2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)
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  2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)
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Author Topic: 2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)  (Read 85499 times)
Roll Roons
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« Reply #1675 on: June 14, 2022, 09:28:13 PM »

DDHQ says Beaufort finally dropped and Mace won it 52-46. That should be the ballgame.
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« Reply #1676 on: June 14, 2022, 09:34:49 PM »

DDHQ says Beaufort finally dropped and Mace won it 52-46. That should be the ballgame.
Nikki Haley campaigned for Nancy Mace A LOT in the last couple of weeks + Nikki lives in her District. That certainly helped Nancy!
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1677 on: June 14, 2022, 09:44:50 PM »

Calling SC-1 R for Mace!

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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1678 on: June 14, 2022, 09:46:38 PM »

Retracting the call for the Runoff in SC-7 and calling it for Fry.

That's what I get for doing like 3 things at once during part of this. Dropping for 30 push-ups.

Uncalled:

SC-Superintendent D
SC-Superintendent R Slot 2
SC-SEN D
All NV Races
CA-2 Slot 2
CA-14 Slot 2
CA-22 Slot 2
CA-30 Slot 2
CA-37 Slot 2
CA-AG Slot 2
CA-Insurance Commissioner Slot 2
CA-Superintendent Slot 2
TX-15 D
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AMB1996
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« Reply #1679 on: June 14, 2022, 10:09:30 PM »

Did Nevada actually vote today or not?
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Huey Long is a Republican
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« Reply #1680 on: June 14, 2022, 10:10:16 PM »

Also just so y’all don’t get yer knickers in a twist I’ll remind you SC is a 50+1% to win primary state.  

Rice is either going to win or go to a runoff tonight. I’d be shocked if Fry (or anyone else) clears 50% with the crowded field. Arthur has been putting a lot of big ads across Horry so I wouldn’t be shocked if she got 10%.

How'd that work out for you?

DDHQ says Beaufort finally dropped and Mace won it 52-46. That should be the ballgame.
Nikki Haley campaigned for Nancy Mace A LOT in the last couple of weeks + Nikki lives in her District. That certainly helped Nancy!

Oh well, here's to getting rid of her in 2024!
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1681 on: June 14, 2022, 10:12:10 PM »

Did Nevada actually vote today or not?

I presume they did? The NV page on NYT says "LIVE" and indicates polls are closed. Also YE said he voted.
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Huey Long is a Republican
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« Reply #1682 on: June 14, 2022, 10:14:43 PM »

Did Nevada actually vote today or not?

I presume they did? The NV page on NYT says "LIVE" and indicates polls are closed. Also YE said he voted.

Someone said they won't report results until every person at the polls has voted and left the polls. Basically, we'll be here all day and results will only come in as soon as our heads hit the pillows on the east coast
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« Reply #1683 on: June 14, 2022, 10:17:04 PM »

Did Nevada actually vote today or not?
NV has a Policy that they can't release any Results until everyone has voted & every Polling Place is closed.
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« Reply #1684 on: June 14, 2022, 10:17:39 PM »

Only 66% reporting for the district with Mark “HUAC” Burns?
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1685 on: June 14, 2022, 10:24:31 PM »

Calling SC-Superintendent R Slot 2 for Weaver!
SC-SEN D will be a RUNOFF between Bruce and Matthews!

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SC-Superintendent D
All NV Races
CA-2 Slot 2
CA-14 Slot 2
CA-22 Slot 2
CA-30 Slot 2
CA-37 Slot 2
CA-AG Slot 2
CA-Insurance Commissioner Slot 2
CA-Superintendent Slot 2
TX-15 D
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #1686 on: June 14, 2022, 11:20:31 PM »

For the geography don't matter anymore people, I find it impossible not to note that low country SC-01 kept Mace as the nominee, while up country SC-07 tossed Rice for a Trumpist primary challenger by a wide margin. Yes, local factors, candidate quality and such forth had an impact for sure, but the demographic and geographic pattern is impossible to not note.

This is the third Southern primary (AL and GA) we have a seen where historic geographic boundaries had a decisive impact on Trumpist support, and fourth primary overall (PA) where such was present in the past month or so.
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Horus
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« Reply #1687 on: June 14, 2022, 11:22:52 PM »

Only 66% reporting for the district with Mark “HUAC” Burns?

