Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

OZ is getting crushed and Mastriano confirms NC, OH and FL are going the D's way Shapiro and Fetterman are leading by 15/20 pts

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The Lesson of primary season wall incumbentt Govs not Senators except for AK, , OR, GA are gonna get reelected because they are really popular but the Senate Ryan, Beasley and Demings are bucking the trend not only they good looking but the Senate isn't Gerrymandering like the H D's can win red states in the Senate more so than the H

Rs don't want us to get OH, NC and FL on the S because they want to take over the Sen in 24 WVA, OH and MT but since Senate isn't Gerrymandering Tester, Brown and Manchin can win just like they did in 2018

The H is vulnerable to R takeover only because Sinema blocked Voting Rights and SCOTUS GERRYMANDERING THE DISTRICTS JUST LIKE IN 2010

[wbrocks67]

Bounce for Biden in Politico/Morning Consult this week, from last week

42% approve (+3)
56% disapprove (-3)

https://morningconsult.com/2022/08/17/republicans-enthusiasm-biden-popularity-2022-midterms/

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Aug. 13-16, 1500 adults including 1315 RV

Adults:

Approve 42 (+4)
Disapprove 51 (-4)

Strongly approve 16 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 38 (-4)

RV:

Approve 44 (+3)
Disapprove 51 (-4)

Strongly approve 18 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 40 (-4)

GCB (RV only): D 45 (+1), R 39 (+1)

[wbrocks67]

6-8% bounce in both weekly trackers, interesting. I would certainly hope so given Biden couldn't have asked for a better past few weeks, but interested to see how it continues to permeate among the electorate.

[riceowl]

*aviators intensify*

[Illiniwek]

Don't stop Dark Brandon! I'm not tired of all the winning yet keep it coming!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Barnes and Fetterman are clearly in the lead thanks to no Kleefisch the 303 map is solid for 22)24/28 we will see about the H but Rs are underpolled in OH, NC, FL and TX those races are competetive the D's are t winning them all but they can win some and AK AL we may not win but it's competetive Palin is behind 6K votes

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The problem for Rs Trump only campaign in red states TX and FL due to the border wall he never campaigns in the other states because he knows he is unpopular but Biden is also weak on border security but that's not where you win at TX and FL you win them in blue not red states

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Some Rs still don't believe Johnson is gonna lose and neither does Sir Muhammad whom gets his WI talking pts from Election Guy, tomorrow he still won't believe Johnson is gonna lose he gonna say Tilt R

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Well, Biden broke a 40% approval rating. I'll give him that.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Well, Biden broke a 40% approval rating. I'll give him that.

Lol do you know why Ds are OVERPERFORMING Biden Approvals for example Newsom has a 47 percent Approvals and he ge win 60/40 because Trump has a 60/40 Approvals in the Civiq polls Trump has a 33 percen approvals in blue states as Biden has a 33 percent Approvals in red states why do you keep coming back to this thread and you know it's a 303 map the state by state polls show Fetterman and Barnes, Kelly, CCM winning

That's why Ds are gonna win the blue wall be cause of Trump favs in blue states not because of Biden favs in blue states all we need is 303 but we want to win OH and NC Sen so we have wave insurance for 24 and Ryan is behind by 3 and Beasley is tied in NC

It doesn't matter if Biden is at 40

They don't poll Newsom in Cali because he has a 47 percent Approvals but he will win 66)34 because he has a no name running for Gov he is lame I posted a Harris poll that showed him losing to Harris 56)29 in GA in the primary

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Another issue why the polls have changed back to 3o3 D's just raised taxes on the rich do you think red states support that no they don't that's why Blks are in poverty they work Minimum wage jobs in Walmart Southern States

The Rs ran up the deficit on stimulus checks and tax cuts and we got a 30 R deficit especially the 400 in extra Unemployment for 2 yrs that's how we got into deficit but they didn't raise taxes to make up the debt, Biden is raising taxes to cover the  deficits the Rs made with tax cuts and stimulus checks

The R politicans are hypocritical they didn't raise taxes to cover stimulus checks but they Blame Biden for 30 T hole Prez not Congress always get blamed for deficit spending , but when Rs get control they're gonna shutdown the Govt over too many IRS agents

I had a gut feeling the polls were gonna revert back to 303 when Ds raised taxes but the Ryan number proves it he was up 11  a wk ago and now he is down by 3, that's why I stopped donating to him it was gonna revert back and it did, but  OH and NC are still our best pickups after WI and PA of course

News flash Inflation Reduction Act raised taxes and created 87 K IRS agents that isn't good in red America, but it's good in blue America

[Adam Griffin]

Among likely voters, Biden's average disapproval has went from its high point of 18.7 on July 21 to 12.9 as of today: a nearly 6-point shift in just under one month.

