COVID-19 Megathread 6: Return of the Omicron
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 28, 2024, 02:40:18 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  General Politics
  U.S. General Discussion (Moderators: The Dowager Mod, Chancellor Tanterterg)
  COVID-19 Megathread 6: Return of the Omicron
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 86 87 88 89 90 [91] 92 93 94 95 96 ... 456
Poll
Question: ?
#1
Yes
 
#2
No
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 115

Author Topic: COVID-19 Megathread 6: Return of the Omicron  (Read 535085 times)
GeorgiaModerate
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,697


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2250 on: January 15, 2021, 09:31:15 AM »



Proving once again that they are not merely incompetent, but downright evil.
Logged
Fmr. Gov. NickG
NickG
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -3.49

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2251 on: January 15, 2021, 03:43:09 PM »

According to the OurWorldInData vaccine tracker (https://ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations), today is the first day in which the US recorded vaccinating over 1 million people. (I'm not sure what the lag in this data is.)

And we are now at a 7-day average of almost 800k doses, compared with just 400k a week ago.  It does seem like we are getting to where we need to be here.
Logged
jimrtex
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,817
Marshall Islands


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2252 on: January 15, 2021, 09:29:36 PM »

According to the OurWorldInData vaccine tracker (https://ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations), today is the first day in which the US recorded vaccinating over 1 million people. (I'm not sure what the lag in this data is.)

And we are now at a 7-day average of almost 800k doses, compared with just 400k a week ago.  It does seem like we are getting to where we need to be here.
This is likely source for US injections.

https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#vaccinations

The notes say that those performing the injections have 72 hours to report injections to state and local officials, and there may be further delays between that receipt and passing it along to the CDC.

If I were someone performing injections, I would be wanting to report daily after the close of business. It seems unduly difficult to be reporting on Thursday what you did on Monday. On the other hand, I can see the person making the report on the next day. If the clinic, etc. closes at 4 PM or 5 PM, etc. are they really going to have someone entering the records overnight? They will be doing it the next AM.

The CDC data is as of 6 AM. So the CDC data for 1 million+ doses is from reports made between 6 AM Thursday and 6 AM Friday. The CDC is not issuing their updates until late in the afternoon.

I doubt that many states reported at 5 AM on Friday, more likely at 4 PM or 5 PM on Thursday (local time). This would give them as much time to input data from clinics.

There was an inflection last Tuesday (see ourworldindata chart, zap out Israel, UAE, etc. to expand vertical scale).

If we assume that was for Sunday injections reported on Monday to state authorities and forwarded to CDC late on Monday, then there is a two-day lag, in part because the CDC report is so early in the morning (originally the CDC report was based on 9 AM and they probably became annoyed at east coast states dumping data on them just before the deadline).

So this means that 1 million plus happened on Wednesday. It might not be possible to confirm this since the CDC is only reporting MTWTF (originally it was MWF) and this is the first week that they have done 5-per-week.

The next report on Monday would be for Thursday-Friday-Saturday injections. Saturday will be less than Thursday-Friday, but greater than Sunday. So the Monday report may be just shy of three million.

The CDC has just begin differentiating between
(1) Doses injected.
(2) Persons injected with 1 or more doses.
(3) Persons injected with 2 doses.

About 1/4 of the Wednesday(?) doses were second doses, with the total up to 1.6M. Those who have had only one dose is 9.0 million.

Type of does is 58% Pfizer-42% Moderna. Moderna should lag a bit because they were approved later, and the period between the two doses is 28 for Moderna vs. 21 Pfizer.

I suspect that at least initially, most second doses will happen precisely 3 weeks after the first. If you have done one, you are not going to be waiting around 5 weeks before making an appointment, and you may be getting the call back.
Logged
Dr. Arch
Arch
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,451
Puerto Rico


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2253 on: January 16, 2021, 12:49:47 AM »

The updated numbers for COVID-19 in the U.S. are in for 1/15 per: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

I'm keeping track of these updates daily and updating at the end of the day, whenever all states finish reporting for that day.

ΔW Change: Comparisons of Weekly Day-to-day Growth or Decline of COVID-19 Spread/Deaths.
  • IE: Comparing the numbers to the same day of last week, are we flattening the curve enough?

Σ Increase: A day's contribution to overall percentage growth of COVID-19 cases/deaths.
  • IE: What's the overall change in the total?

Older Numbers (Hidden in spoiler mode to make the post more compact)
Spoiler alert! Click Show to show the content.



