Texas 2022 megathread

[wbrocks67]

Republicans in here may continue to say things about Beto, but he communicates like a real person. He responds to things like a *real person*, which I think is endearing. Much like the Abbott press conference, he was the only who was willing to stop the robotics and call Abbott out and speak to how real people are feeling about this. Same to this, he didn't care if he cursed or whatever, he just called him the hell out.

Personally I think things like this, where politicians are relatable to real people, and act like real people, are endearing, but that's just me.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Also I want to give the Beto campaign some respect. Even though at the end of the day Abbott is prolly winning, he's campaigned seriously and actually gone to quite a few communities that generally are extremely lopsided towards Rs.

[Sir Mohamed]

Also I want to give the Beto campaign some respect. Even though at the end of the day Abbott is prolly winning, he's campaigned seriously and actually gone to quite a few communities that generally are extremely lopsided towards Rs.

Yup, though he's not seen as strong as 2018 after his embarrassing WH bid in 2019/20. Maybe he should have run for senate in 2020 and then either win an upset or just quit running for office in the immediate future.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Also I want to give the Beto campaign some respect. Even though at the end of the day Abbott is prolly winning, he's campaigned seriously and actually gone to quite a few communities that generally are extremely lopsided towards Rs.

Yup, though he's not seen as strong as 2018 after his embarrassing WH bid in 2019/20. Maybe he should have run for senate in 2020 and then either win an upset or just quit running for office in the immediate future.

Lol there is Blk and Brown and Female vote did you know Beshear wasn't the fav in 2019 Bevin was polling like DeSANTIS and Abbott 45/40 and Beshear was losing like Evers was until provision ballots were added into the raw vote and military ballots aren't automatically R because there are 45 percent of females they still go R but not 90/10 65/35 R and Provisions ballot are 300K, 200K get counted and it goes 65/35 D just wait for EDay we have 90 days and don't keep saying 2020 was a friendly yr we won only 65/60M votes in 2012/2018 and won OH, MT and WVA Sen every EDay is different, we didn't win 80M especially in 2018 we can win red states, Rs don't own Red states but blue states are safe than ees because insurrection TRUMP

Beto and Crist have a better chance than DeJear and Nah Whaley because they Reynolds and DeWine are pragmatism, Abbott and DeSantis are Trump supporters

It's called wave insurance not automatic like 303 but not safe either

[Mr. Smith]

Also I want to give the Beto campaign some respect. Even though at the end of the day Abbott is prolly winning, he's campaigned seriously and actually gone to quite a few communities that generally are extremely lopsided towards Rs.

Yup, though he's not seen as strong as 2018 after his embarrassing WH bid in 2019/20. Maybe he should have run for senate in 2020 and then either win an upset or just quit running for office in the immediate future.

Against Cornyn? Arguably the most respected [albeit by being anonymous] of the big three? I don't see him doing much better than Hegar.

The real problem is that Abbott is not Ted Cruz, and Trump wasn't re-elected, which pretty much reversed the fundamentals of 2022 inherently.

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

Just got back from a massive Beto rally in Frisco (north of DFW) and the crowd was absolutely pumped even in 100+ degree weather.

Am I the biggest Beto fan in the world? No. But the man has heart, you can't take that from him and he believes in building a better Texas for everyone.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Just got back from a massive Beto rally in Frisco (north of DFW) and the crowd was absolutely pumped even in 100+ degree weather.

Am I the biggest Beto fan in the world? No. But the man has heart, you can't take that from him and he believes in building a better Texas for everyone.

Bit of a strange question but what did the Demographics of the crowd look like?

[wbrocks67]

I feel sort of about this race the same way I do about GA. In that, I think Abrams and O'Rourke still have ground to make up, but the two feel like they have more momentum right now than they did a month ago.

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

Just got back from a massive Beto rally in Frisco (north of DFW) and the crowd was absolutely pumped even in 100+ degree weather.

Am I the biggest Beto fan in the world? No. But the man has heart, you can't take that from him and he believes in building a better Texas for everyone.

Bit of a strange question but what did the Demographics of the crowd look like?

https://twitter.com/sassysocialist3/status/1558628069308522501?s=21&t=7suHG3...

A mix of all ages, races and genders... I met a sweet-old 75/80 year old lady when I went inside to get a sign and water. I'd say the crowd leaned female by a bit and maybe white, but there were plenty of Asian and Latino people as well and an amazing African American woman whose involved in local politics asked Beto about gun violence. Some people came all the way from Fort Worth/Irving and even though the area is more upper-middle class it was really a diverse crowd. Great energy, too.