[wbrocks67]

Among likely voters, Biden's average disapproval has went from its high point of 18.7 on July 21 to 12.9 as of today: a nearly 6-point shift in just under one month.

Hopefully we start to get some high quality polling soon to see if this trend continues. All of this is basically on the back of the regulars.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

According to 538 this is Biden's highest approval since June 8 and highest net since mid May.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Emerson has bad polling they insist that Trump is gonna win OH by 14 pts and he is in the verge of INDICTMENT, OH is still a likely Pickup, Emerson is the same tier as favorably to Rs as Rassy is

At the same time they won't poll Gavin Newsom Approvals he is gonna win but he is at 47% he is gonna win 66/34 because Cox and Elder dropped out but against Harris he is losing 56/29 in the primary because he is LAND HE HAS A HOUSING CRISIS IN CALIFORNIA

It's very odd they won't poll Trump v DeSantis Cali primary or a Cali Gov race

[It’s so Joever]

According to 538 this is Biden's highest approval since June 8 and highest net since mid May.

That means very little since it already was s**t in May.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The reason why Biden Approvals are still not the GCB ballot as Forumlooker pointed out and I have is MAMY, MANY, MANY TIMES, because WC voters and Latinos not Blk voters are still concerned about the Ukraine War especially WC female voters we have that big NATO force that's doing Military exercises not involved in the war itself just like China is doing military exercises in Taiwan but China never sponsored Terrorism Russia has during Cold War with Oswald and China has Niketown and Russia doesn't in Hong Kong and Taiwab

That's why you see polls in flux some have Demings ahead or Rubio and DeSantis or Crist because White females but Blk voters are the only group not concerned that much about Ukraine, White female and Latino men are concerned about it as well as WC meb

Users when they keep coming back to this thread and repeat the samething Biden at 41% because NATO isn't fighting the war Ukraine is, thats the reason but D's are replicating the blue wall because the GCB is plus D not plus R and D's just raised taxes in the inflation reduction act, but R politicians are hypocritical, because they ran up 30T in stimulus checks but not just Stimulus checks but tax cuts and Unemployment, that lasted two yrs,bits a sixnth program and they didn't raise taxes they Rs contribution of deficit spending too

Prez not Congress get blamed for budget deficits that's why Rs lost in 2006 under Bush W he ran up the deficit by giving tax cuts and we had 911, Rs if they get Control of H if they do will be blamed for Govt shutdown the last shutdown in 2019 was due to too many Govt employees and they don't want 87K IRS agents but D's will hold onto S if it's 52 or 55 we can still win the H it's 235(/210R Seats

SO STOP COMING BACK AND REPEAT BIDEN IS AT 41 ITS BECAUSE THE UKRAINE WAR

Biden will be at 50% as my signature pts out Bob Casey, solidifies PA and Kaine solidifies VA in 24 regardless of Approvals he will solidify the Blue wall this is the sake Senate map that Obama won under in 2012 Casey won and so did Kaine in 24

Rs have never defeat Biden they lost to him 2*, as Veep and 1* as Prez the only person Trump def was Benghazi Hillary

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Jfern and Sir Muhammad are from California dont realize that Newsom has a similar low Approvals as Biden 47 not 60 percent in Cali, and Biden Approvaks too are in 40 s in California, and this is comparable to Biden that because Cali is a blue state Newsom will get reelected, so because we need only need  blue not red States and Biden is stuck in the 40 s Biden will get reelected, Jfern never recognize how LAME Newsom is and he lives in Cali, because I lived in poverty in Cali, there is a Homeless crisis, poverty doesn't mean homeless it means can't pay all your bills

NEWSOM SHORT CHANGED US ON STIMULUS CHECK, HE ISNT CRITICIZED ON THE FORUM BECAUSE BLK PEOPLE IN CALI DONT BLOG BUT THEY CRITIQUE HIM ON THE STREET, BECAUSE NEWSOM GAVE US SOFI STD AND HOLLYWOOD BUT NO SUBSIDIZE HOUSING, BUT JFERN AND SIR MUHAMMAD GOT THEIR GOLDEN STATE STIMULUS .

To Blks he is Gray Davis II BUT TO LATINOS OR WHITES HE IS JERRY BROWN TWO DIFFERENT PERSPECTIVE

[wbrocks67]

Reuters/Ipsos
38% approve (-2)
57% approve (+2)

Morning Consult global leader tracking (weekly)
41% approve (+1)
52% disapprove (-1)

Reuters/Ipsos really putting a wrench in the otherwise good polls for Biden this week.