1/3: <Sunday>
  • Cases: 21,113,528 (+208,827 | ΔW Change: ↑49.16% | Σ Increase: ↑1.00%)
  • Deaths: 360,078 (+1,396 | ΔW Change: ↑14.71% | Σ Increase: ↑0.39%)

1/4: <M>
  • Cases: 21,353,051 (+239,523 | ΔW Change: ↑15.28% | Σ Increase: ↑1.13%)
  • Deaths: 362,123 (+2,045 | ΔW Change: ↑0.05% | Σ Increase: ↑0.57%)

1/5: <T>
  • Cases: 21,578,606 (+225,555 | ΔW Change: ↑15.03% | Σ Increase: ↑1.06%)
  • Deaths: 365,620 (+3,497 | ΔW Change: ↑2.94% | Σ Increase: ↑0.97%)

1/6: <W>
  • Cases: 21,857,616 (+279,010 | ΔW Change: ↑16.60% | Σ Increase: ↑1.29%)
  • Deaths: 369,990 (+4,370 | ΔW Change: ↑4.07% | Σ Increase: ↑1.20%)

1/7 (Last Þ Holiday): <Þ>
  • Cases: 22,132,045 (+274,429 | ΔW Change: ↑20.01% | Σ Increase: ↑1.26%)
  • Deaths: 374,124 (+4,134 | ΔW Change: ↑20.28% | Σ Increase: ↑1.12%)

1/8 (Last F Holiday): <F>
  • Cases: 22,456,902 (+324,857 | ΔW Change: ↑89.21% | Σ Increase: ↑1.47%)
  • Deaths: 378,149 (+4,025 | ΔW Change: ↑80.49% | Σ Increase: ↑1.08%)

1/9: <S>
  • Cases: 22,699,938 (+243,036 | ΔW Change: ↓15.42% | Σ Increase: ↑1.08%)
  • Deaths: 381,480 (+3,331 | ΔW Change: ↑48.90% | Σ Increase: ↑0.88%)

1/10: <Sunday>
  • Cases: 22,917,334 (+217,396 | ΔW Change: ↑4.10% | Σ Increase: ↑0.96%)
  • Deaths: 383,275 (+1,795 | ΔW Change: ↑28.58% | Σ Increase: ↑0.47%)

1/11: <M>
  • Cases: 23,143,197 (+225,863 | ΔW Change: ↓5.70% | Σ Increase: ↑0.99%)
  • Deaths: 385,249 (+1,974 | ΔW Change: ↓3.47% | Σ Increase: ↑0.52%)

1/12: <T>
  • Cases: 23,368,225 (+225,028 | ΔW Change: ↓0.23% | Σ Increase: ↑0.97%)
  • Deaths: 389,599 (+4,350 | ΔW Change: ↑24.39% | Σ Increase: ↑1.13%)

1/13: <W>
  • Cases: 23,616,345 (+248,120 | ΔW Change: ↓11.07% | Σ Increase: ↑1.06%)
  • Deaths: 393,928 (+4,329 | ΔW Change: ↓0.94% | Σ Increase: ↑1.11%)

1/14 (Yesterday): <Þ>
  • Cases: 23,848,410 (+232,065 | ΔW Change: ↓15.44% | Σ Increase: ↑0.98%)
  • Deaths: 397,994 (+4,066 | ΔW Change: ↓1.64% | Σ Increase: ↑1.03%)

1/15 (Today): <F>
  • Cases: 24,102,429 (+254,019 | ΔW Change: ↓21.81% | Σ Increase: ↑1.07%)
  • Deaths: 401,856 (+3,862 | ΔW Change: ↓4.05% | Σ Increase: ↑0.97%)
Logged
Beet
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,914


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2254 on: January 16, 2021, 11:16:31 AM »

D.C.

Logged
Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,667
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2255 on: January 16, 2021, 11:36:18 AM »

The updated numbers for COVID-19 in the U.S. are in for 1/15 per: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

I'm keeping track of these updates daily and updating at the end of the day, whenever all states finish reporting for that day.

ΔW Change: Comparisons of Weekly Day-to-day Growth or Decline of COVID-19 Spread/Deaths.
  • IE: Comparing the numbers to the same day of last week, are we flattening the curve enough?

Σ Increase: A day's contribution to overall percentage growth of COVID-19 cases/deaths.
  • IE: What's the overall change in the total?

Older Numbers (Hidden in spoiler mode to make the post more compact)
Spoiler alert! Click Show to show the content.



1/3: <Sunday>
  • Cases: 21,113,528 (+208,827 | ΔW Change: ↑49.16% | Σ Increase: ↑1.00%)
  • Deaths: 360,078 (+1,396 | ΔW Change: ↑14.71% | Σ Increase: ↑0.39%)

1/4: <M>
  • Cases: 21,353,051 (+239,523 | ΔW Change: ↑15.28% | Σ Increase: ↑1.13%)
  • Deaths: 362,123 (+2,045 | ΔW Change: ↑0.05% | Σ Increase: ↑0.57%)

1/5: <T>
  • Cases: 21,578,606 (+225,555 | ΔW Change: ↑15.03% | Σ Increase: ↑1.06%)
  • Deaths: 365,620 (+3,497 | ΔW Change: ↑2.94% | Σ Increase: ↑0.97%)

1/6: <W>
  • Cases: 21,857,616 (+279,010 | ΔW Change: ↑16.60% | Σ Increase: ↑1.29%)
  • Deaths: 369,990 (+4,370 | ΔW Change: ↑4.07% | Σ Increase: ↑1.20%)

