OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7
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  OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7  (Read 111516 times)
#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #1375 on: August 07, 2018, 08:58:33 PM »
As I said earlier, Balderson has won this, all of Pro-O'Connor areas are in, as least until Provos
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progressive85
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« Reply #1376 on: August 07, 2018, 08:58:58 PM »
I think those wasted Green votes are going to cost DOC in the end.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #1377 on: August 07, 2018, 08:59:50 PM »
Delaware County Precinct Map Update
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john cage bubblegum
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« Reply #1378 on: August 07, 2018, 09:00:06 PM »
For the people saying it's over, do you know exactly what precincts are out in Delaware?  I mean I'd much rather be Balderson right now, but this is nail-bitingly close.  What's with the weird obsession of declaring such a tight race as over?
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #1379 on: August 07, 2018, 09:00:18 PM »
Yeah, I'm gonna take a guess and say we won't have a winner tonight. Balderson and Trump may claim victory but media outlets will probably hold off for provisionals.
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Joe Republic
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« Reply #1380 on: August 07, 2018, 09:00:33 PM »
Guys what happens when you have no more nails left to bite?  Aaaand great, now there's blood all over my keyboard.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #1381 on: August 07, 2018, 09:00:39 PM »
Balderson will win.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1382 on: August 07, 2018, 09:00:40 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on August 07, 2018, 08:58:06 PM
Quote from: ajc0918 on August 07, 2018, 08:49:27 PM
REMEMBER: Provisional ballots lean D and there pay be ~9000 of them says Michael McDonald.

If this is true, we might not have a winner tonight, depending on what happens in the remaining Delaware County precincts.

Response to McDonald:
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #1383 on: August 07, 2018, 09:01:06 PM »
Troy Balderson (R)   95,677      49.91%
Joe Manchik (G)   1,102      0.57%
Danny O'Connor (D)   94,936      49.52%
Total Votes Cast   191,715      

29 precincts left to report
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #1384 on: August 07, 2018, 09:01:13 PM »
Only 1% of Franklin is yet to be counted.
And 34% left for Deleware.

I don't think OConnor's tiny lead is going to hold.
It's going to be close.
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Politician
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« Reply #1385 on: August 07, 2018, 09:01:51 PM »
Stop
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IceSpear
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« Reply #1386 on: August 07, 2018, 09:02:28 PM »
Quote from: john cage bubblegum on August 07, 2018, 09:00:06 PM
For the people saying it's over, do you know exactly what precincts are out in Delaware?  I mean I'd much rather be Balderson right now, but this is nail-bitingly close.  What's with the weird obsession of declaring such a tight race as over?

Atlas posters like to make idiots of themselves in every close race. It's a forum tradition. Read the PA 18 election night thread for a good laugh.
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Chief Justice Keef
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« Reply #1387 on: August 07, 2018, 09:03:18 PM »
Franklin is basically done and Balderson's lead keeps increasing in Delaware. As basically everyone's said, Balderson will be leading by the end of tonight, but absentee ballots could throw the election to O'Connor.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #1388 on: August 07, 2018, 09:03:58 PM »
Does anyone know how many provisionals there are?
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #1389 on: August 07, 2018, 09:04:01 PM »

If the ones in grey are yet to be counted, then they very well could go to OConnor.
So there is still a chance.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #1390 on: August 07, 2018, 09:04:12 PM »
Baldy up by 741. Close to over barring provisions.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #1391 on: August 07, 2018, 09:04:18 PM »
Cohn is saying provisionals *could* decide the winner

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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1392 on: August 07, 2018, 09:04:35 PM »
Quote from: Chief Justice Keef on August 07, 2018, 09:03:18 PM
Franklin is basically done and Balderson's lead keeps increasing in Delaware. As basically everyone's said, Balderson will be leading by the end of tonight, but absentee provisional ballots could throw the election to O'Connor.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #1393 on: August 07, 2018, 09:04:37 PM »
O'Connor needs 60% of outstanding now.
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Lachi
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« Reply #1394 on: August 07, 2018, 09:04:40 PM »
This is still a massive swing either way. OH-12 should not be a tie.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1395 on: August 07, 2018, 09:05:20 PM »
Quote from: ProudModerate2 on August 07, 2018, 09:04:01 PM

If the ones in grey are yet to be counted, then they very well could go to OConnor.
So there is still a chance.

This map is way out of date, it stopped updating a while ago.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #1396 on: August 07, 2018, 09:05:27 PM »
Quote from: #TheShadowyAbyss on August 07, 2018, 08:58:33 PM
As I said earlier, Balderson has won this, all of Pro-O'Connor areas are in, as least until Provos

Don't underestimate the Provo vote in heavily WASP German-American parts of Ohio.... Wink

Song: You will never beat the Irish.... (One of my favorite bands so please buy there songs and albums as I have for over a decade now... Wink   )

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-K69E2WaCRc
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #1397 on: August 07, 2018, 09:05:49 PM »
I'm skeptical about provisionals making a big difference: isn't this basically the heavily-white and wealthy portions of Franklin County? Provisionals disproportionately skew poor and minority.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #1398 on: August 07, 2018, 09:05:54 PM »
Balderson has the advantage, unless provisionals make a large difference, he has this.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1399 on: August 07, 2018, 09:06:23 PM »
Monmouth is looking pretty good tonight.
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