Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[It’s so Joever]

Odds we get a net positive approval poll by Election Day?

Same odds as me getting laid.

[wbrocks67]

Morning Consult launches a 2022 midterm tracker.

Latest poll (Sept 2-4) has Biden approval 45/54.

https://morningconsult.com/2022-midterm-elections-tracker/

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Dark Brandon has cracked 44% on the LV/RV tracker.

[wbrocks67]

Dark Brandon has cracked 44% on the LV/RV tracker.

Maybe now we'll stop hearing "Joe Biden's historically low approval ratings"

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's been a 303 map since 2020 anyways every incumbent Gov with the exception of Laura Kelly and MD and MA should get reelected and it's a 51/46 Sen OH, NC and FL are Tossup WI and PA are Lean D

OH, NC and FL SEN races need to be watched because DeSantis and DeWine are more popular than Vance and Rubio

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Beautiful poll this morning 🌅🌅 Rubio and DeSantis only up 2 49/47

[wbrocks67]

YouGov/Yahoo News
Sept 2-6

Adults
40% approve (=)
52% disapprove (-1)

RV
43% approve (=)
53% disapprove (-1)

(compared to their Aug 18-22 poll)

https://news.yahoo.com/poll-democrats-lead-republicans-among-those-who-say-theyll-definitely-vote-in-midterms-221434935.html

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Brandon holding at the same numbers as yesterday on the RV.

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Sep. 3-6, 1500 adults including 1337 RV

Adults:

Approve 41 (nc)
Disapprove 51 (+1)

Strongly approve 18 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 39 (+1)

RV:

Approve 43 (nc)
Disapprove 51 (nc)

Strongly approve 20 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 40 (nc)

GCB (RV only): D 44 (-2), R 38 (nc)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump has the same Approvals as Bush W it wasn't just Recessiom it was Katrina if Kerry EDWARDS were Prez it would of been a 2002 midterm they would have been in NO unlike Bush W

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

There arent any R naysayers now that D's are surging

[Lief 🗽]

GCB (RV only): D 44 (-2), R 38 (nc)

The post-Labor Day collapse has begun, RIP.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

GCB (RV only): D 44 (-2), R 38 (nc)

The post-Labor Day collapse has begun, RIP.

Lol are you serious Early voting is beginning soonyou must been an EDay judge I have 2004/2012 when my mom encourage me to do so Early vote is Urban, Absentee Provisions ballots and rural vote Nov EDay they just won't be tabulated until EDay

How did Peltola and Ryan over performing VBM the rural vote went to Rs

Soon we are gonna have 52+ seats in SEN we don't know about the H but that Filibuster proof for either 22/24 at the very worse 26

This a 2012 EDay not 2010/14

[President Johnson]

GCB (RV only): D 44 (-2), R 38 (nc)

The post-Labor Day collapse has begun, RIP.

Lol are you serious Early voting is beginning soonyou must been an EDay judge I have 2004/2012 when my mom encourage me to do so Early vote is Urban, Absentee Provisions ballots and rural vote Nov EDay they just won't be tabulated until EDay

How did Peltola and Ryan over performing VBM the rural vote went to Rs

Soon we are gonna have 52+ seats in SEN we don't know about the H but that Filibuster proof for either 22/24 at the very worse 26

This a 2012 EDay not 2010/14

Lief was apparently joking and just sarcastic here.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Obviously, it's a 65/60 M Electorate not an 80/75 M we are getting different polls from other than TRAFALGAR showing D's winning OH IN, NC and FL but we are getting TRAFALGAR polls showing a 303 map, obviously all incumbent Govs are pretty much safe but OH, NC and FL Sen are in play as well as FL Gov, but not Prosecuting Trump as well as COVID not being resolved and have a Homeless crisis is draining our turnout among under 30 yr olds if it's a 234/201 RH and a 52/48 Senate which is 65)60 M not 80)75 M blame Garland for not Prosecuting Trump dampened our 30 and under yr old

But we won OH Sen in 2018 with 65)60 M votes and you don't hear from Matty who could be Vaccinated Bear Biden at 41 percent Approvals because D's are gonna win at least 303 map Anyways despite 41 percent Approvals.whom was on your ignore list

Under 30 yr olds are just gonna toss their VBM anyways because it's a Midterm not Prez cycle

If Trump was charged it would help Biden low Approvals

[philly09]

Ipsos gonna Ipsos.

