Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration

[jamestroll]

https://mobile.twitter.com/KevinDaleyDC/status/1455292483953467401

I told yall this would happen and no it is not about ing Afghanistan like you said. lmaoo

but this does not mean that  Nova will become a GOP strong hold again. This is not the 1990s anymore.

It just means 2012 voting patterns in Nova may be more valid (very dem instead of titanium dem) and will make it very hard but not impossible for dems to win statewide going forward unless they get more wwc vote back.

The problem is, the GOP still lost the state even with those numbers.

You'll need Gillespie 2014 sorta numbers up there if you want to win as a Republican.

OMG.......... you misssed my point.

let me explain

BACK IN THE 2010S DECADE AND 2000S RURAL DEMOCRATS DID RESPECTABLE IN VIRGINIA. TMAC 2013 OR WARNER 2014 MARGINS IN NOVA IS NOT MATHEMATICALLY ENOUGH TO COUNTER THE REST OF THE STATE ANYMORE. ESPECIALLY WITH WHAT IS LOOMING IN HAMPTON ROADS AND HOW RURAL VA HAS STAYED PRETTY MUCH TRUMP NUMBERS!

[Cyrusman]

https://mobile.twitter.com/KevinDaleyDC/status/1455292483953467401

Holy sh**t! 14 points better in Loudan thank Trump!

[jamestroll]

https://mobile.twitter.com/KevinDaleyDC/status/1455292483953467401

Holy sh**t! 14 points better in Loudan thank Trump!

it doesnt mean loudoun will become a gop stronghold again lmao....

according to this tmac still wins it by 8 to 12 points.

and trumpkin probably over performs it.

my rating for loudoun: solid dem overall.

[lfromnj]

https://mobile.twitter.com/KevinDaleyDC/status/1455292483953467401

I told yall this would happen and no it is not about ing Afghanistan like you said. lmaoo

but this does not mean that  Nova will become a GOP strong hold again. This is not the 1990s anymore.

It just means 2012 voting patterns in Nova may be more valid (very dem instead of titanium dem) and will make it very hard but not impossible for dems to win statewide going forward unless they get more wwc vote back.

The problem is, the GOP still lost the state even with those numbers.

You'll need Gillespie 2014 sorta numbers up there if you want to win as a Republican.

Why would you need Gillespie 2014 numbers when rural VA is a lot more red. Maybe somewhere between 2012 and 2016.

[jamestroll]

but anyway I don't think the gop sweeps tomorrow but the downballot races are incredibly hard to predict.

but loudoun wont be a gop county just some morons are implying

[Chips]

https://mobile.twitter.com/KevinDaleyDC/status/1455292483953467401

Okay, I know that this is an internal which cannot be entirely trusted but...if there's no poll that comes out tomorrow that shows anything better than a tie for McAuliffe by 4 or 5PM, I'll change my final prediction to a slight Youngkin win.

[jamestroll]

even in 2016 and 2020.. the rural vote in VA was more dem than you would expect. other wise Spanberger couldnt have won..

and Trump missouir margins in mrural  virginia would have handeed him tjhe state in 2016

[Spectator]

even in 2016 and 2020.. the rural vote in VA was more dem than you would expect. other wise Spanberger couldnt have won..

and Trump missouir margins in mrural  virginia would have handeed him tjhe state in 2016

There’s a lot more black people in rural Virginia than people realize which is why 85-15 margins don’t happen outside of SW Virginia.

[jamestroll]

even in 2016 and 2020.. the rural vote in VA was more dem than you would expect. other wise Spanberger couldnt have won..

and Trump missouir margins in mrural  virginia would have handeed him tjhe state in 2016

There’s a lot more black people in rural Virginia than people realize which is why 85-15 margins don’t happen outside of SW Virginia.

Yes I know that. I am not stupid.

