2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Badger]

It will be interesting to see if there's much of a trend in the Cincy burbs (Boone, Kenton, Campbell). I remember Beshear doing quite well there in 2019. Hopefully they drop some results quickly.

Yep. He still lost the region due to Republicans doing relatively well in the non Florence area of Boone County, but for a Democrat this was exceptionally good.

So, what would be the best link(s) to check on such results? Kentucky SOS? Also, what kind of threshold goals should Biden be hoping for? Obviously far short of Brashear.

[Badger]

This has been the best 4 year period of my life and I’ve grown nothing but more liberal in that time. I’m now on path to have a very lucrative career in a few years here. I’m not going to let a few percentages on a tax bill ruin this country for everyone else.

Just wait and see what Biden's policies will do to this country.

I for one look forward to our overlords requiring mandatory abortion and cross-dressing

[Badger]

More rural Indiana counties posted, more swing to Biden. Looks like between 5%-10% swing towards Biden from 2016 in these rural counties.

Do we have any reliable info as to whether these initial reports from Indiana and Kentucky counties are just the early Vote or overall vote? I can't emphasize enough that this is VERY important.

[Badger]

Wolf just said that KY is about half and half EV and ED, while IN is mostly EV so far.

Ask and thou shalt receive. If in fact Trump is underperforming in most Kentucky counties with a split vote like that....

[Badger]

Yikes, Miami doesnt look good

54-45

This is what I've been waiting on. Do you mean Miami-Dade County? What percentage of the vote is in please?

[Badger]

Broward just came in, 75-24 Biden!

DDHQ has 553,080 for Biden and and 267k for Trump. Biden down by 300 votes from 2016, and Trump up by 7k

With 100% or close in? That's not...terrible. that kind of drop-off doesn't sound like it's going to be enough to overcome the shift we're seeing along the I-4.

The question is what's going on in Miami-Dade

[Badger]

https://twitter.com/ben_brasch/status/1323778549229228034

F*** you 2020

[Badger]

Trump looks strong in the Hispanic parts of Florida lol

Hispanics are going to be part of the republican party in the future. They're religious, pro-family and mostly pro-life.

Fact.

And pro locking children in Kennels?

Not at all like those shiftless anti-family negros. Amarite?

[Badger]

Miami is in person only people!

In-person early, not in person election day. Wouldn't that tend to at least break even if not even benefit Democrats?

[Badger]

Ohio exit poll toplines (from averaging men and women):

https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/ohio

Trump 52%
Biden 46%

[Badger]

Biden up by nine points in Delaware county Ohio with 73% in.

Holy f***!

[Badger]

Biden is on track to win Ohio if these leads hold up

We were saying the same thing about Florida, correctly, less than an hour ago. And then Miami-Dade came in and kicked us all in the balls. I'm just waiting to hear what Ohio's Miami-Dade is going to be.

[Badger]

A few bold predictions:

1. Biden wins Kenton and Campbell counties. In addition to (easily) Franklin County.

2. Biden wins Fayette and Jefferson counties and ends up in at least the mid-60s in both.

3. Biden MAY win back Elliott County.

4. They will NOT be able to call Kentucky at poll close.

5. Trump wins Kentucky in the end by low-mid double digits, an abysmal margin compared to 2016.

6. People who unironically thought Biden being a white man wouldn’t matter in states like Kentucky, and that he’d do worse than Obama and Hillary, will have a ton of crow to eat.

Here we go asshole Barkley

You made all these claims

1. Kenton is 88% in and +20 Trump,  Franklin is 90% in and +0.1 Trump

2. Lexington/Louisville didn't release that many votes

3. Almost certainly not although it still only 52% reporting

4. Weird stuff happened

5. Meh final margin isn't there

6. There are multiple counties in rural where Biden is doing worse than both Clinton and Obama despite being a white man.

Dude, you need a seriously big drink of STFU juice right now

[Badger]

A few bold predictions:

1. Biden wins Kenton and Campbell counties. In addition to (easily) Franklin County.

2. Biden wins Fayette and Jefferson counties and ends up in at least the mid-60s in both.

3. Biden MAY win back Elliott County.

4. They will NOT be able to call Kentucky at poll close.

5. Trump wins Kentucky in the end by low-mid double digits, an abysmal margin compared to 2016.

6. People who unironically thought Biden being a white man wouldn’t matter in states like Kentucky, and that he’d do worse than Obama and Hillary, will have a ton of crow to eat.

