Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/agraybee/status/1427755165143158784

Wow the public does not know what it wants lol

[Ferguson97]

My, my, is that really a D+20 poll?

Yes but the -1 was calculated after adjusting for the D overrepresentation.

[Ferguson97]

yeah sorry I don't believe this lol

[Ferguson97]

Rasmussen

Approve 42 (-2)
Disapprove 56 (+2)

Lol Rasmussen

[Ferguson97]

According to the The Detroit news Biden’s approval in Michigan is 39/53. If those numbers are anywhere accurate that is horrific for Michigan.

Yeah, I don't believe that.

[Ferguson97]

From Gallup -- " among elected presidents since World War II, only Trump has had a lower job approval rating than Biden does at a similar point in their presidencies."

And the same will be true for Presidents Harris, DeSantis, Mandel, and Buttigieg.

We live in polarized times.

[Ferguson97]

If even THG is skeptical of the Quinnipiac poll, you know it's a genuinely trash poll.

[Ferguson97]

Are his approvals actually just going back up because of gas prices?

The American people are... not smart.

[Ferguson97]

Are his approvals actually just going back up because of gas prices?

The American people are... not smart.

What do you mean? IMO We all want lower gas prices, and not everyone has the time and money to go and research all the top reasons why it costs more, every single supply chain disruption etc. etc. I'd be more concerned if his approvals kept going down 🤣🤣🤣

You see results, improvements to your lives, and you approve more, no?

I approve of the President more if the improvement was a result of their actions.

If I get a girlfriend or a promotion, I’m not gonna thank Biden for it. 

[Ferguson97]

From the same poll: only 33% of Americans want Trump to run again

https://twitter.com/sahilkapur/status/1481349210742030338

If 2024 is a rematch, it could be worse than 2016 for historically disliked candidates

[Ferguson97]

You would expect the Republicans get A LOT more than a point advantage in generic ballot with Biden at freakin' 33%. This entire poll is trash.

Yeah, that's a good point. I could see an argument for 'Republicans are at +1' and 'Biden's at 33%' but I don't see how those could both be true... unless voters just don't blame congressional democrats for the economy?

[Ferguson97]

Roughly 4 in 10 Americans (41 percent) think Biden is too liberal, 38 percent say he's about right, 9 percent say he's too conservative, and 12 percent did not offer an opinion.

Honestly that's about what I would have expected. The 41% is obviously Republicans, 38% is normie Democrats, and the 9% is progressives who are unsatisfied.

[Ferguson97]

Another bit of information:

Americans are split on which party they would want to see win control of the United States House of Representatives as 43 percent say the Republican Party, 42 percent say the Democratic Party, and 16 percent did not offer an opinion. That's compared to November 2021 when 46 percent said the Republican Party, 38 percent said the Democratic Party and 16 percent did not offer an opinion.

As for which party they want to see win control of the United States Senate, 45 percent say the Republican Party, 41 percent say the Democratic Party, and 14 percent did not offer an opinion.

So
House R+1
Senate R+4
??

Assuming these numbers are accurate (which I still don't think makes sense given Biden's approval; either his numbers should be higher or the Democrats should be lower in the generic ballot), that is pretty good news for their chances at PA/AZ/GA/NV-sen... but that's pretty bad for a House, result, no? 2018 was D+8 in the House

[Ferguson97]

I'm not dismissing the Q-pac, I'm just genuinely not sure how 'R+1 generic ballot' and 'Biden 33% approval' can co-exist.

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/bencasselman/status/1498646860843659269

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/nprpolitics/status/1499795604511371265

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/ElectsWorld/status/1501326097987907585

[Ferguson97]

What’s interesting is that. 77% support banning Russian imports even if it leads to higher gas prices

Stated vs revealed preferences. I imagine many people will say that they support it because they think it's the right thing to do, but when push comes to shove and they see the receipt come back... different story.

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1509875178574172170

[Ferguson97]

A rare single-state poll:

Wisconsin: Marquette Law, April 19-24, 805 RV (change from Feb.)

Approve 43 (nc)
Disapprove 53 (+1)

Strongly approve 20
Strongly disapprove 44

-10 in Wisconsin is honestly a pretty good approval to have in this environment, if you buy that at least 10 of that 53 who disapprove are disappointed progressives who would vote for Biden anyway.

[Ferguson97]

Marist/NPR, April 19-26, 1377 adults including 1162 RV (change from late March)

Adults:

Approve 41 (+2)
Disapprove 51 (-3)

Strongly approve 16 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 37 (+2)

RV:

Approve 42 (+3)
Disapprove 53 (-2)

Strongly approve 18 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 40 (+4)

GCB (RV only): R 47 (+6), D 44 (-2)

Kind of a mixed bag here.  Biden's overall approval improved significantly among both adults and RV, but his strong approval/disapproval got worse.  The huge shift in GCB certainly bears watching; this is the first time since 2014 that Marist has had the Republicans in front.

This a pretty bad poll. Not in terms of "bad for the Republicans" or "bad for the Democrats", but just bad. The crosstabs point to a Republican landslide, not R+3.

Republicans winning Latinos by 12 points, but whites by only 9? Democrats winning Silent/Greatest Gen by 12 points, and losing Milennials/Gen Z by 1 point? Zero sense.

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/umichvoter/status/1544361329326231553

Probably a big reason why Biden's approvals are so low.

Progressives hate him, but they sure as hell aren't voting Republican.

[Ferguson97]

But do they expect him to do? Ok, he could so more student loan debt through executive action, but anything elese he hasn't delivered is because of congressional realities.

Or do they just want him replaced with a younger president?

You're assuming they're aware of this though. Remember, most people think POTUS is more powerful than they really are.

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/patricksvitek/status/1544693421503283201

Another poll showing that while groups may disapprove of Biden, that isn't translating to how they're voting downballot.

[Ferguson97]

I accept that these polls are abysmal, but I don't really get why people are acting like the approvals will exactly match the vote share. Democrats are obviously not going to lose the GCB by 27 points.