1/7 (Last Þ Holiday): <Þ>
  • Cases: 22,132,045 (+274,429 | ΔW Change: ↑20.01% | Σ Increase: ↑1.26%)
  • Deaths: 374,124 (+4,134 | ΔW Change: ↑20.28% | Σ Increase: ↑1.12%)

1/8 (Last F Holiday): <F>
  • Cases: 22,456,902 (+324,857 | ΔW Change: ↑89.21% | Σ Increase: ↑1.47%)
  • Deaths: 378,149 (+4,025 | ΔW Change: ↑80.49% | Σ Increase: ↑1.08%)

1/9: <S>
  • Cases: 22,699,938 (+243,036 | ΔW Change: ↓15.42% | Σ Increase: ↑1.08%)
  • Deaths: 381,480 (+3,331 | ΔW Change: ↑48.90% | Σ Increase: ↑0.88%)

1/10: <Sunday>
  • Cases: 22,917,334 (+217,396 | ΔW Change: ↑4.10% | Σ Increase: ↑0.96%)
  • Deaths: 383,275 (+1,795 | ΔW Change: ↑28.58% | Σ Increase: ↑0.47%)

1/11: <M>
  • Cases: 23,143,197 (+225,863 | ΔW Change: ↓5.70% | Σ Increase: ↑0.99%)
  • Deaths: 385,249 (+1,974 | ΔW Change: ↓3.47% | Σ Increase: ↑0.52%)

1/12: <T>
  • Cases: 23,368,225 (+225,028 | ΔW Change: ↓0.23% | Σ Increase: ↑0.97%)
  • Deaths: 389,599 (+4,350 | ΔW Change: ↑24.39% | Σ Increase: ↑1.13%)

1/13: <W>
  • Cases: 23,616,345 (+248,120 | ΔW Change: ↓11.07% | Σ Increase: ↑1.06%)
  • Deaths: 393,928 (+4,329 | ΔW Change: ↓0.94% | Σ Increase: ↑1.11%)

1/14 (Yesterday): <Þ>
  • Cases: 23,848,410 (+232,065 | ΔW Change: ↓15.44% | Σ Increase: ↑0.98%)
  • Deaths: 397,994 (+4,066 | ΔW Change: ↓1.64% | Σ Increase: ↑1.03%)

1/15 (Today): <F>
  • Cases: 24,102,429 (+254,019 | ΔW Change: ↓21.81% | Σ Increase: ↑1.07%)
  • Deaths: 401,856 (+3,862 | ΔW Change: ↓4.05% | Σ Increase: ↑0.97%)

Is this likely a trend?
Logged
Dr. Arch
Arch
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,451
Puerto Rico


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2256 on: January 16, 2021, 11:44:59 AM »

The updated numbers for COVID-19 in the U.S. are in for 1/15 per: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

I'm keeping track of these updates daily and updating at the end of the day, whenever all states finish reporting for that day.

ΔW Change: Comparisons of Weekly Day-to-day Growth or Decline of COVID-19 Spread/Deaths.
  • IE: Comparing the numbers to the same day of last week, are we flattening the curve enough?

Σ Increase: A day's contribution to overall percentage growth of COVID-19 cases/deaths.
  • IE: What's the overall change in the total?

Older Numbers (Hidden in spoiler mode to make the post more compact)
Spoiler alert! Click Show to show the content.



1/3: <Sunday>
  • Cases: 21,113,528 (+208,827 | ΔW Change: ↑49.16% | Σ Increase: ↑1.00%)
  • Deaths: 360,078 (+1,396 | ΔW Change: ↑14.71% | Σ Increase: ↑0.39%)

1/4: <M>
  • Cases: 21,353,051 (+239,523 | ΔW Change: ↑15.28% | Σ Increase: ↑1.13%)
  • Deaths: 362,123 (+2,045 | ΔW Change: ↑0.05% | Σ Increase: ↑0.57%)

1/5: <T>
  • Cases: 21,578,606 (+225,555 | ΔW Change: ↑15.03% | Σ Increase: ↑1.06%)
  • Deaths: 365,620 (+3,497 | ΔW Change: ↑2.94% | Σ Increase: ↑0.97%)

1/6: <W>
  • Cases: 21,857,616 (+279,010 | ΔW Change: ↑16.60% | Σ Increase: ↑1.29%)
  • Deaths: 369,990 (+4,370 | ΔW Change: ↑4.07% | Σ Increase: ↑1.20%)

1/7 (Last Þ Holiday): <Þ>
  • Cases: 22,132,045 (+274,429 | ΔW Change: ↑20.01% | Σ Increase: ↑1.26%)
  • Deaths: 374,124 (+4,134 | ΔW Change: ↑20.28% | Σ Increase: ↑1.12%)

1/8 (Last F Holiday): <F>
  • Cases: 22,456,902 (+324,857 | ΔW Change: ↑89.21% | Σ Increase: ↑1.47%)
  • Deaths: 378,149 (+4,025 | ΔW Change: ↑80.49% | Σ Increase: ↑1.08%)