Looks like everything is in now and Timmons is holding on without around 52%. I'm not sure why he even faced a challenge from the right, he's been a Trump bootlicker every step of the way.
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« Reply #1688 on: June 14, 2022, 11:23:45 PM »

Nevada results supposedly inbound.
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leecannon
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« Reply #1689 on: June 14, 2022, 11:24:37 PM »

So I've been pouring over the numbers actually think the reason Rice might have failed to get a run off comes from Jamal Campbell's challenge to Jackie "Coach" Hayes. DIllon has been trending republican, albeit slowly, for a few cycles, but tonight the democratic primary population heavily outweighed that of the republican.

No one cares about Dillon County but Dillon County. Rep. Hayes has been in since the early 2000s and is wildly popular especially among the college educated class. He's a generic moderate liberal but also the town football coach and has a lot of connections from that and just being a native.

Many of the people that voted to save Hayes from his challenger (myself and most of my direct social circle included) would have potentially or even likely crossed over to vote for Rice. No other race is competitve in a significant way to cause Democrats to vote in the primary unless they are diehards. Had this challenge not happen you could see 1,000 to maybe even 2,500 more votes in the republican primary. It's hard to say how these voters would have voted but they likely would have been more Rice heavy then the county as a whole.

It seems small but it might have been just enough to push Fry under 50% and give Rice a snowballs chance.
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Huey Long is a Republican
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« Reply #1690 on: June 14, 2022, 11:32:20 PM »

So I've been pouring over the numbers actually think the reason Rice might have failed to get a run off comes from Jamal Campbell's challenge to Jackie "Coach" Hayes. DIllon has been trending republican, albeit slowly, for a few cycles, but tonight the democratic primary population heavily outweighed that of the republican.

No one cares about Dillon County but Dillon County. Rep. Hayes has been in since the early 2000s and is wildly popular especially among the college educated class. He's a generic moderate liberal but also the town football coach and has a lot of connections from that and just being a native.

Many of the people that voted to save Hayes from his challenger (myself and most of my direct social circle included) would have potentially or even likely crossed over to vote for Rice. No other race is competitve in a significant way to cause Democrats to vote in the primary unless they are diehards. Had this challenge not happen you could see 1,000 to maybe even 2,500 more votes in the republican primary. It's hard to say how these voters would have voted but they likely would have been more Rice heavy then the county as a whole.

It seems small but it might have been just enough to push Fry under 50% and give Rice a snowballs chance.

And that's why the GOP on a national level needs to do what the Virginia GOP is doing by scrapping primaries and going with conventions. It's how we got Youngkin, it's how we got Hung Cao, it's how we got Bob Good. Convention systems prevent Democrats like you from sabotaging our candidate selections. I don't want Republicans to do that for Democrats so you can hold Primaries and choose your candidates and we can hold Conventions and choose our people properly.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1691 on: June 14, 2022, 11:59:38 PM »

Calling NV-SEN D for Masto!
Calling NV-GOV D for Sisolak!
Calling NV-1 D for Titus!
Calling NV-3 D for Lee!
Calling NV-3 R for Becker!


Uncalled:

NV-SEN R
NV-GOV R
NV-SOS R
NV-1 R
NV-2 D
NV-2 R
NV-4 R
NV-LT Gov D
NV-LT Gov R
NV-AG D
NV-AG R
NV-Controller D
NV-Treasurer R
SC-Superintendent D
CA-2 Slot 2
CA-14 Slot 2
CA-22 Slot 2
CA-30 Slot 2
CA-37 Slot 2
CA-AG Slot 2
CA-Insurance Commissioner Slot 2
CA-Superintendent Slot 2
TX-15 D
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« Reply #1692 on: June 15, 2022, 12:05:00 AM »

Calling NV-SEN R for Laxalt!
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AMB1996
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« Reply #1693 on: June 15, 2022, 12:09:50 AM »

Dean Heller and Crescent Hardy probably should have just stayed home.
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leecannon
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« Reply #1694 on: June 15, 2022, 12:25:34 AM »

So I've been pouring over the numbers actually think the reason Rice might have failed to get a run off comes from Jamal Campbell's challenge to Jackie "Coach" Hayes. DIllon has been trending republican, albeit slowly, for a few cycles, but tonight the democratic primary population heavily outweighed that of the republican.

