2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
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  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 606937 times)
Pericles
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« on: November 03, 2020, 05:05:41 PM »

From CNN: early exit polls:

top issue:
economy 34%
racial equity 21%
coronavirus 18%


Coronavirus so low-WTF? Junk poll!
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Pericles
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« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2020, 06:50:18 PM »

Beautiful, it looks like Biden's promised appeal to rural whites is real.
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Pericles
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« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2020, 06:56:49 PM »

Hicks is at 60.4% with 25% reporting in KY-06, any chance this flips?
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Pericles
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« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2020, 07:03:48 PM »

Swings against Trump in Florida, looking good for Biden. Let's keep this up!
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Pericles
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« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2020, 07:09:19 PM »

Everything I'm seeing so far is good for Biden. It's early, but these signs matter.
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Pericles
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« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2020, 07:16:15 PM »

Don't celebrate too soon everyone; Florida is only at 20% reporting on NYT.

The counties that have almost fully reported suggest Biden will win Florida. We need to see if Trump makes enough gains in Miami-Dade, but overall this election is looking like a Biden win.
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Pericles
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« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2020, 07:17:34 PM »

And well, those numbers in Miami-Dade are brutal for Biden YIKES. Tug of war of competing swings, whites going to Biden and Cubans going to Trump.
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Pericles
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« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2020, 07:19:59 PM »

Scary needle in Florida. Come on Florida seniors, punish Trump for Covid and swing it back.
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Pericles
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« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2020, 07:21:33 PM »

Cobb County Georgia looks good for Biden, 27% in which is significant but could easily change.
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Pericles
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« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2020, 07:22:52 PM »

If Biden is really only at 54% in Miami-Dade, Shalala and Mucarsel-Powell could have a tougher night than expected.
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Pericles
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« Reply #10 on: November 03, 2020, 07:26:49 PM »

If Biden is really only at 54% in Miami-Dade, Shalala and Mucarsel-Powell could have a tougher night than expected.

Both of them are trailing.

Interesting. FL-15 meanwhile is a less than 1% Republican lead with 51% in, another interesting one to watch.
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Pericles
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« Reply #11 on: November 03, 2020, 07:31:30 PM »

Sumter is good but not great.
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Pericles
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« Reply #12 on: November 03, 2020, 07:42:23 PM »

Duval appears to have flipped with 90% in.
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Pericles
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« Reply #13 on: November 03, 2020, 07:52:22 PM »

There goes the Bloomberg $100 million

Part of their plan was to force Trump to spend lots of money in FL, so maybe if they get the wins they need in other states they can still claim success.
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Pericles
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« Reply #14 on: November 03, 2020, 07:53:39 PM »

Biden numbers look good in OH, not sure if he can flip the state but probably enough to flip the presidency.
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Pericles
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« Reply #15 on: November 03, 2020, 07:55:24 PM »

OH for Biden and FL for Trump would be crazy.
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Pericles
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« Reply #16 on: November 03, 2020, 07:56:00 PM »

Yeah, Miami is looking like an isolated case. RELAX.

Miami is pretty much the only bad sign from the night, everywhere else Biden is outrunning Hillary and is well on track to flip the presidency.
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Pericles
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« Reply #17 on: November 03, 2020, 08:01:54 PM »

The third party vote being so much higher in 2016 than 2020 makes it harder to do quick analysis of county shifts.
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Pericles
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« Reply #18 on: November 03, 2020, 08:02:54 PM »

Lol at people thinking Biden is done. We haven’t even seen WI, MI, PA, or AZ yet. Calm the f*** down. Biden is still the favorite. HE DOESNT NEED FLORIDA.

Without Florida, this whole thing will drag on for days, which gives Trump enough time to stage his coup.

Florida was just one option to wrap it up early, we'll probably know Biden has the win anyway. And a coup is pretty unlikely anyway lol.
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Pericles
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« Reply #19 on: November 03, 2020, 08:11:08 PM »

Some of those Senate Republicans outrunning Trump like Perdue and Cornyn is annoying. Looks like Graham has it won too, though this isn't a surprise.
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Pericles
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« Reply #20 on: November 03, 2020, 08:12:01 PM »

A few bold predictions:

1. Biden wins Kenton and Campbell counties. In addition to (easily) Franklin County.

2. Biden wins Fayette and Jefferson counties and ends up in at least the mid-60s in both.

3. Biden MAY win back Elliott County.

4. They will NOT be able to call Kentucky at poll close.

5. Trump wins Kentucky in the end by low-mid double digits, an abysmal margin compared to 2016.

6. People who unironically thought Biden being a white man wouldn’t matter in states like Kentucky, and that he’d do worse than Obama and Hillary, will have a ton of crow to eat.

Here we go asshole Barkley

You made all these claims

1. Kenton is 88% in and +20 Trump,  Franklin is 90% in and +0.1 Trump

2. Lexington/Louisville didn't release that many votes

3. Almost certainly not although it still only 52% reporting

4. Weird stuff happened

5. Meh final margin isn't there

6. There are multiple counties in rural where Biden is doing worse than both Clinton and Obama despite being a white man.

6 is a very small minority, most counties I'm seeing Biden is doing better than Hillary.
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Pericles
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« Reply #21 on: November 03, 2020, 08:15:38 PM »

This is a sad night for America, but I knew it was coming.

Biden is winning the presidency anyway, just not Florida.
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Pericles
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« Reply #22 on: November 03, 2020, 08:27:25 PM »

Texas is looking close but no cigar for Biden in a very early look...Biden matching but not exceeding Beto.

Democrats might still gain several House seats and the state House with 'close but no cigar'.
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Pericles
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« Reply #23 on: November 03, 2020, 08:29:13 PM »

Who the f**k is this idiot on CNN saying it wasn't foreseeable four years ago that Georgia would be a swing state. It was only a 5 point margin.
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Pericles
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« Reply #24 on: November 03, 2020, 08:30:45 PM »

BTW, Mitch McConnell the beast himself has been projected to win.

4-6 years as Minority Leader will be so enjoyable for him lol.
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