1/9: <S>
  • Cases: 22,699,938 (+243,036 | ΔW Change: ↓15.42% | Σ Increase: ↑1.08%)
  • Deaths: 381,480 (+3,331 | ΔW Change: ↑48.90% | Σ Increase: ↑0.88%)

1/10: <Sunday>
  • Cases: 22,917,334 (+217,396 | ΔW Change: ↑4.10% | Σ Increase: ↑0.96%)
  • Deaths: 383,275 (+1,795 | ΔW Change: ↑28.58% | Σ Increase: ↑0.47%)

1/11: <M>
  • Cases: 23,143,197 (+225,863 | ΔW Change: ↓5.70% | Σ Increase: ↑0.99%)
  • Deaths: 385,249 (+1,974 | ΔW Change: ↓3.47% | Σ Increase: ↑0.52%)

1/12: <T>
  • Cases: 23,368,225 (+225,028 | ΔW Change: ↓0.23% | Σ Increase: ↑0.97%)
  • Deaths: 389,599 (+4,350 | ΔW Change: ↑24.39% | Σ Increase: ↑1.13%)

1/13: <W>
  • Cases: 23,616,345 (+248,120 | ΔW Change: ↓11.07% | Σ Increase: ↑1.06%)
  • Deaths: 393,928 (+4,329 | ΔW Change: ↓0.94% | Σ Increase: ↑1.11%)

1/14 (Yesterday): <Þ>
  • Cases: 23,848,410 (+232,065 | ΔW Change: ↓15.44% | Σ Increase: ↑0.98%)
  • Deaths: 397,994 (+4,066 | ΔW Change: ↓1.64% | Σ Increase: ↑1.03%)

1/15 (Today): <F>
  • Cases: 24,102,429 (+254,019 | ΔW Change: ↓21.81% | Σ Increase: ↑1.07%)
  • Deaths: 401,856 (+3,862 | ΔW Change: ↓4.05% | Σ Increase: ↑0.97%)

Is this likely a trend?

For now, it seems to be the case, but whenever we find ourselves improving, the population finds another way to screw it up. We'll see, lol.
Logged
Fmr. Gov. NickG
NickG
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,200


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -3.49

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2257 on: January 16, 2021, 01:29:47 PM »

The updated numbers for COVID-19 in the U.S. are in for 1/15 per: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

I'm keeping track of these updates daily and updating at the end of the day, whenever all states finish reporting for that day.

ΔW Change: Comparisons of Weekly Day-to-day Growth or Decline of COVID-19 Spread/Deaths.
  • IE: Comparing the numbers to the same day of last week, are we flattening the curve enough?

Σ Increase: A day's contribution to overall percentage growth of COVID-19 cases/deaths.
  • IE: What's the overall change in the total?

Older Numbers (Hidden in spoiler mode to make the post more compact)
Spoiler alert! Click Show to show the content.



1/3: <Sunday>
  • Cases: 21,113,528 (+208,827 | ΔW Change: ↑49.16% | Σ Increase: ↑1.00%)
  • Deaths: 360,078 (+1,396 | ΔW Change: ↑14.71% | Σ Increase: ↑0.39%)

1/4: <M>
  • Cases: 21,353,051 (+239,523 | ΔW Change: ↑15.28% | Σ Increase: ↑1.13%)
  • Deaths: 362,123 (+2,045 | ΔW Change: ↑0.05% | Σ Increase: ↑0.57%)

1/5: <T>
  • Cases: 21,578,606 (+225,555 | ΔW Change: ↑15.03% | Σ Increase: ↑1.06%)
  • Deaths: 365,620 (+3,497 | ΔW Change: ↑2.94% | Σ Increase: ↑0.97%)

1/6: <W>
  • Cases: 21,857,616 (+279,010 | ΔW Change: ↑16.60% | Σ Increase: ↑1.29%)
  • Deaths: 369,990 (+4,370 | ΔW Change: ↑4.07% | Σ Increase: ↑1.20%)

1/7 (Last Þ Holiday): <Þ>
  • Cases: 22,132,045 (+274,429 | ΔW Change: ↑20.01% | Σ Increase: ↑1.26%)
  • Deaths: 374,124 (+4,134 | ΔW Change: ↑20.28% | Σ Increase: ↑1.12%)

1/8 (Last F Holiday): <F>
  • Cases: 22,456,902 (+324,857 | ΔW Change: ↑89.21% | Σ Increase: ↑1.47%)
  • Deaths: 378,149 (+4,025 | ΔW Change: ↑80.49% | Σ Increase: ↑1.08%)

1/9: <S>
  • Cases: 22,699,938 (+243,036 | ΔW Change: ↓15.42% | Σ Increase: ↑1.08%)
  • Deaths: 381,480 (+3,331 | ΔW Change: ↑48.90% | Σ Increase: ↑0.88%)

1/10: <Sunday>
  • Cases: 22,917,334 (+217,396 | ΔW Change: ↑4.10% | Σ Increase: ↑0.96%)
  • Deaths: 383,275 (+1,795 | ΔW Change: ↑28.58% | Σ Increase: ↑0.47%)

