2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Buffalo Mayor Young Kim]

DNC chair does seem to be the best place for Abrams. She'd really be in her element, doing that job.

Is Perez' term up?

Typically the party chair steps aside and let’s the new President name his choice when they take the Whitehouse.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Sen. Bob Casey: No future Republican candidate (president, governor) will ever be as effective in PA as Donald Trump

That may actually be true like how Obama was with the Midwest.

[randomusername]

Georgia margin down to 12,825.

These guys are slow at counting

They’re delaying the invevitable but if you just listened to me it wouldn’t be so difficult.

https://youtu.be/vU0fx8d2FiY?t=22

[Non Swing Voter]

this is not comparable to 2000.  Bush and Gore were separated by 500 votes in one massive state.  If it looked like it would definitely flip I suppose other states like New Mexico and New Hampshire could have came into play then, but this is leagues different.

It's looking like Biden's going to win PA by a healthy margin and that he's also going to win Nevada.  I'd say he's even the favorite in Georgia and Arizona is a bit of a mystery to me but has already been called for Biden by some networks.  

[It's Perro Sanxe wot won it]

Georgia margin down to 12,825.

These guys are slow at counting

They’re delaying the invevitable but if you just listened to me it wouldn’t be so difficult.

Do you promise to go back to Doomerville and stay there for a week if Biden wins Georgia?

[HisGrace]

I am now fully convinced that the Dems need to completely divorce themselves from the woke academic language and distance themselves from activists that push it. I felt this way earlier but was reluctant to say it. It doesn't help us politically with the average minority voter who do not experience race in those terms nor with the moderate/conservative white voters. It seems to exist solely for elite spaces for white liberals and elite minorities.

One good thing about both Biden and Sanders was that they stayed away from that stuff although some others in the primaries like Gillibrand and Castro dabbled in it. We need to make sure that the same happens going forward as well. Anyone who use the term "intersectionality" or "latinx" should not be nominated for the Democrats up or down the ballot.

Bolded has been obvious to everyone outside of said spaces for elites since ever.

[American2020]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1324433493766668288

[pppolitics]

[Badger]

Does anyone remember the 2000 election?

I was too young to really care at the time.  I know there are stark and obvious differences between then and now, but was the anxiety about the same or more intense?

It was similar, but not quite as bad, at least personally. Then it was bad because Democrats saw Florida slip away after being initially called early that night by the Network's for Gore. We saw a complete Quran State system from Governor Jeb and SOS Katherine Harris throwing valid voters off the polls after wrongfully labeling them as felons Based on data provided my other States including primarily, you guessed it, Texas. The Brooks Brothers riot. Harris abusing every ounce of her power in the office for partisan gain, the butterfly ballot f##k up, and then just when we thought it was going to be a proper recount, a 5-4 majority of the Supreme Court said f*** democracy. And all this dragged out for weeks, over a month iirc.

This Time it's stressful, but it's only been a couple days, and as a Democrat it feels only like we are waiting interminably for the other shoe to drop in this damn thing to be over. Much better than 2000.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Deputy SoS of GA says that the margin-of-victory might be 1,000 votes.  

Let's assume that we end up with 4,980,648 total votes cast.  A margin-of-victory of 1,000 would be 0.02% (or two hundredths of a percent)

According to my research, that would eclipse Florida 2000 (0.921%) as the closest state ever (by percentage) in a U.S. Presidential election.  

[Buffalo Mayor Young Kim]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1324433493766668288

AP and Fox looking right

[GeorgiaModerate]

Deputy SoS of Georgia says that the margin-of-victory might be 1,000 votes.  Let's assume that we end up with 4,980,648 total votes cast.  

A margin-of-victory of 1,000 would be 0.0002% (or two ten-thousandths of a percent)

According to my research, that would eclipse Florida 2000 (0.00921%) as the closest state ever (by percentage) in a U.S. Presidential election.  

Mind your decimals.   1K/5M is about 0.0002 as a fraction.  But to change to percent, you need to move the decimal point two places to the right.  It's 0.02%.

(The Florida comparison should have made the original number immediately look funny.  Clearly ~500/6M is a smaller percentage than 1K/5M.)

