Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration

[lfromnj]

https://mobile.twitter.com/vpapupdates/status/1336691653692813317

Lee Carter files.

[lfromnj]

https://mobile.twitter.com/gmoomaw/status/1338480268097835013

For says that talking about experience is a racist dogwhistle.

[lfromnj]

https://twitter.com/carterforva/status/1345053262848946177


Carter officialy announced.

[lfromnj]

https://www.wjhl.com/news/local/virginia-state-sen-ben-chafin-dies-from-covid-19-complications/


SW  Ben Chafin  SD-38 VA state senator dies of COVID.

[lfromnj]

Between tomorrow and Nov 2nd, Glenn Youngkin has the resources to blast the airwaves, digital ads, and mailers.. literally 24 hours a day.. which does scare me.

Yeah Im sure an ex DNC chair and former governor will have no resources.

[lfromnj]

The big lesson here is: There is ZERO chance that Democrats will continue to perform as well as they have during the Trump era with college educated whites.

It would really help the signal to noise ratio of this entire thread if you didn’t post anything unless you had some hard facts or logic behind them.

Look at the results of the Georgia Special Elections in January. Oh and of course the result of VA HOD special election in district 2. A district is is nearly unanimously college educated white.

HD02 is like 49% CVAP white lol.

[lfromnj]

I know Lee Carter is a DSAer, but is there any reason beyond that that Atlas doesn't seem to like him much? I haven't really been following what he's been up to.

He's extremely annoying on twitter and spends more time there than being a representative

Its not the US house.
the VA house is a part time job for a month or 2 per year.

[lfromnj]

https://twitter.com/Jaaavis/status/1450199344863399939

[lfromnj]

The only way Youngkin wins is if turnout is low enough among Democrats. Fortunately for him, that might well happen.

Turnout (Voted by mail, ballot app, early vote)

10th district (Dem) = 88,533
9th district (GOP) = 45,798

Well yeah it looks great for the Dems when you compare a hugely overpopulated, growing district, with an underpopulated, shrinking district. You could also look at turnout like this:

3rd district (Dem) = 55,933
1st district (GOP) = 81,743

I mean the 3rd is still pretty Safe Dem while the 1st isn't netting that many votes for the GOP anymore(maybe if they are close statewide it will)

[lfromnj]

I just drove through some heavily Korean neighborhoods in Annandale (Fairfax County) on the way to a restaurant.

I have never seen such a high concentration of political signs in one place - literally every house had Youngkin signs up. My anecdotal conclusion is that NoVA Asians are breaking hard for Youngkin. It also feels like the Youngkin campaign is very well organized in the community.

Oh sh-
I thought suburban East Asians would swing D over time, but dang. Thanks for the update!

It's probably just the few Rs being more outspoken there. I guess maybe a few local issues based on school stuff as the TJ testing change may not be too popular among East Asians(Replacing Asians with whites/blacks/hispanics although it was pretty fair here, unlike the goal in NYC)

[lfromnj]

The fact that Youngkin will most likely lose shows we live in a partisan hellhole now and we may be entering an era where even gubernatorial elections results are like federal race results .

To be fair, I think this has been true for a while. Outside of New England, the only states in 2018 to buck their partisan leaning in gubernatorial races were Kansas and Maryland, and I guess you could argue that South Dakota came close.

Well you had Kentucky and Louisiana in 2019, And Oregon was relatively close as well in 2018 given national conditions.

Right, but the best good Democratic candidates could do against horrible Republican candidates in KY and LA were razor-thin victories, and Buehler was the best Republicans could do and still didn't come that close. Overall, a far cry from 2006, when many states elected governors from the other party.

Was there anything that bad about Rispone?

[lfromnj]

Has Youngkin done any rallies recently in SWVA?

[lfromnj]

https://twitter.com/redsteeze/status/1454138075697725440?s=20

[lfromnj]

What an odd situation...This just made an already bizarre election even weirder. I'm confused. Something fishy is going on with this but I'm not quite sure whether the Dems or the GOP look worse with this story.

How could this story possibly make the Republican Party look bad?

If it's proven that the whole story of Democrats posing is a lie, that could make the GOP seem a lot less trustworthy.

There is absolutely no indication of this

Maybe, but there's no truly definitive proof that this is a Democratic farce at the moment either.

You're completely right, black and female Democratic staffers suddenly being all in on white supremacy should be an ever growing concern for the American society. Or, you know, maybe admit that T-Mac made a terrible blunder here.

I mean it could just be idiot staffers having fun while not even covering their tracks
https://twitter.com/emrazz/status/1158504398164766720

[lfromnj]

Because of course:

https://twitter.com/davidmackau/status/1454195114256093191

Skeptical, most of the people investigated have direct connections with the Virginia Democrats so it seems the Lincoln Project is just trying to take the blame .

