2022 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

https://twitter.com/timelywriter/status/1496577073669881859

Meuser running in PA-09, not against Cartwright.

Well, isn't this good news for Cartwright.
He may as well be the luckiest man today.

[ElectionsGuy]

https://twitter.com/timelywriter/status/1496577073669881859

Meuser running in PA-09, not against Cartwright.

Well, isn't this good news for Cartwright.
He may as well be the luckiest man today.

He's still extremely vulnerable? If he were to win, Dems would keep the House.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

https://twitter.com/timelywriter/status/1496577073669881859
Meuser running in PA-09, not against Cartwright.

Well, isn't this good news for Cartwright.
He may as well be the luckiest man today.

He's still extremely vulnerable? If he were to win, Dems would keep the House.

He's vulnerable. We don't know how vulnerable. You're right that if he were to win, Ds keep the House.
Regardless of the lucky breaks he's got thus far, it would be malpractice for Rs to fail to try to defeat him with a strong candidate.

[This user has not been convicted of 34 felonies]

We had a year and a half to find someone to run for Congress and the best we could do is a guy who was a registered Republican throughout the entire Trump presidency?

https://lancasteronline.com/news/politics/former-elanco-superintendent-lifelong-republican-bob-hollister-announces-campaign-to-challenge-u-s-rep-lloyd/article_eec7f340-94fb-11ec-a1a7-ab41e3e74cf7.html

Prior to Jan. 6, 2021, Hollister said had been a lifelong Republican. But on Jan. 7, when Republicans did not fully condemn the previous day's violence at the U.S. Capitol or President Trump's role in encouraging it, Hollister said he became disaffected by the party. By the spring he had changed his party registration to Democrat.

"The far left and the far right are pushing and driving the country apart," Hollister said. "I think there's a large group of people in the middle who really don't have someone who represents them."

[MT Treasurer]

https://twitter.com/timelywriter/status/1496577073669881859
Meuser running in PA-09, not against Cartwright.

Well, isn't this good news for Cartwright.
He may as well be the luckiest man today.

He's still extremely vulnerable? If he were to win, Dems would keep the House.

He's vulnerable. We don't know how vulnerable.

Actually, Cartwright is among the most vulnerable Democratic incumbents by far and is basically hopeless even under the new map. He’s going to lose and it won’t be particularly close.

[Roll Roons]

Former State House speaker Beth Harwell IN for the new TN-05:https://twitter.com/tnnaterau/status/1496833665036431367

[Matty]

New abc/wapo poll of likely 2022 voters

Gop 54
Dems 41

[Minnesota Mike]

New abc/wapo poll of likely 2022 voters

Gop 54
Dems 41

That is the result for certain voters not likely voters.  Registered voters, a better metric at this point, is 49 R - 42 D (not good but actually a 3 point improvement for D's since the last WAPO/ABC poll).

https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/21274844-2022-02-24-trend-for-release

[SnowLabrador]

This is sickening.

[2016]

New abc/wapo poll of likely 2022 voters

Gop 54
Dems 41

That is the result for certain voters not likely voters.  Registered voters, a better metric at this point, is 49 R - 42 D (not good but actually a 3 point improvement for D's since the last WAPO/ABC poll).

https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/21274844-2022-02-24-trend-for-release

All wrong again and you are misleading people!

The 49-42 figure is among "Registered Voters" per RealClearPolitics Website, while the 54-41 figure is among Likely Voters.

Read what CNN's Harry Enten wrote last week that Polls are underestimating Republican Support and he expects Republicans gaining up to 5 Percentage Points when it is switched to a Likely Voter Screen.

None of it is good in this Poll for Biden!

[Minnesota Mike]

New abc/wapo poll of likely 2022 voters

Gop 54
Dems 41

That is the result for certain voters not likely voters.  Registered voters, a better metric at this point, is 49 R - 42 D (not good but actually a 3 point improvement for D's since the last WAPO/ABC poll).

https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/21274844-2022-02-24-trend-for-release

All wrong again and you are misleading people!

