2022 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread (user search)
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Author Topic: 2022 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread  (Read 168604 times)
Roll Roons
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« on: December 03, 2020, 11:12:45 AM »
Risky move. His seat's not completely safe.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #1 on: January 03, 2021, 10:45:43 PM »


He's inevitable...
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #2 on: January 14, 2021, 09:50:33 AM »
Not sure if there's a megathread for LA-05, but Luke Letlow's widow Julia will run for the seat: https://www.thenewsstar.com/story/news/politics/2021/01/14/julia-letlow-widow-rep-elect-luke-letlow-run-congress/4151817001/
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #3 on: January 22, 2021, 03:41:15 PM »
« Edited: January 22, 2021, 04:37:59 PM by Roll Roons »
https://newjerseyglobe.com/congress/nfl-coach-and-ex-mayor-hints-at-congressional-run-against-andy-kim/

NFL coach Randy Brown, a former Evesham mayor, considering running as a Republican in NJ-03. Wish he'd stepped up in 2020 instead.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #4 on: February 01, 2021, 12:03:36 PM »
« Edited: February 01, 2021, 12:17:18 PM by Roll Roons »
https://newjerseyglobe.com/legislature/kean-2021-re-elect/

Tom Kean won't run for reelection to the State Senate, setting up a very likely rematch with Malinowski in NJ-07. Wholeheartedly endorsed.

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Roll Roons
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« Reply #5 on: February 03, 2021, 05:07:20 PM »
https://coloradosun.com/2021/02/03/kerry-donovan-launched-campaign-against-lauren-boebert/

Democratic State Senator Kerry Donovan running in CO-03.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #6 on: February 06, 2021, 09:08:18 PM »
Quote from: Brittain33 on February 06, 2021, 08:59:57 PM
He’s a school board President in a town of 10,000 people. He’s barely above Some Guy.

Eh, so were a lot of 2018 freshmen.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #7 on: February 10, 2021, 09:57:13 AM »
« Edited: February 10, 2021, 10:06:00 AM by Roll Roons »
http://www.nrcc.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/2022-NRCC-Offensive-Opportunities-Memo-.pdf

NRCC put out a memo listing their initial targets for 2022. A few weird choices, but at least CO-06 and VA-10 aren't on it.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #8 on: February 21, 2021, 10:08:25 PM »
TX-06 news:
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #9 on: March 03, 2021, 10:58:21 AM »
https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2021-03-03/pelosi-political-fight-san-francisco-successor-congress

Article on the shadow battle for Pelosi's seat. I'm increasingly convinced that she'll retire in 2022.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #10 on: March 17, 2021, 02:18:49 PM »
NM-01 special set for June 1: https://nmpoliticalreport.com/2021/03/17/special-election-to-fill-cd1-vacancy-set-for-june-1/

I'm impressed that it's happening this quickly. Compare the NY-27 and CA-50 vacancies from last year.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #11 on: March 18, 2021, 12:16:06 PM »
Quote from: VAR on March 18, 2021, 12:01:24 PM
Quote from: You Code 16 bits- What do you get? on March 10, 2021, 08:01:59 PM

She's back?

Republicans should run a national campaign about Christy Smith’s elitist law books. Would play well in the #populist  Purple heart RGV imo tbh.


It's the best counter I can imagine to the inevitable Democratic attack ads about Young Kim's homophobia.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #12 on: March 22, 2021, 10:25:46 AM »
« Edited: March 22, 2021, 11:10:08 AM by Roll Roons »
Quote from: FalterinArc on March 22, 2021, 10:23:21 AM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on March 22, 2021, 10:20:39 AM
Quote from: VAR on March 12, 2021, 06:00:20 PM
Former Fox News host Eric Bolling is considering challenging either Nancy Mace (SC-01) or Tom Rice (SC-07).

https://www.politico.com/news/2021/03/12/eric-bolling-south-carolina-campaign-475541

Would love for Mace to be primaried. She's way too conservative for that district.
You do realize he would be challenging her from the right, right?