Edit: This was the one.

https://twitter.com/ccano1971/status/1558597177290653704?s=21&t=K6ihwOa8iQPL...

[ProgressiveModerate]

Just got back from a massive Beto rally in Frisco (north of DFW) and the crowd was absolutely pumped even in 100+ degree weather.

Am I the biggest Beto fan in the world? No. But the man has heart, you can't take that from him and he believes in building a better Texas for everyone.

Bit of a strange question but what did the Demographics of the crowd look like?

cut

Honestly that's good to see. I'd be worried if the crowd was either soley Hispanics/African-Americans who live in the metroplex or just young folks. Good Asian turnout is a positive sign as the once marginal Asian population has been booming in recent years are prolly an important part of Dems ability to win suburbs in place like Collin County.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Why are people concerned about this race if D's upset and win the H we will win Red states Bevin was polling 44/40 when he lost to Beshear

You never know what will happen now Stitt is vulnerable he is polling 42/34 it's a competitive race now plus 8, in 2018 we didn't win all these raves all at once Stitt was vulnerable too and it came All together at the end

Its called wave insurance but you never know what happens 9n EDay

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

https://twitter.com/betomedia/status/1558621666846146562?s=21&t=CLiV3JX1YXCx...
One of the best parts of Beto’s speech today and I think you can even hear me in the background. I would say that we deserve a governor like this, but the truth is I don’t know if Texas does deserve a Governor as genuine as Beto.

Thank you for saying this Beto! As a member of the LGBT community who has felt unsafe in my own state recently this man gave me some hope today.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This race along with OH or FL will only flip if D's win the H because Vance is doing so poorly even without an OH Gov poll Nan W is getting enthusiastic about winning an upset she says when I am Gov, OH Gov will flip surely before TX

[wbrocks67]

It took Abbott nearly 3 months to bother visiting with the families.

https://twitter.com/ABC/status/1558586627160776705

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/astridgalvan/status/1559182227442917376

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

They already said on MTP that the HS Diploma rural vote is declining while College Grads urban vote are increasing so the mantra that we can't win red states because we won 80 M votes is false that's why GA Gov is a Tossup 47/47, because GA was a red state turned blue and so was AZ and KS and KY

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

https://twitter.com/astridgalvan/status/1559182227442917376

All I can confirm anecdotally is that in Collin County, which is pretty-much one of the top 5 most important counties for Beto to win, he has 3 new votes since 2018 in my family alone and plenty more among my friend group.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

https://twitter.com/astridgalvan/status/1559182227442917376

All I can confirm anecdotally is that in Collin County, which is pretty-much one of the top 5 most important counties for Beto to win, he has 3 new votes since 2018 in my family alone and plenty more among my friend group.

What about anecdotal lawn signs?

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

https://twitter.com/astridgalvan/status/1559182227442917376

All I can confirm anecdotally is that in Collin County, which is pretty-much one of the top 5 most important counties for Beto to win, he has 3 new votes since 2018 in my family alone and plenty more among my friend group.

What about anecdotal lawn signs?

Honestly haven't seen too many lawn signs since the primaries died down. There were a ton scattering my city in March-April. Guess we'll see if there's an uptick as the general gets closer in September/October.

Fwiw, the counter-protestors at Beto's rally were dwarfed something like 30-1. That was nice to see in a typically GOP area.

[wbrocks67]

Seems the GOP is following the same playbook here in many races - start out with a "positive" ad filled with photographs and (a lot of the time) narrated by that candidates wife/fiancee, etc.

The question I have is - Abbott has been around for a while, so for him to have to still be airing bio ads at this point is curious.

https://twitter.com/PatrickSvitek/status/1559520136603762689

[Spectator]

My biggest issue with Abbott is he won’t even stand up for the Pledge.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The D's raised taxes, FL makes more sense than TX anyways even McCounehey saw the writing on the wall and didn't run

We shouldn't spend a nickel I'm TX, IA, MO anymore concentration on WI, AZ, NV, GA, FL, OH and NC

Beto is doing about the same as HEGAR about 6(9 pta

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I just got a YouTube ad from Collin Allred.
Nothing from Beto yet.

[wbrocks67]

I just got a YouTube ad from Collin Allred.
Nothing from Beto yet.

Beto is apparently not up on TV yet, which is concerning imo.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I just got a YouTube ad from Collin Allred.
Nothing from Beto yet.

Beto is apparently not up on TV yet, which is concerning imo.

Yeah, Abbott is glowing to blow him out of the water on the airwaves if he's not careful.
Texas is an expensive state to campaign in and an incumbent governor of Texas is never going to be short on money there.