No one cares about Dillon County but Dillon County. Rep. Hayes has been in since the early 2000s and is wildly popular especially among the college educated class. He's a generic moderate liberal but also the town football coach and has a lot of connections from that and just being a native.

Many of the people that voted to save Hayes from his challenger (myself and most of my direct social circle included) would have potentially or even likely crossed over to vote for Rice. No other race is competitve in a significant way to cause Democrats to vote in the primary unless they are diehards. Had this challenge not happen you could see 1,000 to maybe even 2,500 more votes in the republican primary. It's hard to say how these voters would have voted but they likely would have been more heavy then the county as a whole.

It seems small but it might have been just enough to push Fry under 50% and give Rice a snowballs chance.

And that's why the GOP on a national level needs to do what the Virginia GOP is doing by scrapping primaries and going with conventions. It's how we got Youngkin, it's how we got Hung Cao, it's how we got Bob Good. Convention systems prevent Democrats like you from sabotaging our candidate selections. I don't want Republicans to do that for Democrats so you can hold Primaries and choose your candidates and we can hold Conventions and choose our people properly.

lol most of the people I’m talking about would have voted in the Republican primary instead of the democratic one. But ya know there does exist a thing called closed primaries?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #1695 on: June 15, 2022, 12:29:05 AM »

Next big Primary IL R Gov and NY R Gov on 6/28 and then MD 7)19 D Primary no MD GE poll
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #1696 on: June 15, 2022, 12:36:01 AM »

So I've been pouring over the numbers actually think the reason Rice might have failed to get a run off comes from Jamal Campbell's challenge to Jackie "Coach" Hayes. DIllon has been trending republican, albeit slowly, for a few cycles, but tonight the democratic primary population heavily outweighed that of the republican.

No one cares about Dillon County but Dillon County. Rep. Hayes has been in since the early 2000s and is wildly popular especially among the college educated class. He's a generic moderate liberal but also the town football coach and has a lot of connections from that and just being a native.

Many of the people that voted to save Hayes from his challenger (myself and most of my direct social circle included) would have potentially or even likely crossed over to vote for Rice. No other race is competitve in a significant way to cause Democrats to vote in the primary unless they are diehards. Had this challenge not happen you could see 1,000 to maybe even 2,500 more votes in the republican primary. It's hard to say how these voters would have voted but they likely would have been more heavy then the county as a whole.

It seems small but it might have been just enough to push Fry under 50% and give Rice a snowballs chance.

And that's why the GOP on a national level needs to do what the Virginia GOP is doing by scrapping primaries and going with conventions. It's how we got Youngkin, it's how we got Hung Cao, it's how we got Bob Good. Convention systems prevent Democrats like you from sabotaging our candidate selections. I don't want Republicans to do that for Democrats so you can hold Primaries and choose your candidates and we can hold Conventions and choose our people properly.

lol most of the people I’m talking about would have voted in the Republican primary instead of the democratic one. But ya know there does exist a thing called closed primaries?

Also Republicans hold just as much power to vote in a D primary if they want. It's called being strategic with your vote.

Also by and large Republican priamries are mostly GOP voters so if they keep electing canidates you see as flawed by a large margin your party might need to look in the mirror.

Conventions imo are just anti-democratic as a whole
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YE
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« Reply #1697 on: June 15, 2022, 12:46:23 AM »

Glad to see the faux socialists of the NV Dem party go down in flames.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #1698 on: June 15, 2022, 12:50:40 AM »

Looks like Nevada’s electoral votes will be Safe R in 2024.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1699 on: June 15, 2022, 12:53:24 AM »

Calling NV-GOV R for Lombardo!
Calling NV-SOS R for Marchant!
Calling NV-2 D for Krause!
Calling NV-2 R for Amodei!
Calling NV-LT Gov D for Burkhead!
Calling NV-AG D for Ford!
Calling NV-Controller D for Spiegel!
Calling NV-Treasurer R for Fiore!

Uncalled:

NV-1 R
NV-4 R
NV-LT Gov R
NV-AG R
SC-Superintendent D
CA-2 Slot 2
CA-14 Slot 2
CA-22 Slot 2
CA-30 Slot 2
CA-37 Slot 2
CA-AG Slot 2
CA-Insurance Commissioner Slot 2
CA-Superintendent Slot 2
TX-15 D
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