OH-Sen 2022: So you’re telling me there’s a chance (user search)
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  OH-Sen 2022: So you’re telling me there’s a chance (search mode)
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Author Topic: OH-Sen 2022: So you’re telling me there’s a chance  (Read 94969 times)
Ferguson97
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« on: June 18, 2021, 03:28:15 PM »


Yikes....
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #1 on: June 18, 2021, 03:45:27 PM »
Quote from: CookieDamage on June 18, 2021, 03:29:53 PM
Turning a race that should be likely/Safe R into a competitive race... but then again it's Ohio lmao

Bold to assume this isn't a selling point for his voters...
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #2 on: September 22, 2021, 01:26:53 PM »
Trump 2016 got more votes than Biden 2020.

Democrats have absolutely zero shot here, which sucks since Tim Ryan is great. Josh Mandel is going to be an awful Senator.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #3 on: December 02, 2021, 05:05:37 PM »


It sucks that Tim Ryan's gonna lose by like 8+ points, he's really great.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #4 on: December 28, 2021, 02:41:28 PM »
Lol what a lunatic
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #5 on: December 28, 2021, 04:56:25 PM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on December 28, 2021, 03:48:50 PM
I actually think Mandel is seriously misreading the Republican electorate if he thinks this is the stuff he needs to go all in with excessive, performative, and hilariously unnatural-sounding/insincere pandering. It’s like he just read a transcript of Pat Buchanan's 1992 RNC speech and thought "yes, Pat Buchanan talked about culture wars, and culture wars are what propelled Trump to the presidency, so this is what my party's base wants to hear in the year 2022."

He’s just not very good at this, and I’m even less confident about him winning the R primary now. I mean, "Judeo-Christian values"? Seriously?

Oh I completely disagree, this is exactly what the Republican electorate wants to hear IMO.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #6 on: January 17, 2022, 11:45:52 AM »
Quote from: The Pieman on January 03, 2022, 07:44:55 PM
Mandel is not leading by that much in polling and most of the other candidates are catching up. I have no idea why you think he has a lock on the nomination.

Because he's like the perfect representation of what the GOP base wants, and Vance is a complete phony.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #7 on: January 25, 2022, 01:36:37 PM »
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #8 on: March 18, 2022, 11:45:56 PM »
Quote from: Suburbia on February 22, 2022, 05:44:12 PM
It's shameful. Ohio Democrats in 2022 and 2024, if Brown is likely to lose, needs to go to the drawing board and see what they did right in 2006 and 2008.

2006 and 2008 were Democratic wave years.

2022 is going to be a Republican wave year, and 2024 will be neutral at best.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #9 on: April 04, 2022, 10:45:35 PM »
I wish Ryan wasn't DOA because he's perfect for the state.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #10 on: April 05, 2022, 09:27:05 AM »
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #11 on: April 06, 2022, 02:41:09 PM »
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #12 on: April 09, 2022, 02:24:42 PM »
It really is a shame that the national environment basically makes it impossible for Tim Ryan to win... he's pretty great on the issues and all of the Republicans are completely insane.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #13 on: April 14, 2022, 12:36:57 PM »
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #14 on: April 15, 2022, 02:06:34 AM »
Quote from: Arizona Iced Tea on April 14, 2022, 09:24:37 PM
Quote from: The Pieman on April 14, 2022, 09:11:46 PM
I don't think a letter from the Ohio establishment will change his mind. The only thing that could possibly affect his thinking is that laughably fake poll Mandel pushed out today that Trump could take seriously.
He needs to endorse soon though; early voting has already begun for nearly a week now.

I imagine those who are waiting for Trump's endorsement would just vote in-person, no?
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #15 on: April 15, 2022, 07:14:30 PM »
Quote from: Calthrina950 on April 15, 2022, 05:19:45 PM
I've also said before that I feel many posters on here wish that this would be a one-party country, with Democrats, and only Democrats, holding political power.

As long as the elections were free and fair, what’s wrong with this?
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #16 on: April 20, 2022, 12:40:36 AM »
Quote from: Grassroots on April 19, 2022, 07:06:18 PM
Ohio-senate is solid R with any Republican nominee not named Josh Mandel. Stop kidding yourselves.

I really don't get the argument that Mandel is a weaker candidate.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #17 on: April 28, 2022, 11:34:00 PM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on April 28, 2022, 11:31:36 PM
Establishment Republicans have such contempt for their voters. In Josh Mandel's case, his performance art is a projection of what he thinks his base acts like and thinks like. He thinks they're stupid, and I'm guessing most Republicans in Washington would privately agree.

Yeah I feel like establishment Republicans are bitter over the trend of non-college whites shifting to them/college-whites shifting to the Dems because they despise them, even though it's an electoral benefit for them.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #18 on: May 01, 2022, 07:28:53 PM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on May 01, 2022, 07:25:59 PM
[ ] Matt Dolan
[ ] Mike Gibbons
[ ] Josh Mandel
[ ] Neil Patel
[ ] Mark Pukita
[ ] Jane Timken
[ ] J.D. Vance
  • Write-in: J.P. J.D. Mandel
Dumb question, what is the legal mechanism if a non-existent person won a write-in election?
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #19 on: May 03, 2022, 10:05:17 PM »


It’s such a shame Ryan is going to lose because he’s running such a good campaign
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #20 on: May 10, 2022, 12:59:47 PM »
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #21 on: July 08, 2022, 07:06:57 PM »
Quote from: AncestralDemocrat. on July 08, 2022, 01:49:07 PM
Quote from: The Harlot of Versailles on July 08, 2022, 01:44:06 PM
Quote from: AncestralDemocrat. on July 08, 2022, 01:35:22 PM
Quote from: Citizen Wesley on July 08, 2022, 10:59:53 AM

This is legitimately so atrocious it has to be some kind of paperwork quirk or error, right?
It's first quarter.. i.e before he was the nominee.

That doesn’t make that number any better
It's a poor number, but obviously it's not reflective of his fundraising during the general campaign which the tweet was trying to suggest.. he was languishing in single digits during the primary before trump endorsed him.. which this fundraising period covers.

I work in campaign fundraising… even for someone in that position, that’s atrocious.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #22 on: July 26, 2022, 09:11:07 AM »
Quote from: MillennialModerate on July 26, 2022, 08:36:19 AM
It’s a shame this wasn’t in a Dem friendly year. This would be a Dem pickup.

I always liked Ryan even when people were calling him stale and bland. Not to mention Vance is a POS

Yeah, on paper this is pretty much an ideal race for the Ohio Democrats - moderate-ish Democrat with a proven track record and working class support vs a Republican who is a complete phony and backed by Peter Thiel.

If this were even a neutral cycle, I'd probably say that Ryan has the advantage.

It sucks that the national environment will pull Vance over the finish line.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #23 on: August 17, 2022, 07:24:55 PM »
It's Vance+3

Vance 45%, Ryan 42%
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #24 on: August 17, 2022, 07:28:13 PM »
Quote from: SnowLabrador on August 17, 2022, 07:25:33 PM

Safe R. It's not getting any better for Ryan from here on out.

Safe R is ridiculous, that's reserved for states like Wyoming or Idaho.

If you want to call it Likely R, fine, but Safe R? Especially when Vance has been doing everything wrong and Ryan has been doing everything right, it's somewhere between Lean R and Likely R.
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