1/11: <M>
  • Cases: 23,143,197 (+225,863 | ΔW Change: ↓5.70% | Σ Increase: ↑0.99%)
  • Deaths: 385,249 (+1,974 | ΔW Change: ↓3.47% | Σ Increase: ↑0.52%)

1/12: <T>
  • Cases: 23,368,225 (+225,028 | ΔW Change: ↓0.23% | Σ Increase: ↑0.97%)
  • Deaths: 389,599 (+4,350 | ΔW Change: ↑24.39% | Σ Increase: ↑1.13%)

1/13: <W>
  • Cases: 23,616,345 (+248,120 | ΔW Change: ↓11.07% | Σ Increase: ↑1.06%)
  • Deaths: 393,928 (+4,329 | ΔW Change: ↓0.94% | Σ Increase: ↑1.11%)

1/14 (Yesterday): <Þ>
  • Cases: 23,848,410 (+232,065 | ΔW Change: ↓15.44% | Σ Increase: ↑0.98%)
  • Deaths: 397,994 (+4,066 | ΔW Change: ↓1.64% | Σ Increase: ↑1.03%)

1/15 (Today): <F>
  • Cases: 24,102,429 (+254,019 | ΔW Change: ↓21.81% | Σ Increase: ↑1.07%)
  • Deaths: 401,856 (+3,862 | ΔW Change: ↓4.05% | Σ Increase: ↑0.97%)

Is this likely a trend?

Keep in mind that the spikes in case numbers the previous week were likely to some extent compensating for recording backlogs from the Christmas and New Years holidays.  So some drop is probably expected.  It seems to me like if you account for the holiday recording gaps, cases have actually been pretty flat for about six weeks.
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2258 on: January 16, 2021, 08:41:14 PM »

The updated numbers for COVID-19 in the U.S. are in for 1/15 per: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

I'm keeping track of these updates daily and updating at the end of the day, whenever all states finish reporting for that day.

ΔW Change: Comparisons of Weekly Day-to-day Growth or Decline of COVID-19 Spread/Deaths.
  • IE: Comparing the numbers to the same day of last week, are we flattening the curve enough?

Σ Increase: A day's contribution to overall percentage growth of COVID-19 cases/deaths.
  • IE: What's the overall change in the total?

Older Numbers (Hidden in spoiler mode to make the post more compact)
Spoiler alert! Click Show to show the content.



1/3: <Sunday>
  • Cases: 21,113,528 (+208,827 | ΔW Change: ↑49.16% | Σ Increase: ↑1.00%)
  • Deaths: 360,078 (+1,396 | ΔW Change: ↑14.71% | Σ Increase: ↑0.39%)

1/4: <M>
  • Cases: 21,353,051 (+239,523 | ΔW Change: ↑15.28% | Σ Increase: ↑1.13%)
  • Deaths: 362,123 (+2,045 | ΔW Change: ↑0.05% | Σ Increase: ↑0.57%)

1/5: <T>
  • Cases: 21,578,606 (+225,555 | ΔW Change: ↑15.03% | Σ Increase: ↑1.06%)
  • Deaths: 365,620 (+3,497 | ΔW Change: ↑2.94% | Σ Increase: ↑0.97%)

1/6: <W>
  • Cases: 21,857,616 (+279,010 | ΔW Change: ↑16.60% | Σ Increase: ↑1.29%)
  • Deaths: 369,990 (+4,370 | ΔW Change: ↑4.07% | Σ Increase: ↑1.20%)

1/7 (Last Þ Holiday): <Þ>
  • Cases: 22,132,045 (+274,429 | ΔW Change: ↑20.01% | Σ Increase: ↑1.26%)
  • Deaths: 374,124 (+4,134 | ΔW Change: ↑20.28% | Σ Increase: ↑1.12%)

1/8 (Last F Holiday): <F>
  • Cases: 22,456,902 (+324,857 | ΔW Change: ↑89.21% | Σ Increase: ↑1.47%)
  • Deaths: 378,149 (+4,025 | ΔW Change: ↑80.49% | Σ Increase: ↑1.08%)

1/9: <S>
  • Cases: 22,699,938 (+243,036 | ΔW Change: ↓15.42% | Σ Increase: ↑1.08%)
  • Deaths: 381,480 (+3,331 | ΔW Change: ↑48.90% | Σ Increase: ↑0.88%)

1/10: <Sunday>
  • Cases: 22,917,334 (+217,396 | ΔW Change: ↑4.10% | Σ Increase: ↑0.96%)
  • Deaths: 383,275 (+1,795 | ΔW Change: ↑28.58% | Σ Increase: ↑0.47%)

1/11: <M>
  • Cases: 23,143,197 (+225,863 | ΔW Change: ↓5.70% | Σ Increase: ↑0.99%)
  • Deaths: 385,249 (+1,974 | ΔW Change: ↓3.47% | Σ Increase: ↑0.52%)

1/12: <T>
  • Cases: 23,368,225 (+225,028 | ΔW Change: ↓0.23% | Σ Increase: ↑0.97%)
  • Deaths: 389,599 (+4,350 | ΔW Change: ↑24.39% | Σ Increase: ↑1.13%)

