Who has won Arizona?

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

Mark Kelly: 51.5%
Blake Masters: 46.3%

99,638 votes ahead

Estimated vote in: 76%

[SnowLabrador]

Probably Kelly by 1-2%.

[AZDem]

Probably Kelly by 1-2%.

No. It's going to probably 4% or 5%.

Turns out the counties that are done where Trump won i '20, the GQP is underperforming upwards of 8%-9%.

Masters can't seem to budge above 46% so far and I think that's where he's going to stay.

[SnowLabrador]

Probably Kelly by 1-2%.

No. It's going to probably 4% or 5%.

Turns out the counties that are done where Trump won i '20, the GQP is underperforming upwards of 8%-9%.

Masters can't seem to budge above 46% so far and I think that's where he's going to stay.

If you're right, it seems like AZ and NV are diverging. Cortez Masto, if she wins at all, will be lucky to pass a 1% margin.

[soundchaser]

Probably Kelly by 1-2%.

No. It's going to probably 4% or 5%.

Turns out the counties that are done where Trump won i '20, the GQP is underperforming upwards of 8%-9%.

Masters can't seem to budge above 46% so far and I think that's where he's going to stay.

If you're right, it seems like AZ and NV are diverging. Cortez Masto, if she wins at all, will be lucky to pass a 1% margin.

She's going to win by between 1 and 2% if the mail percentages keep holding. If she'd run against a loon like Masters it would probably be by more, too.

[Dani Rose]

Blake couldn't master this one.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Things seem to be going astonishingly well in Arizona. I am increasingly certain that Kelly wins. I always thought he would, he was the incumbent Democrat who always seemed to poll the best against his opponent, even as it appeared that he was in the most unfriendly state.

I am less certain about Hobbs winning but I am floored by how much likelier an outright rejection of all the election deniers in the state looks right now. And if she does win it might be the biggest, most inspiring underdog victory since Fetterman's. And more bragging rights for wbrocks too.

[TodayJunior]

Dems win all four uncalled races (AZ-Gov, AZ-Sen, NV-Gov, NV-Sen). The GOP will also be DOA in 2024. Even if they can claw back GA, WI in the presidential races, PA/MI are blue again, and these two sunbelt states likely won't be truly in play either. Better luck in 2028/32....or not

[Ogre Mage]

I'd bet money that Mark Kelly wins.

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

The one who went into space.

[Hammy]

SnowLabrador and Forumlurker saying this is going to Kelly has me more confident, especially given I've been more confident of Nevada vs Arizona

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Probably Kelly by 1-2%.

No. It's going to probably 4% or 5%.

Turns out the counties that are done where Trump won i '20, the GQP is underperforming upwards of 8%-9%.

Masters can't seem to budge above 46% so far and I think that's where he's going to stay.

If you're right, it seems like AZ and NV are diverging. Cortez Masto, if she wins at all, will be lucky to pass a 1% margin.

She's going to win by between 1 and 2% if the mail percentages keep holding. If she'd run against a loon like Masters it would probably be by more, too.

Yea that’s the most important factor people keep forgetting. Masters, Oz, Bolduc are just terrible awful no good very bad candidates. Laxalt is the only actually good/decent candidate the GOP fielded. The GOP threw a yoke around their own neck

[😥]

Mark Kelly, without a doubt. It is better to ask now who has won AZ-01 and AZ-06 at the House level

[Mardigroppa]

Probably Kelly by 1-2%.

No. It's going to probably 4% or 5%.

Turns out the counties that are done where Trump won i '20, the GQP is underperforming upwards of 8%-9%.

Masters can't seem to budge above 46% so far and I think that's where he's going to stay.

No kidding. How are they underperforming Greenlee county? Everyone there seemingly has guns, it's a big mining WWC county, and it's prime Trump territory.

Blake Masters seems like a male Kelly Loeffler in all honesty. A blonde business acolyte with no charisma and a robot stare, and all they can talk about is a radical liberal dystopia.

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

According to CNN, Mark Kelly is the projected winner of the Arizona senatorial race, after 85% of the vote have been counted.