2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Splash]

https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/status/1324116733272104962

[HisGrace]

Red mirage, the remaining 30% will go 95-5 Biden if they are anything like the last few batches.

With 70% of the vote in so far. Philly has swung R interestingly.

I would imagine you see big swings across precincts in an urban area like that depending in what part of town it is.

[ultraviolet]

If we assume the GA pres race will narrow down to within a couple tenths of a point, that would indicate Perdue missing 50 by a very small margin.

[politics_king]

I hate to say this but I feel like how close this election ended up being plus how things went downballot probably ensures Biden doesn’t run for re-election if he comes out on top.

That and the fact he'll be 82.

After what happened, does anyone on here think Kamala Harris would win if she ran in 2024 to succeed Biden?

That depends on how things are going in 2024 and who she chooses as her VP will make a huge difference

It would not suprise me at all if her pick is either someone of Cuban ethnicity from Florida or Someone from the Midwest who can balance to ticket like Biden did for Obama in 2008

If Biden ends up being popular Haris will definitely benefit from that but a lot will depend on what she does over the next 4 years.

Don't want to count my chickens but if I'm her, I would pick Gov. Jared Polis of Colorado, who is also a former Congressman. Him and his Husband have children and it's great outreach to the LGBTQ+ community and that actually would help in Florida, plus he's also Jewish which helps in that state.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Trump down to just a 4.8 margin in PA.

[MikeIrvine]

I would love to know which animal Ann Selzer sacrifices to the gods each election cycle in exchange for accurate polls.

Hey, has anybody seen Fivey Fox recently?

We ate him hours ago. Nothing on DoorDash looked good.

[forsythvoter]

That would certainly be the case if this were election day results by precinct. These are all mail-in ballots though so they are randomly distributed across the city.

Red mirage, the remaining 30% will go 95-5 Biden if they are anything like the last few batches.

With 70% of the vote in so far. Philly has swung R interestingly.

I would imagine you see big swings across precincts in an urban area like that depending in what part of town it is.

[Citizen (The) Doctor]

If we assume the GA pres race will narrow down to within a couple tenths of a point, that would indicate Perdue missing 50 by a very small margin.

Does anyone know what's left out in GA and an estimate of how much?

[politics_king]

If we assume the GA pres race will narrow down to within a couple tenths of a point, that would indicate Perdue missing 50 by a very small margin.

You love to see it.

[SevenEleven]

I hate to say this but I feel like how close this election ended up being plus how things went downballot probably ensures Biden doesn’t run for re-election if he comes out on top.

That and the fact he'll be 82.

After what happened, does anyone on here think Kamala Harris would win if she ran in 2024 to succeed Biden?

That depends on how things are going in 2024 and who she chooses as her VP will make a huge difference

It would not suprise me at all if her pick is either someone of Cuban ethnicity from Florida or Someone from the Midwest who can balance to ticket like Biden did for Obama in 2008

If Biden ends up being popular Haris will definitely benefit from that but a lot will depend on what she does over the next 4 years.

Don't want to count my chickens but if I'm her, I would pick Gov. Jared Polis of Colorado, who is also a former Congressman. Him and his Husband have children and it's great outreach to the LGBTQ+ community and that actually would help in Florida, plus he's also Jewish which helps in that state.

Sounds great until you get to the part where Florida voted twice to elect a racist ass bigot who crashed the economy and did nothing positive during his four years.

[Roronoa D. Law]

If we assume the GA pres race will narrow down to within a couple tenths of a point, that would indicate Perdue missing 50 by a very small margin.

Does anyone know what's left out in GA and an estimate of how much?

[It’s so Joever]

Someone suggesting Jared Polis would be a good Vp for Democrats nationally tells you exactly why Democrats are losing so many races.

[HisGrace]

Although I am not surprised, I think it should be noted how pathetic it is that conservatives on TV and social are preemptively trying to delegitimize the integrity of the election. Not the least of all because Trump could still wins if he just wins the states where he currently leads and overcomes a .6% deficit in Nevada with 15% still to go. There is no evidence that anything irregular is going on with the count. Wisconsin in 16 and Iowa in 04 took quite a while to call but no one cared because the election had already been decided. If Biden could have won Florida no one would be talking about this right now.

[politics_king]

I hate to say this but I feel like how close this election ended up being plus how things went downballot probably ensures Biden doesn’t run for re-election if he comes out on top.

That and the fact he'll be 82.

After what happened, does anyone on here think Kamala Harris would win if she ran in 2024 to succeed Biden?

That depends on how things are going in 2024 and who she chooses as her VP will make a huge difference

It would not suprise me at all if her pick is either someone of Cuban ethnicity from Florida or Someone from the Midwest who can balance to ticket like Biden did for Obama in 2008

If Biden ends up being popular Haris will definitely benefit from that but a lot will depend on what she does over the next 4 years.

Don't want to count my chickens but if I'm her, I would pick Gov. Jared Polis of Colorado, who is also a former Congressman. Him and his Husband have children and it's great outreach to the LGBTQ+ community and that actually would help in Florida, plus he's also Jewish which helps in that state.