1/13: <W>
  • Cases: 23,616,345 (+248,120 | ΔW Change: ↓11.07% | Σ Increase: ↑1.06%)
  • Deaths: 393,928 (+4,329 | ΔW Change: ↓0.94% | Σ Increase: ↑1.11%)

1/14 (Yesterday): <Þ>
  • Cases: 23,848,410 (+232,065 | ΔW Change: ↓15.44% | Σ Increase: ↑0.98%)
  • Deaths: 397,994 (+4,066 | ΔW Change: ↓1.64% | Σ Increase: ↑1.03%)

1/15 (Today): <F>
  • Cases: 24,102,429 (+254,019 | ΔW Change: ↓21.81% | Σ Increase: ↑1.07%)
  • Deaths: 401,856 (+3,862 | ΔW Change: ↓4.05% | Σ Increase: ↑0.97%)

Is this likely a trend?

Keep in mind that the spikes in case numbers the previous week were likely to some extent compensating for recording backlogs from the Christmas and New Years holidays.  So some drop is probably expected.  It seems to me like if you account for the holiday recording gaps, cases have actually been pretty flat for about six weeks.

Hospitalizations, where are much more stable against the various reporting delays due to holidays and whatnot, look like they are finally starting to come down a bit, but they are still very, very high, and I would want another week or two of data to be sure that that isn't just noise.

Logged
Dr. Arch
Arch
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,451
Puerto Rico


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2259 on: January 17, 2021, 02:08:32 AM »

The updated numbers for COVID-19 in the U.S. are in for 1/16 per: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

I'm keeping track of these updates daily and updating at the end of the day, whenever all states finish reporting for that day.

ΔW Change: Comparisons of Weekly Day-to-day Growth or Decline of COVID-19 Spread/Deaths.
  • IE: Comparing the numbers to the same day of last week, are we flattening the curve enough?

Σ Increase: A day's contribution to overall percentage growth of COVID-19 cases/deaths.
  • IE: What's the overall change in the total?

Older Numbers (Hidden in spoiler mode to make the post more compact)
Spoiler alert! Click Show to show the content.



1/3: <Sunday>
  • Cases: 21,113,528 (+208,827 | ΔW Change: ↑49.16% | Σ Increase: ↑1.00%)
  • Deaths: 360,078 (+1,396 | ΔW Change: ↑14.71% | Σ Increase: ↑0.39%)

1/4: <M>
  • Cases: 21,353,051 (+239,523 | ΔW Change: ↑15.28% | Σ Increase: ↑1.13%)
  • Deaths: 362,123 (+2,045 | ΔW Change: ↑0.05% | Σ Increase: ↑0.57%)

1/5: <T>
  • Cases: 21,578,606 (+225,555 | ΔW Change: ↑15.03% | Σ Increase: ↑1.06%)
  • Deaths: 365,620 (+3,497 | ΔW Change: ↑2.94% | Σ Increase: ↑0.97%)

1/6: <W>
  • Cases: 21,857,616 (+279,010 | ΔW Change: ↑16.60% | Σ Increase: ↑1.29%)
  • Deaths: 369,990 (+4,370 | ΔW Change: ↑4.07% | Σ Increase: ↑1.20%)

1/7 (Last Þ Holiday): <Þ>
  • Cases: 22,132,045 (+274,429 | ΔW Change: ↑20.01% | Σ Increase: ↑1.26%)
  • Deaths: 374,124 (+4,134 | ΔW Change: ↑20.28% | Σ Increase: ↑1.12%)

1/8 (Last F Holiday): <F>
  • Cases: 22,456,902 (+324,857 | ΔW Change: ↑89.21% | Σ Increase: ↑1.47%)
  • Deaths: 378,149 (+4,025 | ΔW Change: ↑80.49% | Σ Increase: ↑1.08%)

1/9: <S>
  • Cases: 22,699,938 (+243,036 | ΔW Change: ↓15.42% | Σ Increase: ↑1.08%)
  • Deaths: 381,480 (+3,331 | ΔW Change: ↑48.90% | Σ Increase: ↑0.88%)

1/10: <Sunday>
  • Cases: 22,917,334 (+217,396 | ΔW Change: ↑4.10% | Σ Increase: ↑0.96%)
  • Deaths: 383,275 (+1,795 | ΔW Change: ↑28.58% | Σ Increase: ↑0.47%)

1/11: <M>
  • Cases: 23,143,197 (+225,863 | ΔW Change: ↓5.70% | Σ Increase: ↑0.99%)
  • Deaths: 385,249 (+1,974 | ΔW Change: ↓3.47% | Σ Increase: ↑0.52%)

1/12: <T>
  • Cases: 23,368,225 (+225,028 | ΔW Change: ↓0.23% | Σ Increase: ↑0.97%)
  • Deaths: 389,599 (+4,350 | ΔW Change: ↑24.39% | Σ Increase: ↑1.13%)

1/13: <W>
  • Cases: 23,616,345 (+248,120 | ΔW Change: ↓11.07% | Σ Increase: ↑1.06%)
  • Deaths: 393,928 (+4,329 | ΔW Change: ↓0.94% | Σ Increase: ↑1.11%)

