COVID-19 Megathread 6: Return of the Omicron

[emailking]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1320711322284281862

[Pericles]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1320711322284281862

What a disgusting person he is. Even after all the suffering that his incompetence has caused, he still sees it about himself.

[Tintrlvr]

We're going to be over 100,000 cases a day on Friday (if not earlier), aren't we?

[Dr. Arch]

We're going to be over 100,000 cases a day on Friday (if not earlier), aren't we?

Entirely possible

[Bandit3 the Worker]

I'm sure we've been well over 100,000 months ago. We don't know it, because the testing capacity was much less back then.

[Hammy]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1320690788628598784

He's going to use this to challenge the election validity, I guarantee it.

[Tintrlvr]

I'm sure we've been well over 100,000 months ago. We don't know it, because the testing capacity was much less back then.

Yes, and it would be great if things were just like they were in late March again, wouldn't it? I lived through that here in NYC; you can shut your mouth on this.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

I'm sure we've been well over 100,000 months ago. We don't know it, because the testing capacity was much less back then.

Yes, and it would be great if things were just like they were in late March again, wouldn't it? I lived through that here in NYC; you can shut your mouth on this.

Cool! Another person to put on ignore!

[Dr. Arch]

The updated numbers for COVID-19 in the U.S. are in for 10/26 per: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

I'm keeping track of these updates daily and updating at the end of the day, whenever all states finish reporting for that day.

ΔW Change: Comparisons of Weekly Day-to-day Growth or Decline of COVID-19 Spread/Deaths.

• IE: Comparing the numbers to the same day of last week, are we flattening the curve enough?

Σ Increase: A day's contribution to overall percentage growth of COVID-19 cases/deaths.

• IE: What's the overall change in the total?

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10/18: <Sunday>

• Cases: 8,387,790 (+45,125 | ΔW Change: ↓0.96% | Σ Increase: ↑0.54%)
• Deaths: 224,730 (+448 | ΔW Change: ↑8.47% | Σ Increase: ↑0.20%)

10/19: <M>

• Cases: 8,456,653 (+68,863 | ΔW Change: ↑47.40% | Σ Increase: ↑0.82%)
• Deaths: 225,222 (+492 | ΔW Change: ↑55.70% | Σ Increase: ↑0.22%)

10/20: <T>

• Cases: 8,519,665 (+63,012 | ΔW Change: ↑17.01% | Σ Increase: ↑0.75%)
• Deaths: 226,138 (+916 | ΔW Change: ↑10.36% | Σ Increase: ↑0.41%)

10/21: <W>

• Cases: 8,584,819 (+65,154 | ΔW Change: ↑8.66% | Σ Increase: ↑0.76%)
• Deaths: 227,409 (+1,271 | ΔW Change: ↑26.85% | Σ Increase: ↑0.56%)

10/22: <Þ>

• Cases: 8,661,651 (+76,832 | ΔW Change: ↑15.93% | Σ Increase: ↑0.89%)
• Deaths: 228,381 (+972 | ΔW Change: ↑11.21% | Σ Increase: ↑0.43%)

10/23: <F>

• Cases: 8,746,953 (+85,302 | ΔW Change: ↑20.98% | Σ Increase: ↑0.98%)
• Deaths: 229,284 (+903 | ΔW Change: ↓0.55% | Σ Increase: ↑0.40%)

10/24: <S>

• Cases: 8,827,932 (+80,979 | ΔW Change: ↑45.02% | Σ Increase: ↑0.93%)
• Deaths: 230,068 (+784 | ΔW Change: ↑19.33% | Σ Increase: ↑0.34%)

10/25 (Yesterday): <Sunday>

• Cases: 8,889,179 (+61,247 | ΔW Change: ↑35.73% | Σ Increase: ↑0.69%)
• Deaths: 230,510 (+442 | ΔW Change: ↓1.34% | Σ Increase: ↑0.19%)

10/26 (Today): <M>

• Cases: 8,962,783 (+73,604 | ΔW Change: ↑6.88% | Σ Increase: ↑0.83%)
• Deaths: 231,045 (+535 | ΔW Change: ↑8.74% | Σ Increase: ↑0.23%)

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://www.ft.com/content/f75418a9-9ef5-4684-9222-758635e906b1
Covid-19 herd immunity theory dealt blow by UK research
Testing of more than 350,000 people shows that antibodies fade within few months

The proportion of people in Britain with antibodies that protect against Covid-19 declined over the summer, according to research that adds to evidence that natural immunity can wane in a matter of months.

