Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Whitmer up 51/39 the polls are going against Rs it won't matter about ratings the D's are gonna sweep everything, and Whitmer was the most endangered D Gov next to EVERS

MI is going the way of PA , the reason why it won't matter the blue wave will sweep our vulnerable D's across the finish line Nan W in a D internal is tied with DeWine Lake Research

As I said before the only swing state Gov not endangered is Reynolds she is up 56/41

Abbott 46/39, DeSantis 50/43, DeWine 44/43, KEMP 47/47 against Abrams those are complete taves

[pbrower2a]

Whitmer up 51/39 the polls are going against Rs it won't matter about ratings the D's are gonna sweep everything, and Whitmer was the most endangered D Gov next to EVERS

MI is going the way of PA , the reason why it won't matter the blue wave will sweep our vulnerable D's across the finish line Nan W in a D internal is tied with DeWine Lake Research

As I said before the only swing state Gov not endangered is Reynolds she is up 56/41

Abbott 46/39, DeSantis 50/43, DeWine 44/43, KEMP 47/47 against Abrams those are complete taves

Michigan and Pennsylvania have voted in tandem for a long time now, not having voted differently since 1976 -- and that difference reflected that Michigan voted for its Favorite Son Gerald Ford for President.

Republicans keep pushing extreme positions through Trump's Three Stooges on the US Supreme Court... OK, that fails to respect that the Three Stooges of cinematic shorts at least did some good low comedy, and there is nothing funny about Kavanaugh, Barrett, or Gorsuch. Rumor is that the environment is the next target. The idea that those who have the assets have the right to rule the rest of us is incompatible with democracy. 

[pbrower2a]

What really matters: the match-ups. So far it is mostly Trump vs. Biden.  

Trump edge (will vote for)

45-49% but positive
50-54%
55% or more

Biden edge (will vote for)

45-49% but positive
50-54%
55% or more

tie (yellow)


Old, but Missouri doesn't get polled often.

According to a new SurveyUSA Poll for various Missouri News Stations former President Donald Trump would defeat President Joe Biden in the "Show Me" State by 15 Percentage Points, the same margin Trump defeated him in 2020
https://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=5b1da4bb-1577-45ee-b593-dd19e17740e9

President Joe Biden (D, Incumbent) 35 %
Former President Donald Trump (R) 50 %
Undecided 15 %

President Biden has a dismal 33/62 Job Approval in the State.

No great surprises so far, 27 months before the election.  

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

OH usually votes with IA but this yr it may buck that Trend Tim Ryan has so much money and pummeling the Air waves that's why Nan W is tied with DeWine and Ryan is statistically tied with Vance 3 pts it's not much to overcome for Ryan due to Blk and Brown and Female vote

In 24 despite that hackish Emerson poll the most likely state to flip from red to blue is OH because Sherrod Brown is on the ballot in 24

Andy Beshear and Joe Manchin and Tester and Brown can buck state trends and win in 24 due to Biden being on ballot just like we won them all in 2012 with the same 303 Sen map as in 24

Lake Research internal poll for Nan W DeWine 44/Whaley 43, Emerson MOE plus 3 Vance

NV is within MOE CCM is down 2 that's not defeat because of provision ballots

But, Nan W has been down 16 pts for so long 49/33 that's why it's hard to believe she has closed the gap but Ryan is pummeled the air Waves

Since we can Def DeWine we don't have necessarily beat Greg Abbott or DeSantis or Reynold Reynolds will win 55/45


Lake is a good pollster in 2006 they were the first pollster to report Tester beat Burns I posted it myself in the Database

[wbrocks67]

NBC News poll, 8/12-16

42% approve (=)
55% approve (-1)

https://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/first-read/nbc-news-poll-57-voters-say-investigations-trump-continue-rcna43989

Change is from their last poll in May, so not really helpful to look at short term changes.