[Sir Mohamed]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Aug. 13-16, 1500 adults including 1315 RV

Adults:

Approve 42 (+4)
Disapprove 51 (-4)

Strongly approve 16 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 38 (-4)

RV:

Approve 44 (+3)
Disapprove 51 (-4)

Strongly approve 18 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 40 (-4)

GCB (RV only): D 45 (+1), R 39 (+1)

Dark Brandon is coming back.

I hope they do LV instead of RV soon. That said, some polls recently show the enthusiasm gap narrowed down or disappeared, which is good for Dems.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I have a sneaky feeling we are gonna win Ryan, Demings, Fried and Beasley all win and get to 26/24D Govs and 218/217 H because Blk, Brown and white female vote not Evangelical Men 55/45 White female, 85% Latinos, Arabs and Blks and young white men.

TX probably won't ever happen

I don't believe DeSantis up up 50/43 and Demings is winning bye ,/4 forget that Survey monkey poll that showed Rubio up 11 it's wrong

EDay day isn't for 90 days and if Approvals meant something we would be behind in all the swing states at Biden at 41 not just some and minorities not white men are the swing of EDay we represent 100 M

If 41 Approvals meant something Fetterman, Kelly wouldn't be up 15 pts, why are they up in this Environment because of Minorities vote

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If D's sweep the Midterms they have one more chance to get it right and make our lives better the people that's not wealthy

[pbrower2a]

What really matters: the match-ups. So far it is mostly Trump vs. Biden.  

Trump edge (will vote for)

45-49% but positive
50-54%
55% or more

Biden edge (will vote for)

45-49% but positive
50-54%
55% or more

tie (yellow)

I'm not counting any poll in which the leader is below 45%. There is no statistical significance in such.  

2024 Ohio Presidential Poll

(R) Donald Trump 53% (+14)
(D) Joe Biden 39%

@EmersonPolling / 925 LV / 08/15-16
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/ohio-2022-jd-vance-leads-tim-ryan-in-competitive-bid-for-us-senate-gov-dewine-holds-16-point-lead-over-democratic-challenger/

I don't see Trump getting much more than 53% in Ohio in 2024 under any circumstances. I will leave it at that, except to comment "How is J.D. Vance doing that well"?

Biden 50
Trump 43

New Hampshire:

DeSantis 47
Biden 46

https://scholars.unh.edu/survey_center_polls/697/

No complaint.
 

Colorado:

https://twitter.com/PollTrackerUSA/status/1558891622334619651?t=meP0C2T4Ss2SmQqcwn5x3w&s=19

BIDEN 50
Trump 43

It might end up closer than 2020, but Biden will almost certainly win here.

New York:


https://twitter.com/PollTrackerUSA/status/1557916865896321024?t=UC23yYqJ-xJm2nRHv3KJ3A&s=19

BIDEN 52
Trump 40

Likely a huge underestimate of reality.

Connecticut:

BIDEN 52
Trump 39%

https://twitter.com/PollTrackerUSA/status/1557927143333629953?t=95jog1_Dy1VlYZJ9izfs3g&s=19

Trump will be lucky to get "39" here. No, he is not going to have such a legitimate golf score and he is not going to find any fountain of youth. (Biased comment: he needed to find the "fountain of maturity" long ago.  

Iowa:


Donald Trump (R) 51.1%
Joe Biden (D) 39.7%

Poll conducted July 13-14, 2022 with 600 Likely Voters. Margin of Error +/- 3.95%

Decimals, yuck. I am rounding up. Trump has found the R magic for Iowa and could show it again. If you don't like it -- Iowa gets polled often.


https://twitter.com/PollTrackerUSA/status/1552883878825697281?t=BRkP6sf4QSyyv41IHsGavg&s=19

BIDEN 44
Trump 42

This is a national poll, and if it were a state poll I would not use it.

Nevada:

43% Ron DeSantis (R)
38% Joe Biden (D-inc.)

43% Donald Trump (R)
40% Joe Biden (D-inc.)

https://emersoncollegepolling.com/nevada-2022-senator-cortez-masto-and-governor-sisolak-lead-competitive-general-election-matchups-33-of-voters-approve-of-biden%ef%bf%bc/

I'm not using this one, as nobody cracks 45%.

Massachusetts

President (Massachusetts)

Biden (D) 60%
Trump Sr. (R) 31%

6/7-6/15 by University of Massachusetts Lowell (B+)
1000 LV

Old, but I wouldn't use it except that Massachusetts is so obvious and it rarely gets polled.

Washington (state)

https://twitter.com/stella2020woof/status/1560614490030411776?t=H8-Pi3dJp3TbAdtI5BaAtQ&s=19

BIDEN D INC 54
Trump 41