Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rassy has it 45/53 so

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

My projection is correct in 2024 we are gonna swap out GA 16 for OH 17 Ryan is leading Vance and Walker is leading Warnock still not a  303 map but a 304 map, and Brown is up in 24 anyways we must hold the Brown seat to hold the Senate and win a combo of MT or WVA for 51 votes



We win WI, PA, OH Sen and lose GA it's still a 52/48 Sen, Demings is losing and Crist is losing but we don't know about BEASLEY

The GCB has been plus 3/4 D anyways forget the Approvals it's 45/53 RASSY

[wbrocks67]

Politico/Morning Consult

43% approve (=)
55% disapprove (=)

compared to last week

https://assets.morningconsult.com/wp-uploads/2022/08/31061407/2208180_crosstabs_POLITICO_RVs_v1_08-31-22_SH.pdf

[It’s so Joever]

The rise is about to reverse.

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Aug. 28-30, 1500 adults including 1342 RV

Adults:

Approve 41 (nc)
Disapprove 50 (-1)

Strongly approve 17 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 38 (+1)

RV:

Approve 43 (+1)
Disapprove 51 (-1)

Strongly approve 19 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 40 (+1)

GCB (RV only): D 46 (+2), R 38 (-1)

[Sir Mohamed]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Aug. 28-30, 1500 adults including 1342 RV

Adults:

Approve 41 (nc)
Disapprove 50 (-1)

Strongly approve 17 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 38 (+1)

RV:

Approve 43 (+1)
Disapprove 51 (-1)

Strongly approve 19 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 40 (+1)

GCB (RV only): D 46 (+2), R 38 (-1)

Great, the GCB continues to widen with multiple pollsters. We just need to keep it up till November or at least hope that it stays that way.

[wbrocks67]

Biden below -10 for the first time in ages among RV/LV on 538

43.3% approve
52.9% disapprove

-9.6 approval

[wbrocks67]

Quinnipiac Poll
(compared to their last poll in late July)

Adults
40% approve (+9)
52% disapprove (-8)

RV
41% approve (+8)
53% disapprove (-6)

https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3854

[GeorgiaModerate]

Quinnipiac Poll
(compared to their last poll in late July)

Adults
40% approve (+9)
52% disapprove (-8)

RV
41% approve (+8)
53% disapprove (-6)

https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3854

Holy cow, that's quite a shift!

Paging Forumlurker:

The rise is about to reverse.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Biden's decision to cancel student debt gets a 53-43% approval here. So much for the backlash from hArD wOrKiNg aMeRiCaNs.

[wbrocks67]

Biden's decision to cancel student debt gets a 53-43% approval here. So much for the backlash from hArD wOrKiNg aMeRiCaNs.

Student loan debt relief has now gotten either majority or plurality approval in every poll I've seen of it, and most of them are at least net approve by 5% or more. The way this was framed by the press over the last week is truly criminal. They really tried to act as if this was some divisive policy, constantly focusing on the "backlash" and what Republicans had to say about it, with literally no proof that there was "backlash" beyond Republicans whining about it like they do everything else.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The polls were gonna turn when Biden cancelled debt what's makes it so bad Rs are benefiting from it just like the Stimulus but R users want Rs to win but they're not going to win that's why Trump is doing QAnnon on Twitter has no one to turn to but then since the Rs are LOSING

It's a 2008/2020 redux

They thought they were gonna take it back no Way

What's gonna happen when Rs lose I hope there are protest not riots

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Biden's decision to cancel student debt gets a 53-43% approval here. So much for the backlash from hArD wOrKiNg aMeRiCaNs.

Student loan debt relief has now gotten either majority or plurality approval in every poll I've seen of it, and most of them are at least net approve by 5% or more. The way this was framed by the press over the last week is truly criminal. They really tried to act as if this was some divisive policy, constantly focusing on the "backlash" and what Republicans had to say about it, with literally no proof that there was "backlash" beyond Republicans whining about it like they do everything else.

Well because whenever they take an executive action, some idiots protest it and it gets overturned in a court for some reason.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Biden's RV/LV approval is at it's highest since March (and before that January)

[Lief 🗽]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Aug. 28-30, 1500 adults including 1342 RV

Adults:

Approve 41 (nc)
Disapprove 50 (-1)

Strongly approve 17 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 38 (+1)

RV:

Approve 43 (+1)
Disapprove 51 (-1)

Strongly approve 19 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 40 (+1)

GCB (RV only): D 46 (+2), R 38 (-1)

Why is there a 9 point difference between the generic ballot in YouGov’s polls for the Economist versus CBS?

[wbrocks67]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Aug. 28-30, 1500 adults including 1342 RV

Adults:

Approve 41 (nc)
Disapprove 50 (-1)

Strongly approve 17 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 38 (+1)

RV:

Approve 43 (+1)
Disapprove 51 (-1)

Strongly approve 19 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 40 (+1)

GCB (RV only): D 46 (+2), R 38 (-1)

Why is there a 9 point difference between the generic ballot in YouGov’s polls for the Economist versus CBS?

YouGov/CBS is using a LV model. I believe Economist is still using RV.

[Adam Griffin]

Biden's decision to cancel student debt gets a 53-43% approval here. So much for the backlash from hArD wOrKiNg aMeRiCaNs.

Student loan debt relief has now gotten either majority or plurality approval in every poll I've seen of it, and most of them are at least net approve by 5% or more. The way this was framed by the press over the last week is truly criminal. They really tried to act as if this was some divisive policy, constantly focusing on the "backlash" and what Republicans had to say about it, with literally no proof that there was "backlash" beyond Republicans whining about it like they do everything else.