Sounds great until you get to the part where Florida voted twice to elect a racist ass bigot who crashed the economy and did nothing positive during his four years.

You can have that "doom" mentality but Biden failed going after the Latin vote and Harris wouldn't do that. Plus demographics change and don't underestimate an enthusiasm for a ticket like Harris/Polis, it can be real. I'm just thinking off the top of my head, newly elected Sen. Ben Ray Lujan would be another pick that comes up in my mind. But, I'll save that for a new thread once this is over where we can all be political junkies and predict the 2024 race.

[Alben Barkley]

I hereby claim that Florida is no longer a part of the United States, thus its electoral votes do not count for Trump.

[Crumpets]

Random thought: with Ohio, Florida, and probably North Carolina going for Trump, there will be hardly any active win streaks left, even if you allow for one miss. MI, WI, and PA will have win streaks going back to 2008. That's it.

[politics_king]

If we assume the GA pres race will narrow down to within a couple tenths of a point, that would indicate Perdue missing 50 by a very small margin.

Does anyone know what's left out in GA and an estimate of how much?

How are we looking? Think Biden can pull it off?

[Storr]

2022 as the backup option is not very reassuring because Democrats not only need to get lucky and have a net gain of seats but they also need to hold the House, so they can actually pass legislation. Supreme Court vacancies and stuff of course only need the Senate though. Let's first hope they can cobble together a majority in this election.

It's delusional to expect Democrats to gain Senate seats during a midterm. They didn't even manage that in 1998. Sure, Republicans managed in 2002 and 2018, but Democrats haven't since 1962, and before that 1934, both of which were 6 years after a landslide defeat.

At best the Democrats might be able to gain a few since the map is favorable for them in 2022 (Flipping Wisconsin and Pennsylvania seems like the route of least resistance to 50 seats). The only possibly competitive seats Democrats need to defend are Arizona (assuming Kelly wins), Nevada, and New Hampshire. I'm not expecting Democrats to gain seats in 2022, just noting how it seems reasonably possible if Biden is popular when midterms come up.

[GeorgiaModerate]

All of you folks speculating about what the Democrats should do in 2024: the last four years should have taught you that we have no idea what the country will look like by then.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

I hate to say this but I feel like how close this election ended up being plus how things went downballot probably ensures Biden doesn’t run for re-election if he comes out on top.

That and the fact he'll be 82.

After what happened, does anyone on here think Kamala Harris would win if she ran in 2024 to succeed Biden?

That depends on how things are going in 2024 and who she chooses as her VP will make a huge difference

It would not suprise me at all if her pick is either someone of Cuban ethnicity from Florida or Someone from the Midwest who can balance to ticket like Biden did for Obama in 2008

If Biden ends up being popular Haris will definitely benefit from that but a lot will depend on what she does over the next 4 years.

Don't want to count my chickens but if I'm her, I would pick Gov. Jared Polis of Colorado, who is also a former Congressman. Him and his Husband have children and it's great outreach to the LGBTQ+ community and that actually would help in Florida, plus he's also Jewish which helps in that state.

Sounds great until you get to the part where Florida voted twice to elect a racist ass bigot who crashed the economy and did nothing positive during his four years.

Yeah the idea that a gay Jewish running mate would help in Flarda just isn't in touch with what the current political cleavages in that state are. The days of Retired New York Jewish Teachers' Union Stewards for Buchanan are over.

[Bojack Horseman]

I hate to say this but I feel like how close this election ended up being plus how things went downballot probably ensures Biden doesn’t run for re-election if he comes out on top.

That and the fact he'll be 82.

After what happened, does anyone on here think Kamala Harris would win if she ran in 2024 to succeed Biden?

That depends on how things are going in 2024 and who she chooses as her VP will make a huge difference

It would not suprise me at all if her pick is either someone of Cuban ethnicity from Florida or Someone from the Midwest who can balance to ticket like Biden did for Obama in 2008

If Biden ends up being popular Haris will definitely benefit from that but a lot will depend on what she does over the next 4 years.

Don't want to count my chickens but if I'm her, I would pick Gov. Jared Polis of Colorado, who is also a former Congressman. Him and his Husband have children and it's great outreach to the LGBTQ+ community and that actually would help in Florida, plus he's also Jewish which helps in that state.

Sounds great until you get to the part where Florida voted twice to elect a racist ass bigot who crashed the economy and did nothing positive during his four years.

And that his re-election there was propelled by blacks and Latinos voting for an open white supremacist.

[Horus]

Most of the counties in GA with votes out are heavily Biden but they're not Fulton/Gwinnett size. It's going to be tight.

[Bootes Void]

Trump's lead in PA is down to 282k

[EJ24]

Biden is gonna win PA at the rate he's running.

OOOOOOOOOOHHHHHHHHHHHHH YEEEEEEEEEEEEAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!!!!!!

[HisGrace]

I hereby claim that Florida is no longer a part of the United States, thus its electoral votes do not count for Trump.

Florida being its own country would admittedly be pretty wild.