1/14: <Þ>
  • Cases: 23,848,410 (+232,065 | ΔW Change: ↓15.44% | Σ Increase: ↑0.98%)
  • Deaths: 397,994 (+4,066 | ΔW Change: ↓1.64% | Σ Increase: ↑1.03%)

1/15 (Yesterday): <F>
  • Cases: 24,102,429 (+254,019 | ΔW Change: ↓21.81% | Σ Increase: ↑1.07%)
  • Deaths: 401,856 (+3,862 | ΔW Change: ↓4.05% | Σ Increase: ↑0.97%)

1/16 (Today): <S>
  • Cases: 24,306,043 (+203,614 | ΔW Change: ↓16.22% | Σ Increase: ↑0.84%)
  • Deaths: 405,261 (+3,405 | ΔW Change: ↑2.22% | Σ Increase: ↑0.85%)
Logged
QAnonKelly
dotard
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,995


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -5.50

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2260 on: January 17, 2021, 01:38:31 PM »

Just curious, has anyone around here gotten the vaccine? Wondering the range of side effects were. One of my brother’s friends got it and said all he had was a sore arm. Hopefully getting mine next month.
Logged
Dr. Arch
Arch
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,451
Puerto Rico


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2261 on: January 17, 2021, 01:41:50 PM »

Just curious, has anyone around here gotten the vaccine? Wondering the range of side effects were. One of my brother’s friends got it and said all he had was a sore arm. Hopefully getting mine next month.

Some friends of mine have gotten the first shot already. One reported some arm pain that subsided after a day. The other reported some arm pain with a very low-grade fever for a couple of days that then subsided.

I should be in Phase 1B in Wisconsin (starting around the end of January), so I'll report anything here when I take it then.
Logged
It’s so Joever
Forumlurker161
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,985


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2262 on: January 17, 2021, 01:56:47 PM »

Just curious, has anyone around here gotten the vaccine? Wondering the range of side effects were. One of my brother’s friends got it and said all he had was a sore arm. Hopefully getting mine next month.
My father got the vaccine.
He had only two main side effects. First was he had a slightly sore arm afterwards for both times...second one is that he would not shut up about how he got it.

All jokes aside, the day after the second one, he was up at his usual time and doing usual activities without difficulty. Ironically enough it was my mother who felt sick that day (lmao) maybe the vaccine transferred to her Tongue?
Logged
Not Me, Us
KhanOfKhans
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,267
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2263 on: January 17, 2021, 02:00:22 PM »

Just curious, has anyone around here gotten the vaccine? Wondering the range of side effects were. One of my brother’s friends got it and said all he had was a sore arm. Hopefully getting mine next month.

My sister got her first dose a couple weeks ago, no side effects other than sore arm. She gets her second dose on Tuesday though, and I've heard side effects can be worse for second doses.
Logged
ilikeverin
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,409
Timor-Leste


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2264 on: January 17, 2021, 03:54:03 PM »

Just curious, has anyone around here gotten the vaccine? Wondering the range of side effects were. One of my brother’s friends got it and said all he had was a sore arm. Hopefully getting mine next month.

I've not heard of any friends/family having anything other than a sore arm!
Logged
An American Tail: Fubart Goes West
Fubart Solman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,731
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2265 on: January 17, 2021, 04:29:33 PM »

D.C.



Aren’t the 7th and 8th wards the Blackest parts of the District?
Logged
Del Tachi
Republican95
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,839
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.52, S: 1.46

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2266 on: January 17, 2021, 04:32:35 PM »

D.C.



Democratic governance at work!
Logged
It’s so Joever
Forumlurker161
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,985


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2267 on: January 17, 2021, 06:38:08 PM »

D.C.



Democratic governance at work!
Okay Taco.
Logged
Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
Runeghost
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,471


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2268 on: January 17, 2021, 09:03:46 PM »



Particularly chilling to me is this part:
Quote
Jones announced Saturday on Twitter that she learned of the warrant and plans to turn herself in on Sunday. The Florida Department of Law Enforcement confirmed there is a warrant for Jones’ arrest but said it cannot disclose what charges she faces until she is in custody.

I was not previously aware that premeditated "arrest first, charges afterward" was a thing that could happen in the United States.
Logged
Del Tachi
Republican95
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,839
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.52, S: 1.46

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2269 on: January 17, 2021, 09:19:35 PM »



Particularly chilling to me is this part:
Quote
Jones announced Saturday on Twitter that she learned of the warrant and plans to turn herself in on Sunday. The Florida Department of Law Enforcement confirmed there is a warrant for Jones’ arrest but said it cannot disclose what charges she faces until she is in custody.

I was not previously aware that premeditated "arrest first, charges afterward" was a thing that could happen in the United States.