39 Approve(+1)
57 Disapprove (-1)

Leger is unchanged at 41/57.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

As I said before with the exception of MA and MD, the issue with Turnout is that most of our incumbent Govs are safe Anyways, some people are gonna feel that what's the use of turning out to vote and we're gonna reelected out incumbentts Govs and WI and PA SEN will switch D because Evers and Shapiro are gonna get reelected

I don't need to reregister to vote in Cali or in IL because I moved because Pritzker and NEWSOM are Safe thanks to Bailey

That's why we are the Dogs in the H and Favs in the Sen 234/202 RH and 52/48 but we have to watch OH, NC, FL, IN and GA very closely the Sen races are very close esp OH Ryan has been leading in every Poll outside TRAFALGAR and very likely to win, and Beasley and Demings are very liberal like Kamala Harris

Ryan is gonna be a contender, just like Newsom and Harris and  Buttigieg, Harris is a contender not frontrunner for 2028 only if Ryan wins his seat, we're gonna have a real primary in 28 unlike 2016)20

24 EC map is the same too, Evers and Barnes aren't losing and neither is CCM and SISOLAK

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Don't want to be repitituous I Doom I am only human but it's a difference between Dooming and thinking polls are flawed, and that's what Vaccinate Bear that made it to Prez Johnson ignore list that 41%percent Approvals made it an automatic 2010 Environment lol we had 90 M votes in 2010, we have 135 M now

[wbrocks67]

Ipsos gonna Ipsos.

39 Approve(+1)
57 Disapprove (-1)

Leger is unchanged at 41/57.

So interesting how Reuters/Ipsos is basically the only pollster to not move at all recently.

Though they have him at only 75% approval with Dems, which is easily the lowest any poll has seen recently.

[wbrocks67]

NPR/Marist, Adults

41% approve (+3)
54% disapprove (-3)

Since their last poll in August

42/54 among RV

https://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/NPR_PBS-NewsHour_Marist-Poll_Politics_USA-NOS-and-Tables_202209021321.pdf

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We see once again in TRAFALGAR polls the R bias SC and NC are close

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Just a note about these conflicting polls and Biden Approvals it's not because of Student Loans Discharge or Manchin voting for impeachment, it's still about inflation, and eventhough Gas prices have gone way done HOUSING, and College Tuition is thru the roof..

Manchin is vulnerable in 24 because inflation hasn't gone down, not because of impeachment of TRUMP


It was good the Inflation reduction Act was passed but it didn't deal with tuition caps or Housing section 8 vouchers and it's not gonna dent climate change either

Why are we getting so many polls of Fetterman leading Oz and Whitmer but no WI polls or MD Gov polls, OR or KS POLLS all they keep showing us races that D's are gonna win ANYWAYS

Another poll came out yesterday in MA and PA and GA showing the same thing

Where are the MD Gov polls it's Safe but no poll

[wbrocks67]

Rasmussen 45/53 today.

538 average:
Adults: 42.5 / 53.0 (-10.5)
RV/LV: 44.0 / 52.2 (-8.2)

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Rasmussen 45/53 today.

538 average:
Adults: 42.5 / 53.0 (-10.5)
RV/LV: 44.0 / 52.2 (-8.2)

Why has Rassmussen been the most bullish on Dark Brandon's approval ratings?

[GeorgiaModerate]

Rasmussen 45/53 today.

538 average:
Adults: 42.5 / 53.0 (-10.5)
RV/LV: 44.0 / 52.2 (-8.2)

Why has Rassmussen been the most bullish on Dark Brandon's approval ratings?

Do not attempt to unscrew the inscrutable.  This way lies madness.