Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Just for the record, Biden will have great approvals among the states that elected him, the redistricting battle are in states that didn't vote for him or are in ruby red states. FL, GA, TX probably gonna be against Biden and the 291 freiwall states will still support Biden, even at 10% unemployment, the 278 freiwall reelected Obama, those are the states where D Govs are gonna eliminate R states when they are expected to lose EC votes in Redistricting MI, PA, IL, CA and NY

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Hot take: the Biden presidency will have an almost as stable approval rating as the Trump administration.

Stable but higher. America came through the 2020 Presidential election as polarized as ever, and I would say the same thing whether President-elect Biden won 270 or 416 electoral votes. (Alaska went for Trump by 10.09% of the margin of the popular vote. Maybe Alaskans don't like a President unusually cozy with Vladimir Putin, which might not be such a concern in 2024). 

Gross was getting mileage due to Dunleavy recall, but Dunleavy is still Gov.  Gross made enroads because he is a Doctor, but when Biden said he would get rid of oil subsidizies, that doomed BOLLIER, Bullock, Gross and Hegar's chances, the Keystone pipeline goes right thru those states. Biden should of waited til after the election to say that

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Covid isn't deadly unless you have an underlying heart disease or cancer and the Homeless are the main ones as carriers if the virus. The reason why we got Covid is the fact we never got a handle on the TB crisis, which is it's first cuz Covid.

We are still gonna have to socially distance til the future and we are in a new economy, alot of jobs aren't coming back, but deaths of the virus will be eliminated

Korea which shows Korean Baseball ⚾ shows people attending ballgames but with masks but no Concessionaires

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Obama made mistakes, he didn't end the filibuster with a simple majority vote and he didnt pass legislation to repeal the Bush W tax cuts and he pushed thru a partisan ACA tax penalty thru Congress, that's why his approvals suffered to low 40s, if D's assume the Trifecta again, pending GA, they will seek to get rid of fillibuster eventhough Manchin made that pledge he can revoke it and he will be pressured to.

He didn't put that in the record in the Senate

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Majority of voters now want a GOP controlled Senate

The Pelosi 2.2T or nothing Stimulus is backfiring, Unemployment is gonna run out and we are endangered of a Govt shutdown by Dec 11th and Dev 25th

The states don't have 600 dollars for unemployment that expired already in it's gonna be closer to 300 and that doesn't encompass 2=2T no longer

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The only measure of Biden approvals after first 100 days, that is the Honeymoon period, then only then, will has weight on midterms where if it falls to 44 D's are endangered of losing seats and D's don't have a big majority

His approvals can fall to that in a heartbeat in a Covid Environment but will it be substained like Trump has, is a different story.

We know that Rs want to blame the ill will on the Trump admin on Biden so they can pickup seats in midterms

R pollsters and Mr Phelps keep saying Rs are gonna sweep midterms

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

11% unemployment and he and Biden refused to get rid of legislative filibuster to allow DC Statehood were the main blunders of tea party revolt of 2010, that's why if D's get 51/49, majority in Jan, D's are gonna move quickly to solidify DC or PR Statehood

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Tell to the R naysayers that says that's Rs are gonna sweep the House in 2022 due to taters in the economy, but they won't come on this thread because you will check them

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I don’t see Joe Biden having all that terrible approvals even after the honeymoon period. At worse, they will go down to about 55% during the 2022 midterm elections.

My guess is anywhere between 47 and 52.

52% sounds about right. I think that Mitch McConnell and Kevin McCarthy will have the highest approval ratings of any political leaders during the Biden Administration (55%).

Lol McConnell approvals have been stuck at 35%

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lol Mattrose is an R, but he is a Dem, he had John James beating Gary Peter's, no one likes McConnell.

He also says Ron DeSantis is gonna be Prez, no

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Unemployment is considered UBI now due to the Economy and the Fed Unemployment is gonna be ending Dec 26th, which suits Rs fine, Unemployment or UBI discourages people from working and they just mail you a check without providing you have a job, maybe we don't need it anyways.  Most people are gonna want two yrs unemployment in March anyways and that wasn't allowed after 911

I don't feel bad for the expiration of Unemployment

It's Pelosi fault, she still say 2.2T or nothing 😭😭😭

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

There is a problem with our Economy, the more people are on Unemployment, the more they want continued UBI benefits, and the problem is that there isn't gonna be enough vaccines to immunized everyone as people are gonna take off work due to sickness

That's why the stimulus hasn't been passed which Pelosi should of taken the 1.8T pricetag

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

What happened to pbower2A

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yes, he rarely talks about Covid and the Admiral said that there weren't enough vaccines ordered, people aren't dying, they are lingering in ICUs

.they need the vaccines but only nursing homes and health care workers get priorities of it

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump Toupee and many Rs have been claiming this on the forum, many people will go from ICUs back to work when they get vaccinated and Trump didn't even order enough vaccines due to Trump letting his guard down on Covid and preparing for his relection.

