2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (user search)
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  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 618560 times)
It's Perro Sanxe wot won it
Mimoha
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 832
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.22
« on: November 03, 2020, 07:35:10 PM »
Quote from: super6646 on November 03, 2020, 07:31:11 PM
West Virginia too early to call...

Jesus Christ cnn

They still haven’t called Vermont lol
Logged
It's Perro Sanxe wot won it
Mimoha
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 832
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.22
« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2020, 07:57:17 PM »
Leon County (Tallahasse) is not yet in, one of the few bright spots for Biden in Florida
Logged
It's Perro Sanxe wot won it
Mimoha
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 832
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.22
« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2020, 08:03:52 PM »
Surprisingly CNN calls the District of Columbia for Biden
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It's Perro Sanxe wot won it
Mimoha
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 832
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.22
« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2020, 09:00:21 PM »
This map would be hilarious

 
Logged
It's Perro Sanxe wot won it
Mimoha
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 832
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.22
« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2020, 11:27:22 PM »
Biden pulls ahead in the popular vote
Logged
It's Perro Sanxe wot won it
Mimoha
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 832
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.22
« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2020, 11:39:23 PM »
It looks like New Mexico is going to vote to the right of Colorado, maybe even by a significant margin (Biden +10 vs. Biden +15 right now). Also, Ben Ray Luján is winning by just 4 points.
Logged
It's Perro Sanxe wot won it
Mimoha
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 832
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.22
« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2020, 11:47:43 PM »
Quote from: Jeff Bezos Yesman on November 03, 2020, 11:47:17 PM
Quote from: 7sergi9 on November 03, 2020, 11:46:26 PM


Before Florida? lol.

They already called Florida.
Logged
It's Perro Sanxe wot won it
Mimoha
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 832
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.22
« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2020, 11:52:16 PM »

Pretty likely, she’s winning by 15 points even as Biden leads by 5 points. Looks like her moderate bona fides still exist somehow.
Logged
It's Perro Sanxe wot won it
Mimoha
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 832
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.22
« Reply #8 on: November 04, 2020, 04:16:27 AM »
One thing that has really caught my attention is how strongly Trump is performing in the popular vote. When the dust has settled, he’s likely to have received at least 10 million more votes than in 2016 and he is almost guaranteed to have increased his vote share, which runs contrary to the assumption that he was failing to expand his base.
Logged
It's Perro Sanxe wot won it
Mimoha
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 832
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.22
« Reply #9 on: November 04, 2020, 10:13:51 AM »
Quote from: 7sergi9 on November 04, 2020, 10:08:47 AM


Ok then give us Ohio, Iowa, Kansas, Utah and North Carolina back
Logged
It's Perro Sanxe wot won it
Mimoha
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 832
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.22
« Reply #10 on: November 04, 2020, 11:49:54 AM »
Joe Biden has now broken the 69.5 million raw vote record set by Barack Obama in 2008, becoming the most voted presidential candidate in history. Trump is also on track to break it, presumably becoming the second most voted candidate in history.

More Americans have preferred the Democratic candidate for the fourth election in a row, the longest streak since the New Deal.
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It's Perro Sanxe wot won it
Mimoha
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 832
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.22
« Reply #11 on: November 04, 2020, 12:01:27 PM »
Quote from: forza nocta on November 04, 2020, 11:58:01 AM
So far, in what states did Trump win by a bigger margin than he did in 2016 (Or lose by a smaller margin)? Is it just Florida?

So far he’s doing relatively well in Illinois, getting 42% of the vote there.
Logged
It's Perro Sanxe wot won it
Mimoha
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 832
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.22
« Reply #12 on: November 04, 2020, 12:05:37 PM »
Quote from: 7sergi9 on November 04, 2020, 12:04:00 PM


POTUS needs to learn how to write in English.
Logged
It's Perro Sanxe wot won it
Mimoha
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 832
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.22
« Reply #13 on: November 04, 2020, 01:16:24 PM »
Quote from: (CT) The Free North on November 04, 2020, 01:15:42 PM

Dread from it...
Run from it....

She is headed back boys!

Concerning news
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It's Perro Sanxe wot won it
Mimoha
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 832
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.22
« Reply #14 on: November 04, 2020, 01:54:31 PM »

Lmao
Logged
It's Perro Sanxe wot won it
Mimoha
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 832
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.22
« Reply #15 on: November 05, 2020, 06:31:58 AM »
Quote from: MillennialModerate on November 05, 2020, 06:14:08 AM
Quote from: Hammy on November 05, 2020, 06:11:45 AM
Quote from: BlueSwan on November 05, 2020, 06:02:08 AM
This election is getting on my nerves. I wish Biden could just clinch PA to get this nightmare over with.

Don't think Biden's getting PA

Don’t say. You’ll be eaten alive like I did.

