Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration

[Devils30]

Chaz Nuttycombe has Governor at Tilt R, Lt. Governor as Tilt D and AG as Lean D, with the GOP picking up 7 Delegate seats (HDs 10, 12, 28, 73, 75, 83 and 85).

12, 28, 75, 85 are certainly possible flips with the trends in 12 being bad for Dems.
10 was Biden +16
73 was Biden +21
83 was Biden +15.

If polls are off even a tiny bit in the suburbs and TMac holds on by a few, I can see Dems holding everything but 12.

[Xing]

Not predicting this to happen, but one has to wonder what the narrative will be if McAuliffe winds up winning by a Northam/Biden 2020-esque margin. Seems like the possibility of such a result has been so decisively dismissed that there isn't a coherent agreement on what it would "mean."

It will mean whatever people want it to mean.

[It’s so Joever]

I don’t think it’s going to happen, but what if the polls are UNDERestimating Youngkin and he wins by like 5%-10%? That would be interesting.
I do think this is the largest plausible range election I have seen.

[jaichind]

Does not polls usually underestimate the candidate that is the party not in the White House?  2013 and 2017 worked like that.   

[Non Swing Voter]

Does not polls usually underestimate the candidate that is the party not in the White House?  2013 and 2017 worked like that.   

Polls in VA usually underestimate Dems.

[Chips]

I don’t think it’s going to happen, but what if the polls are UNDERestimating Youngkin and he wins by like 5%-10%? That would be interesting.
I do think this is the largest plausible range election I have seen.

Two things...

#1. Democrats should REALLY begin to be sweating about 2022.

#2. A few blue posters might unfortunately begin to make fun of NSV and some other posters who thought McAuliffe would win by 5 or more.

[It’s so Joever]

Does not polls usually underestimate the candidate that is the party not in the White House?  2013 and 2017 worked like that.   

Polls in VA usually underestimate Dems.

I know, this is a hypothetical that plausibly could happen but probably won’t.

[BigSerg]

Does not polls usually underestimate the candidate that is the party not in the White House?  2013 and 2017 worked like that.   

Polls in VA usually underestimate Dems.

This is totally fake and has only happened in 2017

[LimoLiberal]

'Twas the night before the election, when all through Virginia
All the voters were voting, in the oldest dominion
The Youngkin campaign waited with baited breath
As the McAuliffe camp dreaded their soon-to-be death
The Democrats watched closely the stories in NoVA
Those suburban trends were soon to be over
In Arlington, Alexandria, and Prince William too
Those never Trump Rs were not coming through
In Loudoun, and Fairfax, the school boards made noise
And angry parents responded in droves
In the Tidewater region, black voters ran all
The TMac campaigners made nary one call
And Biden watched close from his West Wing window
As the over Potomac gave his people new info
The prices too high, the pandemic too strong
Had this great great great nation chosen so wrong?

[Buzz]

Does not polls usually underestimate the candidate that is the party not in the White House?  2013 and 2017 worked like that.   

Polls in VA usually underestimate Dems.

The didn't just a year ago...

[One Term Floridian]

It's okay if anyone gets the race wrong. We all get it wrong sometimes. Deleting posts that show you massively off is..to put it kindly, cowardly.

This. I stupidly had Hillary winning OH in 2016 & Biden winning FL in 2020. I'll take the oof

[Non Swing Voter]

Does not polls usually underestimate the candidate that is the party not in the White House?  2013 and 2017 worked like that.   

Polls in VA usually underestimate Dems.

The didn't just a year ago...

Yes they did.  Realclearpolitics final average underestimated Biden slightly (and it would have been worse if not for 2 extreme outlier polls) while polls almost EVERYWHERE ELSE overestimated Biden.   Anyone claiming 2017 was the only year of a GOP bias has no idea what they are talking about.

[lfromnj]

https://twitter.com/tomselliott/status/1455252222762176516

[Real Texan Politics]

https://twitter.com/tomselliott/status/1455252222762176516

I'd like to know how many white teachers there are in NOVA that are like "oh I'd love to give up my job to a black queer non-binary teacher"

[Non Swing Voter]

https://twitter.com/tomselliott/status/1455252222762176516

I'd like to know how many white teachers there are in NOVA that are like "oh I'd love to give up my job to a black queer non-binary teacher"

Who cares?

[Mr. Reactionary]

https://twitter.com/tomselliott/status/1455252222762176516

I'd like to know how many white teachers there are in NOVA that are like "oh I'd love to give up my job to a black queer non-binary teacher"

Who cares?

People other than you.

As an aside im sure your temporary respite from this website after tomorrow will do you wonder.

[wbrocks67]

Why are there suddenly so many right-wing Twitter accounts obsessed with posting small and/or out of context clips from McAuliffe rallies? Like I get they're emboldened, but no one is falling over Youngkin's every word at every one of his rallies. It's weird. If you were that confident in your candidate, you wouldn't be spam posting every time McAuliffe says a word.

[wbrocks67]

Anyway - T-Mac raised nearly $10m in October alone. Hopefully they put it to good use for GOTV


https://twitter.com/christinafreund/status/1455211472666173444

[PSOL]

I can say beyond a shadow of a doubt that’s at some point on election night Princess Blanding is going to blame at some point in the night

For what? Taking votes from Youngkin?

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/tomselliott/status/1455252222762176516

I'd like to know how many white teachers there are in NOVA that are like "oh I'd love to give up my job to a black queer non-binary teacher"

Yes, Terry is obviously talking about firing all the white people to replace them with scary gay Black people. You are a serious person engaging in good-faith discussion.

[Non Swing Voter]

https://twitter.com/tomselliott/status/1455252222762176516

I'd like to know how many white teachers there are in NOVA that are like "oh I'd love to give up my job to a black queer non-binary teacher"

Who cares?

People other than you.

As an aside im sure your temporary respite from this website after tomorrow will do you wonder.

lol what a pathetic response. 

[Non Swing Voter]

https://twitter.com/tomselliott/status/1455252222762176516

I'd like to know how many white teachers there are in NOVA that are like "oh I'd love to give up my job to a black queer non-binary teacher"

Yes, Terry is obviously talking about firing all the white people to replace them with scary gay Black people. You are a serious person engaging in good-faith discussion.

The sad part is he and Mr. Reactionary really are.

[Non Swing Voter]

I can say beyond a shadow of a doubt that’s at some point on election night Princess Blanding is going to blame at some point in the night

For what? Taking votes from Youngkin?

lol she's not even going to get 1% of the vote.

[It’s so Joever]

Nonswingvoter may be hackish, but these blue and tan avatars are downright liars lmao. So much twisting, they must have worked at f**king Auntie Anne's.

Very clearly trying to just troll people at this point. I wouldn't even worry about what they say, most of it is just filler honestly.

[Non Swing Voter]

Nonswingvoter may be hackish, but these blue and tan avatars are downright liars lmao. So much twisting, they must have worked at f**king Auntie Anne's.

Very clearly trying to just troll people at this point. I wouldn't even worry about what they say, most of it is just filler honestly.

This has so obviously been the case for a week now.  The good news is most of them just started posting here recently and probably wont be back after Youngkin loses.