Well because whenever they take an executive action, some idiots protest it and it gets overturned in a court for some reason.

Even though nobody (even in the media) seems to know the actual truth, it's actually not an executive order. It's the Secretary of Education acting through statute defined by The HEROES Act (which it has used multiple times prior over the years in the same way).

The way it is being handled makes it very, very difficult to argue constitutionality (even if standing itself weren't a major problem for any would-be challenger).

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The GCB the D's are near 50% it doesn't really matter about 41% Approvals the D's are over performing in all the swing states anyways


Look at IN, OHIO, NC and FL we are competetive if Biden was truly at 41% we would have an R nut map and early voting is starting soon anyways maps are blank no rankings on Eday I'd we win 303 it won't matter about wave insurance we won the EDay anyways wave insurance means more chances of winning the H , the blue wall replicates the S anyways

That's why Rs are confused and some conservative D's how are Ds winning red states with 41% because of the GCB not Biden Approvals


Hollywood isn't here to critique that's how you know D's are gonna win big. He only comes around when  Rs are gonna win bug

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://www.wsj.com/articles/democratic-midterm-prospects-improve-as-races-heat-up-wsj-poll-finds-11662024601

D's lead on GCB Wall Street Journal 47/44

It doesn't about 41 Approvals ANYMORE , as I keep saying over and over again

Trumpian is looking large over these EDay and Biden can Pardon Trump but he won't because Trump interferred in Voter Suppression laws  and Rs purposefully blocked lead by Lead McConnell the Jt Commission on Jan 6th so they can shield Ron Johnson whom made outrageous statements on that QAnnon isn't as bad as Blk lives or Antifa .
That's why Ron Johnson is still tied with Barnes because he is shielded if they had the Jt Commission it would be a landslide for Barnes that's why I don't say like other users RoJo is gonna win I remember what he said about Antifa or BLM on Insurrectionists

It's on You tube his outrageous statements that won't be played before Select. COMMITTEE , but it's a 303 map with wave insurance we are still gonna beat him

D's that say it's not a 303 map and it's a D forum and we still have an R compiled nut map is gonna be wrong on EDay it's wave insurance seats too we're gonna win red states on EDay regardless if we win the H or not Beasley and Ryan and Demings are tied

I said over and over too if you try to make exact maps you will fail because what happened in 2018 we won KS, what happened in 2008/12 we won IN and what happened in 2006 we won VA Allen was supposed to win even with his outrageous statements

GA and AZ were red states turned Blue in 2018/20

[wbrocks67]

WSJ + Fabrizio/Impact

45% approve
54% disapprove

https://www.wsj.com/articles/democratic-midterm-prospects-improve-as-races-heat-up-wsj-poll-finds-11662024601

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

NET: -9.1% (LV/RV), -10.3% (All)- Best since March (?) for the LV
YES: 43.6% (LR/RV), 42.7% (All)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden is leading 50/44 he is at 50 in the matchup with Trump, as I said before Approvals Lie all the time because they do internet polls and phone polls as far as I am concerned Biden is at 50 he is never gonna be at 60 percent in a Pandemic world he was only at 60 during Honeymoon because everyone got Stimulus checks and we thought we were gonna end Covid, it's an Endemic

Trump was never at 50 he lost the H in 2018 it was 4.5 unemployment but it were McDonald's jobs like it is now, they are slave labor jobs and Hollywood critique Biden jobs and Trump has inherited wealth like most rich people except for Athletes, that's why its a Student Loans Crisis you can't pay them back with McDonald's salaries, everyone has a college degree, it's diluted, you need an advanced Degree and know some people with luck that's why nursing and Law school on line are popular nowadays

I posted Biden 50/44 against Trump and this is without Airtime and negative ads against Trump but they keep polling Trump v Biden thinking that Trump is gonna beat Biden

[Adam Griffin]

Also, Biden is once again officially more popular than Trump at the same point in the term:

Day 584
Biden -10.4
Trump -10.9

LV/RV
Day 587
Biden -10.0 (43.2-53.2)
Trump -11.6 (42.3-53.9)

LV/RV
Day 590
Biden -9.1 (43.6-52.7)
Trump -11.1 (42.4-53.5)

Biden's now at his best 538 approval margin since March.

Despite Biden's approval % increasing by 5 points over the past 6 weeks, his disapproval has come down by 4 points as well. Put another way: Biden's back to roughly where Obama's numbers were on Election Day 2010 (44-45%).

By mid-October, he's going to be breaking even! [/s]

July 22: Biden -18.0
Sept 1: Biden -9.1

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

State by state polls gonna be scarce till next week that's why they haven't released PA Gov poll after that other PA Senate polls but Traggy already polled both races and we are 4 pts ahead

I know why Ds are ahead in NC SENATE because eventhough we lost the Prez race we won Cooper seat so even in a 303 map scenario we can win NC and OH IA gonna turn as well, as I said in another thread it's no accident that Brown got elected 3* and Ryan is leading Dennis KUCINICH was elected in OH, Brown is very similar to Dennis KUCINICH

So, don't look for that many oos it's Labor Day weekend

[wbrocks67]

Rasmussen 45/53 today

538 average update

RV/LV: 43.7 / 52.5 ( -8.8 )
Adults: 42.8 / 52.9 ( -10.1 )