But there still room to grow for the VA gop in rural VA

BUT I AM GOING TO FIGHT AGAINST THE ELECTION TWITTER PEOPLE WHO SAY LOUDOUN WILL BE A GOP COUNTY

EVEN IF TRUMPKIN UPSETS THERE TOMORROW ITS OBVIOUSLY A ONE OFF

[jamestroll]

damn it. loudoun will not be a gop county

[Horus]

even in 2016 and 2020.. the rural vote in VA was more dem than you would expect. other wise Spanberger couldnt have won..

and Trump missouir margins in mrural  virginia would have handeed him tjhe state in 2016

There’s a lot more black people in rural Virginia than people realize which is why 85-15 margins don’t happen outside of SW Virginia.

Still, the rural Black population is declining pretty quickly in Southside VA and northern NC. iirc the VA House seat most likely to flip used to be majority Black and is centered in Emporia. The current representative is a Black woman but she will probably lose to a white guy.

[jamestroll]

you will see jimmie crazier then I have EVER been if I see one more Tweet that Nova will be a gop region.

this is a gubernatorial race for christ sake

[jamestroll]

even in 2016 and 2020.. the rural vote in VA was more dem than you would expect. other wise Spanberger couldnt have won..

and Trump missouir margins in mrural  virginia would have handeed him tjhe state in 2016

There’s a lot more black people in rural Virginia than people realize which is why 85-15 margins don’t happen outside of SW Virginia.

Still, the rural Black population is declining pretty quickly in Southside VA and northern NC. iirc the VA House seat most likely to flip used to be majority Black and is centered in Emporia. The current representative is a Black woman but she will probably lose to a white guy.

that is correct

[Devils30]

It will be interesting to see if places that swung heavily Dem in 2016-20 still vote Dem downballot even if they go for Youngkin for Gov.

[It’s so Joever]

I think I have been the ONLY one who has been insistent on the “polls don’t matter” point from 2020 to now.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

This whole CRT debate reminds me of the West Virginia Textbook wars where parents bombed the school cause they started teaching Freud.

What is it about random academic theories that make parents go batsh*t. Maybe I should start ranting and raving if my (non existent) kids school tries to teach them American Exceptionalism…

[Spectator]

you will see jimmie crazier then I have EVER been if I see one more Tweet that Nova will be a gop region.

this is a gubernatorial race for christ sake

Mods please nuke

[jamestroll]

If yall followed hotlinejosh on twitter you would have seen this race was close back in January

[It’s so Joever]

If y'all listened to Forumlurker you would have known that the World is ending and Trump will win 450 EVs back in October 2020.

[swf541]

I think I have been the ONLY one who has been insistent on the “polls don’t matter” point from 2020 to now.

I have joined in this bandwagon since the CA results

[Non Swing Voter]

https://twitter.com/TheGoodLiars/status/1455243036795998212

Videos like this are always dumb.  Like, do you think that if they found a Youngkin voter who could actually articulate what CRT is they would be plastering his facae on social media trying to get him to go viral?  lol

My money says 95% of Youngkin voters cannot do this.  Yet it's their number 1 issue. 

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1455210988047937542

They seem to want to have it both ways because They are predicting Youngkin to win but then they add this....

This was an incredibly tough pick, so if it goes the other way with a McAuliffe win, I won’t be surprised in the slightest. Virginia is, after all, a leftward-trending state where Republicans haven’t won a statewide election since 2009

It is, what tilt means. Both ways won't surprise, but one side is slightly more likely win.

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/vpapupdates/status/1455315176056659972?s=20

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/vpapupdates/status/1455315176056659972?s=20

I don't understand why someone would donate to a campaign the night before the election? It seems completely useless.

[GALeftist]

https://twitter.com/TheGoodLiars/status/1455243036795998212

Videos like this are always dumb.  Like, do you think that if they found a Youngkin voter who could actually articulate what CRT is they would be plastering his facae on social media trying to get him to go viral?  lol

No such voter exists. CRT is still a completely manufactured outrage which is sure as hell not being taught in Loudoun County public schools, let alone wherever this dude lives.