[wbrocks67]

Biden up to 41.0% in 538 approval tracker, with -13.2 average approval (41.0/54.2)

First time at 41% since June 1.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/SimonWDC/status/1561451509409259520

[Adam Griffin]

Among likely voters, Biden's average disapproval has went from its high point of 18.7 on July 21 to 12.9 as of today: a nearly 6-point shift in just under one month.

4 days later: now 11.6.


Today versus 30 days ago (LV/RV Only):

Day 549:
Biden -18.0
Trump -9.6

Day 579:
Biden -11.6
Trump -9.0


Today versus 30 days ago (all adults):

Day 549:
Biden -20.8
Trump -12.0

Day 579:
Biden -15.5
Trump -12.0

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

https://twitter.com/SimonWDC/status/1561451509409259520

[LostInOhio]

https://twitter.com/SimonWDC/status/1561451509409259520

I would literally pay a thousand bucks easily just to see Trump’s reaction to this map as it plays out in real time.

[wbrocks67]

Rasmussen has Biden's approval at 47/52 today

https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/biden_administration/prez_track_aug22

[GeorgiaModerate]

Rasmussen has Biden's approval at 47/52 today

https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/biden_administration/prez_track_aug22

It looks like this is their highest approval for Biden in just over a year; it was last at 47% or higher on August 14, 2021.

[Adam Griffin]

Rasmussen has always been a bit of a joke, but it's obvious more so in the present. You can't go from showing him down by 20 to down by 5 in the span of a month: that's not how modern polarization and presidential approvals work. Whatever numbers they're making up or methodology they're trying to utilize, it's obviously either completely false or way too sensitive to minute changes in public opinion.

I assume that's why they're also spamming multiple tweets right now within minutes of their poll publishing about "Biden's gestapo" and "DNC checks" etc: even they're ashamed of their own poll findings.

[wbrocks67]

Rasmussen has always been a bit of a joke, but it's obvious more so in the present. You can't go from showing him down by 20 to down by 5 in the span of a month: that's not how modern polarization and presidential approvals work. Whatever numbers they're making up or methodology they're trying to utilize, it's obviously either completely false or way too sensitive to minute changes in public opinion.

I assume that's why they're also spamming multiple tweets right now within minutes of their poll publishing about "Biden's gestapo" and "DNC checks" etc: even they're ashamed of their own poll findings.

I'm honestly still not even convinced their polls are real. How could they possibly afford to poll this many people when places like Gallup can't? I'm sure it's the worst of the worst in terms of robocalls but still. Because they also have a habit of having 47/52 today but then back down to like 42/57 in three days lol.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Rasmussen has always been a bit of a joke, but it's obvious more so in the present. You can't go from showing him down by 20 to down by 5 in the span of a month: that's not how modern polarization and presidential approvals work. Whatever numbers they're making up or methodology they're trying to utilize, it's obviously either completely false or way too sensitive to minute changes in public opinion.

I assume that's why they're also spamming multiple tweets right now within minutes of their poll publishing about "Biden's gestapo" and "DNC checks" etc: even they're ashamed of their own poll findings.

I'm honestly still not even convinced their polls are real. How could they possibly afford to poll this many people when places like Gallup can't? I'm sure it's the worst of the worst in terms of robocalls but still. Because they also have a habit of having 47/52 today but then back down to like 42/57 in three days lol.

The part of me that thinks their polls are completely fake (as opposed to just poorly done) wonders if they're pumping up Biden's approval now so they can bring it down before November to create a "Biden is crashing!" narrative.

[wbrocks67]

Rasmussen has always been a bit of a joke, but it's obvious more so in the present. You can't go from showing him down by 20 to down by 5 in the span of a month: that's not how modern polarization and presidential approvals work. Whatever numbers they're making up or methodology they're trying to utilize, it's obviously either completely false or way too sensitive to minute changes in public opinion.

