2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 642630 times)
ηєω ƒяσηтιєя
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« Reply #10425 on: November 05, 2020, 01:25:05 PM »

So it looks like only Aransas, Hawaii and Utah will have swung towards Trump. Every other state had a Dem swing from 2016.

Florida?

New York oddly looks like it might swing to Trump, unless the outstanding stuff is mostly Dems.
It is. Here in NY, they don't even start counting the mail-in/absentee votes until tomorrow. We won't know the full results until a week or two. However, it's heavily from Democratic voters.
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Alcibiades
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« Reply #10426 on: November 05, 2020, 01:25:29 PM »

Has someone checked on Kimberly Klacik

Losing 70-30
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #10427 on: November 05, 2020, 01:25:48 PM »

So it looks like only Aransas, Hawaii and Utah will have swung towards Trump. Every other state had a Dem swing from 2016.

Florida?

New York oddly looks like it might swing to Trump, unless the outstanding stuff is mostly Dems.
It is. Here in NY, they don't even start counting the mail-in/absentee votes until tomorrow. We won't know the full results until a week or too. However, it's heavily from Democratic voters.

Do you think Biden will crack 60% in New York in the end?
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Crumpets
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« Reply #10428 on: November 05, 2020, 01:26:07 PM »

Don't know if this has been posted yet, but it looks like Biden won Lynchburg, VA, home of Liberty University. First time since 1948 and first time without a strong 3rd party performance in the area since 1944.
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pppolitics
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« Reply #10429 on: November 05, 2020, 01:26:12 PM »

Trump’s lead in Georgia shrank to 13,540 votes on Thursday afternoon. The secretary of state said that about 50,000 votes now remain uncounted.
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Splash
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« Reply #10430 on: November 05, 2020, 01:26:27 PM »

A very small batch of votes just came in from Delaware, PA and Trump's lead now stands at 114,011 votes
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #10431 on: November 05, 2020, 01:26:45 PM »


She actually tweeted a pretty gracious concession and congratulated Mfume.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #10432 on: November 05, 2020, 01:26:51 PM »

So it looks like only Aransas, Hawaii and Utah will have swung towards Trump. Every other state had a Dem swing from 2016.

Florida?

New York oddly looks like it might swing to Trump, unless the outstanding stuff is mostly Dems.
It is. Here in NY, they don't even start counting the mail-in/absentee votes until tomorrow. We won't know the full results until a week or too. However, it's heavily from Democratic voters.

Agreed for that but it says Westchester is fully in and turnout is decently up which means it probably is in but it still swung a bit towards Trump.
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HisGrace
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« Reply #10433 on: November 05, 2020, 01:27:18 PM »



Dumb bastard

What a fascist pig. If he wants to live in a country with an unelected leader move to North Korea or Saudi Arabia.
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pppolitics
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« Reply #10434 on: November 05, 2020, 01:27:21 PM »

Don't know if this has been posted yet, but it looks like Biden won Lynchburg, VA, home of Liberty University. First time since 1948 and first time without a strong 3rd party performance in the area since 1944.

...probably because the students aren't there
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
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« Reply #10435 on: November 05, 2020, 01:27:33 PM »

So it looks like only Aransas, Hawaii and Utah will have swung towards Trump. Every other state had a Dem swing from 2016.

Florida?

New York oddly looks like it might swing to Trump, unless the outstanding stuff is mostly Dems.
It is. Here in NY, they don't even start counting the mail-in/absentee votes until tomorrow. We won't know the full results until a week or too. However, it's heavily from Democratic voters.

Agreed for that but it says Westchester is fully in and turnout is decently up which means it probably is in but it still swung a bit towards Trump.

I think that's probably a mistake.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #10436 on: November 05, 2020, 01:27:56 PM »


She actually tweeted a pretty gracious concession and congratulated Mfume.

She's at 29% while the R in 2018 was at 21%. Can't tell if this is an overperformance or if MD just still has a ton of votes out. Totals look small-ish compared to 2018 so I would assume they are waiting on ballots
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EJ24
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« Reply #10437 on: November 05, 2020, 01:28:01 PM »

Well, I'm heavily disappointed in Trump's near-certain loss but I'm already looking ahead to 2022 and 2024.

