Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration
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  Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration 		« previous next »
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Author Topic: Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration  (Read 352346 times)
Duke of York
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« Reply #6825 on: October 24, 2023, 11:05:22 AM »
Quote from: Live Free or Die! on October 24, 2023, 10:57:28 AM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 24, 2023, 10:54:20 AM
Quote from: Live Free or Die! on October 24, 2023, 10:32:43 AM
Quote from: Skill and Chance on October 24, 2023, 06:50:40 AM
R share of in-person EV is clearly up compared to post-COVID history.  Question is whether this is new people or people who would have voted day-of in 2021?
The overall electorate will be R+, but according to Chaz Nuttycombe the swing district electorate will be D+.

The electorate was D+2 in 2021, I can't imagine it would be R this year.
I think it will be R given that Ds aren’t turning in inner NoVa, but it doesn’t give Rs a trifecta since Democrats are turning out in swing seats.

aren't several of those seats unopposed?
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #6826 on: October 24, 2023, 11:37:25 AM »
Quote from: Duke of York on October 24, 2023, 11:05:22 AM
Quote from: Live Free or Die! on October 24, 2023, 10:57:28 AM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 24, 2023, 10:54:20 AM
Quote from: Live Free or Die! on October 24, 2023, 10:32:43 AM
Quote from: Skill and Chance on October 24, 2023, 06:50:40 AM
R share of in-person EV is clearly up compared to post-COVID history.  Question is whether this is new people or people who would have voted day-of in 2021?
The overall electorate will be R+, but according to Chaz Nuttycombe the swing district electorate will be D+.

The electorate was D+2 in 2021, I can't imagine it would be R this year.
I think it will be R given that Ds aren’t turning in inner NoVa, but it doesn’t give Rs a trifecta since Democrats are turning out in swing seats.

aren't several of those seats unopposed?
I’ve noticed that the predictions have been consolidated in the Democratic direction.
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #6827 on: October 24, 2023, 12:02:36 PM »
Sending NC-17 material in the mail to voters is one of the last things a political party should be doing. I'm still skeptical of a candidate's ability to win after a leaked sex tape, basically, but this definitely isn't helping the GOP.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #6828 on: October 24, 2023, 12:08:13 PM »
Dems have really ramped up spending:
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riverwalk3
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« Reply #6829 on: October 24, 2023, 12:20:50 PM »

Chaz agrees with Skill and Chance
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It's not just that you are a crook senator
MelihV
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« Reply #6830 on: October 24, 2023, 03:23:43 PM »
I haven't laughed so much at anything for a while...

"You have to present an ID number to watch porn between consenting adults but instead you will be receiving porn that is distributed without consent at your home!"

So much for protecting children Purple heart
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Gass3268
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« Reply #6831 on: October 25, 2023, 08:24:38 AM »
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riverwalk3
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« Reply #6832 on: October 25, 2023, 09:41:24 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 25, 2023, 08:24:38 AM

Likely R was an overreaction to a single internal in the first place.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #6833 on: October 25, 2023, 09:48:59 AM »
Quote from: DaleCooper on October 24, 2023, 12:02:36 PM
Sending NC-17 material in the mail to voters is one of the last things a political party should be doing. I'm still skeptical of a candidate's ability to win after a leaked sex tape, basically, but this definitely isn't helping the GOP.

It wasn't that explicit . Just quotes of the acts and a photo of the stream albeit only showing her face and shoulders.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #6834 on: October 25, 2023, 10:16:09 AM »
Quote from: lfromnj on October 25, 2023, 09:48:59 AM
Quote from: DaleCooper on October 24, 2023, 12:02:36 PM
Sending NC-17 material in the mail to voters is one of the last things a political party should be doing. I'm still skeptical of a candidate's ability to win after a leaked sex tape, basically, but this definitely isn't helping the GOP.

It wasn't that explicit . Just quotes of the acts and a photo of the stream albeit only showing her face and shoulders.

Honestly it doesn't matter what's inside at this point, the outside envelope was a complete backfire.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #6835 on: October 25, 2023, 10:18:20 AM »
Remarkably consistent:
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Duke of York
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« Reply #6836 on: October 25, 2023, 10:33:07 AM »
Quote from: lfromnj on October 25, 2023, 09:48:59 AM
Quote from: DaleCooper on October 24, 2023, 12:02:36 PM
Sending NC-17 material in the mail to voters is one of the last things a political party should be doing. I'm still skeptical of a candidate's ability to win after a leaked sex tape, basically, but this definitely isn't helping the GOP.

