Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration

[wbrocks67]

FWIW, here is the TargetEarly modeled electorate for Early vote, now up to date-

Dems 603K (53%)
Reps 352K (31%)
Unaffiliated 183K (16%)
= 1.14M

https://targetearly.targetsmart.com/g2021?demo_filters=%5B%7B%22key%22%3A%22modeledParty%22%2C%22value%22%3A%22All%22%7D%5D&state=VA

L2 Data is predicting a similar early vote:

Dems 608K
Reps 337K
Una 66K

Those are still a day or two outdated though

https://twitter.com/L2political/status/1455315168108351490

[wbrocks67]

People here are really taking a Youngkin internal at face value?

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/TheGoodLiars/status/1455243036795998212

Videos like this are always dumb.  Like, do you think that if they found a Youngkin voter who could actually articulate what CRT is they would be plastering his facae on social media trying to get him to go viral?  lol

My money says 95% of Youngkin voters cannot do this.  Yet it's their number 1 issue.  

C'mon, man, c'mon! Everyone intuitively knows, what CRT is. It's White People BAAAD. As simple as that. A lot of {white} libs think this way, and believe or not, some of them are teachers. And, of course, some will inject it in some way in theirs teaching.


Condoleezza Rice explains like a Queen she is, what many normie parents worry about:

https://twitter.com/realchrisrufo/status/1451038600242544642
Here is the full video:

Spoiler alert! Click Show to show the content.

Show

Youngkin/GOP should make an ad of it.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

The Youngkin campaign is trying to pretend like it's massively ahead.
That seems like a bad tactical decision but maybe they calculate that this will generate the rural VA turnout he needs.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

People here are really taking a Youngkin internal at face value?

It IMO gives us more value than Early Voting #s to be honest.

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/TheGoodLiars/status/1455243036795998212

Videos like this are always dumb.  Like, do you think that if they found a Youngkin voter who could actually articulate what CRT is they would be plastering his facae on social media trying to get him to go viral?  lol

My money says 95% of Youngkin voters cannot do this.  Yet it's their number 1 issue.  

C'mon, man, c'mon! Everyone intuitively knows, what CRT is. It's White People BAAAD. As simple as that. A lot of {white} libs think this way, and believe or not, some of them are teachers. And, of course, some will inject it in some way in theirs teaching.


Condoleezza Rice explains like a Queen she is, what many normie parents worry about:

https://twitter.com/realchrisrufo/status/1451038600242544642
Here is the full video:

Spoiler alert! Click Show to show the content.

Show

Youngkin/GOP should make an ad of it.

A) that is still not what CRT is, and a gross and exaggerated mischaracterization of the actual details of the theoory
B) once again, CRT is not taught in any public schools in the entire country, much less VA.

[lfromnj]

https://twitter.com/TheGoodLiars/status/1455243036795998212

Videos like this are always dumb.  Like, do you think that if they found a Youngkin voter who could actually articulate what CRT is they would be plastering his facae on social media trying to get him to go viral?  lol

My money says 95% of Youngkin voters cannot do this.  Yet it's their number 1 issue.  

C'mon, man, c'mon! Everyone intuitively knows, what CRT is. It's White People BAAAD. As simple as that. A lot of {white} libs think this way, and believe or not, some of them are teachers. And, of course, some will inject it in some way in theirs teaching.


Condoleezza Rice explains like a Queen she is, what many normie parents worry about:

https://twitter.com/realchrisrufo/status/1451038600242544642
Here is the full video:

Spoiler alert! Click Show to show the content.

Show

Youngkin/GOP should make an ad of it.

That is an important part I think is framed wrong in the debate but you nailed. Teaching CRT is a meh idea but could be introduced to higher level classes like marxist or feminist critical analysis. The actual issue is implementing it in the way you teach.

[wbrocks67]

Guess there was logistical reasons why Virginia Beach didn't happen

https://twitter.com/shannonrwatts/status/1455314059679645698

[wbrocks67]

People here are really taking a Youngkin internal at face value?

It IMO gives us more value than Early Voting #s to be honest.

Except for the fact that early voting #s are actual votes, versus an internal from a campaign, that can really juiced up #s that may or may not be close to reality.

And I've maintained that as far as we can tell, the only thing we can definitively glean from the EV is that both sides are engaged.

[jamestroll]

Virginia Democrats leaning state

Michigan swing state

California solid dem

Deal with it!

[wbrocks67]

This is pretty cool

https://twitter.com/mcbyrne/status/1455309096538845187

[Horus]

McAuliffe's crowds always look as white as Youngkin's. Surprising in a diverse state like VA.

[Non Swing Voter]

McAuliffe's crowds always look as white as Youngkin's. Surprising in a diverse state like VA.