You made all these claims

1. Kenton is 88% in and +20 Trump,  Franklin is 90% in and +0.1 Trump

2. Lexington/Louisville didn't release that many votes

3. Almost certainly not although it still only 52% reporting

4. Weird stuff happened

5. Meh final margin isn't there

6. There are multiple counties in rural where Biden is doing worse than both Clinton and Obama despite being a white man.

Dude, you need a seriously big drink of STFU juice right now

For what?

Alben Barkley has been stupidly terrorizing this board and acting like an asshole for months, predicting the biggest landslide, he was literally predicting 1980 or 1932 earlier in this night, people can mock me too FWIW but I am absolutely going to Mock Barkley till he shuts up and eats his crow.

Monstro also was super optimistic but he admitted it.

Because he hasn't been "terrorizing" anyone, and you're just being an a******.

[Badger]

Damn...looks like Biden may win Ohio...

That'll be huge for Biden.

The CNN exit polls which had a tied vote in Florida and Biden up a point in Georgia and North Carolina showed Trump up to 6 in Ohio. Color Me cautious to skeptical.

[Badger]

Imagine after all this time, Biden wins with the OG 272 freiwal from 2016 - Trump flips NV and Biden flips PA, WI, and MI for the win.

273 with Nebraska 2nd District, probably

[Badger]

Yeah guys

someone said BLM didn't affect the elections, except white woke liberals have bought into the BLM Cult, moderate minorities don't care and are sick of that bullsh**t

Something tells me it's a bit more complicated than your whitesplaining, but thanks for your contribution.

[Badger]

Regardless of whether Biden ekes it out, I hope we can stop with "muh electability" in the 2024 primary. This is far too close for comfort for a candidate who was supposed to be the safe choice. People need someone to vote for.

At no point in this cycle did he inspire. And it's clear as VP Harris added nothing of value.

There is little doubt Biden was and is the most electable veiny the candidates. The fact that were sitting here in what turns out to be an unexpectedly tight race and we are whining about having nominated the one guy out of all the candidates who would probably be losing at this point is pretty Fantastical to me

[Badger]

Honestly... this is going the right way so far...

What the hell kinda numbers you looking at?

Georgia and Texas are both going Trump.

North Carolina? Biden's dropping steadily.

If Biden loses Ohio (which is likely given that it feels eerily like 2016), then he's finished.

Hi there. Just thought you might want to look into these three states recently admitted to the union called Pennsylvania Michigan and Wisconsin.

[Badger]

Hidalgo County, Texas

Biden: 59%
Trump: 40%

Clinton: 68%
Trump: 28%


Uhhh, is anyone else concerned by like the 20% swing to Trump in like exclusively Mexican-American counties?

I mean this is like Bush in 2004 levels amongst hispanics. Regardless of who wins, this is going to be the story of the night.

He literally staked his political career on hispanics being evil and they vote for him.  Don't get it.

[Badger]

What is happening with Kansas? Fox news currently has it light blue.

Also what is happening with Virginia? It's coloured blue but Trump appears to be ahead by 7 points based on a significant portion of the vote counted!

Virginia's easy. The Democratic vote always comes in late and overwhelming.

Kansas? Really not sure there. I'm guessing that Johnston County and some of the other Eastern Metro counties are in fact Ground Zero of the middle-class suburbs revolting away from Trump, and they've probably returned early. Still, rather unusual.

[Badger]

Ohio will be counting for another week. The total right now is more Republican than it will end up being.

Why do you say that?

Seriously, I want to believe!

[Badger]

Ohio is done.

yeahhhh

https://twitter.com/IntelDoge/status/1323818054267084801?s=20

Trump is apparently flipping Lorain County, Ohio, which Clinton narrowly won last time. That gives us at least one Clinton-Trump county.

And, as is consistent for the night, the one Ohio County with a significant number of Latino voters.

[Badger]

Moral of the story:

People vote FOR something.

Not against something. 

Please. I'm not saying Democrats didn't run negative ads, but you cannot with a straight face argue that Biden campaign was fundamentally about voting for something as opposed to Trump's being almost entirely about the evil of the Socialist radicals taking over

[Badger]

Moral of the story:

People vote FOR something.

Not against something. 

Please. I'm not saying Democrats didn't run negative ads, but you cannot with a straight face argue that Biden campaign was fundamentally about voting for something as opposed to Trump's being almost entirely about the evil of the Socialist radicals taking over

Voting AGAINST something (i.e., against socialism) IS voting for something from a right wing perspective, though.  A left-leaning party can’t function as an “adult in the room” party with no bold message, IMO.

So Republicans were voting for ' against socialism'. Got it