The 49-42 figure is among "Registered Voters" per RealClearPolitics Website, while the 54-41 figure is among Likely Voters.

Read what CNN's Harry Enten wrote last week that Polls are underestimating Republican Support and he expects Republicans gaining up to 5 Percentage Points when it is switched to a Likely Voter Screen.

None of it is good in this Poll for Biden!

Wrong.
https://twitter.com/ABCPolitics/status/1497800703875510274

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

No, I don't believe it, and it's still nine MNTHS till the Election, Morning Consult has Biden at 47 I seriously doubt Ukraine bombings is gonna go on forever, Rs are getting a temporary bump but an overwhelming bump and we don't have any WI, PA state by state polls and Fetterman was narrowly leading OZ I don't believe

These polls aren't to believe because we still have nine mnths and Rs are winning the GCB by ,49)41 their best night was 2014 and we lost IL R plus
Is it October no it's not, when has the Rs ever won the GCB by double digits never

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is sickening.

You do know it's not Eday yet they're just polla not votes castes

[2016]

No, I don't believe it, and it's still nine MNTHS till the Election, Morning Consult has Biden at 47 I seriously doubt Ukraine bombings is gonna go on forever, Rs are getting a temporary bump but an overwhelming bump and we don't have any WI, PA state by state polls and Fetterman was narrowly leading OZ I don't believe

These polls aren't to believe because we still have nine mnths and Rs are winning the GCB by ,49)41 their best night was 2014 and we lost IL R plus
Is it October no it's not, when has the Rs ever won the GCB by double digits never

You will be crying in your basement come November when Democrats will have big losses as will other Democrats. And your hyperbolic Predictions will be "Rebuked".

[It’s so Joever]

No, I don't believe it, and it's still nine MNTHS till the Election, Morning Consult has Biden at 47 I seriously doubt Ukraine bombings is gonna go on forever, Rs are getting a temporary bump but an overwhelming bump and we don't have any WI, PA state by state polls and Fetterman was narrowly leading OZ I don't believe

These polls aren't to believe because we still have nine mnths and Rs are winning the GCB by ,49)41 their best night was 2014 and we lost IL R plus
Is it October no it's not, when has the Rs ever won the GCB by double digits never

You will be crying in your basement come November when Democrats will have big losses as will other Democrats. And your hyperbolic Predictions will be "Rebuked".

He’s OC so chill.

[2016]

No, I don't believe it, and it's still nine MNTHS till the Election, Morning Consult has Biden at 47 I seriously doubt Ukraine bombings is gonna go on forever, Rs are getting a temporary bump but an overwhelming bump and we don't have any WI, PA state by state polls and Fetterman was narrowly leading OZ I don't believe

These polls aren't to believe because we still have nine mnths and Rs are winning the GCB by ,49)41 their best night was 2014 and we lost IL R plus
Is it October no it's not, when has the Rs ever won the GCB by double digits never

You will be crying in your basement come November when Democrats will have big losses as will other Democrats. And your hyperbolic Predictions will be "Rebuked".

He’s OC so chill.

Interesting when you look at the ABC Poll Voters do not seem too much interested what happens in the Ukraine now. Top Issues are Economy & Inflation. Voters giving Republicans a 19-Point lead (54/35) over Democrats on the Economy. That is very problematic for Biden & Democrats.

[It’s so Joever]

No, I don't believe it, and it's still nine MNTHS till the Election, Morning Consult has Biden at 47 I seriously doubt Ukraine bombings is gonna go on forever, Rs are getting a temporary bump but an overwhelming bump and we don't have any WI, PA state by state polls and Fetterman was narrowly leading OZ I don't believe

These polls aren't to believe because we still have nine mnths and Rs are winning the GCB by ,49)41 their best night was 2014 and we lost IL R plus
Is it October no it's not, when has the Rs ever won the GCB by double digits never

You will be crying in your basement come November when Democrats will have big losses as will other Democrats. And your hyperbolic Predictions will be "Rebuked".

He’s OC so chill.