The number of people with antibodies fell by a quarter, from 6 per cent of the population in June to 4.4 per cent in September, according to a study of hundreds of thousands of people, one of the largest of its kind to date.

The results, from researchers at Imperial College London, are the latest sign that immunity to Covid-19 may be shortlived and cast further doubt on the idea that any population could develop herd immunity naturally.

The study suggests that the immune system’s response to the virus is similar to its reaction to influenza and other coronaviruses such as the common cold, which can be contracted annually.

The Imperial researchers, who tested more than 365,000 adults over five months, found a decline in antibody levels in all age groups. The smallest drop was among young adults and the largest in the elderly. A bigger decline was also seen in those who reported asymptomatic infection versus those who had symptoms.

Other scientists continue to question the significance of antibody analysis, arguing that certain cell types whose presence is not detected by the tests play a crucial role in immunity.

Only T-Killers can save you now.

[emailking]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1321051933654863872

I think it was like 50 days ago when he first said we were rounding the turn.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1321051933654863872
I think it was like 50 days ago when he first said we were rounding the turn.

When you're circling the drain, you round lots of turns.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1321051933654863872

I think it was like 50 days ago when he first said we were rounding the turn.

There is some *amazing* projection in Republicans claiming that COVID is just media hype and that the press will stop talking about it after this election, when these exact same Republicans talked about Ebola constantly in 2014 before the election and then immediately forgot about it after that election.

[Landslide Lyndon]

LMAO!

https://twitter.com/MattNegrin/status/1321136357083926529

[Dr. Arch]

The updated numbers for COVID-19 in the U.S. are in for 10/27 per: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

I'm keeping track of these updates daily and updating at the end of the day, whenever all states finish reporting for that day.

ΔW Change: Comparisons of Weekly Day-to-day Growth or Decline of COVID-19 Spread/Deaths.

• IE: Comparing the numbers to the same day of last week, are we flattening the curve enough?

Σ Increase: A day's contribution to overall percentage growth of COVID-19 cases/deaths.

• IE: What's the overall change in the total?

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10/18: <Sunday>

• Cases: 8,387,790 (+45,125 | ΔW Change: ↓0.96% | Σ Increase: ↑0.54%)
• Deaths: 224,730 (+448 | ΔW Change: ↑8.47% | Σ Increase: ↑0.20%)

10/19: <M>

• Cases: 8,456,653 (+68,863 | ΔW Change: ↑47.40% | Σ Increase: ↑0.82%)
• Deaths: 225,222 (+492 | ΔW Change: ↑55.70% | Σ Increase: ↑0.22%)

10/20: <T>

• Cases: 8,519,665 (+63,012 | ΔW Change: ↑17.01% | Σ Increase: ↑0.75%)
• Deaths: 226,138 (+916 | ΔW Change: ↑10.36% | Σ Increase: ↑0.41%)

10/21: <W>

• Cases: 8,584,819 (+65,154 | ΔW Change: ↑8.66% | Σ Increase: ↑0.76%)
• Deaths: 227,409 (+1,271 | ΔW Change: ↑26.85% | Σ Increase: ↑0.56%)

10/22: <Þ>

• Cases: 8,661,651 (+76,832 | ΔW Change: ↑15.93% | Σ Increase: ↑0.89%)
• Deaths: 228,381 (+972 | ΔW Change: ↑11.21% | Σ Increase: ↑0.43%)

10/23: <F>

• Cases: 8,746,953 (+85,302 | ΔW Change: ↑20.98% | Σ Increase: ↑0.98%)
• Deaths: 229,284 (+903 | ΔW Change: ↓0.55% | Σ Increase: ↑0.40%)

