OH-Sen 2022: So you’re telling me there’s a chance
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 18, 2024, 10:59:51 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  OH-Sen 2022: So you’re telling me there’s a chance		 « previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 75
Author Topic: OH-Sen 2022: So you’re telling me there’s a chance  (Read 94706 times)
JMT
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,109


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: January 25, 2021, 10:36:26 AM »
« edited: July 08, 2022, 12:12:42 PM by Brittain33 »
I didn’t see a mega thread for Ohio Senate. Please feel free to merge if I missed it.

Logged
Skye
yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,580
Venezuela


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: January 25, 2021, 10:36:29 AM »


Now this is a surprising move.
Logged
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,633
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: January 25, 2021, 10:37:50 AM »
Surprising, since he's for sure safe in the GE. Possible this increases the chance for him to vote for Trump conviction.

Let's just hope Jim Jordan won't replace him.
Logged
Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,545


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: January 25, 2021, 10:38:04 AM »
Moves from safe R to very likely R.
Logged
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: January 25, 2021, 10:38:50 AM »
Still Titanium R.
Logged
wesmoorenerd
westroopnerd
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,600
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -7.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: January 25, 2021, 10:40:16 AM »

Calling this race "titanium R" is a complete misuse of the term. It's likely R.
Logged
If my soul was made of stone
discovolante
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,261
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.13, S: -5.57

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: January 25, 2021, 10:40:18 AM »
Didn't see this coming at all. Hoping this doesn't embolden Dem donors to burn piles of money Joker-style on what is still most likely an unwinnable race, but they probably will anyway if only because people probably still see Ohio as The Swing State™. Maybe if Jim Jordan gets the nomination it could be a fair bit tighter than Portman's blowouts, but it still won't amount to anything.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: January 25, 2021, 10:40:34 AM »
Safe R to Safe R, but the margin could be a bit smaller for Republicans now.
Logged
Grumpier Than Thou
20RP12
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 38,320
United States
Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -7.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: January 25, 2021, 10:41:54 AM »
My first reaction was delight. Even if this seat seems out of our hands, we could make a play and try to at least make a dent in the margin.

Then I realized that this means Jim Jordan is probably going to run. I want to die.
Logged
ProgressiveModerate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,705


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: January 25, 2021, 10:43:42 AM »
Not sure what to make of this. On the one hand, this seat moves from unwinnable to winnable in a perfect storm, but on the other hand, most Republicans are a downgrade from Portman.
Logged
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: January 25, 2021, 10:45:33 AM »
Quote from: Diogenes of Bethesda on January 25, 2021, 10:40:16 AM

Calling this race "titanium R" is a complete misuse of the term. It's likely R.

Even if 2022 is a decent midterm for Democrats, I'd still expect Democrats to lose *some* ground in the Midwest. Even if it's not "Titanium R", it's Safe R.
Logged
lfromnj
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,323


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: January 25, 2021, 10:45:53 AM »
Both Ohio and Georgia will flip.
Logged
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,673


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: January 25, 2021, 10:47:02 AM »
This sucks , as he was one of the best senators
Logged
JMT
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,109


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: January 25, 2021, 10:47:08 AM »
This news probably helps Mike DeWine. Some of the folks considering a run against DeWine in the primary (Jim Jordan, Jim Renacci etc.) may jump into an open senate race rather than running against an incumbent in the gubernatorial primary.
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,085


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: January 25, 2021, 10:47:26 AM »
Hm, wondering if he'll vote to convict now.
Logged
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: January 25, 2021, 10:47:55 AM »

imo GA will be a GA-SEN 2008 runoff redux and OH will be an OH-SEN 2006 redux
Logged
😥
andjey
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,510
Ukraine
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: January 25, 2021, 10:49:17 AM »
In my opinion, this is a signal that he will vote for the conviction  of Trump. For Democrats, that doesn't change anything unless Jim Jordan becomes a Republican nominee

Early rating
With Portman: Safe R
Without Portman: Likely R
Without Portman, Jordan is R nominee: Tilt / Lean R
Logged
Pollster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,758


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: January 25, 2021, 10:49:59 AM »
Wonder if the seat being open gets Tim Ryan to finally pull the trigger on a statewide run.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,283
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: January 25, 2021, 10:53:16 AM »
FYCK ANOTHER OPEN SEAT

I’ve been writing to Grassley's office and BEGGING him not to retire since November, and now this.
Logged
Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,545


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: January 25, 2021, 10:55:53 AM »
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on January 25, 2021, 10:43:42 AM
Not sure what to make of this. On the one hand, this seat moves from unwinnable to winnable in a perfect storm, but on the other hand, most Republicans are a downgrade from Portman.

When has Portman ever voted with Dems on anything of significance?
Logged
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,576
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: January 25, 2021, 10:56:16 AM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on January 25, 2021, 10:53:16 AM
FYCK ANOTHER OPEN SEAT

I’ve been writing to Grassley's office and BEGGING him not to retire since November, and now this.

i think dems might get 60 seats at this rate. must be tough to be a republican these day, huh
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: January 25, 2021, 10:56:33 AM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on January 25, 2021, 10:53:16 AM
FYCK ANOTHER OPEN SEAT

I’ve been writing to Grassley's office and BEGGING him not to retire since November, and now this.

Even Grassley wouldn’t be able to hold that seat against Senator-elect Abby Purple heart, though.
Logged
JMT
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,109


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: January 25, 2021, 10:57:33 AM »
Also, I wonder what Jon Husted will do? I think he’d have a tough time in the primary running for senate next year. My guess is that he runs for re-election on a ticket with DeWine, and will try to run for Governor in 2026.
Logged
Pollster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,758


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: January 25, 2021, 10:58:02 AM »
How much money will McConnell dump into this primary to stop Jim Jordan?
Logged
Skye
yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,580
Venezuela


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: January 25, 2021, 10:58:14 AM »
Cook already downgrading the race all the way to Lean R:



A bit questionable, but maybe they think if, say, a candidate like Jim Jordan wins the primary it could be more competitive than it should.

Quote from: MT Treasurer on January 25, 2021, 10:53:16 AM
FYCK ANOTHER OPEN SEAT

I’ve been writing to Grassley's office and BEGGING him not to retire since November, and now this.

I'd pay to see those messages.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 75  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.054 seconds with 11 queries.