OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7
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  OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7
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Author Topic: OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7  (Read 110463 times)
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1350 on: August 07, 2018, 08:51:43 PM »

Balderson will win, but not a bad result for Democrats.
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john cage bubblegum
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« Reply #1351 on: August 07, 2018, 08:52:03 PM »

Ouch, that last batch of Delaware precincts hurts.  Looks like Balderson is going to pull through, but it may not be over depending on where the remaining precincts are.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #1352 on: August 07, 2018, 08:52:39 PM »

O'Connor probably needs 55% of what's left to win.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #1353 on: August 07, 2018, 08:52:47 PM »

*Speaks softly to self*

Ignore the troll, ignore the troll, ignore the troll...
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1354 on: August 07, 2018, 08:53:30 PM »

1031 vote gap...
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #1355 on: August 07, 2018, 08:53:36 PM »

*Speaks softly to self*

Ignore the troll, ignore the troll, ignore the troll...

All you can do is report him.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #1356 on: August 07, 2018, 08:53:39 PM »

Honestly, we might not have a winner until absentee ballots are counted.

Surely you mean the Provisional (Provo) Vote....

Needless to say O'Connor campaign events that I have seen proudly fly the Irish Green and White of the Flag, but just leave the Red out of mix on their official campaign banners....

More seriously, that was a question that I just posted as well... smelling a lot like recount country.
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #1357 on: August 07, 2018, 08:54:17 PM »


We've heard you say "It's over" like fifteen times.

I'm pretty sure his political matrix numbers are fictional as were Limoliberals.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #1358 on: August 07, 2018, 08:54:25 PM »


We've heard you say "It's over" like fifteen times.

Well, it is.
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2016
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1359 on: August 07, 2018, 08:55:01 PM »

Tom Perez said on CNN Balderson has to be a 54-44 over O'Connor in Delaware County. Well, he is now.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #1360 on: August 07, 2018, 08:55:19 PM »

Also worth noting that we're coming very close to the 2014 midterm turnout in this special election - will probably fall 10-15k votes short of it (was 216k in 2014).
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South Dakota Democrat
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« Reply #1361 on: August 07, 2018, 08:55:29 PM »


Even if it is, does you repeatedly saying it do anything but annoy everyone?
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #1362 on: August 07, 2018, 08:55:50 PM »

O'CONNOR BACK IN THE LEAD (but Franklin finished dumping)

Troy Balderson (R)   90,852      49.65%
Joe Manchik (G)   1,078      0.59%
Danny O'Connor (D)   91,053      49.76%
Total Votes Cast   182,983      
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #1363 on: August 07, 2018, 08:56:01 PM »

Danny O’Connor
Democrat
91,053   49.8%   
Troy Balderson
Republican
90,852   49.7   
Joe Manchik
Green
1,078   0.6   
182,983 votes, 91% reporting (536 of 591 precincts)
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1364 on: August 07, 2018, 08:56:05 PM »


Well, if you say it enough times, eventually you'll be right. Wink
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ajc0918
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« Reply #1365 on: August 07, 2018, 08:56:16 PM »

DOC lead isn't big enough.
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adrac
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« Reply #1366 on: August 07, 2018, 08:56:56 PM »

That was almost all of Franklin, it's probably over, unless there are a lot of provisional ballots
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #1367 on: August 07, 2018, 08:57:01 PM »

   49.8%   Danny O'Connor   Dem   91,053   
49.7%   Troy Balderson   GOP   90,852   
0.6%   Joe Manchik   GP   1,078   
90.7% of precincts reporting (536/591)
182,983 total votes
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #1368 on: August 07, 2018, 08:57:10 PM »

Headlines tomorrow will be "to close to call" probably.
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BlueDogDemocrat
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« Reply #1369 on: August 07, 2018, 08:57:19 PM »

O'CONNOR BACK IN THE LEAD (but Franklin finished dumping)

Troy Balderson (R)   90,852      49.65%
Joe Manchik (G)   1,078      0.59%
Danny O'Connor (D)   91,053      49.76%
Total Votes Cast   182,983      

Only for the next 5 minutes. Almost all the votes are in from favorable areas.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #1370 on: August 07, 2018, 08:57:33 PM »

OConner is leading again!
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #1371 on: August 07, 2018, 08:57:48 PM »

O'CONNOR BACK IN THE LEAD (but Franklin finished dumping)

Troy Balderson (R)   90,852      49.65%
Joe Manchik (G)   1,078      0.59%
Danny O'Connor (D)   91,053      49.76%
Total Votes Cast   182,983      

That's basically all of Franklin. Hard to see how that holds, unless there are a ton of provisionals/etc that O'Connor just dominates in.
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Xing
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« Reply #1372 on: August 07, 2018, 08:57:58 PM »

Balderson will almost certainly be ahead when the election day votes are finished, but by how much? If it's less than 200, there's still a chance that O'Connor can win from provisional ballots, albeit a slim one.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #1373 on: August 07, 2018, 08:58:06 PM »

REMEMBER: Provisional ballots lean D and there pay be ~9000 of them says Michael McDonald.

If this is true, we might not have a winner tonight, depending on what happens in the remaining Delaware County precincts.
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136or142
Adam T
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« Reply #1374 on: August 07, 2018, 08:58:12 PM »

Also worth noting that we're coming very close to the 2014 midterm turnout in this special election - will probably fall 10-15k votes short of it (was 216k in 2014).

2014 had the lowest midterm turnout in a long time.
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