Trump approval ratings thread 1.6

[GeorgiaModerate]

ABC News/Washington Post, Aug. 12-15, 1001 adults including 868 RV (1-month change)

Adults:

Approve 43 (+4)
Disapprove 55 (-2)

Strongly approve 29 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 47 (-1)

Biden 53 (-1), Trump 41 (+2)


RV:

Approve 42 (+2)
Disapprove 57 (-1)

Strongly approve 31 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 50 (-1)

Biden 53 (-2), Trump 41 (+1)

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup, July 30-Aug. 12, 1031 adults (prior poll July 1-23)

Approve 42 (+1)
Disapprove 55 (-1)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Probably the best case scenario for Biden is 291 with 278 plus AZ. AZ, CO, NC Senate gives Ds  50 and 2 seats in GA goes to runoffs

[emailking]

These Trump improvements are a bit disheartening.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

These Trump improvements are a bit disheartening.

Why Biden was never gonna win by 12, it's not 1988, Clinton and Obama won by 7 and 8

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Pollsters like to keep interest up by saying it's a 400 race, if they say its 279 or 291, it would be a boring election. That's why you see inflated RV polls showing Biden leading Trump by 12

[emailking]

Thanks Kayne.

[Person Man]

These Trump improvements are a bit disheartening.

I wonder if that EO actually did help him. It's not like he is working any harder or that he is "growing" on people.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The polls are just going back to pre Covid 19 polls, where Biden was ahead by 4. There is nothing different Biden can do absent a vaccine that will change the social distancing.  The effects of Covid 19 are longlasting.


However, it's a learning experience, pre acovid 19, we still had TB and people were getting careless, like Consession stands at ballgames giving us food without washing their hands, or ice cream truck vendors not washing hands.

Biden is gonna win the 278 map and win 50 to 52 seats in the Senate,  its gonna be divided govt with a tied Senate pending runoffs in GA

[GeorgiaModerate]

PPP state polls, all done Aug. 13-14 among registered voters.  No presidential matchups.


Iowa (N=729):

Approve 48
Disapprove 49

Greenfield 48, Ernst 45


Georgia (N=530):

Approve 46
Disapprove 49

Ossoff 44, Perdue 44


Maine (N=571):

Approve 41
Disapprove 55

Giden 49, Collins 44

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Heritage polls showed

WI 47/47
PA 50/46 B
FL 49/49
AZ 51/48 T

No 334 or 413 landslide

Kayne and Jorgensen are getting on all the ballots to take votes away from Biden

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rassy polls have already had Trump improving in polls and MSN want people to pay attention, if they say Biden is gonna win TX and FL. If they says its 278, it's a boring election 👍👍👍

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

AZ T 53/47
FL T 52/47
PA 49/50
WI 48/51.
Approvals of Trump are in fact getting close to 50

[pbrower2a]

Heritage polls showed

WI 47/47
PA 50/46 B
FL 49/49
AZ 51/48 T

No 334 or 413 landslide

Kayne and Jorgensen are getting on all the ballots to take votes away from Biden

Overstated R's in 2016 and 2018. Suspect... no record so far this year and not a one-state specialist.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rassy tracking is showing Trump isnt as dire like he was during the Floyd Protests and he is tracking exactly where Bush W did, 47/51  approvals setting the stage up for a 278 election

If it's not a landslide,  irregardless of if Bidem is ahead, Trump will declare victory anyways due to VBM irregularities and he appointed all of the conservative judges to the Judiciary delaying the certainty of Biden

[pbrower2a]

Rassy tracking is showing Trump isnt as dire like he was during the Floyd Protests and he is tracking exactly where Bush W did, 47/51  approvals setting the stage up for a 278 election

If it's not a landslide,  irregardless of if Bidem is ahead, Trump will declare victory anyways due to VBM irregularities and he appointed all of the conservative judges to the Judiciary delaying the certainty of Biden

Trump disapproval may abate some as his most recent affront to mass sensibilities fade to some extent. But just remember: Democrats have the negative ads available.

