Which Dem is most likely to outperform polling?

[morgieb]

I'm not sure any of them do (out of the ones you named so not including CCM/Warnock), but I voted Fetterman as it's the sort of race that if you took the two candidates and knew nothing about their positions you'd expect Fetterman to be the Republican and Oz the Dem. Traditionally the hardest pollster to get is the Obama/Trump voter.....Fetterman seems fairly appealing to that type and Oz is really repulsive to that type of voter.

I will now accept my accolades.