for 2/3 per: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

I'm keeping track of these updates daily and updating at the end of the day, whenever all states finish reporting for that day.

ΔW Change: Comparisons of Weekly Day-to-day Growth or Decline of COVID-19 Spread/Deaths.
  • IE: Comparing the numbers to the same day of last week, are we flattening the curve enough?

Σ Increase: A day's contribution to overall percentage growth of COVID-19 cases/deaths.
  • IE: What's the overall change in the total?

Older Numbers (Hidden in spoiler mode to make the post more compact)
Spoiler alert! Click Show to show the content.



1/24: <Sunday>
  • Cases: 25,702,125 (+135,336 | ΔW Change: ↓23.11% | Σ Increase: ↑0.53%)
  • Deaths: 429,490 (+1,855 | ΔW Change: ↓4.43% | Σ Increase: ↑0.43%)

1/25: <M>
  • Cases: 25,861,597 (+159,472 | ΔW Change: ↑10.49% | Σ Increase: ↑0.62%)
  • Deaths: 431,392 (+1,902 | ΔW Change: ↑34.13% | Σ Increase: ↑0.44%)

1/26: <T>
  • Cases: 26,011,222 (+149,625 | ΔW Change: ↓17.15% | Σ Increase: ↑0.58%)
  • Deaths: 435,452 (+4,060 | ΔW Change: ↑41.66% | Σ Increase: ↑0.94%)

1/27: <W>
  • Cases: 26,166,201 (+154,979 | ΔW Change: ↓19.29% | Σ Increase: ↑0.60%)
  • Deaths: 439,517 (+4,065 | ΔW Change: ↓7.78% | Σ Increase: ↑0.93%)

1/28: <Þ>
  • Cases: 26,338,607 (+172,406 | ΔW Change: ↓12.53% | Σ Increase: ↑0.66%)
  • Deaths: 443,769 (+4,252 | ΔW Change: ↓3.17% | Σ Increase: ↑0.97%)

1/29: <F>
  • Cases: 26,512,193 (+173,586 | ΔW Change: ↓10.50% | Σ Increase: ↑0.66%)
  • Deaths: 447,459 (+3,690 | ΔW Change: ↓5.19% | Σ Increase: ↑0.83%)

1/30: <S>
  • Cases: 26,665,740 (+153,547 | ΔW Change: ↓13.13% | Σ Increase: ↑0.58%)
  • Deaths: 450,381 (+2,922 | ΔW Change: ↓15.50% | Σ Increase: ↑0.65%)

1/31: <Sunday>
  • Cases: 26,767,229 (+101,489 | ΔW Change: ↓25.01% | Σ Increase: ↑0.38%)
  • Deaths: 452,279 (+1,898 | ΔW Change: ↑2.32% | Σ Increase: ↑0.42%)

2/1: <M>
  • Cases: 26,911,375 (+144,146 | ΔW Change: ↓9.61% | Σ Increase: ↑0.54%)
  • Deaths: 454,213 (+1,934 | ΔW Change: ↑1.68% | Σ Increase: ↑0.43%)

2/2 (Yesterday): <T>
  • Cases: 27,027,347 (+115,972 | ΔW Change: ↓22.49% | Σ Increase: ↑0.43%)
  • Deaths: 457,856 (+3,643 | ΔW Change: ↓10.27% | Σ Increase: ↑0.80%)

2/3 (Today): <W>
  • Cases: 27,150,457 (+123,110 | ΔW Change: ↓20.56% | Σ Increase: ↑0.46%)
  • Deaths: 461,930 (+4,074 | ΔW Change: ↑0.22% | Σ Increase: ↑0.77%)
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #2497 on: February 04, 2021, 02:06:37 AM »

Even as the number of new cases has been on a steady and sometimes sharp decline over the last couple of weeks, the mortality number has been surprisingly stubborn in declining consistently; even if it is a lagging indicator, it seems to be breaking off from previous trends and remaining at or around its peak numbers.

Does anyone knows what's going on? Are cases being under reported? Are new strains of COVID more deadly?
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #2498 on: February 04, 2021, 08:25:04 AM »

Even as the number of new cases has been on a steady and sometimes sharp decline over the last couple of weeks, the mortality number has been surprisingly stubborn in declining consistently; even if it is a lagging indicator, it seems to be breaking off from previous trends and remaining at or around its peak numbers.

Does anyone knows what's going on? Are cases being under reported? Are new strains of COVID more deadly?
Deaths usually lag about 3-6 weeks behind initial diagnosis with COVID.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #2499 on: February 04, 2021, 09:14:07 AM »

Even as the number of new cases has been on a steady and sometimes sharp decline over the last couple of weeks, the mortality number has been surprisingly stubborn in declining consistently; even if it is a lagging indicator, it seems to be breaking off from previous trends and remaining at or around its peak numbers.

Does anyone knows what's going on? Are cases being under reported? Are new strains of COVID more deadly?
Deaths usually lag about 3-6 weeks behind initial diagnosis with COVID.

I already recognize this in my post. The case rate has been dropping considerably for three weeks already.
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