OH-Sen 2022: So you’re telling me there’s a chance

[TodayJunior]

Vance surge suggests Kemp could have a hard race coming once Trump steps in Georgia.

Ohio is tailor made for trump. Georgia is not. It won’t work everywhere.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Vance surge suggests Kemp could have a hard race coming once Trump steps in Georgia.

Ohio is tailor made for trump. Georgia is not. It won’t work everywhere.

I mean it will work in Georgia for other statewide races.. Raffensperger is likely DOA.

[Red Wall]

So... how's that Dolan surge looking?

Very real, he went from single digits to >20% support in the span of like a week. What kind of comment is that?

All he did was receiving votes from democrats who crossed to the GOP primary to stop Vance/Mandel. His early voting heavy pattern screams democrats hijacking the primary just like how Thad Cochran survived in 2014.

[Schiff for Senate]

Vance surge suggests Kemp could have a hard race coming once Trump steps in Georgia.

Trump has been stepping in for ages. Kemp will win easily.

This. Kemp will easy win the nomination, and based on his approvals right now, the general won't be too tough either. I'd say the nomination is Safe Kemp and the general is about Lean Kemp.

[Nyvin]

So... how's that Dolan surge looking?

Very real, he went from single digits to >20% support in the span of like a week. What kind of comment is that?

All he did was receiving votes from democrats who crossed to the GOP primary to stop Vance/Mandel. His early voting heavy pattern screams democrats hijacking the primary just like how Thad Cochran survived in 2014.

He's not a Trump fanatic, but he seems pretty conservative when I read about him.   He's definitely not a moderate in the same accord as Collins or Murkowski.

[BuckeyeNut]

So... how's that Dolan surge looking?

Very real, he went from single digits to >20% support in the span of like a week. What kind of comment is that?

All he did was receiving votes from democrats who crossed to the GOP primary to stop Vance/Mandel. His early voting heavy pattern screams democrats hijacking the primary just like how Thad Cochran survived in 2014.

+100k Democrats didn't vote in the GOP primary.

Cope.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Is Vance the first Republican candidate to win a Senate nomination with raising taxes on corporations and the rich in his platform?

[2016]

So... how's that Dolan surge looking?

Very real, he went from single digits to >20% support in the span of like a week. What kind of comment is that?

All he did was receiving votes from democrats who crossed to the GOP primary to stop Vance/Mandel. His early voting heavy pattern screams democrats hijacking the primary just like how Thad Cochran survived in 2014.

+100k Democrats didn't vote in the GOP primary.

Cope.

Democrats are finished in OHIO for good just like it will be in FLORIDA.

[2016]

Vance surge suggests Kemp could have a hard race coming once Trump steps in Georgia.

Trump has been stepping in for ages. Kemp will win easily.

If Perdue overperforms by the same margin Vance did in Ohio the GA Governor GOP Primary is going to a Runoff.
This. Kemp will easy win the nomination, and based on his approvals right now, the general won't be too tough either. I'd say the nomination is Safe Kemp and the general is about Lean Kemp.

[Schiff for Senate]

Vance surge suggests Kemp could have a hard race coming once Trump steps in Georgia.

Trump has been stepping in for ages. Kemp will win easily.

If Perdue overperforms by the same margin Vance did in Ohio the GA Governor GOP Primary is going to a Runoff.
This. Kemp will easy win the nomination, and based on his approvals right now, the general won't be too tough either. I'd say the nomination is Safe Kemp and the general is about Lean Kemp.

Don't you worry, I'll be proven right when Perdue loses. It's on May 24, so 3 weeks from now. Not all endorsements of Trump's work (see AL, where he endorsed firebrand conservative Brooks - and then Brooks did so badly and it was so clear he was going to lose even Trump unendorsed him).

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/timryan/status/1521665423430893568

It’s such a shame Ryan is going to lose because he’s running such a good campaign

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

https://twitter.com/timryan/status/1521665423430893568

It’s such a shame Ryan is going to lose because he’s running such a good campaign

Why can’t dems run like this in actually winnable districts?

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

https://twitter.com/TimRyan/status/1521665423430893568?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7C...