I assume that's why they're also spamming multiple tweets right now within minutes of their poll publishing about "Biden's gestapo" and "DNC checks" etc: even they're ashamed of their own poll findings.

I'm honestly still not even convinced their polls are real. How could they possibly afford to poll this many people when places like Gallup can't? I'm sure it's the worst of the worst in terms of robocalls but still. Because they also have a habit of having 47/52 today but then back down to like 42/57 in three days lol.

The part of me that thinks their polls are completely fake (as opposed to just poorly done) wonders if they're pumping up Biden's approval now so they can bring it down before November to create a "Biden is crashing!" narrative.

Agreed, I would not be surprised at all if that was the case lol.

[Illiniwek]

Rasmussen has Biden's approval at 47/52 today

https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/biden_administration/prez_track_aug22

LOCK IN THE JEB! MAP!!

[Sir Mohamed]

https://twitter.com/SimonWDC/status/1561451509409259520

I would literally pay a thousand bucks easily just to see Trump’s reaction to this map as it plays out in real time.

I'd add another thousand, LOL.

That said, he'd still claim the election was rigged and refuse the concede.


Reporter: Sir, what's your response to lose a 49 state landslide? Is MAGA dead?

Trump: Not dead, not dead. Our great MAGA movement is stronger than ever before. So strong and powerful, nobody would have imagined. Nobody. Look, Sleppy Joe and the radical left rigged the election. It's the biggest crime in the history of the world. Bigger than World War II and 9/11 combined. Think of that! They rigged it, you know it. You know it, they know it, everybody knows it! Tremendous rigging. Rigging like never before. Lots of people come to my office, they say ballots were switched from Trump to Biden. So WE actually got 538 votes. 538, even bigger than 306 from 2016. Even bigger! They only forgot WV, where I got almost 100% of the vote. By the way, nobody has ever gotten 100% in a state other than Trump. So after the Big Lie, we now have the Big, Big Lie. I call it The Big, Big Lie. Big, Big Lie, folks. That's what happened. A very bad thing for our country. Very bad. But we will never ever give up. We're going to win. And win even bigger than ever before, believe me.

[Minnesota Mike]

Rasmussen has Biden's approval at 47/52 today

https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/biden_administration/prez_track_aug22

Don't worry it will be -25 next week. Need to raise Biden's approval before you can say it is crashing.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Again, BIDEN line is tracking the same as Trump 47/52 it's not 33 or 41% it's 47/52 the best ever since Sept 2021 49/53

So Rs stop your complaining Biden has the same Approvals as TRUMP the lines are virtual same
https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/biden_administration/prez_track_aug22?fullbrowser

[wbrocks67]

Rasmussen remains at 47/52 today. Momentum!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We're gonna get early voting very soon so if a poll suddenly have Rs ahead in PA, WI or OH Sen don't strictly go by that poll the Urban vote votes first and the D vote is gonna bank those D candidates in addition to Provisional ballots that's why I have OH Sen still Lean D because Ryan is gonna bank those early votes in

The rural vote votes last remember that's why Biden came back on Trump those Early votes that were late counted came in nicely for Biden

Early vote Oct 1/31st VBM, so an R wave isn't happening at the end that MT Treasure or Snowlabrador hopes for it's VBN

[Lief 🗽]

WOW! Thank you America!
https://twitter.com/carlquintanilla/status/1562158084969078784?s=21&t=2zhs6e...

[President Johnson]

WOW! Thank you America!
https://twitter.com/carlquintanilla/status/1562158084969078784?s=21&t=2zhs6e...

While this makes me incredibly happy, imagine what would be possible with passing more stuff like HR1, the John Lewis Voting Rights Act, public option and a meanigful immigration reform that also deals with Dreamers and improves smart border security.

[wbrocks67]

Pew has 37/60 out today, which seems extremely excessive (but also only has him +8 with Blacks which is.. lol), but it was also done August 1-14, and clearly a lot has happened in August so far.