Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[GeorgiaModerate]

Biden is now at -12.0% (41.6/53.6) in the 538 all-polls average, which is his best standing since mid-May.

[President Johnson]

Gallup, Aug 1-23

44% approve (+6)
53% disapprove (-6)

(from their last poll in late July)


https://news.gallup.com/poll/398117/biden-job-rating-rises-highest-year.aspx

Wow, the highest in Gallup since the Enemy of the People media decided to try to destroy his presidency because he took away their beloved war. Wonderful news!

Honestly I think now democrats could run on having withdrawn from Afghanistan.

This kind of short term unpopular but more long term popular policy

Agreed. If I were advising them, I'd phrase it something like "Biden ended the endless wars" and that currently no armed forces are in active conflict while terrorists still get taken out (referring to al-Zawahiri). I'd also mention that Trump just talked about and play a clip of Trump accusing others of "all talk, no action". A phrase he often used; and Biden can also play that one when it comes to infrastructure. Trump only proclaimed one infrastructure weeks after another and Biden delivered.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's still a blue wall map 303 map all our blue state D's are winning

We have chance in red states but it's a 303 blue wall Map

538 has upped Barnes chances to 40 percent and GA at 50 percent after NV GA is 51 and WI number 2

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Approvals don't even matter at this pt because Fox confirmed Barnes is leading and Traggy has confirmed Fetterman leading and Suffolk confirmed CCM is leading and Kelly is winning

Whitmer, Evers, Pritzker SISOLAK and Shapiro will all be reelected

The question is FL can Gwen Graham get Charlie Crist over the hump and can Ryan in fact win

[philly09]

Big Village.
1,005 Adults. Aug 24-26

44% Approve (+6)

49% Disapprove (-4)

GCB: D 44(+3) R36(-1)  Adults: D 43.6% R 35.7%  RV; D 48.3%, R 40.8%

[Adam Griffin]

Among likely voters, Biden's average disapproval has went from its high point of 18.7 on July 21 to 12.9 as of today: a nearly 6-point shift in just under one month.

4 days later: now 11.6.

5 days later: 10.4.

[Adam Griffin]

Also, Biden is once again officially more popular than Trump at the same point in the term:

Day 584
Biden -10.4
Trump -10.9

[GoTfan]

Gallup, Aug 1-23

44% approve (+6)
53% disapprove (-6)

(from their last poll in late July)


https://news.gallup.com/poll/398117/biden-job-rating-rises-highest-year.aspx

Wow, the highest in Gallup since the Enemy of the People media decided to try to destroy his presidency because he took away their beloved war. Wonderful news!

Honestly I think now democrats could run on having withdrawn from Afghanistan.

This kind of short term unpopular but more long term popular policy

Agreed. If I were advising them, I'd phrase it something like "Biden ended the endless wars" and that currently no armed forces are in active conflict while terrorists still get taken out (referring to al-Zawahiri). I'd also mention that Trump just talked about and play a clip of Trump accusing others of "all talk, no action". A phrase he often used; and Biden can also play that one when it comes to infrastructure. Trump only proclaimed one infrastructure weeks after another and Biden delivered.

It's not even a case of ending the wars.

Fiscal conservatives should've been absolutely delighted when Biden withdrew because Afghanistan has been a massive drain on the US financially.

[wbrocks67]

538 all polls average
7/27: 38.4/56.4 (-18.0)
8/27: 41.9/53.3 (-11.4)

LV/RV:
7/27: 39.3/55.8 (-16.5)
8/27: 42.7/53.1 (-10.4)

Pretty stunning for one month

[wbrocks67]

CBS/YouGov

45% approve (+3)
55% disapprove (-3)

change since their late July poll

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/gop-house-seat-lead-biden-approval-opinion-poll-2022-08-28/

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Big Village.
1,005 Adults. Aug 24-26

44% Approve (+6)

49% Disapprove (-4)

GCB: D 44(+3) R36(-1)  Adults: D 43.6% R 35.7%  RV; D 48.3%, R 40.8%

The adults and the RV/LV gap now benefits Democrats. The high turnout LV are now Democratic leaning. I remember back in the Bush era, the adults RV/LV gap benefited Republicans.

[Adam Griffin]

Big Village.
1,005 Adults. Aug 24-26

44% Approve (+6)

49% Disapprove (-4)

GCB: D 44(+3) R36(-1)  Adults: D 43.6% R 35.7%  RV; D 48.3%, R 40.8%

The adults and the RV/LV gap now benefits Democrats. The high turnout LV are now Democratic leaning. I remember back in the Bush era, the adults RV/LV gap benefited Republicans.

Even during the Obama and Trump years, that remained solidly true. Trump consistently had worse approval margins among adults (2-6 points worse) when compared to LV/RV.



However, I think even given some realignment on this, there is also certain dynamic where a smaller percentage of adults have any solid opinion at all when compared to RV/LVs, and that these voters are now more willing to blame the one in charge for all of their woes (regardless of party).