I disagree with the contents but for Ohio along with the China ad might prove that Tim Ryan is running the most competent democratic senate campaign.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Good, I hope we get some polls some the lack of polling in WI, OH and PA is ridiculous

[OSR stands with Israel]

If this was a 6th year itch , Ryan probably would have had a chance of a huge upset here given not only Vance but how atrocious the entire primary field was here . Though Portman may not have retired in that case in which case it would still be Safe R

[S019]

It's not going to matter, there is no way Republicans lose this seat even in a neutral year, let alone a GOP leaning one.

If this was a 6th year itch , Ryan probably would have had a chance of a huge upset here given not only Vance but how atrocious the entire primary field was here . Though Portman may not have retired in that case in which case it would still be Safe R

Given how far right Ohio has drifted, it's possible Republicans would still be favored in a GOP midterm, and even if Ryan were to pull it off, it'd be an obvious rental.

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

https://twitter.com/MattBraynard/status/1521686857729421312

[OSR stands with Israel]

If this was a 6th year itch , Ryan probably would have had a chance of a huge upset here given not only Vance but how atrocious the entire primary field was here . Though Portman may not have retired in that case in which case it would still be Safe R

Given how far right Ohio has drifted, it's possible Republicans would still be favored in a GOP midterm, and even if Ryan were to pull it off, it'd be an obvious rental.

Oh absolutely but it could be the GOP's version of 2014 CO in this case . With Mandel it could have been even a repeat of 2012 MO in that case

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's not going to matter, there is no way Republicans lose this seat even in a neutral year, let alone a GOP leaning one.

If this was a 6th year itch , Ryan probably would have had a chance of a huge upset here given not only Vance but how atrocious the entire primary field was here . Though Portman may not have retired in that case in which case it would still be Safe R

Given how far right Ohio has drifted, it's possible Republicans would still be favored in a GOP midterm, and even if Ryan were to pull it off, it'd be an obvious rental.

That's what you say that's your opinion

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's not going to matter, there is no way Republicans lose this seat even in a neutral year, let alone a GOP leaning one.

If this was a 6th year itch , Ryan probably would have had a chance of a huge upset here given not only Vance but how atrocious the entire primary field was here . Though Portman may not have retired in that case in which case it would still be Safe R

Given how far right Ohio has drifted, it's possible Republicans would still be favored in a GOP midterm, and even if Ryan were to pull it off, it'd be an obvious rental.

Yeah OH drifted so right Sherrod Brown won in 2018 after Portman won by 2016 we are still waiting for OH, WI and PA polls they keep pulling Latino States .

It's called Afo Americans, Muslim and Female votes

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

While everyone is talking about Vance and Dolan I'd just like to shoutout Gibbons for torpedoing his entire campaign in a single day by pushing for a Ukrainian no-fly zone (probably not huge but he blew whatever goodwill his Rand Paul endorsement won with me) and following it up by pushing for middle class tax hikes (!!!???) thereby proving that sometimes debates do matter.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Vance is too far right for this seat

[S019]

If this was a 6th year itch , Ryan probably would have had a chance of a huge upset here given not only Vance but how atrocious the entire primary field was here . Though Portman may not have retired in that case in which case it would still be Safe R

Given how far right Ohio has drifted, it's possible Republicans would still be favored in a GOP midterm, and even if Ryan were to pull it off, it'd be an obvious rental.

Oh absolutely but it could be the GOP's version of 2014 CO in this case . With Mandel it could have been even a repeat of 2012 MO in that case

It would have never been a repeat of 2012 Missouri, also in 2014 in Colorado, it was still considered a swing state, Ohio is not really a swing state anymore.

It's not going to matter, there is no way Republicans lose this seat even in a neutral year, let alone a GOP leaning one.

If this was a 6th year itch , Ryan probably would have had a chance of a huge upset here given not only Vance but how atrocious the entire primary field was here . Though Portman may not have retired in that case in which case it would still be Safe R

Given how far right Ohio has drifted, it's possible Republicans would still be favored in a GOP midterm, and even if Ryan were to pull it off, it'd be an obvious rental.

Yeah OH drifted so right Sherrod Brown won in 2018 after Portman won by 2016 we are still waiting for OH, WI and PA polls they keep pulling Latino States .

It's called Afo Americans, Muslim and Female votes

Brown was very lucky to face an awful opponent, he is almost certainly going down in 2024, and there's a good chance he goes down by double digits.

[Vice President Christian Man]

Is Vance the first Republican candidate to win a Senate nomination with raising taxes on corporations and the rich in his platform?

I think so

[Pericles]

Tim Ryan knows how to talk to these people, but they just aren't listening this year.