2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[redjohn]

Truly not ready for this, but let's go!!!

[redjohn]

Prediction: this thread probably hits 300 pages and the site will crash multiple times.

Because it probably crashes multiple times, we might have fewer pages than expected

[redjohn]

Strong prediction: We can obsess over any FL statistic and we will have no better idea who is headed for victory until actual votes report. Something I'm learning to do today is to pay literally zero attention to partisan takes on turnout today.

[redjohn]

You would think Marc Caputo would put in his tweet the total turnout in EV in 2016 when Dems were up 1.4%. It's not an apples to apples comparison. These people, man.

Literally nothing these people are saying now will matter in about six hours.

[redjohn]

i'm LOVING the complete contradictory takes on turnout, it's hilarious. People, we have no idea who's leading based on these turnout numbers! Both sides need to chill out.

[redjohn]

The insane delusion from Trump supporters this entire cycle about this election being a safe Trump win has been unlike anything I've ever seen. Betting on Trump winning NY, CA, etc. It's unbelievable how many MAGA people think Trump is going to easily win this tonight. That's all I have to say for now.

[redjohn]

These appearances from Biden across PA are electrifying. Trump's hiding in the White House while Biden is out on offensive in the battleground state.

[redjohn]

Exit poll of IA: What should be priority?
Rebuilding economy: 45%
Containing COVID: 49%

[redjohn]

Let's do this. Biden-Harris for the win!

[redjohn]

Waiting until we have multiple counties reporting 90%+ to make predictions based on this.

[redjohn]

FL looking excellent for Trump.

[redjohn]

West Virginia too early to call...

Jesus Christ cnn

They still haven’t called Vermont lol

Yeah, Vermont should have been an immediate call for Biden.

By their logic, why on earth did they call Indiana for Trump to begin with?

We'd already had pro-Trump results from Indiana trickling in.

[redjohn]

Feeling much more bullish on Biden than I did a bit ago. We need WI+MI/PA to come through.

[redjohn]

Couldn't be prouder of my state. We've rejected this disaster of a President and ironically will kick him out with a similar to margin to his in 2016.

With WI and MI going for Biden, it's lights out for Trump.

[redjohn]

Hmm, according to NYT there are over 200k ballots left in Georgia.

To overcome Trump's 87k vote lead, Biden needs around 72% of the vote.

This could very well happen, folks.

Do we have a time we should expect the rest of GA in?

[redjohn]

I think this may be the last time that the Democratic path to victory runs through MI/WI/PA.

From 2024, I expect it to run through NV/AZ/GA/NC

I wouldn't be so sure about Michigan and Pennsylvania. They don't seem to be voting much to the right of the nation this year. At least not any more than last time.

WI/MI/PA are still going to be completely winnable for Democrats going forward. Not only that, we need these states for their Senate seats in addition to electoral paths. It would be dumb for Democrats to look past them when... they literally just won them (minus PA at this hour)

[redjohn]

Sorry for bringing this up again, but f**k Robert M. La Follette

As a Wisconsinite I'm obligated to take personal offense to this

[redjohn]

I wonder if we can realistically expect a call tonight. I'm so exhausted from these past ~30 hours of nail-biting election results. It's just a waiting game of seeing whether networks call PA/GA first.

[redjohn]

We really need PA to report the remaining mail-ins for the good of our democracy. The wait, with a sore loser in power, is unsettling.

[redjohn]

https://twitter.com/DoinaChiacu/status/1324372744478380032?s=19

LMAO, they said yesterday they were calling it for themselves.

[redjohn]

There's no way any networks (besides someone like DDHQ) calls PA before Biden takes the lead there, even though he's favored to win it by a lot.

[redjohn]

Fox is dumfounded that Biden could get more votes out of Philly than Obama. Only explanation possible must be fraud.

[redjohn]

Second declaration of victory from Trump imminent?

This guy never learns.

[redjohn]

So odds that 6:30pm is concession time? Like, I know it's very unlikely, but he must not be feeling great after the MI & GA lawsuits got shot down. And if PA is happening (& Fox is intent on calling it as soon as Biden takes the lead, which he's gaining on fast), then he doesn't have a way to win.

Hope you're right but there's literally no way Trump concedes this race before PA/GA is called, and even then he probably won't concede. You won't see a preemptive concession.

[redjohn]

CNN: Trump adviser: "Math isn't on our side. We need an act of God to alter the course.”