It wasn't that explicit . Just quotes of the acts and a photo of the stream albeit only showing her face and shoulders.

it still doesn't make it ok and I hope it backfires on them.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #6837 on: October 26, 2023, 07:29:09 PM »
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Duke of York
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« Reply #6838 on: October 26, 2023, 07:33:02 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 26, 2023, 07:29:09 PM


its been remarkably consistent. Its pathetic how low the 18-29 vote is. imagine if 50 percent of them voted.
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PittsburghSteel
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« Reply #6839 on: October 26, 2023, 07:49:49 PM »
FWIW, Wasserman thinks the Dems are gonna take both chambers.

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Nyvin
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« Reply #6840 on: October 26, 2023, 08:50:49 PM »
This looks really great for HD-82 .  It probably helps that so much of the Dem vote here is concentrated in Petersburg, it probably makes canvassing/campaigning a lot easier.  That and the Republican vote being overwhelmingly low turnout rural whites both work out to advantage the D's.   Kimberly Adams seems like a fierce campaigner too.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #6841 on: October 27, 2023, 08:06:06 AM »
Correct me if I'm wrong, but it appears that nonwhite turnout seems to be doing just fine in competitive races?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #6842 on: October 27, 2023, 10:58:06 AM »
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #6843 on: October 27, 2023, 11:03:26 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 27, 2023, 10:58:06 AM


Correct me if I'm wrong, but those numbers don't look great for Democrats...
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BRTD
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« Reply #6844 on: October 27, 2023, 11:15:48 AM »
Quote from: SnowLabrador on October 27, 2023, 11:03:26 AM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 27, 2023, 10:58:06 AM


Correct me if I'm wrong, but those numbers don't look great for Democrats...
You expect to be taken seriously saying something like this?
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #6845 on: October 27, 2023, 11:19:51 AM »
Quote from: As the sun sets tonight I'll hold you with all that I am on October 27, 2023, 11:15:48 AM
Quote from: SnowLabrador on October 27, 2023, 11:03:26 AM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 27, 2023, 10:58:06 AM


Correct me if I'm wrong, but those numbers don't look great for Democrats...
You expect to be taken seriously saying something like this?

At least some of the other trolls and people with learning disabilities on this website will usually present some kind of bad reasoning along with their claim. "This turnout is bad for Democrats because suburbanites trust Youngkin-endorsed candidates more on Israel-Palestine," or "Black people love Trump now because of rappers." But with this guy, you can't even respond to him if you for some reason wanted to because he never provides anything of substance to respond to. 
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Duke of York
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« Reply #6846 on: October 27, 2023, 03:56:49 PM »
Quote from: SnowLabrador on October 27, 2023, 11:03:26 AM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 27, 2023, 10:58:06 AM


Correct me if I'm wrong, but those numbers don't look great for Democrats...

You never think anything is good news or good numbers for Democrats. What's your basis for this statement?
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #6847 on: October 27, 2023, 03:58:16 PM »
Quote from: Duke of York on October 27, 2023, 03:56:49 PM
Quote from: SnowLabrador on October 27, 2023, 11:03:26 AM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 27, 2023, 10:58:06 AM


Correct me if I'm wrong, but those numbers don't look great for Democrats...

You never think anything is good news or good numbers for Democrats. What's your basis for this statement?

The AA and 18-29 percentages look lower than what Democrats would like.
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Agafin
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« Reply #6848 on: October 28, 2023, 06:51:40 AM »
I'm properly starved for an election night right now, November 7 can't come soon enough.
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Duke of York
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« Reply #6849 on: October 28, 2023, 08:31:48 AM »
Quote from: SnowLabrador on October 27, 2023, 03:58:16 PM
Quote from: Duke of York on October 27, 2023, 03:56:49 PM
Quote from: SnowLabrador on October 27, 2023, 11:03:26 AM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 27, 2023, 10:58:06 AM


Correct me if I'm wrong, but those numbers don't look great for Democrats...

You never think anything is good news or good numbers for Democrats. What's your basis for this statement?

The AA and 18-29 percentages look lower than what Democrats would like.

as I said before you never think anything is positive for Democrats.
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