2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

TITANIUM TILT R

The curse is real!

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

I cant wait until Biden wins TX and see the R reaction

He. Is. Not. Winning. Texas.

We've had titanium tilt R FL. We look to be having UT David Perdue.

Prepare for the Cornyn NUT map. There's no stopping the memes now.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Politico calls KY for Mitch.

$100M well spent, Democrats.

Joaquin Phoenix Joker laugh intensifies

"I'm going to become the #resistance"

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

CNN: "If you had told us four years ago that Georgia would be competitive, we would have said *no*..."

What?

They might have. Cillizza is on a six-figure salary.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Just noticing North Carolina is looking really good for Biden. The swings in the urban and suburban counties are massive.

Cunningham's yo-yoed between over performing and underperforming but the difference between his and Biden's margins (underperforming the top of the ticket by 2%) is currently not very sexy at all

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Biden didn’t take „Latinos for granted“.

It’s more a combination of Latinos not wanting more of their folk coming into the US illegally when they themselves came often legally and stick to the rules, buying more and more into Trumps tough immigration rhetoric. Also, many Latinos are machos.

Biden took Latinos for granted. His outreach was consistently terrible during the primaries and we've little reason to believe that changed during the GE. Even in FL where they were much less drawn to Sanders, Bloomberg polled well (often better than Biden).

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Biden didn’t take „Latinos for granted“.

It’s more a combination of Latinos not wanting more of their folk coming into the US illegally when they themselves came often legally and stick to the rules, buying more and more into Trumps tough immigration rhetoric. Also, many Latinos are machos.

Biden took Latinos for granted. His outreach was consistently terrible during the primaries and we've little reason to believe that changed during the GE. Even in FL where they were much less drawn to Sanders, Bloomberg polled well (often better than Biden).

If Cubans in FL were easily swayed by Trump calling *Joe Biden* a socialist, there was no saving them.

That's no excuse for losing them in other states.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

..maybe Hillary wasn't such a bad candidate after all.

Just sayin'.

It would be a huge vindication for Hillary if Biden loses tonight.

Alternatively, a pretty clear rejection of their politics that Democratic primary voters will probably ignore anyway.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

FOX News website has Biden winning Ohio with over 80% probability.

Also has Biden winning NC at 93% and Biden winning GA at 75%.

Stuff is really not adding up at the moment; it's best to wait a while before wetting the bed.

Well then people shouldn't point to NYT and there predictor model. I swear the S avatars really out here rooting for a Trump win.

There’s not much difference between them and the Trumpers. Far right/left are almost the same.

Hot take, but maybe the centre-right is closer to the far right than the left.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Hidalgo County, Texas

Biden: 59%
Trump: 40%

Clinton: 68%
Trump: 28%


Uhhh, is anyone else concerned by like the 20% swing to Trump in like exclusively Mexican-American counties?

I mean this is like Bush in 2004 levels amongst hispanics. Regardless of who wins, this is going to be the story of the night.

He literally staked his political career on hispanics being evil and they vote for him.  Don't get it.

Illegal immigrants*

"When Mexico sends its people, they're not sending their best."

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

The formerly optimistic half of Democratic Atlas looking at the returns:

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

NY times has Trump at a 95% chance in NC.

Tillis is up now. Republicans hold the senate unless Ernst flops.

Also keep an eye on AK, MT and then consider the GA runoffs.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

GOD I love this timeline.

2020 never stops!

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

We going to talk about that Trump Rhode Island lead? LOL

Yeah, overwhelmingly in-person votes are being counted first (the reverse of NC).

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Iowa exit poll toplines (from averaging men and women):

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-elections/iowa-president-results

Biden 49%
Trump 48%

Oooh fingers crossed for Greenfield!

For one month, I will change my signature to the FaceApp of Theresa Greenfield and Rick Scott if FL goes R and IASEN goes D. Who's with me?

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Bullock leading by 1.5% in exit polling

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

TX called for Cornyn by the AP.

WATCH YOUR MANNERS. CORNYN 2020

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

In a surprise to no-one, ALSEN called for Tuberville.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

If Reps get the house the Democratic Party America is officialy dead.

Fixed that for you.

To be clear, not saying they won't.

I'll say it: they won't.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Tillis' overperformance keeps shrinking even as NC slips further away from Biden. It's now only 0.3%. I think Cunningham will lose at this point, but Trump voters probably care less about the scandal.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

So, Senate races. Bullock, Greenfield, Ossoff, Cunningham.

We need Gideon + one of the above.


Otherwise, it's the ultimate showdown to see whether American democracy survives - Warnock vs. runoff.

You are prohibited from slumbering on Alan Gross

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Yikes at the Ben Ray Lujan underperformance manifesting before us!

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

wtf is this election

It is proof that if Atlas parrots memes enough, they become real. Cornyn is unbeatable and Florida is titanium tilt R.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

https://twitter.com/MattBruenig/status/1323825846365396992?s=20

Screams in NYT

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

W H E E Z E

https://twitter.com/pcal051/status/1323832944792883200