I suspect we'll probably flip the House in 2022 and pick up a senate seat or two. This will lay the groundwork for our eventual nominee to be in a great position to defeat Biden or Harris in 2024.

Suck it.

Suck it long, and suck it hard.
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Thunder98
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« Reply #10438 on: November 05, 2020, 01:28:05 PM »

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ηєω ƒяσηтιєя
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« Reply #10439 on: November 05, 2020, 01:28:16 PM »

So it looks like only Aransas, Hawaii and Utah will have swung towards Trump. Every other state had a Dem swing from 2016.

Florida?

New York oddly looks like it might swing to Trump, unless the outstanding stuff is mostly Dems.
It is. Here in NY, they don't even start counting the mail-in/absentee votes until tomorrow. We won't know the full results until a week or too. However, it's heavily from Democratic voters.

Do you think Biden will crack 60% in New York in the end?
Yes, I think so.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #10440 on: November 05, 2020, 01:28:25 PM »

So it looks like only Aransas, Hawaii and Utah will have swung towards Trump. Every other state had a Dem swing from 2016.

Florida?

New York oddly looks like it might swing to Trump, unless the outstanding stuff is mostly Dems.
It is. Here in NY, they don't even start counting the mail-in/absentee votes until tomorrow. We won't know the full results until a week or too. However, it's heavily from Democratic voters.

Agreed for that but it says Westchester is fully in and turnout is decently up which means it probably is in but it still swung a bit towards Trump.

Anywhere else the Democratic gains weren't consistent in wealthy suburbs?
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #10441 on: November 05, 2020, 01:28:43 PM »

I really hope Trump is left out to dry by the GOP Establishment. It's definitely not a wise move politically to keep themselves associated with him. If McConnell and co. stick with him, they're ensuring Dem turnout in the GA runoffs will be through the roof. They're endangering PA, WI, NC Senate Seats in 2022. And they're giving Brown and Tester a good shot at re-election.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #10442 on: November 05, 2020, 01:29:05 PM »


She actually tweeted a pretty gracious concession and congratulated Mfume.

She's at 29% while the R in 2018 was at 21%. Can't tell if this is an overperformance or if MD just still has a ton of votes out. Totals look small-ish compared to 2018 so I would assume they are waiting on ballots

Yeah, I'm guessing she'll go down as more ballots are counted.
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Scottholes 2.0
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« Reply #10443 on: November 05, 2020, 01:30:34 PM »

If Biden wins Georgia, then that's going to be a HUGE accomplishment. But sadly, Trump might get his way and steal this election via the courts. He always gets his way.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #10444 on: November 05, 2020, 01:30:42 PM »


She actually tweeted a pretty gracious concession and congratulated Mfume.

I would not call this gracious lol

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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #10445 on: November 05, 2020, 01:30:58 PM »

Also per NYT: Trump's 16.7% margin of defeat is the worst for a Republican in Chatham County since 1948, when Dewey lost to Truman by 20.5%.
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #10446 on: November 05, 2020, 01:31:00 PM »

Can the networks just move away from this Nevada drama queen already?
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Splash
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« Reply #10447 on: November 05, 2020, 01:31:19 PM »


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pppolitics
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« Reply #10448 on: November 05, 2020, 01:31:30 PM »

Georgia's Fulton County has finished processing ballots, but more than 50,000 still to be counted in state

As of 12:45 p.m. ET, there are approximately 50,401 ballots still outstanding across Georgia, according to a statement by Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger.

Almost all of these outstanding ballots are absentee ballots, Georgia Deputy Press Secretary Jordan Fuchs tells CNN.

Fulton County — the largest county in the state and home to Atlanta —has finished processing ballots, the county commissioner said in a news conference.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #10449 on: November 05, 2020, 01:31:59 PM »

If Biden wins Georgia, then that's going to be a HUGE accomplishment. But sadly, Trump might get his way and steal this election via the courts. He always gets his way.

In retrospect, people may question Biden/Obama/Harris stops in TX, IA, and OH (though TX did still overperform from 2016 by 3%+), but it looks like their stops were generally really good. They did stop frequently in FL too, but they had to, even if they knew the goose was cooked

> Focus on blue wall
> Harris/Obama/Biden all stop in GA
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