2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[randomusername]

https://twitter.com/business/status/1324399871764451328

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Nevada jumped from 73c to 88c on PredictIt.

Don't tell that Tender.

NV is ok.

Biden should just lose one of GA or AZ by 100 votes or so ...

No he absolutely should not you lucre-addled hobgoblin.

[Never Made it to Graceland]

Glad this sh**t likely won't hang on AZ, b/c this is absurd

https://twitter.com/ABCPolitics/status/1324399552376508418

Didn't it take a week after Election Day for Sinema to win?

Can someone explain why these states out west slow down so much when counting ballots?

It takes a while for the Pony Express to deliver them.

[CookieDamage]

so wait are there 600k votes left in PA or 140k?

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

At what time will we get the big vote dump in PA? This is so frustrating.

[EJ24]

What's the Atlas concensus on that Arizona call?

Fox and AP seem adamant about it, but every other network keeps talking about the shrinking lead every 5 minutes.

[BudgieForce]

I am surprised how badly Trump is doing in NJ

I thought NJ would trend R.....

Bad for the NJGOP

And Tom Kean Jr. is finished in politics.

The name Kean is ancient in politics now.

Why would you think it would trend R?

I've been saying for months that Trump is the exact opposite of what New Jerseyans want. He's a terrible fit for the state - it's one big college-educated diverse suburb.

That fact that NJ leapfrogged Connecticut, Delaware and Rhode Island and became the 8th most democratic state in the Union in 2016 is proof that Trump was an awful fit for the state.

[Holmes]

I am surprised how badly Trump is doing in NJ

Really? It was pretty obvious this was how it would end up.

You just thought they loved cops more than they really do.

[Never Made it to Graceland]

Nevada jumped from 73c to 88c on PredictIt.

Don't tell that Tender.

NV is ok.

Biden should just lose one of GA or AZ by 100 votes or so ...

No he absolutely should not you lucre-addled hobgoblin.

I'd prefer Na to GA if I had to pick, if Biden wins Georgia that makes the Senate pipe dream just a little more likely.

[GeneralMacArthur]

Source on the PA vote count being paused? I don't see it anywhere. Is this just a misreading of the Allegheny County situation?

https://twitter.com/MauraBarrettNBC/status/1324393923922579457

PA Supreme Court is 5-2 Dem. PA Governor is a Dem. PA SoS is a Dem.

Downballot elections matter. Imagine if Hillary had narrowly won in 2016, Dems lose ground in PA in 2018 instead of crushing it as they did, and now we have Republican administrators and state courts overseeing this process.

Okay, please catch me up as I've been in court all morning and I'm just taking a break for lunch.

1. WTF is happening regarding this lawsuit?

 2. To give the devil their due, no matter how much Republicans embrace the concept of voter suppression to retain power, I would be seriously concerned if a heavily populated republican-dominated county in an extremely closely contested election did not allow representatives of the democratic campaign to personally observe the recount. Someone mentioned watching it on stream, but that seems insufficient to try to see if there maybe double-dealing going on.

 Or is there more to this than I'm missing? Are there already Republican Representatives already duly appointed by the state or County elections board inside The Counting Room I assume?

Unless I'm mixing up my lawsuits, there are already Republican representatives, but not as many as Democratic representatives.

[ultraviolet]

I am surprised how badly Trump is doing in NJ

I thought NJ would trend R.....

Bad for the NJGOP

And Tom Kean Jr. is finished in politics.

The name Kean is ancient in politics now.

Why would you think it would trend R?

I've been saying for months that Trump is the exact opposite of what New Jerseyans want. He's a terrible fit for the state - it's one big college-educated diverse suburb.

He says lots of NYPD officers live in NJ, thus it will trend right

[Skill and Chance]

In NJ all ED votes are considered provisional and not counted until 11/10 so they can verify those people did not already vote by mail.  NJ is likely a blue mirage right now, although there's no doubt Biden still wins it.    

[Tender Branson]

Nevada jumped from 73c to 88c on PredictIt.

Don't tell that Tender.

NV is ok.

Biden should just lose one of GA or AZ by 100 votes or so ...

No he absolutely should not you lucre-addled hobgoblin.

That’s pretty mean.

Mods, please ban.

[forsythvoter]

A few more votes reported from rural GA. Trump lead now down to +14,250. Interestingly,  these rural main-in votes went Democratic (1,800 Biden -1,300 Trump) even though the counties they are in are 2-1 Trump.

[Dr. Arch]

What's the Atlas concensus on that Arizona call?

Fox and AP seem adamant about it, but every other network keeps talking about the shrinking lead every 5 minutes.

The last dump was supposed to be the most Trump favorable votes left in AZ, and it wasn't nearly enough. The rest is from deep blue areas in the state and no more EDay vote tallies.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

What's the Atlas concensus on that Arizona call?

Fox and AP seem adamant about it, but every other network keeps talking about the shrinking lead every 5 minutes.

I adamantly defended it and disagreed with it being premature. A majority probably disagreed.

[Alben Barkley]

I think networks can call NV now, honestly. We only got a small number of the Clark County votes left, he won them by 30 and expanded his lead. Zero chance Trump wins now. Just confirmed our suspicions that the Clark mail votes would heavily favor Biden.

[GeorgiaModerate]

What's the Atlas concensus on that Arizona call?

Fox and AP seem adamant about it, but every other network keeps talking about the shrinking lead every 5 minutes.

Fox and AP are using a data source with precinct-level data that the others don't.  Evidently that data gave them enough confidence to make the call, and stand by it.  Whether that was justified or not is something we can't determine until the final results are in.

[DaleCooper]

I think networks can call NV now, honestly. We only got a small number of the Clark County votes left, he won them by 30 and expanded his lead. Zero chance Trump wins now. Just confirmed our suspicions that the Clark mail votes would heavily favor Biden.

Because of the weirdness surrounding AZ, I think all the networks are going to call PA as the tipping point state.

[Bootes Void]

so wait are there 600k votes left in PA or 140k?

140 k maybe in Philly but way more outside of that. its a mess

[2952-0-0]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1324401527663058944

[BudgieForce]

I have stuff to do in half an hour.

Gosh darn it, hurry up please. 

[Holmes]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1324401527663058944

We’re trying! We’re so close to voting you out.

[WD]

I almost feel bad for Trump. Almost.

[Battista Minola 1616]

Wow! First we have gone over page 400, and right now this has just become the longest thread in the history of Atlas/Talk Elections (in less than three days!)... KEEP. IT. GOING. GUYS!