This is and has always been a nothing story.  Do some basic research and fact-checking.
Logged
Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
Runeghost
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,471


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2270 on: January 17, 2021, 09:27:48 PM »

Coronavirus updates: Death toll approaches 400,000, far exceeding Trump’s benchmark for success in containing the virus
Quote
The coronavirus death toll in the United States is fast approaching 400,000, double the upper limit of what President Trump said would signal his administration’s success in responding to the pandemic.

As of Friday morning, the virus had killed more than 388,000 people in the United States, according to The Washington Post’s analysis of pandemic data. With more than 3,000 Americans dying of the virus daily on average, the country could surpass the bleak figure before Trump leaves office Wednesday.



Hell needs to hire one of those companies that do London basements.
Logged
Dr. Arch
Arch
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,451
Puerto Rico


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2271 on: January 17, 2021, 10:18:04 PM »

The updated numbers for COVID-19 in the U.S. are in for 1/17 per: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

I'm keeping track of these updates daily and updating at the end of the day, whenever all states finish reporting for that day.

ΔW Change: Comparisons of Weekly Day-to-day Growth or Decline of COVID-19 Spread/Deaths.
  • IE: Comparing the numbers to the same day of last week, are we flattening the curve enough?

Σ Increase: A day's contribution to overall percentage growth of COVID-19 cases/deaths.
  • IE: What's the overall change in the total?

Older Numbers (Hidden in spoiler mode to make the post more compact)
Spoiler alert! Click Show to show the content.



1/10: <Sunday>
  • Cases: 22,917,334 (+217,396 | ΔW Change: ↑4.10% | Σ Increase: ↑0.96%)
  • Deaths: 383,275 (+1,795 | ΔW Change: ↑28.58% | Σ Increase: ↑0.47%)

1/11: <M>
  • Cases: 23,143,197 (+225,863 | ΔW Change: ↓5.70% | Σ Increase: ↑0.99%)
  • Deaths: 385,249 (+1,974 | ΔW Change: ↓3.47% | Σ Increase: ↑0.52%)

1/12: <T>
  • Cases: 23,368,225 (+225,028 | ΔW Change: ↓0.23% | Σ Increase: ↑0.97%)
  • Deaths: 389,599 (+4,350 | ΔW Change: ↑24.39% | Σ Increase: ↑1.13%)

1/13: <W>
  • Cases: 23,616,345 (+248,120 | ΔW Change: ↓11.07% | Σ Increase: ↑1.06%)
  • Deaths: 393,928 (+4,329 | ΔW Change: ↓0.94% | Σ Increase: ↑1.11%)

1/14: <Þ>
  • Cases: 23,848,410 (+232,065 | ΔW Change: ↓15.44% | Σ Increase: ↑0.98%)
  • Deaths: 397,994 (+4,066 | ΔW Change: ↓1.64% | Σ Increase: ↑1.03%)

1/15: <F>
  • Cases: 24,102,429 (+254,019 | ΔW Change: ↓21.81% | Σ Increase: ↑1.07%)
  • Deaths: 401,856 (+3,862 | ΔW Change: ↓4.05% | Σ Increase: ↑0.97%)

1/16 (Yesterday): <S>
  • Cases: 24,306,043 (+203,614 | ΔW Change: ↓16.22% | Σ Increase: ↑0.84%)
  • Deaths: 405,261 (+3,405 | ΔW Change: ↑2.22% | Σ Increase: ↑0.85%)

1/17 (Today): <Sunday>
  • Cases: 24,482,050 (+176,007 | ΔW Change: ↓19.04% | Σ Increase: ↑0.72%)
  • Deaths: 407,202 (+1,941 | ΔW Change: ↑8.13% | Σ Increase: ↑0.48%)
Logged
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,689
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2272 on: January 17, 2021, 10:46:59 PM »

D.C.



Democratic governance at work!

Like people who live in glass Mississippis should throw anything.
Logged
jimrtex
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,817
Marshall Islands


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2273 on: January 17, 2021, 11:21:04 PM »


Particularly chilling to me is this part:
Quote
Jones announced Saturday on Twitter that she learned of the warrant and plans to turn herself in on Sunday. The Florida Department of Law Enforcement confirmed there is a warrant for Jones’ arrest but said it cannot disclose what charges she faces until she is in custody.

I was not previously aware that premeditated "arrest first, charges afterward" was a thing that could happen in the United States.

This is and has always been a nothing story.  Do some basic research and fact-checking.
How come she has Florida backwards in her picture?
Logged
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,689
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2274 on: January 17, 2021, 11:30:05 PM »


Particularly chilling to me is this part:
Quote
Jones announced Saturday on Twitter that she learned of the warrant and plans to turn herself in on Sunday. The Florida Department of Law Enforcement confirmed there is a warrant for Jones’ arrest but said it cannot disclose what charges she faces until she is in custody.

I was not previously aware that premeditated "arrest first, charges afterward" was a thing that could happen in the United States.

This is and has always been a nothing story.  Do some basic research and fact-checking.
How come she has Florida backwards in her picture?


It's a thing with some selfie-cameras.  A mirror effect is created.  Trying to comprehend why makes my brain hurt.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 86 87 88 89 90 [91] 92 93 94 95 96 ... 456  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.21 seconds with 14 queries.