Texas 2022 megathread

[Real Texan Politics]

According to polling, Abbott has been surpassed by Allan West

Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Texas_gubernatorial_election#Polling

Those are West internals, major outliers. I wouldn't trust those.

My gut says Huffines is in a distant second behind Abbott, with West in third, and Perry and Prather are probably neck and neck in 4th/5th.

Lean/Likely R.

The only Texas Democrat that can win is Henry Cuellar. He fits the state's ideology. He is a moderate Democrat.

Texas is not leftwing. Even Texas Democrats are tough on immigration.

Also may I add that this did not age well at all, not like Cuellar would win the primary anyways even before the FBI stuff.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lol this is gonna be a major race as well as FL  Biden Approvals have jumped from 43 to 47 remember Trump only won TX by 6 and FL by 3 and this isn't even August yet

47)52 are head to head numbers and in IPSOS POLLS HE HAS CONSISTENCY BEEN AT 50)48, wave of 2018 happened in October not Jan as I keep telling Rs as they keep comparing 2018 to 22

It's interesting that Lone Star is quoting Bronz and he flip flopped on OH Senate and said with Josh Mandel it's gonna be very close and then he says it's safe R

I hope West wins primary it's over for Rs if he does

As far as open borders it's gonna go down as an issue voters were upset that Biden lead open borders with unvaccinated Immigrants, but as Covid waines so will anger over open borders that's why Biden Approvals have jumped

Omnicrom is ending as I predicted

But, what's the use you have a closed border and Rs don't want to discharge Student Loan and they voted for Bankruptcy reform bill that took out Student loan discharge by Bush W in 2005 and give tax cuts to richest Americans, Beto and Crist helps urban poverty

[Zendstrummer]

Abbott wins another term. Though it will be interesting to see how he does in the RGV

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I wouldn't write off Beto just yet, I had it safe R but Allen West can win the primary and lose to Beto

[Real Texan Politics]

Abbott wins another term. Though it will be interesting to see how he does in the RGV

If the border is a major issue among voters in that region, it could very well swing to the right even more. Zapata could stay red, and Starr could even flip. Maybe Cameron gets within single digits.

Though I will be bold and say Huffines could do better in the RGV if he somehow becomes the nominee, since I think he'd be stronger on the border issue overall than Abbott has been.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Allen West can win the primary and Beto can win the border is receding as an issue because COVID cases are.going down and unvaccinated Immigrants are no longer and criminals are getting arrested

The Rs when they were in charge of the Trifecta didn't even finish the wall but TX isn't the state to watch FL with Crist being 4 pts down is the real race

Biden Approvals have jumped from 39 to 48 percent and higher than Trumps

[Sir Mohamed]

Ugh, what's the short version why Abbott receives multiple stiff challenges? It's not that the mode is suspicious of being not far-right enough.

[THG]

Greg Abbott is not even remotely close to getting primaried.

That Allen West internal poll is obviously a push poll.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Ugh, what's the short version why Abbott receives multiple stiff challenges? It's not that the mode is suspicious of being not far-right enough.

He's viewed by many in Texas (not enough to lose a primary) as not anti-lockdown enough and not far-right enough.

[Sir Mohamed]

Ugh, what's the short version why Abbott receives multiple stiff challenges? It's not that the mode is suspicious of being not far-right enough.

He's viewed by many in Texas (not enough to lose a primary) as not anti-lockdown enough and not far-right enough.

LOL, imagine Greg Abbott being not far right enough.

[MargieCat]

I live in a upper middle class community in West Houston. Located in Lizzie Fletcher's district, this is an ancestrally republican area that has trended more blue in recent years. The precinct even voted for Biden.

During election time, the neighborhood is always full of conservative political signs. Even in off years (school boards, city council special election, etc).

Most of these republicans even have signs for downballot races, such as state legislators, county treasurer, county D.A., constables, etc. You end up seeing houses with like 12 political signs.

Four years ago, there were tons of signs for Abbott, Patrick, Cruz, Culberson, etc.

Driving through, I was shocked to see signs for Don Huffines. None yet for Abbott.

These are high-propensity voting baby-boomers.

I think Huffines might actually be gaining traction with the voters who show up to primaries.

[Real Texan Politics]

I live in a upper middle class community in West Houston. Located in Lizzie Fletcher's district, this is an ancestrally republican area that has trended more blue in recent years. The precinct even voted for Biden.

During election time, the neighborhood is always full of conservative political signs. Even in off years (school boards, city council special election, etc).

Most of these republicans even have signs for downballot races, such as state legislators, county treasurer, county D.A., constables, etc. You end up seeing houses with like 12 political signs.

Four years ago, there were tons of signs for Abbott, Patrick, Cruz, Culberson, etc.

Driving through, I was shocked to see signs for Don Huffines. None yet for Abbott.

These are high-propensity voting baby-boomers.

I think Huffines might actually be gaining traction with the voters who show up to primaries.

Huffines seems to have the excitement, not to mention a killer sign game, but I don’t know if it’ll really translate well to the polls.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rs are favored in TX but just like FL it's Jan 22 not October 22'both of them are well below 50 , Abbott 48/43 and DeSantis 45/41 the same for Whitmer

Abbott is gonna have a tougher race than labeling Valdez as a socialist

[Real Texan Politics]

With another major winter storm on the horizon, though will very likely NOT be as bad as last year's, this will provide a major test for Abbott's leadership.

While power stuff may have improved since last year, it's not guaranteed that this winter storm will be without its power issues, which could cause another slip in the polls for Abbott, possibly even some to the point where he's losing to Beto, though I don't expect him to lose this election no matter how bad the power situation gets. He better be lucky this is a red wave year.