That, and the district was still Trump +6. Yes, it's trending left, but it's still not exactly a liberal stronghold.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #13 on: March 24, 2021, 12:07:08 PM »
Quote from: AncestralDemocrat. on March 24, 2021, 12:06:27 PM


Hahahahaha
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #14 on: March 31, 2021, 01:23:01 PM »


Because of course.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #15 on: March 31, 2021, 09:38:13 PM »
« Edited: March 31, 2021, 09:46:16 PM by Roll Roons »
Quote from: condescending elitist on March 31, 2021, 09:34:49 PM
Quote from: brucejoel99 on March 31, 2021, 09:20:56 PM

Ah yes, embracing a complete failure who lost the House, the presidency, & then the Senate for the GOP is their only option for a comeback. It almost makes too much sense!!

What’s interesting is that the “roadmap” doesn’t mention Trump at all, it’s only about making the GOP more of a “working-class party” by embracing Trump’s agenda/policies.

So basically they want to abandon the suburbs and focus on the areas that are trending toward them.

At the same time, it would be foolish to completely abandon them. If the suburbs cause Texas to flip, they're pretty much screwed. Gains in the RGV and inner Houston/Dallas would not offset bleeding in Tarrant/Collin/Denton/Williamson/Brazos/Fort Bend/Hays/Bell.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #16 on: April 17, 2021, 04:16:03 PM »
Quote from: leecannon_ on April 17, 2021, 04:10:40 PM
Quote from: JMT on April 17, 2021, 04:08:03 PM
Not entirely sure what this means, but it could be relevant for the 2022 CO-04 election:



He already said he wasn’t running for Senate iirc, he’s probably retiring or running for some other statewide office?

Maybe running for Governor? But even that would very much be a longshot.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #17 on: April 18, 2021, 06:10:22 PM »
Did we ever get any fundraising numbers for TX-06?
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #18 on: May 04, 2021, 02:47:22 PM »


Look Ron, I think you've generally done a good job in office. But this is ridiculous.

Though it was equally ridiculous when Cuomo and Newsom kept NY-27 and CA-50 vacant forever.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #19 on: May 20, 2021, 11:19:01 AM »
« Edited: May 20, 2021, 02:30:29 PM by Roll Roons »
Sabato and his team put out an interesting article on how they'd hypothetically rate House seats if the same lines were being used in 2022:



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Roll Roons
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« Reply #20 on: June 08, 2021, 10:02:53 AM »
Rebekah Jones is apparently running against Matt Gaetz. Time to drop nukes on that district.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #21 on: July 01, 2021, 04:43:43 PM »
https://newjerseyglobe.com/congress/kean-22/

Looks like we're getting a Kean-Malinowski rematch!
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #22 on: July 16, 2021, 01:23:08 PM »
https://www.nationaljournal.com/s/714387/hotlines-q2-house-fundraising-chart/?unlock=VI17759V1X3793D6

MTG and the Democrat running against her both raised over $1M. If that's not a good argument against publicly financing elections, I don't know what is.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #23 on: August 04, 2021, 08:08:07 AM »
Quote from: SnowLabrador on August 04, 2021, 07:27:26 AM
Quote from: Brittain33 on August 04, 2021, 07:25:18 AM
Quote from: SnowLabrador on August 04, 2021, 07:09:42 AM
Quote from: Brittain33 on August 04, 2021, 06:41:18 AM
The only thing that is likely to help the Dems now is a massive shift in abortion policy toward prohibition after a Supreme Court case.

That probably wouldn't help them much. 2016 and to a lesser extent 2020 showed that people don't vote based on abortion policy. For 2016 was the election to save Roe v. Wade, and Democrats dropped the ball, losing to Donald effing Trump of all people.

I agree that it hasn’t helped Dems in the past, but I think abortion literally becoming illegal in ~20 states and Republicans proposing national Prohibitionist laws with the approval of the Supreme Court is a new scenario which will open wallets and get volunteers on the streets.

My prediction is that Roe v. Wade is overturned, the GOP wins big in 2022, the media spins it as Americans supporting abortion bans, and then we go full Gilead.

You seriously need to seek help.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #24 on: September 07, 2021, 10:02:13 PM »
Wasn't sure where else to put this, but former NY-19 GOP nominee Kyle Van De Water died at 41:


Suspected suicide.
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