[lfromnj]

Of course the Lincoln Project would do this type of 💩.

Not surprising at all lmao. The LP is nothing more than cat nip for the resistant twitter libs.

They didn't do it lol. Why would Dem staffers be coordinating with the LP

[lfromnj]

Because of course:

https://twitter.com/davidmackau/status/1454195114256093191

Skeptical, most of the people investigated have direct connections with the Virginia Democrats so it seems the Lincoln Project is just trying to take the blame .

I mean the Lincoln project is just a bunch of Dems anyway so both could be true.

Sure but the LP doing it gives the Youngkin campaign plausible deniability
https://mobile.twitter.com/alec_sears/status/1454135032738721796

Honwstly its just a poorly done photo op and just standard dirty campaign stuff but don't let the LP take credit for this sh**t.

[lfromnj]

Communications Director for Youngkin

https://twitter.com/MattWolking/status/1454198042639355905?s=20

Idiots should realize the LP wasn't involved at all. They didn't tweet about this when the picture first came out.

[lfromnj]

Sally Hudson (VA state legislator D)

https://twitter.com/SallyLHudson/status/1454198427064180742?s=20

If it is this bad then she should demand TMAC fire any staffers involved  but she won't because she is just trying to save the day by deflecting on the obvious fall guys.

[lfromnj]

as someone who's worked with the mcauliffe team since march, I can tell yall that if he loses it is fully because of the terrible organization of his campaign. the loudoun and Fairfax dems are also  absolutely awful at their jobs and have let the GOP completely control the narrative. meanwhile they are handwriting postcards to safe d houses asking them to vote... at the early voting location in loudoun there are 5 GOP helpers handing out voting guides and not a single democrat there.... they truly do not have their sh**t together. trumpkin was a campaign tactic doomed to fail when the GOP candidate is essentially mitt romney... this was a perfect storm of sh**tty campaigning from the dems, so if youngkin wins, I don't think it means anything about the partisanship of the state other than the fact that va dems are SOOO BADDD

Any individuals who are particularly incompetent in the VA Dems, or is it too broadly spread out to justify singling out anyone?

I know there was a major campaign restructuring in the summer for Terry's campaign that resulted in 2 months of dead silence while all the CRT/SB bullsh**t was going on, so that definitely didn't help. I don't think it is an issue with VA Dems as much as it is Terry's campaign just not knowing what they are doing. They clearly thought this race was safe until September so they didn't even campaign or do anything until that point whereas Youngkin has been out fighting all year. He has run an excellent campaign all things considered.


Also, as a Loudoun resident and LCPS student, I think it's crucial that everybody understands what is happening with this rape situation. The blame in placing this kid back into LCPS has nothing to do with the school board as it was out of their hands at that point (criminal charges). They legitimately did not know what happened as it was in the hands of the DA Buta Biberaj. I don't know why she decided the kid wasn't a risk (I've heard he was SPED) but she is the one who made the decision to place him back in schools, not the school board. Also, there is no evidence that this kid is trans or even was wearing a skirt other than what this girl said. I also want to say that the walkouts last week were not political in nature other than being mad at LCPS for tolerating rape culture in general (there was a specific situation at my school that exemplified this). As the kid literally in the front of the walkout, I can assure everyone on Atlas that it had nothing to do with trans kids, CRT, or the gubernatorial election in any way.

Also CRT is bullsh**t we learn the opposite so that's all a bunch of lies too

Seems that in general the school board might have been stuck in a damned-if-you-do, damned-if-you-don't situation?

Oh fully, there was nothing the school board could have done in this situation, period. It was completely out of their hands, to the point where they didn't even know what happened to this kid because it was a criminal matter at that point.

Who, if anyone, will suffer electorally on local level because of this scandal? The school board? The DA? County Executives?

Those elections are in 2023

[lfromnj]

Hahahahahahahaha

Did you make this ?

[lfromnj]

Yeah obviously no heartbeat bills or the like but expect some basic restrictions if Sears and the GOP HOD win.
Joe Morrissey will vote for stuff like waiting periods.

[lfromnj]

https://mobile.twitter.com/ReutersWorld/status/1454319717003497476

[lfromnj]

Bro there's trashing a poll and then saying its a psuedo internal

.

Anyway its fairly obvious they screwed up immensely in Arizona and that is why they took so long to call Nevada. Perhaps a bit too long but Arizona had the most garbage data analysis involved

The President(Trump) says he needs 61% of the remaining 870k. However that isn't possible as we only estimate he will get 44%.

Fact: He actually got 60% of the remaining vote.

[lfromnj]

https://twitter.com/DCtraveljunkie/status/1454818433732861955?s=20

Whitest area in Arlington has highest turnout
Next !.