Just think of the idiotic "there are good people on both sides" statement after a neo-Nazi ran his car into someone protesting racism. No -- people on the side of neo-Nazis are bad people. There will be that sickening display of law enforcement clearing a path for the President to go to a church that he does not attend to hold up a Bible that he neither reads nor heeds. There will be revivals of the accounts of his cronies being busted and sentenced for corrupt deeds on his behalf.

Above all, Trump has bungled the response to COVID-19. Need I say more?

[solidcoalition]

Seems obvious Trump is improving. You would think with COVID his approvals should be lower than this, much lower but it’s a very polarizing country.

[woodley park]

Seems obvious Trump is improving. You would think with COVID his approvals should be lower than this, much lower but it’s a very polarizing country.

May reflect some folks coming home to Trump as we get into the final leg of the race, and initial approval of his executive order theater. But I suspect the positive publicity around the DNC and Harris choice to give Biden a boost. Also, the grim milestone of surpassing 200,000 deaths is likely to happen after the RNC..

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Aug. 16-18, 1500 adults including 1246 RV


Adults:

Approve 41 (-2)
Disapprove 53 (nc)

Strongly approve 22 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 41 (nc)


RV:

Approve 43 (-1)
Disapprove 54 (nc)

Strongly approve 26 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 45 (+1)

Biden 50 (+1), Trump 40 (+1)

GCB: D 49 (nc), R 38 (-1)

[Sir Mohamed]

It's absolutely beyond my comprehension how around 43% of the electorate can still approve of this moron, after he completely ignored the biggest health crisis in 100+ years, with an economy in shatters and the daily madness and the corruption coming out of this WH. He's most likely going to lose in November anyway, but it's completely ridiculous that many people still approve him. His approvals should be at least in W 2008 territory. At least.

[Person Man]

It's absolutely beyond my comprehension how around 43% of the electorate can still approve of this moron, after he completely ignored the biggest health crisis in 100+ years, with an economy in shatters and the daily madness and the corruption coming out of this WH. He's most likely going to lose in November anyway, but it's completely ridiculous that many people still approve him. His approvals should be at least in W 2008 territory. At least.

“He’s trying...”

[woodley park]

It's absolutely beyond my comprehension how around 43% of the electorate can still approve of this moron, after he completely ignored the biggest health crisis in 100+ years, with an economy in shatters and the daily madness and the corruption coming out of this WH. He's most likely going to lose in November anyway, but it's completely ridiculous that many people still approve him. His approvals should be at least in W 2008 territory. At least.

I hear you. It is maddeningly frustrating. But it shows you that partisanship is a sickness in its own way. Thats why I feel the need to be a broken record on here about Trump's calamitous "response" to COVID-19. His horrendous "performance" should mean a loss by default. There's going to be 200,000 dead Americans by mid-September, and the blame for that can be laid right at Trump's feet. There's no end in sight to either this virus or the immense death and economic disruption it has caused here -- and frankly, almost ONLY here. His candidacy should be basically beyond saving. To say otherwise, to tsk-tsk and say there's still almost three months left, a lot could change, hey look at this month's job figures, etc., just feels like conventional wisdom BS to me, like missing the forest fire for the trees. But sadly, partisanship in this country means he's unlikely to fall much further in popularity, so he'll likely always have a shot at winning in the EC at the very least.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Ipsos Core Political Data (weekly), Aug. 14-18, 1391 adults including 1179 RV

Adults:

Approve 39 (-1)
Disapprove 56 (+1)

Strongly approve 22 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 43 (-2)

Biden 45 (+1), Trump 36 (-1)

Undecided/3rd-party voters were apparently not pushed this week.


RV:

Approve 42 (+1)
Disapprove 56 (-1)

Strongly approve 24 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 44 (-4)

Biden 48 (-1), Trump 40 (+1)

[woodley park]

39% is a nice low number, but it would be great for it to go lower.

Has an American incumbent ever won re-election with a 39% approval rating?

[Person Man]

39% is a nice low number, but it would be great for it to go lower.

Has an American incumbent ever won re-election with a 39% approval rating?

The lowest is like 46. I think. Truman won with that. Obama and W were at like 49.