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Cook on MTP last week said D's can rack up Sen and Gov races and lose the H because the Sen and Gov races aren't based on Gerrymandering we're gonna win WI and PA 52 seats anyways the question is OH, NC and FL, LA Runoff and UT

So, I am expecting Ryan to  sneak bye because I want him to be Prez in 28

[wbrocks67]

Rasmussen 45/53 today (was 44/54 on Friday)

538 average - all polls
Today (8/29): 42.4/53.4 (-11.0)
Month ago (7/29): 39.4/55.6 (-16.2)

538 average - LV/RV
Today (8/29): 43.2/53.2 (-10.0)
Month ago (7/29): 40.2/55.0 (-14.8 )

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rassy has it 45)53  Favs but clearly the Housing market and War in Ukraine creates anxiety on the middle class the middle class may want divided Govt because D's raise taxes we had Divided Govt 1969/77, 1981/1993,1995/2003 2005/2007 and 2011/17 and 2019/21

If you go by Approval 218/217 RH and 52/48 DS but they can lie we did won AK and NY 19 Approval LIE until you get results if you don't go by Approval 218RH and 55/45 DS 2012 style EDay , we win FL GOV

We did get a change in some of the red state polls once we raised taxes on reconciliation Crist was in Listener poll, 13 pts ahead of DeSantis before the Inflation reduction Act and Ryan was 5 pts ahead of Vance now after they both voted Crist and Ryan on raising taxes they are the Dogs again I expect them to win but they would be upsets but again Approvals LIE UNTIL YOU GET RESULTS, it's a 303 map anyways with wave insurance

Aug 1st it's in Bad polling takes Crist 13 pts ahead of DeSantis before he voted to raise taxes, Impact Ryan 46/41 ahead of Vance during 1st week of August too

Then, middle of Aug D's raise taxes on middle class on inflation reduction Act, Ryan got it wrong it's not Student Loans Discharge that brought his polls down it was his vote to raise taxes which is unpopular among middle class and we still don't have troops in Ukraine and an ongoing war and Seniors are still dying from COVID in Nursing home like my Dad not the rate before vaccine

[Adam Griffin]

Among likely voters, Biden's average disapproval has went from its high point of 18.7 on July 21 to 12.9 as of today: a nearly 6-point shift in just under one month.

4 days later: now 11.6.

5 days later: 10.4.

3 days later: 10.0. It's coming.

[Adam Griffin]

Also, Biden is once again officially more popular than Trump at the same point in the term:

Day 584
Biden -10.4
Trump -10.9

LV/RV
Day 587
Biden -10.0 (43.2-53.2)
Trump -11.6 (42.3-53.9)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We must realize that we won two special election where we were the Dogs in even with Biden low Approvals AK and NY 19

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ryan is back in front again 50/47 proves yet again Approvals LIE I believe Biden is at 52/48 no way is NC, OH and FL SEN ARE TIED AND HE IS AT 43 PERCENT AND WON AK AND NY 19 BOGUS APPROVALS WE STILL HAVE TO VOTE

DEMOCRACY CORP HAD DS AHEAD ON GCB 50/48 PROVES BIDEB IS AT 50 AND ALL TYE CGB TEST GAVE DS CLOSE TO 50

But, Rs believe the Approval and some DOOMER DS because they can believe Rs are winning

They say Traggy polls underestimate D by 1/3 pts too

That proves OH Sen, NV Sen and AZ Gov we're off they were all within MOE and Laura Kelly is only down 3

[Sir Mohamed]

It's remarkable how ElectionsGuy, Politician and The Pieman disappeared.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah once the saw the AZ SEN, WISC SEN AND PA SEN THEY KNEW IT WAS A LOST CAUSE

As I said beforehand this isn't 2010/14 redux because that was a different time in History states beforehand havmd voted for Divided Govt that's why they were voting for outparty in Midterms, now states are voting for sake party control that means Prez party aren't gonna consistently lose seats in MIDTERMS

[GeorgiaModerate]

It's remarkable how ElectionsGuy, Politician and The Pieman disappeared.

Don't say their names or they might appear.

[Ferguson97]

It's remarkable how ElectionsGuy, Politician and The Pieman disappeared.

Don't say their names or they might appear.

As long as you don't do it three times in front of a mirror, you're fine.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This EDay reminds of 2006 when Menendez was behind Kean Jr, he was gonna lose them all of a sudden Memendez was up 57/41 against Kean or 52/46 whichever one and then Brown, Casey, Tester, McCaskill and Webb all won, I had NJ going R briefly on that EDay towards Kean Jr

I remember Down with the left was a Chris Christie and Kean Jr fan I don't know whom he is now there is so many Blue avatar he could be Rowan Brandon turned Tekken Guy but that's pure Speculation, despite all the polls this Tekken Guy still believe in an R wave

When Fetterman started leading Oz 43/30 that started the blue wave there are a few polls showing different but it's a blue wave when they start polling SC and McMasters is only up seven then you know a blue wave is gonna come the D's don't have to be ahead in KY SC or OH, NC or FL, but they are tied or leading in OH, NC and FL SEN they just have to be within striking distance McGrath was within 4 of McConnell but she ended up losing, but that was during the Stimulus check era which Rs lead by Trump negotiated they have been against Entitlement ever since then

[wbrocks67]

And the rollercoaster of Reuters/Ipsos continues

38% approve (-3)
58% approve (+4)


-19 two weeks ago, then -13 last week, and now back to -20

https://graphics.reuters.com/USA-BIDEN/POLL/nmopagnqapa/index.html