Biden once we all get vaccinated will have 55% approvals.

Trump never had a 50% approval rating

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If people don't get their stimulus checks of 600 by the end of the month, there is gonna be reprocutions, and blame, Biden and GA D's ran on 2K stimulus checks and we find out that about 35 percent of people still haven't received their stimulus checks

How can Ds run on extending Unemployment and more Stimulus checks if 35 percent haven't received their second stimulus. That's why Biden is 48-37 not 55 percent anymore as Marist polls indicate

They lied to us and said it would be mailed if we didn't receive a check by the middle of month and it's the 13 th

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden approvals are at 48-37, for a reason, that stimulus checks aren't going out quickly enough and he will have to renew unemployment again in the Spring

The IRS screwed up and there will be a reckoning if voters don't get their checks by the end of the month

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump is over, the first 100 days is critical for Biden as Unemployment renewal and stimulus checks are gonna be debated again in what our budget deficit is now 600 B under 0,

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

As I have said before the IRS screwed up in getting stimulus checks out to the public, not everyone has the payments, and to constantly look at Trump approvals in relation to Biden Prez is bad for D's.

Johnson is gonna object again to the 1400 payments and we will see about the Unemployment, but it's days are numbered

But, we have a long way to go til the 2022 midterms

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ipsos Core Political Data, Jan. 4-5, 1324 adults including 1133 RV (normally weekly but skipped last week)

Biden:

Adults:

Approve 55 (+2)
Disapprove 37 (nc)

Strongly approve 27 (-2)
Strongly disapprove 25 (+1)

RV:

Approve 57 (+2)
Disapprove 38 (nc)

Strongly approve 30 (-2)
Strongly disapprove 27 (+1)


Trump:

Adults:

Approve 38 (-2)
Disapprove 57 (+2)

Strongly approve 21 (-3)
Strongly disapprove 44 (+1)

RV:

Approve 40 (nc)
Disapprove 58 (+1)

Strongly approve 23 (-3)
Strongly disapprove 45 (nc)

So much for these approval ratings when people aren't getting their 600

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden offered me a ticket to the Inauguration if I donated but I politely turned it down

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

These state numbers are suspicious. If true, it would be pretty bad at the beginning of a presidency. Biden underwater in states he easily carried? Color me skeptical.

Possible explanation (really a wild guess): the insurrection damaged all faith in government at all levels and in a bipartisan way -- although Trump's cult may still be convinced that Trump won, in a landslide nonetheless.  

I do believe that the first midterm will be a test for D's, the Covid crisis and Economy must be normalized in order to get that right track/wrong track number back even. If it's not Obama and Clinton midterms were bad and so will Bidens.

Because the Govt is shutdown and our Gov in Cali is. being recalled.

But we can't see the future until  2022

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden isn't at 55% he is at 48/37

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden isn't at 55% he is at 48/37

Why do you keep citing that number as if that's the only poll ever taken? Do you trust Marist that much?

We can't see what next yr this far out but some Ds are worried about 2022/ since first Midterms are bad, a 48/37 approval rating isn't bad, it's mediocre, but the Economy must be better than it is now to get the right/track wrong track never back even again in order to have a stellar 2022.

Obama lost the 2010 midterms not because he was doing bad,  but the he didn't get the right track/wrong track number back even again til he defeated Romney.

But of course if Statehood is adopted in this term, Rs gains are negated.

D's can win in 2022/ but it's not inevitable

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden isn't at 55% he is at 48/37

Why do you keep citing that number as if that's the only poll ever taken? Do you trust Marist that much?

We can't see what next yr this far out but some Ds are worried about 2022/ since first Midterms are bad, a 48/37 approval rating isn't bad, it's mediocre, but the Economy must be better than it is now to get the right/track wrong track never back even again in order to have a stellar 2022.

Obama lost the 2010 midterms not because he was doing bad,  but the he didn't get the right track/wrong track number back even again til he defeated Romney.

But of course if Statehood is adopted in this term, Rs gains are negated.

D's can win in 2022/ but it's not inevitable

I agree with everything you say in this comment, but IDK why you're pushing the 48/37 number so hard. Civiqs has 47 favorable/48 unfavorable if you're looking for a farther outlier.

Meet our beloved OC, Abdullah.  

I don't know what that means but I'll take it as a compliment

OC is a riddle wrapped in a mystery inside an enigma.  Or at least most of his posts fit that description.

You can't ignore the fact that we have Covid, a Trump Impeachment and Kevin Mccarthy. Covid can spoil the D's chances, but Trump NYState Prosecution can suck all the oxygen away from Congressial Rs and Kevin Mccarthy isn't as dominant as Boehner, Ryan, Gingrich or Hassart. That's why so many Rs retired when McCarthy became Speaker

2022 can go either way