10/24: <S>

• Cases: 8,827,932 (+80,979 | ΔW Change: ↑45.02% | Σ Increase: ↑0.93%)
• Deaths: 230,068 (+784 | ΔW Change: ↑19.33% | Σ Increase: ↑0.34%)

10/25: <Sunday>

• Cases: 8,889,179 (+61,247 | ΔW Change: ↑35.73% | Σ Increase: ↑0.69%)
• Deaths: 230,510 (+442 | ΔW Change: ↓1.34% | Σ Increase: ↑0.19%)

10/26 (Yesterday): <M>

• Cases: 8,962,783 (+73,604 | ΔW Change: ↑6.88% | Σ Increase: ↑0.83%)
• Deaths: 231,045 (+535 | ΔW Change: ↑8.74% | Σ Increase: ↑0.23%)

10/27 (Today): <T>

• Cases: 9,037,951 (+75,168 | ΔW Change: ↑19.29% | Σ Increase: ↑0.84%)
• Deaths: 232,085 (+1,040 | ΔW Change: ↑13.54% | Σ Increase: ↑0.45%)

[Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin]

https://twitter.com/TopherSpiro/status/1321098402768310272

[Pericles]

https://twitter.com/TopherSpiro/status/1321098402768310272

LOCK HIM UP!
(Yes, I know his rallies aren't actually illegal)

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-covid-economy-carves-deep-divide-between-haves-and-have-nots-11601910595
The Covid Economy Carves Deep Divide Between Haves and Have-Nots
Comeback since start of pandemic is kind to those who can work from home, to firms serving them and to regions hospitable to them. Many others are left behind.

A two-track recovery is emerging from the country’s pandemic-driven economic contraction. Some workers, companies and regions show signs of coming out fine or even stronger. The rest are mired in a deep decline with an uncertain path ahead.

Just months ago, economists were predicting a V-shaped recovery—a rapid rebound from a steep fall—or a U-shaped path—a prolonged downturn before healing began.

What has developed is more like a K. On the upper arm of the K are well-educated and well-off people, businesses tied to the digital economy or supplying domestic necessities, and regions such as tech-forward Western cities. By and large, they are prospering.

On the bottom arm are lower-wage workers with fewer credentials, old-line businesses and regions tied to tourism and public gatherings. They can expect to bear years-long scars from the crisis.

The cure is worse than the disease 101

Decease - Covid
Dem Cure - save White Wealthy Urban Bachelor Libs, throw Poor/Low-Educated/Minority under Lock-down bus by false, racist rhetoric Grandma vs Economy.
Good work, everyone, good work...

[Silent Hunter]

"Save Grandma" is a useless strategy among a demographic who can say "She's already dead".

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/EricTopol/status/1321466255124033537

[Bandit3 the Worker]

https://twitter.com/EricTopol/status/1321466255124033537

Why does CovidActNow say Nebraska is the highest with 21.8%? They have Wisconsin down at 12.1%, and no big states are even that high.

[Fargobison]

Those numbers mean a ton of people with Covid are going around undetected. There are health care organizations in SD that are begging leadership to listen but they are tone deaf.

In ND mask mandates are starting to happen but a few mayors and city commissioners are being drug kicking and screaming to make it happen.  

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

What is the source for the claim that testing has decreased? 

It is true that positivity rate has increased.  But according the Covid Tracking Project and the Johns Hopkins tracker, testing is also still increasing this week as it has been for the last 6-8 weeks.



https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/testing/individual-states

[Beet]

Decease - Covid
Dem Cure - save White Wealthy Urban Bachelor Libs, throw Poor/Low-Educated/Minority under Lock-down bus by false, racist rhetoric Grandma vs Economy.
Good work, everyone, good work...

Alternative take: Pandemic exposes what the Dems have been saying all along - women, minorities, the poor/low educated are particularly vulnerable economically and should get more government support via progressive economics as the long term solution (as opposed to ignoring the pandemic, which also kills the poor and minorities disproportionately).

[Beet]

This is bad news:

https://twitter.com/ReutersScience/status/1321153048236957697?s=20