Plus I'll give credit to the Texas dems that they actually have something useful to run on in the power grid failures instead of just all "mUh democracy" and "mUh Blormph" and "mUh 1/6."

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

With another major winter storm on the horizon, though will very likely NOT be as bad as last year's, this will provide a major test for Abbott's leadership.

While power stuff may have improved since last year, it's not guaranteed that this winter storm will be without its power issues, which could cause another slip in the polls for Abbott, possibly even some to the point where he's losing to Beto, though I don't expect him to lose this election no matter how bad the power situation gets. He better be lucky this is a red wave year.

Plus I'll give credit to the Texas dems that they actually have something useful to run on in the power grid failures instead of just all "mUh democracy" and "mUh Blormph" and "mUh 1/6."

Could this help Huffines/West?

[Real Texan Politics]

With another major winter storm on the horizon, though will very likely NOT be as bad as last year's, this will provide a major test for Abbott's leadership.

While power stuff may have improved since last year, it's not guaranteed that this winter storm will be without its power issues, which could cause another slip in the polls for Abbott, possibly even some to the point where he's losing to Beto, though I don't expect him to lose this election no matter how bad the power situation gets. He better be lucky this is a red wave year.

Plus I'll give credit to the Texas dems that they actually have something useful to run on in the power grid failures instead of just all "mUh democracy" and "mUh Blormph" and "mUh 1/6."

Could this help Huffines/West?

Certainly could, especially if it's bad. Don't know if it'll be much help though.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

The Texas winter storm was a once in a century event and other storms in other states have caused worse damage too .

Wanna take that back?

[OSR stands with Israel]

The Texas winter storm was a once in a century event and other storms in other states have caused worse damage too .

Wanna take that back?

No it’s not expected to be nearly as bad as last year’s

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This race is overrated

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

The Texas winter storm was a once in a century event and other storms in other states have caused worse damage too .

Wanna take that back?

He has no need to. He's mostly right.

[Real Texan Politics]

Seems like this winter storm was FAR from being as bad as last year's, so Abbott's polling shouldn't take a massive dip.

Though I wonder how the election would go if the tides changed, where last year's winter storm happened this year and this year's winter storm happened last year. Would Beto win in this scenario, or at least get a lot closer?

[lfromnj]

https://www.kltv.com/2022/02/08/beto-orourke-makes-stop-tyler-part-keeping-lights-tour/
Lol Beto backtracks on his buyback program.

[Real Texan Politics]

https://www.kltv.com/2022/02/08/beto-orourke-makes-stop-tyler-part-keeping-lights-tour/
Lol Beto backtracks on his buyback program.

He kinda has to say that if he’s in Tyler. East Texas is as conservative as it gets, and is a lot more Trumpy than other parts of the state.

Though he’ll likely end up backtracking again if he gets elected (which he won’t).

[_.]

University of Texas at Austin in Texas

"If the 2022 Republican primary election for attorney general
were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?"

Ken Paxton - 47%
George P. Bush - 21%
Eva Guzman - 16%
Louie Gohmert - 15%
Paxton + 26%

1,200 Registered Voters living throughout the state of Texas were surveyed between January 28 and February 07, 2021.
The margin of error is ±2.83 percentage points at the 95% confidence level.


Bush makes slight gains from 16% in October to 21% in February, while Paxton slightly regresses from 48% in October, but still holds a commanding plurality.

George P. Bush also looks especially strong among Hispanic Republicans, who he got 32% of the vote among (as compared to 23% of Hispanic Republicans in October).

Bush also nearly ties Paxton among Moderate Republicans (36% Paxton - 34% Bush), but is crushed among Conservative Republicans (49% Paxton - 19% Bush).


"If the 2022 Republican primary election for governor were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?"

Greg Abbott - 60%
Allen West - 15%
Don Huffines - 14%
Rick Perry - 5%
Chad Prather - 3%
Kandy Kaye Horn - 1%
Paxton + 45%

1,200 Registered Voters living throughout the state of Texas were surveyed between January 28 and February 07, 2021.
The margin of error is ±2.83 percentage points at the 95% confidence level.

Abbott of course retains a decisive majority.

[Real Texan Politics]

University of Texas at Austin in Texas

"If the 2022 Republican primary election for attorney general
were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?"

Ken Paxton - 47%
George P. Bush - 21%
Eva Guzman - 16%
Louie Gohmert - 15%
Paxton + 26%

1,200 Registered Voters living throughout the state of Texas were surveyed between January 28 and February 07, 2021.
The margin of error is ±2.83 percentage points at the 95% confidence level.


Bush makes slight gains from 16% in October to 21% in February, while Paxton slightly regresses from 48% in October, but still holds a commanding plurality.

George P. Bush also looks especially strong among Hispanic Republicans, who he got 32% of the vote among (as compared to 23% of Hispanic Republicans in October).

Bush also nearly ties Paxton among Moderate Republicans (36% Paxton - 34% Bush), but is crushed among Conservative Republicans (49% Paxton - 19% Bush).


"If the 2022 Republican primary election for governor were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?"

Greg Abbott - 60%
Allen West - 15%
Don Huffines - 14%
Rick Perry - 5%
Chad Prather - 3%
Kandy Kaye Horn - 1%
Paxton + 45%

1,200 Registered Voters living throughout the state of Texas were surveyed between January 28 and February 07, 2021.
The margin of error is ±2.83 percentage points at the 95% confidence level.

Abbott of course retains a decisive majority.

And with that news, early voting has officially started today in Texas!