2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Storr]

Haley Stevens is probably going to win again in MI-11!

Michigan is most definitely a FF state.

[Inmate Trump]

So apparently the last GA update was just the Chatham County (Savannah) absentees.  That means the 60K+ Fulton absentees and several thousand from DeKalb and Cobb are still out!

I wonder when they'll be counted?

[emailking]

I'm getting a little annoyed about how much many of my friends are going full-in on rigged election conspiracy theories right now

Yeah I'm seeing this all over social media. Finding ballots randomly in Michigan. And something about sharpie pens spoiling ballots in Arizona? I don't know.

[Bojack Horseman]

Haley Stevens is probably going to win again in MI-11!

And so did Elissa Slotkin. F*** the naysayers!

[Joe Haydn]

Random thought: with Ohio, Florida, and probably North Carolina going for Trump, there will be hardly any active win streaks left, even if you allow for one miss. MI, WI, and PA will have win streaks going back to 2008. That's it.

Nevada?

I guess if you grant Nevada its one miss in 2016, it has a streak going back to 2004. If you switch to "always votes with the popular vote winner," though, there are a lot more options.

Nope, it goes all the way back to…1980.

In 2000, it voted for W who did not win the popular vote. New Mexico does have a streak going back to 1980 though.

True, but I was responding to the first half of the post.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Is Perdue gonna fall below 50%? This is our last chance in the senate barring an NC miracle

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/PaulRRigney/status/1324114563256733696

FFT!

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Wow, the last batch of Forsyth votes actually went D. Assuming they are all mail-in votes at this point.

Trump is only at 66.5% of support in Forsyth county.

I predicted 65-35.  Would love to see it come down to that number with the remaining absentees, if any.

Ossoff over 30% in Forsyth. Can he keep Purdue below 50% with those margins?

[rhg2052]

Perdue down to 50.4% statewide.

[Hassan 2022]

Haley Stevens is probably going to win again in MI-11!

And so did Elissa Slotkin. F*** the naysayers!

Angie Craig is also likely to hold MN-2!

[brucejoel99]

So what happened to that announcement about a NV number update being tonight instead of tomorrow morning due to high interest? Is that still happening?

[NOVA Green]

Trump barely won Oklahoma County, 49.2%-48.1%.


So close to breaking the GOP all-county sweep that they have done since 2004. I think by 2024 we can finally break it.

If the Democratic nominee manages to win in 2024, Democrats could break the all-county sweeps in both Oklahoma and West Virginia. Monongalia County was within 2 points.

Has anyone ever compiled out (major) college town counties vote?  Obviously, the vast majority would go for Democrats, but it would be interesting to see the ones that don't.  (Depending on your definition of "major," I know Bloomington, IL's McLean County was usually one.)

I did some work on this for the 2016 Election, and might well end up doing something similar once we get 2020 precinct results.

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=273504.msg5837408#msg5837408

[GeneralMacArthur]

Is anyone watching the House?  It's been called for the Dems by every news org, but it seems a bit premature to me.  Dems only have 208/218 seats called, and most of the remaining ones are R leads.

[Pro-Israel, anti-Bibi]

Perdue down to 50.4% statewide.

Running behind Trump?

[Pro-Israel, anti-Bibi]

Is anyone watching the House?  It's been called for the Dems by every news org, but it seems a bit premature to me.  Dems only have 208/218 seats called, and most of the remaining ones are R leads.

Lol

[ProgressiveModerate]

Is anyone watching the House?  It's been called for the Dems by every news org, but it seems a bit premature to me.  Dems only have 208/218 seats called, and most of the remaining ones are R leads.

I swear if Democrats win the Senate and the Presidency but lose the House...

[forsythvoter]

Trump's at 50.0% right now. Up by 57K votes

Perdue down to 50.4% statewide.

Running behind Trump?

[Adam Griffin]

Yeah, I don't know much discussion there's been, but...Biden's favored in Georgia at this point. If he wins 70% of what's left, he wins by 20k votes (not including any mail ballots that arrive by Friday and/or provisionals, both of which skew heavily D).

[7,052,770]

Perdue down to 50.4% statewide.

My back of the napkin figures say if Biden pulls out Georgia, it should knock him under 50.

Biden has to figure out a bold strategy to get Georgians to give us the Senate.

[Pericles]

Yeah, I don't know much discussion there's been, but...Biden's favored in Georgia at this point. If he wins 70% of what's left, he wins by 20k votes (not including any mail ballots that arrive by Friday and/or provisionals, both of which skew heavily D).

What would that be as a percentage?

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

Is anyone watching the House?  It's been called for the Dems by every news org, but it seems a bit premature to me.  Dems only have 208/218 seats called, and most of the remaining ones are R leads.

CA takes their time to fully count the votes.

[Canis]

Perdue down to 50.4% statewide.

Running behind Trump?

Yes but only by about 1k votes

[forsythvoter]

Yeah, we are looking at a very likely Blue GA given how the votes have been coming in.

Yeah, I don't know much discussion there's been, but...Biden's favored in Georgia at this point. If he wins 70% of what's left, he wins by 20k votes (not including any mail ballots that arrive by Friday and/or provisionals, both of which skew heavily D).

[BudgieForce]

Is anyone watching the House?  It's been called for the Dems by every news org, but it seems a bit premature to me.  Dems only have 208/218 seats called, and most of the remaining ones are R leads.

I checked and I think the dem house majority will survive, but there are some really sad losses all the same.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-house.html

[Alben Barkley]

Is anyone watching the House?  It's been called for the Dems by every news org, but it seems a bit premature to me.  Dems only have 208/218 seats called, and most of the remaining ones are R leads.

If EVERY news org called it, I find it hard to believe we could possibly lose it. Aren't we still waiting on a lot of votes in like California seats and such?