MI-SEN 2024 Megathread - Meijer out

[Ragnaroni]

I'm calling it right now. The GOP will select the worst possible candidate they can, they'll lose by 5 or more points, whine about losing and not get the message on what type of candidates to run.

The GOP will probably nominate a bad candidate but Trump of all people only lost here by 3 points, and contrary to popular belief, he was talking about rigged elections during the 2020 campaign, claiming it’d be rigged if he lost. Democrats are making a massive mistake underestimating all these new Trump followers.

There's not much to underestimate, is there? The GOP is fighting with itself, many want DeSantis over Trump. 2020 isn't a normal run!

[wbrocks67]

The field may actually be clearing for Slotkin at this point

https://twitter.com/jonathanoosting/status/1629112913079291907

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/JoshKraushaar/status/1629139568594153475

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

RS have zero chance in WI, MI and PA we are gonna net gain seats in the state legislature, the RS always underperforming in WI wjen Ron Johnson isn't on the ballot and he is DOA in 28 unless he and Collins vote for Voting Rights not on the rule but on passage if Gallego and D's successful in getting a Filibuster proof Trifecta

A 52/48 is a 222 D H and 53 D S but a 240 H and 53 D S is a 52/45 Biden isn't under 50 because he beats in You Gov PPP and Echelon DeSantis and Trump 52/48 and we can do better in the S and not that well in the H and it still reflects more than 303 EC votes, like Obama did in 2012 it was 52/48 and we won MO S. 303 isn't set in stone in the Constitution

No RS are posting in WI 24 like MT Treasure did so much in 22 because Johnson is not up in 24

Collins is likely to vote for Voting Rights in 24, not Ron Johnson. Hakeem Jeffries is on Act Blue now saying 24 is so critical, RS did it to themselves they have no budget but Hunter laptop after promising tackling inflation when they got the H, like Boehner sat on minimum wage and there were no Labor shortages on Benghazi

I am gonna donate but I am investing my money till next yr

[Progressive Pessimist]

https://twitter.com/JoshKraushaar/status/1629139568594153475

Called it! He finally won a race, so why would he compromise that by looking like a perennial statewide candidate? That's not to say that he becomes entrenched in his district though, he had a much closer call than expected in 2022, and if Democrats learned from that he could be vulnerable going forward. But it's still a safer gamble than entering yet another Senate race against someone who will probably be a much fiercer opponent than either of Peters or Stabenow.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Who is the best possible candidate for the Rs?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Who is the best possible candidate for the Rs?

The RS has no chance in this race we flipped the state legislature and expected to gain more seats in WI and MI and PA, WI we are the minority party but we are gonna pick up a couple of seats

In MI and PA we are expecting to add more seats to our Increased majority in PA H which is tied and H and S in MI

[Oryxslayer]

Who is the best possible candidate for the Rs?

Its not too hard to imagine one of MI-03 former Reps or Upton winning if the national result is overall good for the GOP. But it's impossible to imagine them winning a primary today, especially since the state Republican party internal apparatus just got captured by those who would want and promote candidates who are the opposite of the previous examples.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Slotkin is gonna win anyways

[2016]

Who is the best possible candidate for the Rs?

Bill Huizenga
Lisa McClain
Peter Meijer

One of those 3 would be decent.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

RS have no chance in this race we just flipped the MI state legislature anand Shapiro is in PA and WI we are about to net gain the state SCOTUS and enhance voting rights in WI

We are gonna gain another couple of seats in all three state legislature PA H

Debbie Stabenow dropped out she didn't want to face Mejer and said Slotkin would do better against him

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Who is the best possible candidate for the Rs?

Tom Leonard

[SnowLabrador]

Who is the best possible candidate for the Rs?

Bill Huizenga
Lisa McClain
Peter Meijer

One of those 3 would be decent.

I'm not too sure about McClain, but I agree that Meijer would be one of the GOP's strongest possible candidates here. Needless to say, though, it's doubtful whether he could win the primary.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Who is the best possible candidate for the Rs?

Bill Huizenga
Lisa McClain
Peter Meijer

One of those 3 would be decent.

I'm not too sure about McClain, but I agree that Meijer would be one of the GOP's strongest possible candidates here. Needless to say, though, it's doubtful whether he could win the primary.

RS have no chance in this race

[Roll Roons]

Gilchrist OUT:
https://twitter.com/garlin/status/1629935262326222851

[SnowLabrador]

Gilchrist OUT:
https://twitter.com/garlin/status/1629935262326222851

Looks like if Slotkin wants it, it's hers. Like I said earlier today, the strongest possible Republican nominee is probably someone like Peter Meijer, but as far as I know he isn't interested. And again, he'd have a hard time winning a primary.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Peter Meijer could not win a stand wide primary unless he has some dramatic change

[wbrocks67]

Dems really going to avoid yet ANOTHER contentious primary, it seems. You love to see it.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Dems really going to avoid yet ANOTHER contentious primary, it seems. You love to see it.

It seems MI/WI/MN Dems actually learned a lesson from 2016.

[Morning in Atlas]

I have to say, I have a lot of trepidation about this. Slotkin defending Manchin and Sinema gives me a lot of pause.

[Tekken_Guy]

I have to say, I have a lot of trepidation about this. Slotkin defending Manchin and Sinema gives me a lot of pause.

What do you mean? She hasn’t voted like them in the house.

[Not Me, Us]

I have to say, I have a lot of trepidation about this. Slotkin defending Manchin and Sinema gives me a lot of pause.

What do you mean? She hasn’t voted like them in the house.

Yeah I don't think there's any risk of Slotkin being anything other than a party-line Democrat. There are candidates I'd prefer, Abdul El-Sayed comes to mind, but Slotkin is fine.

[MargieCat]

Gilchrist OUT:
https://twitter.com/garlin/status/1629935262326222851

Looks like if Slotkin wants it, it's hers. Like I said earlier today, the strongest possible Republican nominee is probably someone like Peter Meijer, but as far as I know he isn't interested. And again, he'd have a hard time winning a primary.

Is Jocelyn Benson spoken for yet?

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Gilchrist OUT:
https://twitter.com/garlin/status/1629935262326222851

Looks like if Slotkin wants it, it's hers. Like I said earlier today, the strongest possible Republican nominee is probably someone like Peter Meijer, but as far as I know he isn't interested. And again, he'd have a hard time winning a primary.

Is Jocelyn Benson spoken for yet?

She said she’s not running.

[Morning in Atlas]

I have to say, I have a lot of trepidation about this. Slotkin defending Manchin and Sinema gives me a lot of pause.

What do you mean? She hasn’t voted like them in the house.

She has publicly said stuff like it in the past.

As you said, Slotkin hasn't really voted like a Manchin or a Sinema, so I'm not opposed to her like I was Lamb. I'm not thrilled about her candidacy and would prefer another candidate, but if I were in Michigan I'd vote for her. Kind of that odd space with Spanberger and the others.