Interesting when you look at the ABC Poll Voters do not seem too much interested what happens in the Ukraine now. Top Issues are Economy & Inflation. Voters giving Republicans a 19-Point lead (54/35) over Democrats on the Economy. That is very problematic for Biden & Democrats.

Didn’t the poll stop being conducted on the 24th?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

No, I don't believe it, and it's still nine MNTHS till the Election, Morning Consult has Biden at 47 I seriously doubt Ukraine bombings is gonna go on forever, Rs are getting a temporary bump but an overwhelming bump and we don't have any WI, PA state by state polls and Fetterman was narrowly leading OZ I don't believe

These polls aren't to believe because we still have nine mnths and Rs are winning the GCB by ,49)41 their best night was 2014 and we lost IL R plus
Is it October no it's not, when has the Rs ever won the GCB by double digits never

You will be crying in your basement come November when Democrats will have big losses as will other Democrats. And your hyperbolic Predictions will be "Rebuked".

He’s OC so chill.

Lol when has the Rs ever won the GCB by 13 pts and we were the ones that won 80M votes in a VBM election not same day vote unlike Rs, it's only March, 22 not Nov 22, if the Rs win the GCB by 13 I would be shocked ..it's not over when you he polls say so it's over when we count votes we thought Trump won and he lost, Lol

[2016]

No, I don't believe it, and it's still nine MNTHS till the Election, Morning Consult has Biden at 47 I seriously doubt Ukraine bombings is gonna go on forever, Rs are getting a temporary bump but an overwhelming bump and we don't have any WI, PA state by state polls and Fetterman was narrowly leading OZ I don't believe

These polls aren't to believe because we still have nine mnths and Rs are winning the GCB by ,49)41 their best night was 2014 and we lost IL R plus
Is it October no it's not, when has the Rs ever won the GCB by double digits never

You will be crying in your basement come November when Democrats will have big losses as will other Democrats. And your hyperbolic Predictions will be "Rebuked".

He’s OC so chill.

Interesting when you look at the ABC Poll Voters do not seem too much interested what happens in the Ukraine now. Top Issues are Economy & Inflation. Voters giving Republicans a 19-Point lead (54/35) over Democrats on the Economy. That is very problematic for Biden & Democrats.

Didn’t the poll stop being conducted on the 24th?

I think you might be right but usually Americans only care about these Foreign Relations if their own Troops are fighting. As long as Biden doesn't activly sent ground troops into Ukraine they won't care too much about it.

Generally speaking though National Security is an Issue that usually benefitted Republicans. Only Excemption was 2012 I think.

[Pollster]

Am hearing rumors that Ted Deutch will be announcing his retirement shortly.

[SnowLabrador]

Am hearing rumors that Ted Deutch will be announcing his retirement shortly.

Well, that sucks.

[Roll Roons]

https://twitter.com/JonathanTamari/status/1498423296718782470?cxt=HHwWjIC-wZSDvM...
I know he's pretty new but I completely forgot that there was a member of Congress named Fred Keller.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

https://www.oklahoman.com/story/news/2022/03/05/gop-chairman-john-bennett-joins-race-2nd-congressional-district-oklahoma-markwayne-mullin/9389699002/

OKGOP Chairman John Bennett running for Rep. Mullin (who is running for Senate)'s seat. He's probably going to get the nomination.

Bennett is basically Oklahoma's Wendy Rogers, he's MTG x2 and is well known for endorsing far-right challengers to all significant Oklahoma Republicans as well as making controversial comments about... everything.

[2016]

I still feel quite good about Republicans taking the House.

Texas Primary was 64 % Republican / 36 % Democratic

We will have to see if this holds in places like Ohio, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, etc in May.

[Unelectable Bystander]

I still feel quite good about Republicans taking the House.

Texas Primary was 64 % Republican / 36 % Democratic

We will have to see if this holds in places like Ohio, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, etc in May.

Those are actually liberal saboteurs who showed up just to defeat the Trumpians. Strangely enough, my cousin’s sister-in-law’s friend is one of these and he said he’s a Biden -> Biden disapprover -> generic ballot undecided -> R primary -> straight ticket D voter