2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Dr. Arch]

Meanwhile in Arizona

https://twitter.com/AndrewSolender/status/1324423231210721282
So it looks like the late ballots in Arizona really are consistently more favourable to Trump and it wasn't just a quirk of the Maricopa results. 58-39 in a county that's currently 53-46 is a good sign for him.

Of course even if Trump gets Arizona he's still toast unless he keeps Pennsylvania which is looking less likely, but it'd leave Fox with egg on their faces.

Philly alone would secure the state for Joe.

[Non Swing Voter]

It's amazing (actually not) to me that Republicans fought hard to not have an orderly system of counting these ballots ahead of time and now they are arguing that there might be mixing of late ballots with early arriving ones.  These people have zero dignity, none, zero, zilch.  And any lawyers filing lawsuits that are frivolous on their face in relation to this should be reported to the bars of their states.

[Crumpets]

How is it so difficult to count ballots?

Do we know for a fact this isn't, like, one intern, or maybe a very old lady with terrible eyesight and a giant magnifying glass who has been tasked with this?

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Fox is dumfounded that Biden could get more votes out of Philly than Obama. Only explanation possible must be fraud.

In fairness, it's pretty reasonable for any logical person to wonder how Biden got more votes than Obama anywhere across the country. He's one of the least inspiring politicians of the last few decades to run for president.

But when you consider the hatred against Trump, at least part of Biden's vote count can be explained in some sort of logical way.

True but it raises a lot of questions.

Like how population growth works?

Trump hate isn't an adequate explanation. Biden is such a poor candidate. Also Detroit has been declining so you're wrong about Detroit.

Nobody owes you an "adequate explanation" for voting for a candidate you personally think is uncharismatic. Good grief.

If I may say three things.
1. As a Biden supporter in both primary and GE, I see him as neither particularly charismatic nor particularly uncharismatic. I liked him most for his ethos and experience than anything else.
2. I fully accept that people can vote on basis of perceived lesser evils. That's perfectly legitimate, in fact it's probably even the norm in American history during periods of ultra-high polarization (such as the Gilded Age and now).
3. Whether you support Biden or Trump or even Jorgensen, someone else's view that your top pick is uncharismatic should not change your true personal views unless you are a massive pushover. And you should vote for who you prefer wins; why let others decide your stance and vote for you?

[BigSerg]

Meanwhile in Arizona

https://twitter.com/AndrewSolender/status/1324423231210721282
So it looks like the late ballots in Arizona really are consistently more favourable to Trump and it wasn't just a quirk of the Maricopa results. 58-39 in a county that's currently 53-46 is a good sign for him.

Of course even if Trump gets Arizona he's still toast unless he keeps Pennsylvania which is looking less likely, but it'd leave Fox with egg on their faces.

Wrong tweet?

¿?

[Meclazine for Israel]

GA and PA updated.

WI - Biden WINS by > 20,000 (98% counted)

MI - Biden WINS by > 100,000 (98% counted)

AZ - Biden up by 68,098 (86% counted)

Of the remaining ~475,200 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 203,500 of them - (42.8%)

NV - Biden up by 11,438 (89% counted)

Of the remaining ~151,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 70,000 of them - (46.2%)

GA - Biden down by 9,534 (98% counted)

Of the remaining ~100,648 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 55,091 of them - (54.7%)

PA - Biden down by 78,314 (93% counted)

Of the remaining ~491,100 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 284,700 of them - (58.0%)

The ratios of votes coming in are:

AZ (Trump : Biden =  54.8%)
NV (Biden : Trump =  56.7%)
GA (Biden : Trump =  62.0%)
PA (Biden : Trump =  80.0%)

[Omega21]

Pennsylvania’s top election official says it may take longer than expected to complete the count there. Her office says about 326,000 mail ballots still need to be counted

Fron NYTIMES

Are they fing serious.

Who's officially responsible for counting in GA, PA and AZ?

Fire all of them

This is 3rd world tier counting.

[Storr]

LOL. Pat Toomey (R) on TV now: "yeah I guess the reason Trump is gonna lose is because he's doing bad with highly educated people"

Yep, Pat has already checked out. I don't remember the last time a Senate incumbent announced they were retiring more than 2 years before they're up for reelection, anyway. (I'm not counting "I won't run another term if I'm elected this year" campaign pledges).

[Mike88]

Monroe county still has 19% to be counted. It can probably flip for Biden.

[Non Swing Voter]

How is it so difficult to count ballots?

Do we know for a fact this isn't, like, one intern, or maybe a very old lady with terrible eyesight and a giant magnifying glass who has been tasked with this?

no they show scores of people on tv counting this stuff.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Pennsylvania’s top election official says it may take longer than expected to complete the count there. Her office says about 326,000 mail ballots still need to be counted

Fron NYTIMES

Are they fing serious.

Who's officially responsible for counting in GA, PA and AZ?

Fire all of them

This is 3rd world tier counting.

I'm frustrated too, but it's important to remember that this is a completely unprecedented election. We've never had to count this many absentees.

[Roll Roons]

Pennsylvania’s top election official says it may take longer than expected to complete the count there. Her office says about 326,000 mail ballots still need to be counted

Fron NYTIMES

Are they fing serious.

Who's officially responsible for counting in GA, PA and AZ?

