2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 642523 times)
Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #10475 on: November 05, 2020, 01:39:51 PM »

PA SoS: 550K ballots left to count.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #10476 on: November 05, 2020, 01:39:53 PM »

Also per NYT: Trump's 16.7% margin of defeat is the worst for a Republican in Chatham County since 1948, when Dewey lost to Truman by 20.5%.

SAVANNAH JOE
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EliteLX
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« Reply #10477 on: November 05, 2020, 01:39:59 PM »

Real life question - how is possible to have 30% of the vote in the Philly area crawling for what is now going on 48-72 hours? The rest of the country has counted, the rest of the states. Other urban areas with hundreds of thousands of votes wrapped up in a day. Detroit yesterday. Florida counted millions of votes in hours, .etc .etc.

How can you possible fck this up that hard? It isn't acceptable.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #10478 on: November 05, 2020, 01:40:04 PM »


She actually tweeted a pretty gracious concession and congratulated Mfume.

I would not call this gracious lol



It’s quite gracious by Republican standards

That fact that he didn't say she lost because of fraud is definitely gracious for a Republican.
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ηєω ƒяσηтιєя
New Frontier
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« Reply #10479 on: November 05, 2020, 01:40:05 PM »

More than I thought still. Biden really could pull out a pretty big win in PA.


We heard this yesterday. Just hurry the f**k up and report the damn votes.
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Catholics vs. Convicts
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« Reply #10480 on: November 05, 2020, 01:40:18 PM »




Uh huh. Sure. We will believe that when we see it.
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politics_king
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« Reply #10481 on: November 05, 2020, 01:40:28 PM »

Any idea on where joes national popular vote margin will end up (in points)

Most people said 7 to 8 million margin.
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Non Swing Voter
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« Reply #10482 on: November 05, 2020, 01:41:02 PM »

Georgia's Fulton County has finished processing ballots, but more than 50,000 still to be counted in state

As of 12:45 p.m. ET, there are approximately 50,401 ballots still outstanding across Georgia, according to a statement by Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger.

Almost all of these outstanding ballots are absentee ballots, Georgia Deputy Press Secretary Jordan Fuchs tells CNN.

Fulton County — the largest county in the state and home to Atlanta —has finished processing ballots, the county commissioner said in a news conference.

Are these going to be as Dem friendly going forward?

seems like it.  the counties are mostly blue and Biden's exceeding his normal margins with mail in stuff.  Plus if the NYT is accurate there's a healthy chunk from Clayton where Biden is winning 85% of the overall vote, so probably more like 90% of the mail in vote....
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #10483 on: November 05, 2020, 01:41:06 PM »

Any idea on where joes national popular vote margin will end up (in points)

Probably something like 52-47.

Yikes polling ....

Safe to say if it was +10 like polling showed he would’ve carried Texas, FLA & NC
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BigSerg
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« Reply #10484 on: November 05, 2020, 01:41:15 PM »

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Non Swing Voter
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« Reply #10485 on: November 05, 2020, 01:41:45 PM »

Real life question - how is possible to have 30% of the vote in the Philly area crawling for what is now going on 48-72 hours? The rest of the country has counted, the rest of the states. Other urban areas with hundreds of thousands of votes wrapped up in a day. Detroit yesterday. Florida counted millions of votes in hours, .etc .etc.

How can you possible fck this up that hard? It isn't acceptable.

well they had to stop for a period of time today because of one of Trump's many frivolous lawsuits there for one.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #10486 on: November 05, 2020, 01:42:31 PM »

So it looks like only Aransas, Hawaii and Utah will have swung towards Trump. Every other state had a Dem swing from 2016.

Florida?

New York oddly looks like it might swing to Trump, unless the outstanding stuff is mostly Dems.
It is. Here in NY, they don't even start counting the mail-in/absentee votes until tomorrow. We won't know the full results until a week or too. However, it's heavily from Democratic voters.

Agreed for that but it says Westchester is fully in and turnout is decently up which means it probably is in but it still swung a bit towards Trump.

Anywhere else the Democratic gains weren't consistent in wealthy suburbs?

