OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7
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  OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: OH-12 Special Election: Balderson vs. O’Connor on August 7  (Read 110964 times)
Kleine Scheiße
PeteHam
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« Reply #1250 on: August 07, 2018, 08:17:48 PM »
he'll be fine
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #1251 on: August 07, 2018, 08:18:05 PM »
I think Balderson has this. Delaware is trending toward him fast and Franklin is mostly done.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #1252 on: August 07, 2018, 08:18:06 PM »
And now we get the fun of "what part of Delaware just came in?"
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #1253 on: August 07, 2018, 08:18:21 PM »
Balderson's benchmark in Delaware is +9.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #1254 on: August 07, 2018, 08:18:23 PM »
Quote from: ExtremeConservative on August 07, 2018, 08:15:26 PM
ED vote in Delaware helping Balderson.  The county is now 50-49 with only 20-some precincts in.  Race down to 3.4 points.

The  benchmark for O'Connor is 45%
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136or142
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« Reply #1255 on: August 07, 2018, 08:18:32 PM »
   50.3%   Troy Balderson   GOP   68,763   
49%   Danny O'Connor   Dem   66,925   
0.7%   Joe Manchik   GP   904   
66.2% of precincts reporting (391/591)
136,592 total votes

Balderson has pulled ahead.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #1256 on: August 07, 2018, 08:18:44 PM »
It really depends where the rest of the votes in Delaware is.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #1257 on: August 07, 2018, 08:18:53 PM »
F**k it, it's over.
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Tartarus Sauce
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« Reply #1258 on: August 07, 2018, 08:18:56 PM »
Quote from: Virginiá on August 07, 2018, 08:13:40 PM
Quote from: henster on August 07, 2018, 08:09:31 PM
The gloating from Trump/GOP if Balderson wins will be unbearable no matter how narrow there will be endless talk of #RedWave Dems are doomed.

It's pretty sad that Trump/some Republicans feel this overwhelming need to counter the blue wave narrative with a polar-opposite "red wave" narrative of their own. I mean, really? You'd have to be a moron to think this election would actually be a Republican wave year. There is absolutely nothing suggesting anything close to an R wave and actually most of the data suggests the opposite. The best argument is that Democrats will fall short of expectations in the end and it'll be more neutral even if somewhat Dem-leaning, which would lead to Rs possibly keeping Congress/the House. That is a far better rebuttal that is grounded in reality.

Instead, you just have people reflexively spewing unadulterated BS just to counter every single theory of the election from the left. Do they not care at all about looking like idiots on election day?

They take after Trump, looking like an idiot comes naturally.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #1259 on: August 07, 2018, 08:19:02 PM »
I'm calling this for Balderson, GG O'Connor
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ajc0918
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« Reply #1260 on: August 07, 2018, 08:19:25 PM »
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Jeppe
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« Reply #1261 on: August 07, 2018, 08:19:32 PM »
Yeah, saw this coming a mile away.

O'Connor just isn't that good of a recruit compared to Conor Lamb & Hiral Tipirneni, both of whom outran their district's partisan lead by 20%. If O'Connor had that kind of out-performance, he would've won easily, but alas..
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john cage bubblegum
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« Reply #1262 on: August 07, 2018, 08:19:39 PM »
If Delaware County continues like this, Balderson is in pretty good shape for a narrow victory.  But we don't know where those precincts came from.  So it's not over quite yet - but I'd definitely rather be Balderson at this point.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #1263 on: August 07, 2018, 08:19:53 PM »
REMINDER: Baldy's benchmark is R+10 in Delaware
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Zaybay
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« Reply #1264 on: August 07, 2018, 08:20:02 PM »
I wont call until I know which DE votes came in
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #1265 on: August 07, 2018, 08:20:12 PM »

There is a decent chunk of rurals in DelCo, and of course anyone who looked at my graphs and comments regarding Delaware City, knows that we really need to know *WHERE* the votes are coming from before getting onto our collective Atlas "Jump to Conclusions Mat" (Office Space Ref).... Smiley
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1266 on: August 07, 2018, 08:20:21 PM »
Licking dump.

Balderson:

5 Precincts left in Richland
4 in Licking
1 in Muskigum

O'Conner:

69 Franklin


Swing:

121 Delaware
 
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Mr. Illini
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« Reply #1267 on: August 07, 2018, 08:20:25 PM »
Living on a prayer in Franklin County. If margins are higher enough in those precincts, just maybe...
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krazen1211
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« Reply #1268 on: August 07, 2018, 08:20:30 PM »
Balderson in the lead!
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #1269 on: August 07, 2018, 08:20:36 PM »
They were VERY heavy R rural
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ajc0918
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« Reply #1270 on: August 07, 2018, 08:20:42 PM »
Hope for DOC:
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #1271 on: August 07, 2018, 08:21:37 PM »

Has your kiddie diddler conceded yet?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1272 on: August 07, 2018, 08:21:37 PM »
We had candidates who would be leading by 5 or 6.
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john cage bubblegum
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« Reply #1273 on: August 07, 2018, 08:21:52 PM »

I suspected that might have been the case.  This isn't over yet by any means.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #1274 on: August 07, 2018, 08:22:03 PM »
DE votes were super R rural, the race is still on!
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