Depends where in the state he's going.  The rallies in the Virginia Beach area were mostly black people.  The rallies in Richmond were mixed.  The NOVA rallies were extremely white.

[jamestroll]

Win or lose i am proud I was voter 3 in fairfax county on September 17th

[fhtagn]

This is pretty cool

https://twitter.com/mcbyrne/status/1455309096538845187

lmao that's just embarrassing

[lfromnj]

This is pretty cool

https://twitter.com/mcbyrne/status/1455309096538845187

I don't get it? It just seems to be a projector onto a house?

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

This is pretty cool

https://twitter.com/mcbyrne/status/1455309096538845187

I don't get it? It just seems to be a projector onto a house?

It's cool to see modern projecting technology on the campaign trail. It'd be neat regardless of which candidate was doing it.

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

don't agree with some of Bill Scher's framing of the issues themselves, but he's right that CRT is being overblown as the supposed central issue of the campaign and the reason Youngkin is competitive
https://washingtonmonthly.com/2021/10/29/glenn-youngkins-cheerful-culture-war/

No doubt if Youngkin wins, or barely loses, the preponderance of hot takes will be along these lines—that backlash over critical race theory and policies toward transgender students reversed Virginia’s 21st-century blue trend. But such hasty conclusions would gloss over much of what Youngkin has done right and what former Democratic Governor Terry McAuliffe has done wrong to make the race competitive.

Yes, it’s true that Youngkin has said he would ban critical race theory in Virginia classrooms (even though it isn’t taught in Virginia classrooms). And he has defended a Loudoun County teacher who refuses to address transgender students by their preferred pronouns. But contrary to Hochman’s implication, Youngkin took those stances back in the spring.

In the Real Clear Politics poll average, McAuliffe’s margin has steadily ticked downward, from a five-point lead on October 1 to about a one-point lead a week before the election. What happened just before that decline? McAuliffe foolishly said in a September 28th debate, “I don’t think parents should be telling schools what they should teach.”

McAuliffe didn’t say that in regard to critical race theory or gender identity policies, but in regard to books containing sexually explicit content assigned by teachers and available in school libraries. Youngkin had just referenced a recent controversy, fueled by parents at a school board meeting, about two books in Fairfax County’s high school libraries that had such content. (On the day of the debate, the two books were temporarily removed from the libraries, pending a formal review.) And Youngkin criticized McAuliffe for vetoing a bill when he was governor that would have given parents the ability to opt their children out of assignments dealing with books that had sexually explicit content. “You believe school systems should tell children what to do,” said Youngkin. “I believe parents should be in charge of their kids’ education.”

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Win or lose i am proud I was voter 3 in fairfax county on September 17th

Best of luck man! Vote early, vote often!

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

another under-discussed issue on the education front:  less than half of Virginia students are were in person school full time as late as June.

https://twitter.com/ifihadastick/status/1455319645154693126?s=20

[lfromnj]

another under-discussed issue on the education front:  less than half of Virginia students are in person school full time

https://twitter.com/ifihadastick/status/1455319645154693126?s=20

Isn't that during the Spring?

I assume its 95% now?

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

another under-discussed issue on the education front:  less than half of Virginia students are in person school full time

https://twitter.com/ifihadastick/status/1455319645154693126?s=20

Isn't that during the Spring?

I assume its 95% now?

huh, I guess you're right. I'm not sure what the current number is.  Still having them out of in-person school for so long is an issue of dissatisfaction for a lot of people.

[lfromnj]

another under-discussed issue on the education front:  less than half of Virginia students are in person school full time

https://twitter.com/ifihadastick/status/1455319645154693126?s=20

Isn't that during the Spring?

I assume its 95% now?

huh, I guess you're right. I'm not sure what the current number is.  Still having them out of in-person school for so long is an issue of dissatisfaction for a lot of people.

Yeah Chap Petersen was the Democrat who called them out the rest of the party on the issue.

[Hammy]

The Youngkin campaign is trying to pretend like it's massively ahead.
That seems like a bad tactical decision but maybe they calculate that this will generate the rural VA turnout he needs.

Seems like he's trying to lay the groundwork for a "stolen election" narrative should he lose, convince his supporters that fraud was the only possible thing that could've happened. 

[NOVA Green]

Guess there was logistical reasons why Virginia Beach didn't happen

https://twitter.com/shannonrwatts/status/1455314059679645698

Is this logistical or tactical?

Meaning is the TMAC campaign looking at it like better to boost ED TO in NoVA vs trying to build up SE-VA?

I'm wondering if part of it has to do with potential for mail delays (which are even listed on the Fairfax County website) so they figure better to gin up margins in the North (plus free and generally favorable local media coverage) vs trying to scrounge up additional votes in SE-VA?

Thought Youngkin was supposed to be in SE VA today as well?