Signed,

Your friendly neighborhood math pedant.

[lfromnj]

OMG

Alicia Parlapiano, in Washington 6m ago

The registrar in Clark County (Las Vegas) said the county would release the next batch of votes around noon ET on Friday. Remaining votes include mail and provisional ballots.


are you kidding me? it should not take 24 hours to count another batch

Agonizingly slow vote counts isn't just a California feature. It's a regional feature

Btw how long you gonna keep your sig

A lot of aged milk there

[forsythvoter]

My family was for Bush back then and I remember watching the returns with my parents and siblings and being pretty disappointed to see FL called for Gore. I was a teenager back then so didn't feel as invested in the outcome. My parents bought out cake when the call was retracted lol.

Does anyone remember the 2000 election?

I was too young to really care at the time.  I know there are stark and obvious differences between then and now, but was the anxiety about the same or more intense?

I remember the 2000 election. The networks, including CNN which I watched, called Florida for Gore. I was a Gore supporter then and I celebrated. But about 40 minutes later they withdrew the call.

It was more intense.

[roxas11]

If Biden wins Georgia. Stacy Abrams needs to be the chair of the DNC cause whatever she doing she's doing it right.

Lol

She lost her own election and hasnt done anything of note since. Biden won Georgia because Trump is a lemming. They're going to lose both senate seats in a moth or so anyways.

All she really did was build the infrastructure in GA and that will most likely be the main reason Trump loses the state in the first place.....

[Buffalo Mayor Young Kim]

FiveThirtyEight thinks GA is a better bet for Biden than PA

Biden crushing both those benchmarks so far

[HisGrace]

As a side note, in light of the Mark Levin tweet and other conservatives wanting an electoral college coup it is more obvious than ever that they all would have been loyalists despite all the "patriot/minuteman" talk.

[Dr. Arch]

Joe Biden's margin just grew in AZ.

[Non Swing Voter]

FiveThirtyEight thinks GA is a better bet for Biden than PA

Biden crushing both those benchmarks so far

CNN said only 370,000 ballots left in PA.

Either way Biden wins.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Deputy SoS of Georgia says that the margin-of-victory might be 1,000 votes.  Let's assume that we end up with 4,980,648 total votes cast.  

A margin-of-victory of 1,000 would be 0.0002% (or two ten-thousandths of a percent)

According to my research, that would eclipse Florida 2000 (0.00921%) as the closest state ever (by percentage) in a U.S. Presidential election.  

Mind your decimals.   1K/5M is about 0.0002 as a fraction.  But to change to percent, you need to move the decimal point two places to the right.  It's 0.02%.

(The Florida comparison should have made the original number immediately look funny.  Clearly ~500/6M is a smaller percentage than 1K/5M.)

Signed,

Your friendly neighborhood math pedant.

Clearly Ivy League material!

[BlueSwan]

FiveThirtyEight thinks GA is a better bet for Biden than PA

Where are you seeing this? I am seeing them saying that Biden probably wins both.

[Senator Spark]

Sen. Bob Casey: No future Republican candidate (president, governor) will ever be as effective in PA as Donald Trump

Can confirm

[Brittain33]

Does anyone remember the 2000 election?

I was too young to really care at the time.  I know there are stark and obvious differences between then and now, but was the anxiety about the same or more intense?

2000 was not anywhere as intense in the build up but the post-election angling was 1000% more intense than right now, largely because the outcome was much more in doubt and there were also "election integrity" issues with the butterfly ballot debacle.

There also had been no close election result since 1976 so the experience of an undecided race, and everything hinging on stupid mistakes like the butterfly ballot and Katherine Harris carrying water for the Republicans, was painfully new.

[It’s so Joever]

I think Georgia is the NH of inverse 2016.
A perpetually lean D (R in this case) state that was closer than expected but will go to the person it was expected to by a few thousand votes.

[BudgieForce]

FiveThirtyEight thinks GA is a better bet for Biden than PA

Biden crushing both those benchmarks so far

CNN said only 370,000 ballots left in PA.

Either way Biden wins.

Something about 180,000 ballots counted but not reported.