Fire all of them

This is 3rd world tier counting.

I'm frustrated too, but it's important to remember that this is a completely unprecedented election. We've never had to count this many absentees.

Other states (MI, WI) were able to get it done yesterday.

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

Meanwhile in Arizona

https://twitter.com/AndrewSolender/status/1324423231210721282
So it looks like the late ballots in Arizona really are consistently more favourable to Trump and it wasn't just a quirk of the Maricopa results. 58-39 in a county that's currently 53-46 is a good sign for him.

Of course even if Trump gets Arizona he's still toast unless he keeps Pennsylvania which is looking less likely, but it'd leave Fox with egg on their faces.

Wrong tweet?

Yes you're right I'm an idiot who didn't check that I had the right tweet copied.

This is the one I meant:

https://twitter.com/Data_Orbital/status/1324461288181829632

[Non Swing Voter]

GA and PA updated.

WI - Biden WINS by > 20,000 (98% counted)

MI - Biden WINS by > 100,000 (98% counted)

AZ - Biden up by 68,129 (86% counted)

Of the remaining ~474,300 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 203,000 of them - (42.8%)

NV - Biden up by 11,438 (89% counted)

Of the remaining ~151,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 70,000 of them - (46.2%)

GA - Biden down by 9,534 (98% counted)

Of the remaining ~100,648 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 55,091 of them - (54.7%)

PA - Biden down by 78,314 (93% counted)

Of the remaining ~491,100 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win 284,700 of them - (58.0%)

The ratios of votes coming in are:

AZ (Trump : Biden =  54.8%)
NV (Biden : Trump =  56.7%)
GA (Biden : Trump =  62.0%)
PA (Biden : Trump =  80.0%)

Thank you for keeping track of this but your remaining ballots numbers seem way off.  There's not that many left in GA or PA.

[philly09]

Cumberland County dumped....Biden only lost here by 10. Pretty impressive.

Well, the district polls for PA-10 had Biden up by 4, so it tracks.

[BigSerg]

How is it so difficult to count ballots?

Do we know for a fact this isn't, like, one intern, or maybe a very old lady with terrible eyesight and a giant magnifying glass who has been tasked with this?

hahahaha

[brucejoel99]

So odds that 6:30pm is concession time? Like, I know it's very unlikely, but he must not be feeling great after the MI & GA lawsuits got shot down. And if PA is happening (& Fox is intent on calling it as soon as Biden takes the lead, which he's gaining on fast), then he doesn't have a way to win.

[ultraviolet]

LOL You guys were giving me sh**t yesterday for being on John James' case yesterday and calling him out, glad everyone is realizing the truth about him now. We been knew. Never trust a man who doesn't even have solidarity with his own people.

Not all black people are Democrats. There are some black republicans, and it stands to reason there will be some black republican politicians. That is a good thing. John James is an idiot who has no idea what he’s doing, but you can’t say he doesn’t “have solidarity with his own people.”

[DrScholl]

Cumberland County dumped....Biden only lost here by 10. Pretty impressive.

It's trending Democratic. If I'm correct there is a spillover of government workers from Harrisburg moving there.

[Asta]

Biden is down by 9,534 votes in GA with 98% reporting. Just saw on MSNBC.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Cameron and La Salle Parishes in LA voted >90% R for the first time ever.

It's astonishing how Biden failed to reverse the Democratic collapse in rural areas throughout most of the country. But then again, trends are real and the 2018 midterms gave us a strong indication that this would be the outcome.

Biden had some decent swings in Caddo, St. Tammany, and E Baton Rouge.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Pennsylvania’s top election official says it may take longer than expected to complete the count there. Her office says about 326,000 mail ballots still need to be counted

Fron NYTIMES

Are they fing serious.

Who's officially responsible for counting in GA, PA and AZ?

Fire all of them

This is 3rd world tier counting.

I'm frustrated too, but it's important to remember that this is a completely unprecedented election. We've never had to count this many absentees.

Other states (MI, WI) were able to get it done yesterday.

A lot of the blame can be placed on the Republicans in the state legislature. The state wanted to be able to count absentees before election day, but they said no.

[redjohn]

So odds that 6:30pm is concession time? Like, I know it's very unlikely, but he must not be feeling great after the MI & GA lawsuits got shot down. And if PA is happening (& Fox is intent on calling it as soon as Biden takes the lead, which he's gaining on fast), then he doesn't have a way to win.

Hope you're right but there's literally no way Trump concedes this race before PA/GA is called, and even then he probably won't concede. You won't see a preemptive concession.

[Mike88]

Pennsylvania’s top election official says it may take longer than expected to complete the count there. Her office says about 326,000 mail ballots still need to be counted

Fron NYTIMES

Are they fing serious.

Who's officially responsible for counting in GA, PA and AZ?

Fire all of them

This is 3rd world tier counting.

On twitter I found this, Brazilians mocking the US:

https://twitter.com/Eu_simplesment/status/1324477649348120578

Election Brazil:

5PM: We have a winner
6PM: All of the world is either drunk with happiness or sadness
7PM: First act of impeachment
8PM: dividing the government with the main parties

Election US:

Don't know to count.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Cumberland County dumped....Biden only lost here by 10. Pretty impressive.

Well, the district polls for PA-10 had Biden up by 4, so it tracks.

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1324442512782725122