I’m in the minority but if I were betting I’d say Trump is likely to win this thing.

Biden falls short in Georgia by a hair
Biden falls short decently in NC
Biden lead slips away in AZ
Biden might hold on in NV but it’s not a sure thing
Bidens outstanding vote in PA has been GREATLY exaggerated

Please stop the excessive doomerism. This is just ridiculous. Just enjoy the fact that doomers were right and Trump overperformed massively, you’re embarrassing yourself.
Logged
It's Perro Sanxe wot won it
Mimoha
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 832
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.22
« Reply #16 on: November 05, 2020, 12:06:01 PM »
America is like a third world country in terms of counting ballots. In Spain we cast over 24 million ballots last time and 99% were counted within three hours of polls closing. Why does it take so long?
Logged
It's Perro Sanxe wot won it
Mimoha
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 832
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.22
« Reply #17 on: November 05, 2020, 01:32:51 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on November 05, 2020, 01:30:42 PM
Quote from: Make PA Blue Again! on November 05, 2020, 01:26:45 PM

She actually tweeted a pretty gracious concession and congratulated Mfume.

I would not call this gracious lol



It’s quite gracious by Republican standards
Logged
It's Perro Sanxe wot won it
Mimoha
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 832
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.22
« Reply #18 on: November 05, 2020, 01:55:37 PM »
Quote from: Ferguson97 on November 05, 2020, 01:51:12 PM

Oof, this hurts

"I could stand in the middle of Fifth Avenue and shoot somebody, and I wouldn't lose would win many many new voters, OK?“
Logged
It's Perro Sanxe wot won it
Mimoha
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 832
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.22
« Reply #19 on: November 05, 2020, 01:59:42 PM »
Quote from: LVScreenssuck on November 05, 2020, 01:55:42 PM
Quote from: MillennialModerate on November 05, 2020, 01:41:06 PM
Quote from: Blairite on November 05, 2020, 01:39:42 PM
Quote from: MillennialModerate on November 05, 2020, 01:38:49 PM
Any idea on where joes national popular vote margin will end up (in points)

Probably something like 52-47.

Yikes polling ....

Safe to say if it was +10 like polling showed he would’ve carried Texas, FLA & NC
Should have trusted RV numbers, they (and Ipsos) have Biden +5 or so.

The likely voter screens were helping Dems for the first time I can remember and didn’t know how to process that. Lesson relearned.

Likely voter screens probably benefited Dems because people who voted early (disproportionately Dems) were automatically put in them.
Logged
It's Perro Sanxe wot won it
Mimoha
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 832
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.22
« Reply #20 on: November 05, 2020, 02:46:55 PM »
Quote from: MillennialModerate on November 05, 2020, 02:42:58 PM

They’re delaying the invevitable but if you just listened to me it wouldn’t be so difficult.



Do you promise to go back to Doomerville and stay there for a week if Biden wins Georgia?
Logged
It's Perro Sanxe wot won it
Mimoha
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 832
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.22
« Reply #21 on: November 05, 2020, 03:05:59 PM »
« Edited: November 05, 2020, 03:09:04 PM by Optimistic Democrat »
My theory as to why socialism fear mongering worked for the GOP is that Joe Biden and the Democratic Party as a whole were seen as close to Bernie Sanders and the “democratic socialist” wing of the party (very stupid branding, btw) as opposed to 2016, when Hillary Clinton was seen as fierce opponent of Sanders and his politics due to the viciousness of the primary.

Trump also did his part by not tying Hillary to Bernie. In fact, he tried to appeal to Sanders primary voters by claiming the DNC had rigged the nomination process. Socialism played almost no role in his campaign and voters did not see any reason to relate it to Clinton.
Logged
It's Perro Sanxe wot won it
Mimoha
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 832
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.22
« Reply #22 on: November 05, 2020, 03:55:51 PM »
In addition to the success of "Biden will turn America into Cuba" message, did you notice how immigration wasn't an issue at all in this  election? Did you notice how Trump never mentioned the wall, MS-13 or Mexican rapists in his speeches, after having made them the cornerstone of his first campaign?

Trump 2016 was  "Build that wall". Trump 2020 was "Stop socialism". There you have the reason why Latinos (and not only Cubans in Miami-Dade) swung so heavily towards him.
Logged
It's Perro Sanxe wot won it
Mimoha
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 832
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.22
« Reply #23 on: November 06, 2020, 05:29:23 AM »
Quote from: GoTfan on November 06, 2020, 05:24:22 AM

Would any of these legal shenanigans work?

Lol “stop the counting in Michigan and flip it”. These people are not very bright.
Logged
It's Perro Sanxe wot won it
Mimoha
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 832
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.22
« Reply #24 on: November 06, 2020, 12:03:01 PM »
What do we make of the fact that Minnesota voted to the left of the nation?
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