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December 05, 2020, 05:51:50 PM
News: 2020 Election day live thread: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=409870.0

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, TJ in Oregon, YE, ON Progressive)
  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 170187 times)
YE
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« on: November 02, 2020, 09:19:10 PM »
« edited: November 03, 2020, 05:22:28 PM by YE »

Poll closing times are listed here:

https://ballotpedia.org/State_Poll_Opening_and_Closing_Times_(2020)
http://www.thegreenpapers.com/G16/closing.phtml?format=gc

First polls close in parts of IN and KY at 6pm Eastern, and we may start getting some results from those states shortly thereafter, but the networks won't call either state or post the topline exit poll #s until 7pm Eastern, when the rest of the polls close in those two states.

In addition to discussing election night results, this thread will also be used for discussing the exit polls, including exit poll leaks.  Because of the post-2004 exit polling reforms, the media themselves don't have access to any exit poll #s until 5pm Eastern.  Any supposed exit poll leaks you read before 5pm are certainly fake.  After 5pm, stuff will leak.  And we'll start getting AP stories about what the exit polls say about who voted.

For when all results come in:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-results-timing/

Regarding how PA will go down:


NYT results page
AP results page
538 live blog
YouTube live stream playlist

Suggested threads when starting to panic:
Election Day Tips
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Beida
redjohn
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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2020, 09:19:32 PM »

Truly not ready for this, but let's go!!!
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Forumlurker the anti-communist
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« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2020, 09:23:07 PM »

Wont exit polls be even more unreliable this year?
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2020, 09:25:39 PM »

I wonder if it would be a good idea to have separate megathreads for each of the major swing states?

We're going to get hit with a lot of content at once and this thread will become a tangled mess of different conversations -- about PA, NC, FL, AZ, TX, etc.
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Blairite
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« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2020, 09:27:07 PM »

I can't wait! Happy election eve, Atlas.

I honestly feel like the last four years has all been preparation for this thread. Let's do this!
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2020, 09:30:04 PM »

I can't believe it's here.
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🎄Thunder98🎄
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« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2020, 09:30:50 PM »

2016 felt like it was just yesterday! Time flies
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ηєω яσηтιєя
New Frontier
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« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2020, 09:32:06 PM »

Election Day 2020 is almost upon us. I can't believe it.
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Buzz
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« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2020, 09:33:44 PM »

I can remember that great 2016 night like it was yesterday... where has the time gone?

MAGA 2020!
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Holmes
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« Reply #9 on: November 02, 2020, 09:41:58 PM »

Prediction: this thread probably hits 300 pages and the site will crash multiple times.
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Tucker/DeSantis 2024
EEllis02
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« Reply #10 on: November 02, 2020, 09:42:31 PM »

Prediction: this thread probably hits 300 pages and the site will crash multiple times.

This, a thousand times this.
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Beida
redjohn
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« Reply #11 on: November 02, 2020, 09:43:39 PM »

Prediction: this thread probably hits 300 pages and the site will crash multiple times.

Because it probably crashes multiple times, we might have fewer pages than expected Tongue
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ExSky
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« Reply #12 on: November 02, 2020, 09:43:48 PM »

Hold on to your asses.
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Perdue-Warnock voter 4 Candidate Quality
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« Reply #13 on: November 02, 2020, 09:50:22 PM »

Hopefully this forum will stay calm and not freak out or overreact to anecdotal reports tomorrow.
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yfnlucci
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« Reply #14 on: November 02, 2020, 09:52:20 PM »

Hopefully this forum will stay calm and not freak out or overreact to anecdotal reports tomorrow.

You wont be able to get on the forum tomorrow
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EJ24
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« Reply #15 on: November 02, 2020, 09:55:26 PM »

Hopefully this forum will stay calm and not freak out or overreact to anecdotal reports tomorrow.

LMAO
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #16 on: November 02, 2020, 10:13:44 PM »

I can remember that great 2016 night like it was yesterday... where has the time gone?

MAGA 2020!

Lucky you, these past four years have felt like eight to many of us.
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forza nocta
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« Reply #17 on: November 02, 2020, 10:21:08 PM »

Its been a fun ride (not). Lets do this.
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emailking
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« Reply #18 on: November 02, 2020, 10:25:27 PM »

They upgraded the servers. It might be OK.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #19 on: November 02, 2020, 10:31:02 PM »

Any result maps online yet (NYT, AP, CNN, etc.)? Only seeing Bloomberg.

The AP had a great interactive map for PRES/SEN/H/GOV in 2016, do they have another one up this year?
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We Made PA Blue Again!
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« Reply #20 on: November 02, 2020, 10:33:24 PM »

Any result maps online yet (NYT, AP, CNN, etc.)? Only seeing Bloomberg.

The AP had a great interactive map for PRES/SEN/H/GOV in 2016, do they have another one up this year?

Politico and ABC have theirs up.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #21 on: November 02, 2020, 10:46:32 PM »

Any result maps online yet (NYT, AP, CNN, etc.)? Only seeing Bloomberg.

The AP had a great interactive map for PRES/SEN/H/GOV in 2016, do they have another one up this year?

Politico and ABC have theirs up.

Thanks a lot!

Links --

https://abcnews.go.com/Elections/2020-us-presidential-election-results-live-map
https://www.politico.com/2020-election/results/senate/
https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2020-us-election-results
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #22 on: November 02, 2020, 11:17:14 PM »

Maybe we shift to the Discord server since the site will inevitably crash?
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #23 on: November 02, 2020, 11:33:01 PM »

Poll closing times are listed here:

https://ballotpedia.org/State_Poll_Opening_and_Closing_Times_(2016)
http://www.thegreenpapers.com/G16/closing.phtml?format=gc

First polls close in parts of IN and KY at 6pm Eastern, and we may start getting some results from those states shortly thereafter, but the networks won't call either state or post the topline exit poll #s until 7pm Eastern, when the rest of the polls close in those two states.

In addition to discussing election night results, this thread will also be used for discussing the exit polls, including exit poll leaks.  Because of the post-2004 exit polling reforms, the media themselves don't have access to any exit poll #s until 5pm Eastern.  Any supposed exit poll leaks you read before 5pm are certainly fake.  After 5pm, stuff will leak.  And we'll start getting AP stories about what the exit polls say about who voted.

Poll closing times are listed here:

https://ballotpedia.org/State_Poll_Opening_and_Closing_Times_(2020)
http://www.thegreenpapers.com/G16/closing.phtml?format=gc

First polls close in parts of IN and KY at 6pm Eastern, and we may start getting some results from those states shortly thereafter, but the networks won't call either state or post the topline exit poll #s until 7pm Eastern, when the rest of the polls close in those two states.

In addition to discussing election night results, this thread will also be used for discussing the exit polls, including exit poll leaks.  Because of the post-2004 exit polling reforms, the media themselves don't have access to any exit poll #s until 5pm Eastern.  Any supposed exit poll leaks you read before 5pm are certainly fake.  After 5pm, stuff will leak.  And we'll start getting AP stories about what the exit polls say about who voted.

1 infraction point for copyright violation.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #24 on: November 02, 2020, 11:34:17 PM »

Joe Biden will restore the soul of America
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