Texas 2022 megathread
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Poll
Question: Current gubernatorial rating?
#1
Safe R
 
#2
Likely R
 
#3
Lean R
 
#4
Tossup/tilt R
 
#5
Tossup/tilt D
 
#6
Lean D
 
#7
Likely D
 
#8
Safe D
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 245

Author Topic: Texas 2022 megathread  (Read 65369 times)
Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #550 on: March 01, 2022, 05:38:08 PM »

What I am looking forward to is Louie Gohmert finishing 4th in the AG race. I love it when a sitting congressperson gives up a safe seat only to crash and burn in a primary.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #551 on: March 01, 2022, 05:39:56 PM »

What I am looking forward to is Louie Gohmert finishing 4th in the AG race. I love it when a sitting congressperson gives up a safe seat only to crash and burn in a primary.

Especially considering that his likely replacement in Congress (County Judge Nate Moran) is much saner and less incendiary than him.
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #552 on: March 01, 2022, 06:08:11 PM »

What I am looking forward to is Louie Gohmert finishing 4th in the AG race. I love it when a sitting congressperson gives up a safe seat only to crash and burn in a primary.

Well he wouldn't be in Congress anymore, so that is good as well.
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
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« Reply #553 on: March 01, 2022, 06:51:44 PM »

At this point we can pretty much project, even before polls close in both time zones, that Beto O'Rourke will be the democratic nominee for governor of Texas.
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Shaula🏳️‍⚧️
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« Reply #554 on: March 01, 2022, 07:05:11 PM »

Trafalgar polls just came out showing Abbott at 62% in the primary. I very highly doubt this will end in a runoff barring some huge unforeseen turnout differences.
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Unelectable Bystander
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« Reply #555 on: March 01, 2022, 07:11:10 PM »

At this point we can pretty much project, even before polls close in both time zones, that Beto O'Rourke will be the democratic nominee for governor of Texas.

But is Beto contested for the nomination at all? It’s tough to say, nobody on here has addressed that topic yet
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #556 on: March 01, 2022, 07:39:39 PM »

At this point we can pretty much project, even before polls close in both time zones, that Beto O'Rourke will be the democratic nominee for governor of Texas.

But is Beto contested for the nomination at all? It’s tough to say, nobody on here has addressed that topic yet

Is it that hard for you to look up? Lots of info on the internet.
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Unelectable Bystander
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« Reply #557 on: March 01, 2022, 08:02:09 PM »

At this point we can pretty much project, even before polls close in both time zones, that Beto O'Rourke will be the democratic nominee for governor of Texas.

But is Beto contested for the nomination at all? It’s tough to say, nobody on here has addressed that topic yet

Is it that hard for you to look up? Lots of info on the internet.

If you must ask, I was joking because about 27 different people on team Beto have mentioned this in regards to turnout
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Continential
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« Reply #558 on: March 01, 2022, 08:02:22 PM »

The polls have closed everywhere except for in El Paso.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #559 on: March 01, 2022, 08:08:20 PM »

Bexar county results

https://home.bexar.org/el45a.html

 Cisneros is getting 72% of the vote in TX28 in the county.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #560 on: March 01, 2022, 08:13:00 PM »

Beto at 90% early. It's over.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #561 on: March 01, 2022, 08:58:52 PM »

Guzman is probably the most tolerable Republican running for AG (simply by process of elimination, the others YECH) so her making the runoff would be a good outcome, although based on these results she probably has no chance of winning it. Can Democrats crossover to a runoff after voting in the D primary?
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #562 on: March 01, 2022, 08:59:59 PM »

Guzman is probably the most tolerable Republican running for AG (simply by process of elimination, the others YECH) so her making the runoff would be a good outcome, although based on these results she probably has no chance of winning it. Can Democrats crossover to a runoff after voting in the D primary?

I know Texas has open primaries, but I'm not sure what the rule is when it comes to runoffs.
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Theodore
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« Reply #563 on: March 01, 2022, 09:10:08 PM »

Guzman is probably the most tolerable Republican running for AG (simply by process of elimination, the others YECH) so her making the runoff would be a good outcome, although based on these results she probably has no chance of winning it. Can Democrats crossover to a runoff after voting in the D primary?

I know Texas has open primaries, but I'm not sure what the rule is when it comes to runoffs.

Voters in the democratic primary must vote in the democratic runoff and voters in the republican primary must vote in republican runoff, if they didn’t vote in either primary then they can choose which party runoff to vote in
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leecannon
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« Reply #564 on: March 01, 2022, 09:11:48 PM »

NYT called it for Abbott
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Real Texan Politics
EEllis02
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« Reply #565 on: March 01, 2022, 09:13:13 PM »

Proud to have supported Huffines, even with the tough (but expected) loss.

Anyways, this race is now Abbott vs Beto, as we all expected.
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bronz4141
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« Reply #566 on: March 01, 2022, 09:37:49 PM »

Beto will lose by 6 points.

End of story

On to 2026
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #567 on: March 01, 2022, 09:40:25 PM »

Beto will lose by 6 points.

End of story

On to 2026

That's pretty optimistic for Democrats. I think it'll be between Abbott's 2014 and 2018 margins.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #568 on: March 01, 2022, 09:43:18 PM »

It seems that Paxton is going into a runoff. Who would perform best against him?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #569 on: March 01, 2022, 09:51:13 PM »

Beto will lose by 6 points.

End of story

On to 2026

LoL do you ever stop it's nine mnths till election Approvals don't elect politicians, we as voters do Biden is not at 37/55 Approvals Trump in IPSOS is at 39, Biden is at 44 and that is close to 50, if we get 50 anything can happen
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Fusternino
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« Reply #570 on: March 01, 2022, 09:51:53 PM »

GOP turnout well ahead in Harris County. Sort of a bad sign for the Democrats . . .
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #571 on: March 01, 2022, 09:53:50 PM »

GOP turnout well ahead in Harris County. Sort of a bad sign for the Democrats . . .

LoL the Democratic turnout is low due to Non competetive Primary, Beto was assured the Nominationin Nov everyone H and Senate will be up we beat Ra in every election 65/60 including 80/75 M Newsom and TMac got high turnout

Users act like we lost the NPVI to RS every election cycle look under Election results we max turnout over Rs including 80/75 M in  20
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #572 on: March 01, 2022, 09:54:30 PM »

GEORGE P BUSH NOW TIED WITH GUZMAN- Literally
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Abdullah
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« Reply #573 on: March 01, 2022, 10:02:30 PM »
« Edited: March 01, 2022, 10:06:21 PM by Гей Соколи! »

Cuellar's gonna win and he's gonna win much bigger than he did in 2020.

Bexar doesn't have many more votes left to give, and the Rio Grande Valley's breaking hard against Cisneros. Webb County has plenty more Cuellar votes where his recent surge came from, not to mention Starr, which hasn't even started reporting.

As of 8:58 PM Central Time:

50.39% - 12,170 Votes - Cisneros
44.99% - 10,864 Votes - Cuellar
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #574 on: March 01, 2022, 11:15:10 PM »

So looks like both the DEM & PUB TX Primaries are going to run-offs?
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