2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)

[brucejoel99]

Don't forget that DE-01 and DE-02 might happen at some point in the next few decades

Last time Delaware had 4 EV, Biden voted for Clinton.

Delaware has never had 4 EVs.

It did. For one single decade.
I wouldn't mind telling you and GALeftist when, but then my sophisticated joke would lose its effect.

Touché, but technically, old man Biden would've voted for James Monroe the last time that Delaware had 4 EVs in 1820, not DeWitt Clinton the first time that they had them in 1812.

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

Touché, but technically, old man Biden would've voted for James Monroe the last time that Delaware had 4 EVs in 1820, not DeWitt Clinton the first time that they had them in 1812.

I just wanted to make fun of Biden's age, just like Kimmel, Colbert, Oliver & Co. do in every second episode of their respective shows. Plus, I wanted to insert Clinton's name solely for the purpose of confusing readers.

I could, of course, just have written instead:
The last time Delaware gained a second district and thus a fourth elector, all four electors cast their ballots for Clinton.

[GeorgiaModerate]

538's preview of tonight's competitive races: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/10-elections-to-watch-in-nevada-south-carolina-and-texas/

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Just voted in my local precinct, anecdotally there were more signatures for the Republican primary then democratic, but I forgot to look at my number so democrats could have been on different pages of the day

I’ve been working for a local democrat campaign and the big concern is how many democrats would crossover to the republican primary to vote for/against Rice. Truth be told if I wasn’t working for this campaign I would’ve voted for Rice

[Nutmeg]

GOP - 174,192 - 66%
DEM - 90,309 - 34%

For comparison and some context, MT-AL (D) 2018 & MT-SEN (R) 2018:

GOP - 152,483 - 58%
DEM - 110,883 - 42%

(a 16-point shift to the GOP since 2018)

That's an 8-point shift.

[MT Treasurer]

GOP - 174,192 - 66%
DEM - 90,309 - 34%

For comparison and some context, MT-AL (D) 2018 & MT-SEN (R) 2018:

GOP - 152,483 - 58%
DEM - 110,883 - 42%

(a 16-point shift to the GOP since 2018)

That's an 8-point shift.

Margins are a far more useful & less misleading metric than vote/turnout share comparisons in this case, esp. when there are no major third-party/independent candidates involved and we’re really just dealing with two-party vote.

[Nutmeg]

GOP - 174,192 - 66%
DEM - 90,309 - 34%

For comparison and some context, MT-AL (D) 2018 & MT-SEN (R) 2018:

GOP - 152,483 - 58%
DEM - 110,883 - 42%

(a 16-point shift to the GOP since 2018)

That's an 8-point shift.

Margins are a far more useful & less misleading metric than vote/turnout share comparisons in this case, esp. when there are no major third-party/independent candidates involved and we’re really just dealing with two-party vote.

Oh ok, I see what you mean. The margin increased by 16 points as there was an 8-point shift to the Rs.

[YE]

Just voted. Had no line and half the booths were empty. Voted CCM/Titus/Burkhead but none of these for governor.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Idk who runs this thread but it would be cool if every primary we had a “did you vote” poll

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Idk who runs this thread but it would be cool if every primary we had a “did you vote” poll

Would be nice but you can't attach a new poll to the same topic each week (at least not without deleting/overlapping the previous results) and we probably shouldn't clog the board with tons of "did you vote?" topics.

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For tonight:

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/06/14/us/elections/results-maine-nevada-north-dakota-south-carolina-texas.html?action=click&pgtype=Article&state=default&module=styln-elections-2022&region=TOP_BANNER&context=election_recirc

First polls close at 7 in SC.

Please keep TX-34 Discussion on the stickied Congressional Special Elections Thread.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling CA-33 Slot 2 for Porter!
Calling CA-39 Slot 2 for Smith!
Calling CA-46 Slot 2 for Gonzalez!


Uncalled:

CA-2 Slot 2
CA-14 Slot 2
CA-22 Slot 2
CA-30 Slot 2
CA-37 Slot 2
CA-AG Slot 2
CA-Insurance Commissioner Slot 2
CA-Superintendent Slot 2
TX-15 D

[Greedo punched first]

Calling CA-33 Slot 2 for Porter!
Calling CA-39 Slot 2 for Smith!
Calling CA-46 Slot 2 for Gonzalez!


Uncalled:

CA-2 Slot 2
CA-14 Slot 2
CA-22 Slot 2
CA-30 Slot 2
CA-37 Slot 2
CA-AG Slot 2
CA-Insurance Commissioner Slot 2
CA-Superintendent Slot 2
TX-15 D

I imagine CA-30 slot 2 goes to a Democrat and CA-AG slot 2 goes to Hochman.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Also just so y’all don’t get yer knickers in a twist I’ll remind you SC is a 50+1% to win primary state. 

Rice is either going to win or go to a runoff tonight. I’d be shocked if Fry (or anyone else) clears 50% with the crowded field. Arthur has been putting a lot of big ads across Horry so I wouldn’t be shocked if she got 10%.

Mace is likely in the same boat, it’ll just depend on how much the third candidate gets. The story is gonna be in the margins

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Abbeville and Anderson have reports on NYT but not SCVotes

https://www.enr-scvotes.org/SC/114143/Web02-state.289375/#/?undefined

[Greedo punched first]

How does Mark Burns do against Timmons?

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

How does Mark Burns do against Timmons?

I'd be shocked if he even gets it to a runoff. He got 2% in 2018

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling SC -GOV R for McMaster!

[Greedo punched first]

Does McMaster win every county in the primary?

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Does McMaster win every county in the primary?

Being that I just heard of Musslewhite tonight so Imma go with no

[GeorgiaModerate]

538 live blog of tonight's elections: https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/nevada-south-carolina-primary-election/

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling SC-GOV D for Cunningham!
Calling SC-6 D for Clyburn!

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Also worth noting in South Carolina there is an open statewide election in the Superintendtant of Education that is looking competitive

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Calling SC-GOV D for Cunningham!
Calling SC-6 D for Clyburn!

RIP Mia McLeod, she and State House Minority Leader Rutherford had some interesting spars on twitter last week

[LAB-LIB]

Also worth noting in South Carolina there is an open statewide election in the Superintendtant of Education that is looking competitive

Isn't Maness the more reasonable Republican? Quick search shows she was endorsed by Spearman who if I'm correct is more of a moderate.

[Gracile]

Tom Rice is currently trailing his opponent considerably (getting 21% compared to Russell Fry's 45%) - albeit with hardly any vote in.