2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
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  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 617418 times)
DrScholl
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Posts: 18,148
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« on: November 03, 2020, 09:54:54 AM »

Humor




Nate Silver doesn't poll people and the Amish don't vote. Even if they did there aren't enough of them to swing the election.
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DrScholl
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*****
Posts: 18,148
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2020, 05:05:39 PM »

So apparently the Democrats are projected to gain 8 seats in the Northern Mariana Islands legislative elections? Just saw on Twitter.

That is a big deal considering that Democrats have been non-existent in the legislature for a long time.
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DrScholl
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*****
Posts: 18,148
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2020, 05:55:44 PM »

Lol at blue avatars getting excited over that Indiana error.
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DrScholl
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*****
Posts: 18,148
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2020, 06:25:08 PM »

Hey gang, what's your thoughts on the classic film Kiki's Delivery Service?

I just watched that on Saturday. Hadn't seen it in years. It's one of my favorite films ever.
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DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,148
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2020, 06:41:25 PM »

Biden is getting Joe Donnelly 2018 numbers in rural Indiana.


That is what I'm noticing as well.
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DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,148
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2020, 07:03:30 PM »

Trump is up 56-43 in Pasco County with 79%. He won it 59-37 in 2016.
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DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,148
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2020, 07:50:31 PM »

We saw from polling that Florida was all over the place and might not come through for Biden. There are states where he polled much better that haven't even closed yet. Please calm down.
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DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,148
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2020, 07:52:55 PM »

We saw from polling that Florida was all over the place and might not come through for Biden. There are states where he polled much better that haven't even closed yet. Please calm down.

This enitre damn forum was insisting Biden would win Florida no matter what.

Some people were, others weren't. The point is that Biden does not need Florida to win this race.
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DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,148
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2020, 08:25:50 PM »

Again, can we please calm down?
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DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,148
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2020, 09:55:52 PM »

If Ohio's closeness is any indicator then Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin will flip.
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DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,148
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #10 on: November 03, 2020, 10:19:43 PM »

Biden's probably going to win but it will be such an anaemic victory, sigh.

Anemic or not it will be a strong victory for our country.
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DrScholl
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*****
Posts: 18,148
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #11 on: November 04, 2020, 12:33:35 AM »


Not saying that it is guaranteed to stick, but being down on election night is not the place a Republican wants to be.
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DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,148
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #12 on: November 04, 2020, 12:40:45 AM »

Kevin McCarthy is only leading his Democratic opponent 54-46. This is the most GOP district in the state.
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DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,148
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #13 on: November 04, 2020, 12:42:45 AM »

Nebraska's 1st congressional district had a crazy leftward swing so far.

Was Trump +18, now Trump +3.6.

There was a poll that showed him up like only 2% there. Looks like it was right.
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DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,148
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #14 on: November 04, 2020, 12:48:15 AM »

Kevin McCarthy is only leading his Democratic opponent 54-46. This is the most GOP district in the state.

Further confirming that California is the best state in the nation.

Agreed.
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DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,148
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #15 on: November 04, 2020, 12:49:58 AM »

Check out the California county map. Sheer devastation so far for California Republicans.
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DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,148
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #16 on: November 04, 2020, 12:56:35 AM »

Check out the California county map. Sheer devastation so far for California Republicans.


Its early vote and it will be better for Dems. As it was in Florida, Iowa, Texas, NC, etc...

Except in California the margins tend to decrease for Republicans as the counting continues.
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DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,148
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #17 on: November 04, 2020, 01:00:30 AM »

Check out the California county map. Sheer devastation so far for California Republicans.


Its early vote and it will be better for Dems. As it was in Florida, Iowa, Texas, NC, etc...

Except in California the margins tend to decrease for Republicans as the counting continues.

This is not a normal election.

It isn't a normal election, but Kern County going blue hasn't happened since 1964. Democrats just don't do well there even under the most bizarre circumstances.
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DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,148
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #18 on: November 04, 2020, 01:02:59 AM »

Trump is at 67% in Forsyth County, Georgia. Kemp got 70% there.
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DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,148
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #19 on: November 04, 2020, 01:06:39 AM »

I haven't been here in years.  What are the chances that the Democrats win 53/53 House seats in California?

Very slim. LaMalfa and McCarthy will definitely hold on.
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DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,148
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #20 on: November 04, 2020, 01:54:14 AM »

How the F#CK do you look at the last four years, and especially this year, and say "yeah i want more of this"

Honestly, there are some things that we won't be able to understand even if we have the best empirical knowledge.

I've discovered this about humans. It's partly why I'm majoring in psychology.

The democratic party lost when they started  accusing people of stuff(racist, sexist, etc) and doubled down on the lost when they got violent. Focus on real economic solutions that help people and you may well have a break through. Most people hate the sjw whining and hate having to live in fear of some thug kicking their head in.

Your side was plotting to kill two governors. Do you not understand who the real threat is here?
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DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,148
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #21 on: November 04, 2020, 02:08:17 AM »

Clinton got a 282k lead out of Milwaukee county
Biden only has a 53k lead out Milwaukee countee

Trump only leads Wisconsin by 110k

I think Biden gets Milwaukee and wins Wisconsin somewhat closely if he gets 200k+ lead out of Milwaukee

Also right Milwaukee county is 59-38 Biden, Clinton won here 65-28. just for perspective

So he's underperforming Clinton in a city he NEEDS to win.

Call it for Trump already.

So you want the state to be called for Trump even though all the votes have not been counted? That's not surprising.
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DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,148
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #22 on: November 04, 2020, 07:16:59 AM »

I don't even drink, but this election has made me want liquor. Brown liquor.
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DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,148
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #23 on: November 04, 2020, 08:35:22 AM »

What we are seeing is a new map all together and polling hasn't caught up to that. Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are new states in the sense that the Democratic path to winning them is different now. Arizona is now in the fold too and possibly Georgia.
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DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,148
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

« Reply #24 on: November 04, 2020, 09:01:00 AM »

I kind of hope Arizona saves the day so John McCain’s ghost gets to give one last F you to Trump. Cheesy

Dude, just stop.

Stop what

If you're talking about a state to "save the day" in a now-symbolic presidential election after getting your ass handed to you in the Senate, you've already lost.


Why do you seem to be under the impression that the most powerful man in the world is merely “symbolic” and the Senate is the only thing that matters? Are you aware of what the president actually does and is responsible for? It’s pretty goddamned important. This COVID crisis alone is Exhibit A of how a president’s response to a crisis can make or break a nation, for example.

I swear, the way you talk it's like you think POTUS is just a “head of state” like the Queen of England or something instead of also head of government of the most powerful nation in the world, and Commander-in-Chief of its military and nuclear codes.

Because despite my short term attention span, I can remember four years ago and how a Republican Senate blocked everything Obama wanted to do for the majority of his tenure. McConnell is going to be very dangerous in terms of blocking legislation. Plus, with all of the anti-lockdown hysteria, the Republicans will be suing Biden over every pandemic control measure he tries to implement. With a Court that's majority hacks, they'll find a lot of success there.

Sorry, dude, I know you want to find a silver lining and rejoice that Ice Cream man melted Drumpf, but there really isn't one. There's no more punching bag for the national Democratic Party and so the Republican Party just became a lot more dangerous.

The permanent majority for Republicans was supposed to be sealed after George W. Bush won in 2004, but that didn't happen. Just because Trump is gone does not mean that Trumpism is going away. Republicans are still embracing people who tried to murder governors and run a bus off the road.
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