Palm Beach and Broward swinging R wasn't a good sign for Ds either, Broward swung D in 2016 and Palm Beach trended D and Hillary netted like 20 votes over Obama 2012 from there. Trump so far has netted votes from those 2. Definitely seems there was a strong Jewish swing.
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
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« Reply #10487 on: November 05, 2020, 01:42:50 PM »

Beaufort County SC is showing a major improvement for Biden relative to Hillary in 2016.

Hilton Head Joe
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Catholics vs. Convicts
Illiniwek
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« Reply #10488 on: November 05, 2020, 01:42:56 PM »

Real life question - how is possible to have 30% of the vote in the Philly area crawling for what is now going on 48-72 hours? The rest of the country has counted, the rest of the states. Other urban areas with hundreds of thousands of votes wrapped up in a day. Detroit yesterday. Florida counted millions of votes in hours, .etc .etc.

How can you possible fck this up that hard? It isn't acceptable.

well they had to stop for a period of time today because of one of Trump's many frivolous lawsuits there for one.

That was relatively a tiny bit of time. Like an hour or two at most.
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Canis
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« Reply #10489 on: November 05, 2020, 01:43:19 PM »

Perdue at 49.98% Ossoff has done it their will be 2 Georgia runoffs!
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7,052,770
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« Reply #10490 on: November 05, 2020, 01:43:24 PM »

Will be getting Biden's victory speech tonight?
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #10491 on: November 05, 2020, 01:44:40 PM »

So it looks like only Aransas, Hawaii and Utah will have swung towards Trump. Every other state had a Dem swing from 2016.

Florida?

New York oddly looks like it might swing to Trump, unless the outstanding stuff is mostly Dems.
It is. Here in NY, they don't even start counting the mail-in/absentee votes until tomorrow. We won't know the full results until a week or too. However, it's heavily from Democratic voters.

Agreed for that but it says Westchester is fully in and turnout is decently up which means it probably is in but it still swung a bit towards Trump.

Anywhere else the Democratic gains weren't consistent in wealthy suburbs?

Palm Beach and Broward swinging R wasn't a good sign for Ds either, Broward swung D in 2016 and Palm Beach trended D and Hillary netted like 20 votes over Obama 2012 from there. Trump so far has netted votes from those 2. Definitely seems there was a strong Jewish swing.

Unironically a good thing. The fewer upscale voters there in the current coalition, the easier it will be get back in touch with the working class and the labour movement. I hated that part of the realignment.
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
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« Reply #10492 on: November 05, 2020, 01:44:43 PM »

Perdue at 49.98% Ossoff has done it their will be 2 Georgia runoffs!

Is there just going to be an Ossoff runoff in the first year of every new presidency from here on out? Should we just go ahead and pencil one in for 2025 as well?
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #10493 on: November 05, 2020, 01:45:15 PM »

Will be getting Biden's victory speech tonight?

Not without a PA call.
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #10494 on: November 05, 2020, 01:45:28 PM »

Will be getting Biden's victory speech tonight?

If PA actually counts, then hopefully.
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Roronoa D. Law
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« Reply #10495 on: November 05, 2020, 01:46:15 PM »

These counties are already insanely D but any chance Biden raises the ceiling in LA, Cook, NY, and Philadelphia county?
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Ancestral Republican
Crane
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« Reply #10496 on: November 05, 2020, 01:46:22 PM »

Perdue at 49.98% Ossoff has done it their will be 2 Georgia runoffs!

Is there just going to be an Ossoff runoff in the first year of every new presidency from here on out? Should we just go ahead and pencil one in for 2025 as well?

At least we'll get the old "he's spending his Ossoff" joke from Ben Shapiro again.
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Ancestral Republican
Crane
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« Reply #10497 on: November 05, 2020, 01:46:46 PM »

These counties are already insanely D but any chance Biden raises the ceiling in LA, Cook, NY, and Philadelphia county?

Not NY
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Person Man
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« Reply #10498 on: November 05, 2020, 01:47:31 PM »

So Biden needs just 60% in Pennsylvania now?
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
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« Reply #10499 on: November 05, 2020, 01:47:45 PM »

Perdue at 49.98% Ossoff has done it their will be 2 Georgia runoffs!

Is there just going to be an Ossoff runoff in the first year of every new presidency from here on out? Should we just go ahead and pencil one in for 2025 as well?

At least we'll get the old "he's spending his Ossoff" joke from Ben Shapiro again.

For real. These are easily going to be the most expensive senate races in American history.
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